Norfolk St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.1#231
Expected Predictive Rating-7.2#276
Pace65.9#278
Improvement+0.0#189

Offense
Total Offense-5.3#316
First Shot-4.9#307
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#193
Layup/Dunks-6.2#342
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.6#15
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#183
Freethrows-4.1#348
Improvement+0.4#148

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#132
First Shot+3.4#72
After Offensive Rebounds-2.2#308
Layups/Dunks+1.5#117
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#33
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#87
Freethrows-3.0#328
Improvement-0.4#227
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 46.5% 51.9% 44.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 74.7% 87.7% 69.7%
.500 or above in Conference 96.6% 98.0% 96.1%
Conference Champion 62.8% 69.5% 60.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.3% 0.6%
First Four32.0% 29.0% 33.1%
First Round31.9% 38.8% 29.2%
Second Round0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: James Madison (Away) - 27.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 30 - 31 - 7
Quad 415 - 616 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 118 William & Mary L 78-81 34%     0 - 1 -2.8 -1.3 -1.3
  Tue, Nov 11 220 @Old Dominion L 57-60 37%     0 - 2 -3.6 -7.1 +3.0
  Fri, Nov 14 129 @Towson L 41-51 18%     0 - 3 -4.6 -21.7 +15.4
  Fri, Nov 21 212 Hampton W 62-60 58%     1 - 3 -4.2 -5.8 +1.9
  Sun, Nov 23 106 @Wyoming L 67-75 14%     1 - 4 -0.7 +2.0 -3.2
  Sat, Nov 29 9 @Arizona L 61-98 2%     1 - 5 -14.7 -5.5 -6.4
  Sat, Dec 6 169 @James Madison L 66-72 28%    
  Wed, Dec 10 28 @Baylor L 63-84 3%    
  Thu, Dec 18 284 Grambling St. W 67-64 59%    
  Fri, Dec 19 312 Jackson St. W 69-65 65%    
  Sun, Dec 21 241 @UTEP L 62-65 40%    
  Sun, Dec 28 318 @Louisiana W 64-62 57%    
  Sat, Jan 3 336 @NC Central W 69-65 63%    
  Sat, Jan 10 355 @Delaware St. W 68-62 72%    
  Mon, Jan 12 341 Maryland Eastern Shore W 65-55 81%    
  Sat, Jan 17 352 @South Carolina St. W 71-66 69%    
  Sat, Jan 24 364 Coppin St. W 75-59 92%    
  Mon, Jan 26 359 Morgan St. W 77-64 87%    
  Sat, Jan 31 315 @Howard W 70-69 54%    
  Sat, Feb 7 336 NC Central W 72-62 81%    
  Sat, Feb 14 355 Delaware St. W 71-59 86%    
  Mon, Feb 16 341 @Maryland Eastern Shore W 62-58 64%    
  Sat, Feb 21 352 South Carolina St. W 74-63 84%    
  Sat, Feb 28 364 @Coppin St. W 72-62 81%    
  Mon, Mar 2 359 @Morgan St. W 74-67 73%    
  Thu, Mar 5 315 Howard W 73-66 74%    
Projected Record 14 - 12 11 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 2.1 8.6 15.9 17.8 13.1 5.2 62.8 1st
2nd 0.1 1.5 6.6 7.6 3.6 0.6 19.9 2nd
3rd 0.8 3.8 3.1 0.8 0.0 8.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.2 1.7 0.2 0.0 4.5 4th
5th 0.2 1.0 1.1 0.1 2.4 5th
6th 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 1.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 8th
Total 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.0 4.3 7.2 12.1 17.0 19.5 18.3 13.1 5.2 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 5.2    5.2
13-1 100.0% 13.1    12.9 0.2
12-2 97.0% 17.8    16.2 1.6 0.0
11-3 81.4% 15.9    11.2 4.5 0.3
10-4 50.9% 8.6    3.6 3.9 1.1 0.1
9-5 17.3% 2.1    0.2 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.0
8-6 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 62.8% 62.8 49.3 11.0 2.1 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 5.2% 71.9% 71.9% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.5 1.4 1.5
13-1 13.1% 65.6% 65.6% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.2 6.0 4.5
12-2 18.3% 59.6% 59.6% 15.9 0.2 1.0 9.8 7.4
11-3 19.5% 49.3% 49.3% 16.0 0.0 0.3 9.3 9.9
10-4 17.0% 40.6% 40.6% 16.0 0.0 0.0 6.8 10.1
9-5 12.1% 31.0% 31.0% 16.0 0.0 3.7 8.3
8-6 7.2% 24.2% 24.2% 16.0 0.0 1.7 5.5
7-7 4.3% 22.2% 22.2% 16.0 0.9 3.3
6-8 2.0% 11.7% 11.7% 16.0 0.2 1.7
5-9 1.0% 10.9% 10.9% 16.0 0.1 0.9
4-10 0.3% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 0.0 0.3
3-11 0.1% 0.1
2-12 0.1% 0.0 0.0
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 46.5% 46.5% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.2 5.0 40.1 53.5 0.0%