William & Mary
Colonial Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +1.2 139
Results Rating +1.2 140
Consistency 0.14 100
Pace 80.8 5
Improvement -2.8 280

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 120 B- C- C B+ B+
Defense C 198 C- C B- B- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 47 B 63% 74 +5.2 26
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 324 C- 37% 208 -3.4 335
Three Pointers 44% 112 D+ 32% 254 +0.7 158
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ +1.5 23 C+ +0.9 136
1st FG Attempt B- 1.07 97
Second Chance D 26.0% 302 B+ 1.15 40 C- 0.30 202
Opponents' Steals C- 10.1% 261
Other Turnovers B- 6.6% 100
Turnovers C 16.8% 184
Freethrows B 0.35 50 B 76% 74 B+ 0.26 37
Total Offense C+ +1.9 120

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B 58% 40 C+ 10.5% 151
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 32% 84 D+ 6.8% 296
Three Pointers A- 93% 11 C 1.0% 227
Total A- 67% 18 C- 5.8% 213


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 232 D 62% 303 +0.8 210
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% 339 C- 40% 254 -1.8 43
Three Pointers 48% 20 C+ 33% 135 +2.8 309
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.6 278 C- +1.2 226
1st FG Attempt C- 1.06 238
Second Chance C 29.9% 168 C 1.05 209 C 0.31 196
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.5% 104
Other Turnovers B- 8.1% 73
Turnovers B- 18.6% 70
Freethrows C+ 0.28 124 B- 71% 103 B- 0.20 107
Total Defense C -0.7 198

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 50% 225 C 11.0% 171
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 30% 274 C- 4.3% 203
Three Pointers C- 85% 200 B- 1.3% 78
Total D+ 60% 276 C 5.4% 191

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 13.7 1 18.5 333
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.25 21 0.17 162
Consistency 0.11 101 0.11 79
Improvement +1.4 121 -4.2 338

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 152 142 126
Results Rating Rank 162 142 99
Conference Record 10 - 8 10 - 8 10 - 8
Conference Finish 5 5 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 13
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7% 10% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 12.9 12.9 n/a
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round7% 10% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 22 - 22 - 3
Quad 34 - 66 - 9
Quad 413 - 318 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 312 @Norfolk St. W 81 - 78 76% -4  15% 1 - 0 C- -3 D+ -4 D A+ F C+ +1 F A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 11 136 @Richmond L 86 - 90 37% -1  31% 1 - 1 C +1 B- +4 D+ C A+ D+ -3 A F A
 Sat, Nov 15 19 @St. John's L 60 - 93 5% -15  0% 1 - 2 D- -13 F -11 D A+ F B- +2 C B+ C
 Wed, Nov 19 165 @Bowling Green W 82 - 74 45% +9  87% 2 - 2 B +10 C +1 B C F A +9 A D- A+
 Mon, Nov 24 259 UTEP W 74 - 63 74% +8  99% 3 - 2 B- +5 D- -6 C+ D- F A +11 A+ F+ B+
 Tue, Nov 25 235 Abilene Christian W 92 - 58 70% +12  95% 4 - 2 A+ +30 A +12 A+ B- A- A+ +16 B A- A+
 Sun, Nov 30 244 Old Dominion W 88 - 75 80% +7  85% 5 - 2 B- +5 C- -2 B F+ C- B+ +5 C+ A- A-
 Tue, Dec 2 120 @Duquesne W 83 - 79 32% +8  92% 6 - 2 B +10 C+ +3 A+ F F B+ +6 A- F A+
 Sat, Dec 6 78 @George Washington L 86 - 99 19% -4  22% 6 - 3 C- -2 B- +4 B- B B- D -5 D+ D F+
 Thu, Dec 18 243 Radford W 96 - 83 80% +3  56% 7 - 3 B- +5 C+ +4 D B+ A C +0 B- D- C+
 Mon, Dec 29 167 Towson W 84 - 70 68% +8  70% 8 - 3 1 - 0 B +10 A- +10 A+ F B C+ +1 D A+ C-
 Wed, Dec 31 226 Stony Brook W 76 - 57 77% +6  91% 9 - 3 2 - 0 B+ +12 B- +4 A+ D- D A +9 A- A+ B
 Mon, Jan 5 143 @College of Charleston L 79 - 88 39% -6  13% 9 - 4 2 - 1 D+ -5 D -5 F C A+ C+ +2 F A+ A+
 Thu, Jan 8 179 @Monmouth L 70 - 81 48% -3  25% 9 - 5 2 - 2 D -9 D -5 D+ B F D+ -4 D+ F D
 Sat, Jan 10 214 @Drexel L 58 - 64 55% -5  1% 9 - 6 2 - 3 D+ -6 F -11 D- F F+ B +5 F B+ A+
 Thu, Jan 15 281 N.C. A&T W 97 - 89 84% +7  95% 10 - 6 3 - 3 C -2 B+ +8 A+ C- C F -10 F C A
 Thu, Jan 22 106 UNC Wilmington W 77 - 70 50% +11  98% 11 - 6 4 - 3 B- +8 C- -1 B- C- C+ A- +8 A B+ A-
 Sat, Jan 24 103 Hofstra W 89 - 82 49% +5  67% 12 - 6 5 - 3 B +8 A+ +18 A A- A+ F+ -10 C D- F
 Thu, Jan 29 242 @Elon L 76 - 79 60% +4  76% 12 - 7 5 - 4 C- -5 C +1 C+ D F+ D -6 D+ D+ F
 Sat, Jan 31 183 Campbell L 96 - 104 71% -13  0% 12 - 8 5 - 5 D- -13 B +6 B+ B- C- F -18 F A D
 Thu, Feb 5 106 @UNC Wilmington W 85 - 78 28% -2  31% 13 - 8 6 - 5 B+ +14 A+ +16 C+ A+ C- C- -2 F A+ B
 Sat, Feb 7 263 @Hampton L 74 - 77 65% +1  50% 13 - 9 6 - 6 D+ -6 D+ -3 D+ D+ C- C- -3 D F C-
 Thu, Feb 12 296 @Northeastern W 94 - 67 72% +11  99% 14 - 9 7 - 6 A +22 A +14 A+ C A A- +8 A F C
 Sat, Feb 14 242 Elon L 78 - 81 80% -1  29% 14 - 10 7 - 7 D -11 D -5 D+ F C+ D -6 B+ D F
 Thu, Feb 19 183 @Campbell L 83 - 84 49% +2  62% 14 - 11 7 - 8 C +0 C+ +2 B+ F D+ C- -2 C+ F+ D+
 Thu, Feb 26 296 Northeastern W 84 - 77 87% +3  64% 15 - 11 8 - 8 C- -4 F+ -10 F F A+ B +5 D+ D A+
 Sat, Feb 28 281 @N.C. A&T W 91 - 88 68% +4  91% 16 - 11 9 - 8 C -1 B +6 C D- A+ D- -7 F B- A
 Tue, Mar 3 263 Hampton W 94 - 85 83% +8  87% 17 - 11 10 - 8 C +0 A +13 B+ A+ C F -13 D B- F
 Sat, Mar 7 242 Elon W 87 - 81 71%
Totals 18 - 11 10 - 8 +1 C+ +2 F+ C+ B+ C -1 D+ B B+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ B C- D+ C+ 44% 24% 44% B+ B- D B+ C- C B B B+ C D C- C+ C- 37% 15% 48% D+ C- C C C B- C+ B- B-
1.11 63% 37% 32% +1 +1 1.07 26% 1.2 .30 17% .35 76% .26 1.10 62% 40% 33% +1 +1 1.06 30% 1.0 .31 19% .28 71% .25
Nov
8		 Norfolk St. D+ F+ A+ D+ D- 42% 2% 56% B+ D D+ A+ A+ F A+ C- A+ C+ C B- F F 40% 12% 48% F F D+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ F
1.05 53% 100% 32% -3 +3 1.02 30% 1.7 .52 22% .57 71% .40 1.01 55% 33% 46% +7 +1 1.18 33% 0.4 .12 25% .54 55% .29
Nov
11		 Richmond B- A B- F+ D+ 17% 21% 62% C- D+ F+ A+ C A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ A F A+ A+ 33% 8% 59% F A F D F A F C F
1.11 70% 42% 28% -3 -2 0.93 23% 1.6 .35 9% .44 81% .36 1.16 47% 50% 27% -9 +1 0.86 45% 1.1 .51 19% .74 76% .56
Nov
15		 St. John's F F F+ F D- 34% 14% 52% B- D C+ A+ A+ F D- F F B- D+ F A+ C+ 50% 10% 40% D- C C- A B+ C A- B+ A
0.75 41% 29% 27% -13 +1 0.78 29% 1.5 .42 30% .21 42% .09 1.16 61% 67% 24% -2 +2 1.03 39% 0.9 .37 14% .32 68% .22
Nov
19		 Bowling Green C A- D D+ B- 43% 6% 51% A- B D+ B- C F A A+ A+ A B F A+ A+ 54% 8% 38% F+ A C F D- A+ F D- F
1.05 67% 33% 32% +2 +2 1.10 25% 1.1 .28 23% .40 88% .35 0.95 52% 75% 16% -11 +3 0.86 27% 1.1 .30 23% .45 78% .35
Nov
24		 UTEP D- B- B- C- C 43% 14% 43% A- C+ D+ F+ D- F C D C- A B A A+ A+ 37% 21% 42% F A+ D+ F F+ B+ C+ C+ C+
1.00 62% 43% 33% +2 +1 1.08 30% 0.9 .27 26% .36 70% .26 0.85 52% 25% 17% -16 0 0.70 28% 1.3 .35 20% .26 67% .17
Nov
25		 Abilene Christian A A+ A+ C A+ 55% 15% 30% B A+ D+ A+ B- A- B+ D- C+ A+ D D A+ B 31% 23% 46% B- B D A+ A- A+ C+ A+ A+
1.23 85% 57% 36% +18 +2 1.43 24% 1.4 .33 19% .49 67% .33 0.78 63% 42% 21% -7 -1 0.87 35% 0.6 .20 28% .32 35% .11
Nov
30		 Old Dominion C- A A+ F B 43% 16% 41% B- B D F F+ C- A+ A+ A+ B+ D C- A+ B 36% 13% 51% F C+ A+ F A- A- A F B-
1.11 73% 63% 24% +4 +1 1.12 27% 0.8 .20 15% .45 83% .37 0.95 64% 38% 26% -4 +1 0.95 14% 1.4 .19 20% .21 92% .19
Dec
2		 Duquesne C+ B F A+ A+ 37% 8% 55% A A+ F F F F F A+ D- B+ C F A+ A 40% 4% 56% D+ A- F F F A+ F C+ F+
1.08 63% 25% 50% +14 +2 1.33 15% 0.8 .11 23% .24 86% .20 1.03 60% 50% 25% -6 +2 0.94 39% 1.5 .61 27% .43 71% .30
Dec
6		 George Washington B- B+ F D- C 52% 9% 40% A B- C A+ B B- C+ A B D F F A+ C- 56% 3% 41% F+ D+ D+ D+ D F+ D F+ F+
1.11 67% 20% 30% +1 +2 1.09 27% 1.3 .36 17% .29 79% .23 1.27 73% 100% 25% +5 +3 1.19 40% 1.1 .46 14% .36 79% .28
Dec
18		 Radford C+ B- F F F+ 60% 5% 35% A+ D C A+ B+ A A+ A+ A+ C A+ F B- B 28% 8% 63% D+ B- D+ F+ D- C+ C+ B B
1.19 62% 0% 25% -5 +3 1.00 33% 1.3 .44 14% .45 87% .39 1.03 41% 60% 32% -5 +1 0.93 31% 1.2 .36 19% .34 68% .23
Dec
29		 Towson A- B+ A+ A+ A+ 42% 15% 43% B A+ D- F F B A D+ B+ C+ F C B- D 33% 24% 43% D D B A+ A+ C- C+ A+ B+
1.20 64% 63% 43% +12 +1 1.28 21% 0.3 .07 13% .35 67% .23 1.00 67% 38% 30% +1 -1 1.02 32% 0.5 .16 16% .27 56% .15
Dec
31		 Stony Brook B- B A+ A+ A+ 39% 9% 52% B+ A+ D+ F+ D- D A A A+ A F A+ A A- 24% 14% 63% B- A- F A+ A+ B A F B-
1.17 65% 50% 43% +11 +2 1.27 28% 0.8 .21 18% .38 80% .30 0.88 67% 14% 28% -7 0 0.88 35% 0.3 .09 20% .17 89% .15
Jan
5		 College of Charleston D A+ F F F 20% 31% 49% F+ F D- A+ C A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ F A+ F F 25% 26% 49% A- F A- A+ A+ A+ F D- F
0.96 85% 5% 22% -14 -3 0.69 25% 1.2 .31 7% .33 80% .26 1.07 92% 21% 38% +7 -2 1.13 24% 0.8 .18 23% .46 79% .36
Jan
8		 Monmouth D C+ B F D+ 40% 24% 36% D+ D+ C+ A- B F C- F F D+ F A+ F+ D+ 34% 23% 43% C- D+ C- F F D C+ A+ B
0.97 60% 42% 28% -2 0 0.98 33% 1.2 .38 24% .27 47% .13 1.12 67% 17% 39% +1 -1 1.04 32% 1.3 .43 15% .28 65% .18
Jan
10		 Drexel F C- F F F 45% 15% 40% A- D- D F F F+ F C F+ B F F+ F F 44% 22% 34% C- F C- A+ B+ A+ C A- C+
0.87 54% 25% 24% -10 +1 0.85 26% 0.7 .18 20% .22 75% .17 0.96 67% 44% 50% +13 0 1.29 31% 0.6 .19 29% .27 62% .17
Jan
15		 N.C. A&T B+ B- C A+ A 62% 10% 29% A+ A+ F+ A+ C- C A+ C+ A+ F F F F F 41% 24% 35% D- F A- F C A D C D
1.27 63% 40% 53% +11 +3 1.31 20% 1.3 .27 13% .47 71% .33 1.17 71% 58% 44% +16 0 1.33 24% 1.3 .32 24% .39 74% .29
Jan
22		 UNC Wilmington C- B- A+ F C- 37% 6% 58% A+ B- F A+ C- C+ A D+ A A- A+ A+ B+ A+ 27% 12% 61% D- A B- A- B+ A- F B- F
1.06 63% 67% 27% -3 +2 1.00 17% 1.5 .25 14% .35 73% .26 0.96 38% 17% 30% -12 0 0.80 32% 0.9 .30 19% .56 67% .38
Jan
24		 Hofstra A+ B F A A 27% 11% 63% B+ A A- B A- A+ F A+ D F+ A- A+ F B- 35% 13% 53% F C F+ C- D- F B F C
1.33 60% 17% 40% +4 0 1.11 38% 1.1 .43 7% .21 85% .18 1.22 47% 14% 41% -1 +1 1.02 39% 1.1 .41 12% .25 87% .22
Jan
29		 Elon C C- F B+ C- 40% 4% 56% A C+ D- C D F+ D+ A- C D C C+ D+ C- 53% 6% 42% F+ D+ B- F D+ F A- A A
1.14 55% 0% 39% +2 +2 1.10 27% 1.1 .30 20% .26 79% .21 1.19 57% 33% 36% +1 +3 1.09 29% 1.2 .35 11% .23 64% .15
Jan
31		 Campbell B B+ A+ F B- 67% 9% 24% A+ B+ F+ A+ B- C- A+ A- A+ F F F+ F F 45% 13% 43% C F C- A+ A D F D- F
1.22 68% 50% 27% +5 +4 1.20 24% 1.7 .40 18% .66 79% .52 1.32 76% 43% 46% +16 +1 1.38 35% 0.7 .24 15% .45 77% .34
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
5		 UNC Wilmington A+ F+ F A+ C- 43% 17% 40% A C+ A+ A+ A+ C- A+ C A+ C- F F F F 27% 25% 47% B- F A+ B- A+ B A- A+ A+
1.26 50% 13% 42% -3 +1 0.98 38% 1.6 .62 15% .42 75% .31 1.16 71% 46% 46% +14 -1 1.27 23% 1.0 .23 18% .29 56% .16
Feb
7		 Hampton D+ B+ A+ F D- 55% 13% 32% A D+ F A+ D+ C- A+ B A+ C- C A+ F D 35% 28% 37% C+ D C- F F C- F B- F
1.04 69% 67% 7% -3 +2 1.00 17% 1.6 .27 17% .54 72% .39 1.08 56% 23% 41% -1 -1 0.98 33% 1.3 .42 17% .52 71% .37
Feb
12		 Northeastern A B F A+ A+ 53% 13% 34% B+ A+ B- D C A D+ F F+ A- D- B A+ A+ 34% 17% 49% C+ A B- F F C A+ F A
1.35 68% 14% 61% +16 +2 1.38 33% 0.9 .30 11% .31 63% .19 0.96 67% 33% 19% -9 0 0.85 24% 1.7 .41 17% .16 78% .12
Feb
14		 Elon D B- A+ F D 43% 13% 43% B+ D+ D F F C+ A+ C A+ D A A+ F+ B+ 46% 13% 41% C B+ A+ F D F D+ C- D+
1.10 61% 57% 26% -1 +1 1.02 28% 0.8 .22 15% .42 72% .30 1.14 46% 14% 39% -5 +2 0.95 21% 1.8 .37 8% .34 73% .25
Feb
19		 Campbell C+ A- A- B B+ 36% 19% 45% C B+ F F F D+ A+ C+ A+ C- A+ A+ F C+ 39% 11% 50% C+ C+ C F F+ D+ F C F
1.12 71% 44% 38% +8 0 1.19 21% 0.8 .18 19% .51 74% .38 1.13 33% 17% 44% -4 +1 0.96 34% 1.3 .44 16% .47 72% .34
Feb
26		 Northeastern F+ B F F F 61% 7% 31% A+ F F C- F A+ A+ A+ A+ B D- B D+ D 33% 16% 51% C+ D+ A F D A+ A+ B- A+
1.05 67% 25% 12% -6 +3 0.96 6% 1.0 .06 10% .54 82% .45 0.96 67% 33% 36% +3 0 1.09 19% 1.8 .34 28% .16 67% .10
Feb
28		 N.C. A&T B A A+ F C 38% 15% 48% B- C F+ C- D- A+ A B- A D- F F D+ F 29% 37% 33% A- F C+ B- B- A B+ B A-
1.21 70% 78% 24% +3 +1 1.10 19% 1.0 .19 7% .40 71% .28 1.17 93% 63% 35% +20 -3 1.37 29% 1.0 .29 24% .30 71% .21
Mar
3		 Hampton A A+ F F B 61% 10% 29% A+ B+ B+ A+ A+ C A+ A+ A+ F F+ A A- C- 41% 7% 52% F D B C B- F F F+ F
1.30 76% 25% 25% +6 +3 1.20 36% 1.8 .64 17% .67 80% .53 1.18 65% 25% 28% -3 +2 1.00 28% 0.9 .26 10% .46 80% .37



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 7.2% 7.2% 12.9 0.0 1.6 4.6 0.9 0.0 92.8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 7.2% 7.2% 0.0% 12.9 92.8 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 7.2% 100.0% 12.9 0.1 22.5 64.5 12.6 0.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 7.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 11.9%
Lose Out 28.6%