William & Mary
Colonial Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#222
Expected Predictive Rating-5.6#262
Pace76.3#29
Improvement-0.6#226

Offense
Total Offense+2.6#104
First Shot+1.6#124
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#130
Layup/Dunks-1.2#220
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#338
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#35
Freethrows+0.9#122
Improvement+2.5#32

Defense
Total Defense-5.6#340
First Shot-5.5#342
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#196
Layups/Dunks+0.5#153
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#231
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#330
Freethrows-1.4#282
Improvement-3.1#349
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.2% 6.4% 4.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.1 14.9
.500 or above 27.2% 52.5% 25.2%
.500 or above in Conference 50.3% 64.4% 49.2%
Conference Champion 3.9% 6.9% 3.7%
Last Place in Conference 6.0% 3.0% 6.3%
First Four0.7% 0.3% 0.7%
First Round3.9% 6.2% 3.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Virginia Commonwealth (Away) - 7.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 34 - 84 - 12
Quad 49 - 613 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 204   @ Radford L 77-89 35%     0 - 1 -11.0 +3.2 -14.2
  Nov 12, 2024 181   Norfolk St. W 84-73 54%     1 - 1 +7.0 +6.0 +0.7
  Nov 15, 2024 187   @ Winthrop L 85-86 32%     1 - 2 +0.7 +3.5 -2.7
  Nov 16, 2024 276   NC Central L 76-78 62%     1 - 3 -8.2 -2.7 -5.5
  Nov 17, 2024 234   Georgia Southern W 102-87 53%     2 - 3 +11.2 +15.1 -5.8
  Nov 22, 2024 78   @ North Carolina St. L 61-84 11%     2 - 4 -12.9 -11.1 -0.2
  Nov 24, 2024 173   @ Appalachian St. L 76-79 31%     2 - 5 -0.8 +10.5 -11.5
  Dec 02, 2024 315   @ Old Dominion L 83-88 60%     2 - 6 -10.7 +2.3 -12.7
  Dec 18, 2024 216   Richmond W 93-87 60%     3 - 6 +0.4 +22.5 -21.8
  Dec 22, 2024 57   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 69-84 7%    
  Dec 29, 2024 302   Navy W 85-77 76%    
  Jan 02, 2025 151   @ Hofstra L 71-77 28%    
  Jan 04, 2025 307   @ Stony Brook W 81-79 57%    
  Jan 09, 2025 179   Elon W 79-78 53%    
  Jan 11, 2025 321   N.C. A&T W 92-83 79%    
  Jan 16, 2025 266   @ Hampton L 76-77 49%    
  Jan 20, 2025 134   @ UNC Wilmington L 77-84 25%    
  Jan 23, 2025 266   Hampton W 79-73 69%    
  Jan 25, 2025 272   Monmouth W 83-77 71%    
  Jan 30, 2025 295   @ Campbell W 78-77 53%    
  Feb 01, 2025 121   College of Charleston L 82-85 41%    
  Feb 06, 2025 146   @ Drexel L 72-78 28%    
  Feb 08, 2025 219   @ Delaware L 84-87 38%    
  Feb 13, 2025 151   Hofstra L 74-75 49%    
  Feb 15, 2025 146   Drexel L 75-76 48%    
  Feb 20, 2025 134   UNC Wilmington L 80-81 45%    
  Feb 22, 2025 179   @ Elon L 76-81 33%    
  Feb 27, 2025 213   @ Towson L 70-74 38%    
  Mar 01, 2025 160   Northeastern W 80-79 50%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.8 2.0 0.9 0.1 0.0 5.2 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.0 3.0 1.1 0.1 0.0 6.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.5 3.8 1.7 0.1 0.0 7.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.0 2.8 0.3 0.0 8.0 5th
6th 0.4 3.4 4.3 0.7 0.0 8.7 6th
7th 0.1 2.3 5.5 1.7 0.1 9.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 5.2 3.2 0.2 10.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 4.0 4.4 0.6 0.0 9.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.5 1.3 0.0 8.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.9 2.0 0.2 8.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.9 1.9 0.3 0.0 6.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.0 1.7 0.3 0.0 5.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.9 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.1 4.2 7.0 9.5 12.2 13.7 13.6 11.9 9.8 7.0 4.3 2.3 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 99.5% 0.4    0.3 0.0
15-3 86.4% 0.8    0.6 0.2 0.0
14-4 56.6% 1.3    0.6 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-5 24.9% 1.1    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.9% 3.9 1.8 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 42.1% 42.1% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.4% 25.3% 25.3% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.0% 20.9% 20.9% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8
14-4 2.3% 17.5% 17.5% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.9
13-5 4.3% 13.1% 13.1% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 3.7
12-6 7.0% 10.7% 10.7% 14.6 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 6.2
11-7 9.8% 7.1% 7.1% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 9.1
10-8 11.9% 4.5% 4.5% 15.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 11.4
9-9 13.6% 3.1% 3.1% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 13.2
8-10 13.7% 1.9% 1.9% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 13.5
7-11 12.2% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 12.1
6-12 9.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 9.5
5-13 7.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 7.0
4-14 4.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.2
3-15 2.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.1
2-16 0.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 0.7
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.2% 4.2% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.5 1.2 95.8 0.0%