Richmond
Atlantic 10
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#226
Expected Predictive Rating-5.1#251
Pace61.4#344
Improvement+2.6#86

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#226
First Shot+2.6#103
After Offensive Rebound-4.7#360
Layup/Dunks-3.9#316
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#156
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#163
Freethrows+5.6#1
Improvement+1.8#98

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#215
First Shot+0.4#167
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#314
Layups/Dunks+5.0#37
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#276
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#290
Freethrows-1.1#262
Improvement+0.7#149
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 20 - 40 - 9
Quad 34 - 104 - 19
Quad 44 - 38 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 267   Marist L 72-79 69%     0 - 1 -15.6 +1.2 -17.1
  Nov 13, 2024 243   @ Charlotte L 48-65 44%     0 - 2 -18.8 -23.0 +2.7
  Nov 16, 2024 224   @ Bucknell L 76-80 2OT 39%     0 - 3 -4.6 -9.6 +5.6
  Nov 20, 2024 223   Maine W 70-66 60%     1 - 3 -2.1 -1.7 -0.3
  Nov 26, 2024 119   Louisiana Tech L 62-65 27%     1 - 4 -0.2 -3.5 +3.0
  Nov 27, 2024 271   Ball St. W 73-60 60%     2 - 4 +6.9 +5.2 +3.3
  Dec 08, 2024 2   @ Auburn L 54-98 1%     2 - 5 -17.0 -11.0 -4.0
  Dec 14, 2024 127   Belmont L 86-93 40%     2 - 6 -7.8 +3.3 -10.5
  Dec 18, 2024 232   @ William & Mary L 87-93 41%     2 - 7 -7.1 +16.6 -24.1
  Dec 21, 2024 298   VMI W 78-71 76%     3 - 7 -3.7 +6.6 -9.7
  Dec 28, 2024 187   Florida Gulf Coast L 57-75 53%     3 - 8 -22.2 -15.5 -7.7
  Dec 31, 2024 114   George Washington W 66-61 35%     4 - 8 1 - 0 +5.5 -0.6 +6.5
  Jan 04, 2025 190   @ Massachusetts W 72-64 33%     5 - 8 2 - 0 +9.2 +5.6 +4.1
  Jan 08, 2025 90   @ George Mason L 58-64 13%     5 - 9 2 - 1 +2.5 +4.7 -3.3
  Jan 11, 2025 138   Rhode Island L 64-67 OT 42%     5 - 10 2 - 2 -4.4 -12.4 +8.1
  Jan 15, 2025 110   @ St. Bonaventure L 49-63 18%     5 - 11 2 - 3 -7.6 -6.8 -4.2
  Jan 18, 2025 100   Saint Louis L 59-63 31%     5 - 12 2 - 4 -2.4 -14.5 +12.2
  Jan 25, 2025 140   Davidson L 66-72 43%     5 - 13 2 - 5 -7.7 -3.4 -4.8
  Jan 29, 2025 114   @ George Washington L 66-75 18%     5 - 14 2 - 6 -2.9 +4.0 -7.8
  Feb 01, 2025 35   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 49-90 4%     5 - 15 2 - 7 -24.7 -6.7 -25.4
  Feb 05, 2025 122   Duquesne W 73-68 38%     6 - 15 3 - 7 +4.6 +13.0 -7.7
  Feb 08, 2025 140   @ Davidson L 60-71 24%     6 - 16 3 - 8 -7.2 +4.0 -14.1
  Feb 11, 2025 109   Loyola Chicago L 80-87 OT 33%     6 - 17 3 - 9 -6.0 +11.5 -17.7
  Feb 15, 2025 238   Fordham W 70-66 63%     7 - 17 4 - 9 -2.9 -1.3 -1.3
  Feb 19, 2025 225   @ La Salle W 63-58 39%     8 - 17 5 - 9 +4.3 -0.3 +5.3
  Feb 22, 2025 76   @ Saint Joseph's L 62-78 11%     8 - 18 5 - 10 -5.8 -0.2 -7.0
  Feb 25, 2025 35   Virginia Commonwealth L 60-78 10%     8 - 19 5 - 11 -7.2 +2.3 -12.3
  Mar 01, 2025 74   @ Dayton L 64-74 2OT 11%     8 - 20 5 - 12 +0.2 -12.0 +13.2
  Mar 08, 2025 90   George Mason L 60-64 27%     8 - 21 5 - 13 -1.0 +2.3 -3.9
  Mar 12, 2025 140   Davidson L 65-70 33%    
Projected Record 8 - 22 5 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 100.0 100.0 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.6%
Lose Out 68.1%