Charlotte
American Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.5#243
Expected Predictive Rating-5.9#265
Pace63.4#308
Improvement-0.8#224

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#197
First Shot-0.9#203
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#172
Layup/Dunks+2.2#103
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#322
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#329
Freethrows+4.7#3
Improvement-0.7#224

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#292
First Shot-0.2#186
After Offensive Rebounds-3.8#360
Layups/Dunks-4.4#325
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#24
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#113
Freethrows+0.5#147
Improvement-0.1#199
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 122 - 18
Quad 48 - 49 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 240   Presbyterian W 88-79 60%     1 - 0 +1.9 +23.8 -20.6
  Nov 09, 2024 55   @ Utah St. L 74-103 6%     1 - 1 -15.6 +3.7 -19.5
  Nov 13, 2024 226   Richmond W 65-48 56%     2 - 1 +10.8 -4.7 +17.0
  Nov 19, 2024 272   Gardner-Webb W 60-54 67%     3 - 1 -2.9 -11.7 +9.3
  Nov 23, 2024 301   LIU Brooklyn L 76-79 73%     3 - 2 -13.8 +5.7 -19.6
  Nov 27, 2024 153   East Tennessee St. L 55-75 42%     3 - 3 -22.4 -14.7 -8.9
  Dec 10, 2024 140   @ Davidson L 71-75 21%     3 - 4 -0.2 +17.4 -18.6
  Dec 14, 2024 252   @ Georgia St. W 77-63 41%     4 - 4 +11.8 -1.2 +12.7
  Dec 17, 2024 348   West Georgia W 75-70 85%     5 - 4 -10.5 +0.8 -10.9
  Dec 22, 2024 221   @ Hawaii L 61-78 35%     5 - 5 -17.6 -7.1 -11.6
  Dec 23, 2024 145   Murray St. W 94-90 2OT 30%     6 - 5 +4.9 +10.2 -5.8
  Dec 25, 2024 148   College of Charleston L 81-84 30%     6 - 6 -2.1 +5.1 -7.1
  Dec 31, 2024 141   Tulane L 68-83 39%     6 - 7 0 - 1 -16.7 -11.1 -4.5
  Jan 04, 2025 191   @ Rice L 55-68 29%     6 - 8 0 - 2 -11.8 -6.1 -8.6
  Jan 08, 2025 107   Florida Atlantic L 64-75 29%     6 - 9 0 - 3 -9.9 -7.9 -2.4
  Jan 12, 2025 250   @ Tulsa L 63-69 41%     6 - 10 0 - 4 -8.1 +0.1 -9.2
  Jan 14, 2025 126   @ Wichita St. L 59-68 19%     6 - 11 0 - 5 -4.2 -6.6 +1.8
  Jan 19, 2025 50   Memphis L 68-77 12%     6 - 12 0 - 6 -0.7 -1.4 +1.0
  Jan 22, 2025 189   South Florida W 69-61 49%     7 - 12 1 - 6 +3.7 -0.9 +5.0
  Jan 29, 2025 155   @ Temple L 89-90 2OT 23%     7 - 13 1 - 7 +2.0 +0.0 +2.2
  Feb 01, 2025 108   @ UAB L 78-96 15%     7 - 14 1 - 8 -11.5 +7.5 -20.0
  Feb 04, 2025 126   Wichita St. L 58-66 36%     7 - 15 1 - 9 -8.7 -6.8 -3.0
  Feb 08, 2025 191   Rice W 78-75 49%     8 - 15 2 - 9 -1.4 +13.4 -14.3
  Feb 10, 2025 107   @ Florida Atlantic L 75-87 15%     8 - 16 2 - 10 -5.4 +1.6 -6.8
  Feb 15, 2025 163   East Carolina L 59-75 44%     8 - 17 2 - 11 -18.9 -4.4 -17.7
  Feb 19, 2025 155   Temple W 78-72 OT 42%     9 - 17 3 - 11 +3.5 +1.3 +2.2
  Feb 26, 2025 141   @ Tulane L 64-78 21%     9 - 18 3 - 12 -10.2 -3.0 -8.2
  Mar 02, 2025 163   @ East Carolina L 76-78 25%     9 - 19 3 - 13 +0.6 +3.9 -3.3
  Mar 06, 2025 79   @ North Texas L 64-75 9%     9 - 20 3 - 14 -1.0 +8.1 -10.8
  Mar 09, 2025 184   Texas San Antonio L 80-83 48%     9 - 21 3 - 15 -7.1 +9.0 -16.3
  Mar 12, 2025 191   Rice L 69-72 39%    
Projected Record 9 - 22 3 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 100.0 100.0 13th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15 100.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.1 99.9
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.8%
Lose Out 61.3%