College of Charleston
Colonial Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.4#180
Expected Predictive Rating-3.4#219
Pace67.4#243
Improvement+0.8#119

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#154
First Shot-0.7#198
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#131
Layup/Dunks-1.3#226
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#228
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#184
Freethrows+1.9#83
Improvement-1.4#289

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#226
First Shot-3.4#292
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#83
Layups/Dunks+2.2#95
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#341
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#334
Freethrows+2.8#35
Improvement+2.2#27
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.4% 8.1% 5.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 13.8 14.3
.500 or above 46.7% 68.4% 43.5%
.500 or above in Conference 62.8% 73.0% 61.3%
Conference Champion 6.0% 9.6% 5.4%
Last Place in Conference 3.4% 2.3% 3.5%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
First Round5.2% 7.9% 4.8%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Florida (Away) - 12.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 41 - 5
Quad 34 - 85 - 13
Quad 411 - 315 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 98 @Liberty L 75-90 19%     0 - 1 -7.0 +13.2 -22.0
  Sat, Nov 8 126 Florida Atlantic L 77-94 35%     0 - 2 -14.3 +6.6 -21.6
  Fri, Nov 14 352 South Carolina St. W 88-61 90%     1 - 2 +11.4 +12.4 +0.1
  Mon, Nov 17 128 Drake L 62-71 46%     1 - 3 -9.5 -9.7 +0.0
  Fri, Nov 21 175 Massachusetts W 69-65 49%     2 - 3 +2.8 -0.5 +3.4
  Sun, Nov 23 73 Yale L 63-74 19%     2 - 4 -3.3 -6.0 +1.8
  Mon, Nov 24 279 Evansville W 78-59 69%     3 - 4 +12.5 +4.0 +8.4
  Sun, Nov 30 88 Belmont L 73-96 34%     3 - 5 -20.2 +1.3 -21.3
  Wed, Dec 10 79 @South Florida L 72-84 13%    
  Sun, Dec 14 186 Charlotte W 72-69 62%    
  Wed, Dec 17 363 The Citadel W 81-64 94%    
  Sun, Dec 21 181 @Northern Kentucky L 72-75 39%    
  Mon, Dec 29 256 Drexel W 73-66 74%    
  Wed, Dec 31 223 @Elon L 79-80 48%    
  Mon, Jan 5 118 William & Mary L 79-81 44%    
  Sat, Jan 10 212 Hampton W 74-69 67%    
  Thu, Jan 15 129 @Towson L 65-72 26%    
  Sat, Jan 17 222 @Stony Brook L 71-72 47%    
  Thu, Jan 22 224 Campbell W 78-73 69%    
  Sat, Jan 24 223 Elon W 82-77 68%    
  Thu, Jan 29 136 @Hofstra L 67-73 29%    
  Sat, Jan 31 227 @Northeastern L 72-73 48%    
  Thu, Feb 5 323 N.C. A&T W 80-69 83%    
  Mon, Feb 9 109 UNC Wilmington L 69-72 41%    
  Thu, Feb 12 136 Hofstra L 70-71 49%    
  Sat, Feb 14 224 @Campbell L 75-76 48%    
  Thu, Feb 19 323 @N.C. A&T W 77-72 66%    
  Sat, Feb 21 205 Monmouth W 75-71 64%    
  Thu, Feb 26 212 @Hampton L 71-72 45%    
  Sat, Feb 28 109 @UNC Wilmington L 66-75 22%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 1.3 1.9 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 6.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.3 3.1 1.5 0.5 0.0 8.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.2 4.1 1.8 0.4 0.0 10.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.4 5.1 2.6 0.3 0.0 11.8 4th
5th 0.2 2.7 5.8 2.8 0.3 0.0 11.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 5.8 3.4 0.4 0.0 11.3 6th
7th 0.8 4.3 4.1 0.6 9.8 7th
8th 0.3 3.0 4.1 1.0 0.0 8.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.6 3.8 1.4 0.1 7.1 9th
10th 0.1 1.0 3.0 1.8 0.2 6.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.7 2.0 1.8 0.4 4.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 1.3 0.4 0.0 3.5 12th
13th 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.4 13th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.5 4.5 7.1 9.8 11.9 14.0 13.7 12.2 9.7 6.5 3.8 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 96.3% 0.7    0.6 0.1
15-3 75.1% 1.4    1.0 0.4 0.0
14-4 50.7% 1.9    0.8 0.9 0.2 0.0
13-5 19.3% 1.3    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.5% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
11-7 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.0% 6.0 2.9 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 12.5% 12.5% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-2 0.7% 24.7% 24.7% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5
15-3 1.9% 17.8% 17.8% 13.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.6
14-4 3.8% 18.0% 18.0% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 3.1
13-5 6.5% 15.2% 15.2% 13.8 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 5.5
12-6 9.7% 10.3% 10.3% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 8.7
11-7 12.2% 7.6% 7.6% 14.5 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 11.3
10-8 13.7% 3.6% 3.6% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 13.2
9-9 14.0% 2.2% 2.2% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 13.7
8-10 11.9% 1.6% 1.6% 15.6 0.1 0.1 11.7
7-11 9.8% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1 9.7
6-12 7.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 7.1
5-13 4.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.5
4-14 2.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.4
3-15 1.0% 1.0
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 5.4% 5.4% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.9 1.4 0.7 94.6 0.0%