Drake
Missouri Valley
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.2#66
Expected Predictive Rating+13.7#39
Pace53.0#364
Improvement-0.1#198

Offense
Total Offense+3.8#79
First Shot+4.0#77
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#202
Layup/Dunks+3.7#57
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#200
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#252
Freethrows+3.1#33
Improvement-0.1#196

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#66
First Shot+3.8#66
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#123
Layups/Dunks-3.2#296
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#25
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.3#3
Freethrows-2.4#332
Improvement+0.1#188
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round22.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen4.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.6% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 01 - 0
Quad 25 - 06 - 0
Quad 311 - 317 - 3
Quad 411 - 028 - 3


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2024 282   Stephen F. Austin W 66-51 94%     1 - 0 +5.3 +2.6 +5.0
  Nov 16, 2024 187   Florida Gulf Coast W 63-61 87%     2 - 0 -2.2 -5.8 +3.9
  Nov 21, 2024 174   Miami (FL) W 80-69 80%     3 - 0 +10.2 +13.1 -1.3
  Nov 22, 2024 107   Florida Atlantic W 75-63 67%     4 - 0 +15.8 +6.6 +9.9
  Nov 24, 2024 48   Vanderbilt W 81-70 39%     5 - 0 +22.1 +10.4 +11.6
  Nov 30, 2024 251   Georgia Southern W 61-47 92%     6 - 0 +6.4 -10.0 +17.7
  Dec 05, 2024 208   @ Valparaiso W 66-60 78%     7 - 0 1 - 0 +6.1 +2.4 +4.6
  Dec 17, 2024 59   @ Kansas St. W 73-70 OT 34%     8 - 0 +15.5 +13.3 +2.4
  Dec 21, 2024 334   Green Bay W 72-62 97%     9 - 0 -4.0 +6.3 -8.1
  Dec 29, 2024 127   Belmont W 65-46 80%     10 - 0 2 - 0 +18.2 +2.5 +19.6
  Jan 01, 2025 173   @ Illinois-Chicago L 70-74 72%     10 - 1 2 - 1 -1.9 +11.0 -13.6
  Jan 05, 2025 145   Murray St. L 59-66 83%     10 - 2 2 - 2 -8.8 -2.2 -7.9
  Jan 08, 2025 96   @ Bradley W 64-57 51%     11 - 2 3 - 2 +14.9 +3.1 +12.6
  Jan 11, 2025 242   Evansville W 63-40 92%     12 - 2 4 - 2 +15.8 +4.3 +16.8
  Jan 15, 2025 136   Illinois St. W 66-62 82%     13 - 2 5 - 2 +2.7 +12.0 -8.0
  Jan 18, 2025 196   @ Indiana St. W 71-53 76%     14 - 2 6 - 2 +18.9 +2.8 +17.8
  Jan 22, 2025 208   Valparaiso W 81-71 89%     15 - 2 7 - 2 +4.6 +13.6 -7.9
  Jan 25, 2025 230   @ Missouri St. W 69-62 OT 81%     16 - 2 8 - 2 +6.0 +8.3 -1.2
  Jan 29, 2025 103   Northern Iowa W 66-52 75%     17 - 2 9 - 2 +15.3 +11.1 +7.8
  Feb 01, 2025 195   @ Southern Illinois W 75-65 76%     18 - 2 10 - 2 +10.9 +13.1 -0.7
  Feb 04, 2025 145   @ Murray St. W 55-45 67%     19 - 2 11 - 2 +13.7 +8.5 +9.5
  Feb 08, 2025 196   Indiana St. W 85-81 OT 88%     20 - 2 12 - 2 -0.6 +3.1 -4.0
  Feb 12, 2025 136   @ Illinois St. W 84-77 65%     21 - 2 13 - 2 +11.2 +16.6 -4.9
  Feb 16, 2025 96   Bradley L 59-61 71%     21 - 3 13 - 3 +0.3 +0.8 -0.9
  Feb 19, 2025 173   Illinois-Chicago W 74-57 86%     22 - 3 14 - 3 +13.6 +13.9 +3.0
  Feb 23, 2025 103   @ Northern Iowa W 64-58 OT 56%     23 - 3 15 - 3 +12.8 +0.0 +13.2
  Feb 26, 2025 242   @ Evansville W 65-61 82%     24 - 3 16 - 3 +2.3 +4.0 -1.0
  Mar 02, 2025 230   Missouri St. W 68-60 OT 91%     25 - 3 17 - 3 +1.5 +7.1 -4.0
  Mar 07, 2025 195   Southern Illinois W 70-53 83%     26 - 3 +15.2 +9.6 +8.9
  Mar 08, 2025 127   Belmont W 57-50 73%     27 - 3 +9.0 -6.3 +16.6
  Mar 09, 2025 96   Bradley W 63-48 62%     28 - 3 +20.1 +10.0 +14.3
Projected Record 28 - 3 17 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 11.5 0.1 1.1 46.9 51.9 0.0
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 11.5 0.1 1.1 46.9 51.9 0.0