Robert Morris
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -2.7 204
Expected Predictive Rating -1.4 186
Pace 64.3 299
Improvement -0.2 192

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C #170 C- B D+ F+ C-
Defense C- #242 C- C+ C- F D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 234 53% 288 -2.8 279
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 158 38% 182 +0.3 166
Three Pointers 42% 157 36% 100 +1.7 119
1st FG Attempt 1.00 201 -0.8 202
Second Chance 35.0% 61 1.08 96 0.38 58
Turnovers 18.2% 266
Freethrows 0.24 342 68% 305 0.17 350
Total Offense -0.5 170

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 34 58% 187 -3.6 302
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 220 37% 153 +0.7 132
Three Pointers 36% 308 36% 258 +1.3 128
1st FG Attempt 1.05 229 -1.5 229
Second Chance 30.2% 170 0.98 108 0.30 136
Turnovers 16.2% 223
Freethrows 0.39 349 76% 334 0.29 356
Total Defense -2.2 242

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection -0.3 228 +0.6 284
Shot Type Accuracy -0.6 193 +0.8 216
Possession Length 18.3 286 17.3 193
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.09 359 0.17 159
Improvement -0.4 #211 +0.2 #182

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10% 11% 8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.7 15.0
.500 or above 99% 100% 97%
.500 or above in Conference 89% 97% 77%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round10% 11% 8%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Cleveland St. (Away) - 58.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 37 - 47 - 6
Quad 411 - 718 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 25 @Iowa L 69 - 101 3% -21  0% 0 - 1 D- -13 C+ +3 A A+ F F -16 F F C+
 Thu, Nov 6 177 @Drake W 81 - 79 OT 33% +2  64% 1 - 1 C+ +4 C +0 B- B- F B- +4 A B D-
 Thu, Nov 20 134 @St. Bonaventure L 61 - 75 24% -7  0% 1 - 2 D -9 F -13 F C+ F+ B- +4 C+ B+ B+
 Sun, Nov 23 208 @Monmouth L 70 - 71 OT 39% +1  43% 1 - 3 C -1 C- -2 D- B B- C+ +1 B+ D- D+
 Wed, Nov 26 137 Illinois-Chicago W 88 - 74 46% +13  97% 2 - 3 B+ +12 A+ +17 B+ A+ C D+ -4 C+ D C-
 Fri, Nov 28 284 Southern Utah W 61 - 54 76% +11  95% 3 - 3 C- -3 F -13 F B- D+ A +11 A C B+
 Sun, Nov 30 333 Stetson W 80 - 62 85% +12  95% 4 - 3 C+ +4 B+ +9 A- A A- C- -2 B C F
 Thu, Dec 4 244 @Green Bay W 80 - 78 46% -1  50% 5 - 3 1 - 0 C +0 C+ +3 C+ C+ D- C- -2 F A+ C
 Sat, Dec 6 268 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 72 - 74 51% +1  44% 5 - 4 1 - 1 D+ -5 D- -7 F D- B C+ +2 C- A+ F+
 Sat, Dec 13 165 Toledo W 75 - 70 53% -6  28% 6 - 4 C +2 D+ -3 D D A+ B +5 A+ B+ F
 Wed, Dec 17 205 Youngstown St. W 80 - 77 OT 62% -3  18% 7 - 4 2 - 1 C- -3 B- +5 C- B A- D- -8 F F A+
 Sat, Dec 20 355 @St. Francis (PA) W 79 - 70 80% +2  58% 8 - 4 C- -2 B- +5 B F C D -7 D+ F F
 Mon, Dec 29 201 Northern Kentucky L 77 - 79 61% +1  45% 8 - 5 2 - 2 D+ -8 C- -2 C- A D+ D -6 D- A- C
 Fri, Jan 2 271 @Detroit Mercy W 85 - 77 52% +0  39% 9 - 5 3 - 2 B- +5 B+ +9 D+ A+ F D+ -4 F D A-
 Sun, Jan 4 143 @Oakland L 73 - 96 26% -14  1% 9 - 6 3 - 3 F -19 C- -2 C- C- C+ F -17 D+ F F
 Sun, Jan 11 242 Purdue Fort Wayne L 74 - 79 68% -5  6% 9 - 7 3 - 4 D- -13 C +1 C+ F+ B+ F -14 F F B+
 Thu, Jan 15 332 @IU Indianapolis L 93 - 96 OT 69% +2  65% 9 - 8 3 - 5 D -11 C+ +2 B- C+ F+ F -12 F A+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 201 @Northern Kentucky W 92 - 89 OT 38% +3  71% 10 - 8 4 - 5 C+ +3 C +1 C- B+ C+ C+ +2 C+ B+ C-
 Thu, Jan 22 268 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 88 - 76 73% +7  82% 11 - 8 5 - 5 C+ +3 B +7 A+ A+ F D+ -4 F A+ C-
 Sat, Jan 24 244 Green Bay L 67 - 71 68% -5  11% 11 - 9 5 - 6 D- -12 D- -7 C- C- D- D+ -5 C F C
 Wed, Jan 28 332 IU Indianapolis W 74 - 58 85% +5  80% 12 - 9 6 - 6 C+ +2 C+ +3 C B- C- C+ +2 C A C
 Sat, Jan 31 242 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 71 - 83 46% -5  12% 12 - 10 6 - 7 D- -14 D -5 D- A+ D- D- -8 F+ B+ D-
 Wed, Feb 4 150 Wright St. W 72 - 66 49% +5  73% 13 - 10 7 - 7 C+ +4 D -4 B- D+ B- A- +8 A B+ D+
 Sat, Feb 7 205 @Youngstown St. W 72 - 66 39% +2  60% 14 - 10 8 - 7 B- +6 C+ +3 D A+ D+ B- +4 C- A C-
 Thu, Feb 12 299 @Cleveland St. W 79 - 77 59%
 Sun, Feb 15 143 Oakland L 78 - 79 47%
 Sun, Feb 22 150 @Wright St. L 70 - 76 28%
 Wed, Feb 25 271 Detroit Mercy W 78 - 72 73%
 Sat, Feb 28 299 Cleveland St. W 82 - 74 77%
Totals 17 - 12 11 - 9 -3 C -1 C- B D+ C- -2 C- C+ C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C D+ C B- C 36% 22% 42% C- C- B B- B D+ D- D F+ C- C C+ D+ C- 44% 19% 36% D+ C- C C+ C+ C- F+ D- F
1.08 53% 38% 36% -1 0 1.00 35% 1.1 .38 18% .24 68% .17 1.12 58% 37% 36% +1 +1 1.05 30% 1.0 .30 16% .39 76% .18
Nov
4		 Iowa C+ A+ F A+ A+ 19% 24% 57% F+ A A+ A A+ F A+ F B F F A+ F F+ 57% 10% 33% F F F D- F C+ F D- F
1.00 86% 11% 48% +10 -2 1.19 45% 1.2 .52 33% .48 55% .26 1.47 79% 25% 43% +15 +3 1.38 45% 1.2 .55 16% .76 82% .62
Nov
6		 Drake C B+ B- B- B- 36% 22% 41% C+ B- A- D+ B- F F A+ F B- B A+ A- A+ 42% 20% 38% D A D A+ B D- F F F
1.09 67% 38% 38% +5 0 1.12 39% 0.9 .33 23% .14 100% .14 1.06 52% 18% 29% -9 0 0.84 30% 0.8 .24 11% .48 78% .38
Nov
20		 St. Bonaventure F F B F F 47% 14% 39% B+ F B- C- C+ F+ D- A+ C B- D+ A+ B B 56% 10% 33% F C+ F+ A+ B+ B+ D F+ D-
0.89 33% 43% 25% -16 +2 0.73 33% 1.0 .33 22% .24 92% .22 1.09 63% 20% 31% 0 +3 1.06 42% 0.7 .28 20% .31 82% .26
Nov
23		 Monmouth C- C- A+ F D+ 29% 36% 36% F D- A- C- B B- F F F C+ A D+ B+ B 30% 33% 37% A- B+ D- C- D- D+ F D F
1.02 56% 55% 20% -2 -3 0.93 42% 0.9 .37 17% .14 25% .04 1.03 43% 40% 29% -6 -2 0.85 36% 1.1 .39 16% .54 77% .42
Nov
26		 Illinois-Chicago A+ B F A- B 43% 10% 47% B+ B+ A+ A+ A+ C C- A- C+ D+ A+ F F+ B+ 60% 10% 31% F C+ F B+ D C- F A+ F
1.30 62% 0% 39% +1 +2 1.08 48% 1.4 .70 21% .30 81% .24 1.09 40% 50% 38% -7 +3 0.93 47% 0.9 .42 18% .59 58% .34
Nov
28		 Southern Utah F F A+ F F 27% 31% 41% F F C+ B B- D+ D+ F F A C+ A+ A+ A+ 47% 22% 31% C- A B D C B+ F A D
0.94 43% 56% 19% -8 -2 0.82 33% 1.1 .36 15% .22 50% .11 0.84 57% 10% 21% -12 0 0.78 25% 1.1 .28 23% .32 63% .20
Nov
30		 Stetson B+ F+ A+ A+ A 27% 25% 48% F+ A- B- A+ A A- C- F F C- A F A+ B- 24% 35% 41% A+ B B+ F C F F F+ F
1.31 54% 58% 48% +14 -1 1.27 36% 1.5 .54 11% .26 43% .11 1.02 45% 56% 21% -5 -3 0.87 20% 1.3 .26 13% .38 75% .28
Dec
4		 Green Bay C+ A+ B+ C B 25% 38% 38% F C+ A F C+ D- C- F+ D+ C- C- F C+ F 50% 16% 34% D F A A+ A+ C F F+ F
1.18 77% 45% 35% +8 -3 1.11 41% 0.9 .38 16% .32 67% .21 1.15 59% 86% 33% +8 +1 1.20 16% 0.5 .08 16% .55 81% .44
Dec
6		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee D- F+ D C- F+ 42% 29% 29% D- F D D- D- B D+ A+ B C+ C- A C C 37% 14% 49% F C- A- A+ A+ F+ F D F
1.01 50% 33% 33% -5 -1 0.90 26% 1.0 .26 14% .31 89% .28 1.04 58% 29% 32% -3 +1 0.98 26% 0.6 .15 11% .44 71% .32
Dec
13		 Toledo D+ B D+ F+ D+ 42% 23% 35% D+ D C+ F D A+ A+ F A+ B A A+ C- A+ 43% 35% 22% B A+ B+ B B+ F F F F
1.09 65% 36% 29% 0 0 1.02 36% 0.7 .26 13% .47 64% .30 1.02 45% 22% 36% -10 -2 0.78 24% 0.9 .21 10% .49 87% .42
Dec
17		 Youngstown St. B- F A A+ C- 46% 21% 33% B- C- A+ F B A- C C+ C+ D- F F F F 35% 5% 59% D- F F+ D- F A+ F F+ F
1.19 42% 45% 47% 0 0 1.04 50% 0.8 .38 15% .37 76% .28 1.15 77% 100% 45% +20 +2 1.46 37% 1.1 .42 33% .49 77% .38
Dec
20		 St. Francis (PA) B- D+ F A+ B 42% 11% 47% B- B F F+ F C A C+ A D D A+ F+ D+ 31% 24% 45% C D+ C+ F F F A- A+ A+
1.24 58% 20% 52% +11 +1 1.27 24% 1.0 .24 19% .44 74% .33 1.10 63% 17% 39% 0 -1 1.00 25% 1.7 .42 11% .18 50% .09
Dec
29		 Northern Kentucky C- C- A+ D C- 31% 21% 48% D C- B+ A- A D+ F F F D F+ C A D- 58% 17% 25% F+ D- A+ F+ A- C F C- F
1.09 56% 55% 32% +2 -1 1.04 39% 1.3 .53 21% .25 50% .13 1.12 68% 38% 25% +2 +2 1.10 18% 1.2 .21 17% .46 74% .34
Jan
2		 Detroit Mercy B+ D+ F C+ D 51% 13% 36% B D+ A+ B A+ F A+ A+ A+ D+ B- D+ F F 41% 37% 22% D F C F+ D A- F C- F
1.24 54% 17% 35% -4 +2 0.98 48% 1.2 .58 19% .58 88% .51 1.13 53% 41% 60% +7 -2 1.13 32% 1.1 .35 21% .48 77% .37
Jan
4		 Oakland C- A+ D- D- C 33% 33% 33% F+ C- C- C C- C+ B+ C- B F C- F A+ D- 35% 31% 33% A+ D+ F+ D F F F F F
1.07 76% 35% 29% +3 -2 1.04 32% 0.9 .30 15% .29 71% .21 1.41 59% 73% 19% +4 -2 1.06 37% 1.2 .44 9% .59 89% .53
Jan
11		 Purdue Fort Wayne C C- B- B C 42% 9% 49% B- C+ B- F F+ B+ F+ D- F F B- F F F 28% 23% 49% A F F+ F F B+ F C+ F+
1.15 59% 40% 38% +4 +2 1.13 38% 0.7 .27 17% .19 70% .13 1.23 54% 64% 43% +12 -1 1.23 27% 1.4 .38 19% .32 71% .23
Jan
15		 IU Indianapolis C+ F+ A+ A+ B- 44% 12% 44% C B- C C+ C+ F+ B+ C+ B+ F C+ C- F F 46% 27% 27% D+ F F+ A+ A+ F F D F
1.18 52% 50% 48% +8 +2 1.21 37% 1.3 .48 23% .44 78% .35 1.22 58% 40% 53% +8 0 1.18 33% 0.5 .15 10% .49 74% .37
Jan
17		 Northern Kentucky C D- F B D 44% 7% 48% A- C- C A B+ C+ A+ C- A C+ D A+ A B- 48% 10% 41% F+ C+ B B+ B+ C- F C- F
1.09 50% 25% 38% -1 +2 1.04 34% 1.4 .47 19% .45 68% .31 1.06 64% 17% 25% -5 +2 0.97 26% 0.9 .24 17% .53 73% .38
Jan
22		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee B B+ D A+ A+ 49% 14% 37% B- A+ A B A+ F A+ F A D+ C B+ F F 33% 22% 44% C F A+ A+ A+ C- F+ B- D
1.25 67% 33% 56% +16 +2 1.37 41% 1.3 .52 23% .50 63% .31 1.08 56% 33% 46% +6 -1 1.13 22% 0.8 .17 14% .33 65% .22
Jan
24		 Green Bay D- D+ F A- D+ 30% 15% 54% C+ C- C D+ C- D- F F F D+ D D+ A C 47% 15% 38% D C C F F C A+ D+ A
1.08 57% 14% 40% +1 0 1.04 30% 1.1 .32 16% .23 58% .13 1.15 64% 43% 28% 0 +1 1.04 24% 1.9 .45 16% .25 77% .19
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 IU Indianapolis C+ F+ D+ A+ C 46% 13% 41% C C A F+ B- C- F A+ F C+ B C+ D- C 39% 22% 39% D+ C B+ A+ A C A- A+ A-
1.24 52% 33% 47% +5 +1 1.15 47% 1.1 .50 20% .17 88% .15 0.97 53% 36% 37% -1 0 1.00 23% 0.8 .17 17% .10 60% .06
Jan
31		 Purdue Fort Wayne D B+ F F F 43% 8% 49% B D- C A+ A+ D- F F F D- B- A- F D- 46% 13% 40% D- F+ A C+ B+ D- F F F
1.02 68% 25% 24% -4 +2 0.98 34% 1.6 .56 23% .17 44% .07 1.19 54% 29% 48% +5 +1 1.15 14% 1.0 .14 11% .32 95% .31
Feb
4		 Wright St. D C+ F A+ B- 41% 22% 37% C- B- F A+ D+ B- F F F A- A A+ B+ A+ 55% 12% 33% F A D A+ B+ D+ D- B+ D+
1.05 59% 25% 45% +4 0 1.09 18% 1.5 .27 16% .21 58% .12 0.96 46% 17% 29% -11 +2 0.84 35% 0.8 .27 15% .38 68% .26
Feb
7		 Youngstown St. C+ C F+ D D- 38% 23% 40% C- D A A+ A+ D+ F A+ F B- F A+ A C 50% 6% 44% F C- A A- A C- A+ D- A
1.12 61% 27% 32% -3 0 0.96 42% 1.5 .65 20% .14 86% .12 1.02 72% 0% 27% 0 +3 1.08 23% 0.9 .20 19% .15 75% .11



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 1.2 1.6 2.8 2nd
3rd 0.7 10.3 16.9 3.2 31.1 3rd
4th 0.0 6.6 18.6 5.1 0.1 30.5 4th
5th 1.0 12.3 5.4 0.1 18.9 5th
6th 0.0 3.6 5.5 0.5 9.5 6th
7th 0.3 4.0 0.7 5.0 7th
8th 0.8 0.9 0.0 1.6 8th
9th 0.4 0.0 0.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.1 10th
11th 11th
Total 1.5 9.5 25.8 34.8 23.4 5.1 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 5.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 5.1% 14.9% 14.9% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 4.3
12-8 23.4% 15.0% 15.0% 14.5 0.1 1.6 1.7 0.1 19.9
11-9 34.8% 10.0% 10.0% 14.9 0.0 0.7 2.2 0.5 31.3
10-10 25.8% 6.4% 6.4% 15.2 0.2 0.9 0.5 24.2
9-11 9.5% 4.8% 4.8% 15.7 0.1 0.3 9.0
8-12 1.5% 2.0% 2.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 1.5
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 9.8% 9.8% 0.0% 14.8 90.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.8% 100.0% 13.8 1.3 28.0 61.3 9.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.7%
Lose Out 0.8%