Robert Morris
Horizon
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.9#146
Expected Predictive Rating+2.9#121
Pace69.3#136
Improvement+7.8#4

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#191
First Shot-0.7#192
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#162
Layup/Dunks+1.7#120
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#219
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.9#342
Freethrows+4.3#7
Improvement+6.4#6

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#131
First Shot-0.5#195
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#54
Layups/Dunks-2.4#275
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#246
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#58
Freethrows-0.6#229
Improvement+1.3#110
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 60.9% 100.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.2 n/a
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round60.9% 100.0% 0.0%
Second Round2.7% 4.4% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 01 - 1
Quad 310 - 411 - 5
Quad 414 - 325 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 43   @ West Virginia L 59-87 11%     0 - 1 -13.5 -4.0 -9.0
  Nov 07, 2024 228   @ Delaware L 77-81 57%     0 - 2 -4.9 -6.3 +1.8
  Nov 14, 2024 331   Stonehill W 63-51 90%     1 - 2 -1.4 -15.7 +14.6
  Nov 15, 2024 332   Lindenwood W 67-53 90%     2 - 2 +0.5 -1.7 +3.8
  Nov 17, 2024 354   New Orleans W 73-62 94%     3 - 2 -5.5 -12.2 +6.3
  Nov 21, 2024 129   @ Cornell W 86-76 36%     4 - 2 +14.6 +8.1 +6.1
  Nov 27, 2024 356   Canisius W 72-64 95%     5 - 2 -9.4 -9.2 +0.1
  Nov 30, 2024 186   @ Ohio L 68-84 48%     5 - 3 -14.6 -4.8 -9.8
  Dec 04, 2024 200   Youngstown St. L 58-72 71%     5 - 4 0 - 1 -18.7 -18.1 +0.1
  Dec 08, 2024 164   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 77-82 44%     5 - 5 0 - 2 -2.5 -4.4 +2.5
  Dec 17, 2024 150   Towson W 68-67 62%     6 - 5 -1.2 +2.4 -3.5
  Dec 21, 2024 326   St. Francis (PA) W 90-77 89%     7 - 5 +0.4 +5.3 -5.7
  Dec 29, 2024 222   Northern Kentucky W 97-93 3OT 75%     8 - 5 1 - 2 -2.1 -4.5 +1.3
  Jan 02, 2025 337   @ Detroit Mercy L 76-78 OT 82%     8 - 6 1 - 3 -10.8 -1.9 -8.8
  Jan 04, 2025 185   @ Oakland W 79-71 48%     9 - 6 2 - 3 +9.4 +12.8 -2.7
  Jan 08, 2025 171   Cleveland St. L 69-80 66%     9 - 7 2 - 4 -14.4 -3.4 -11.1
  Jan 12, 2025 229   Wright St. W 75-72 76%     10 - 7 3 - 4 -3.4 -6.7 +3.1
  Jan 17, 2025 334   @ Green Bay W 89-67 81%     11 - 7 4 - 4 +13.5 +10.9 +2.7
  Jan 19, 2025 144   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 81-79 39%     12 - 7 5 - 4 +5.7 +8.0 -2.4
  Jan 22, 2025 200   @ Youngstown St. W 72-70 51%     13 - 7 6 - 4 +2.8 +6.4 -3.5
  Jan 25, 2025 185   Oakland W 73-71 69%     14 - 7 7 - 4 -2.1 +4.5 -6.4
  Jan 30, 2025 318   IU Indianapolis W 106-53 89%     15 - 7 8 - 4 +40.8 +21.9 +19.3
  Feb 02, 2025 229   @ Wright St. L 64-66 57%     15 - 8 8 - 5 -2.9 -7.8 +4.7
  Feb 05, 2025 337   Detroit Mercy W 71-56 92%     16 - 8 9 - 5 +0.7 -0.3 +2.4
  Feb 08, 2025 222   @ Northern Kentucky W 81-76 56%     17 - 8 10 - 5 +4.4 +9.7 -5.2
  Feb 12, 2025 171   @ Cleveland St. W 68-59 45%     18 - 8 11 - 5 +11.1 +4.6 +7.4
  Feb 15, 2025 164   Purdue Fort Wayne W 76-69 65%     19 - 8 12 - 5 +4.0 -0.9 +4.8
  Feb 21, 2025 334   Green Bay W 94-85 91%     20 - 8 13 - 5 -5.0 +7.0 -12.5
  Feb 23, 2025 144   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 72-59 60%     21 - 8 14 - 5 +11.2 +3.3 +8.8
  Feb 27, 2025 318   @ IU Indianapolis W 82-68 77%     22 - 8 15 - 5 +7.3 +12.4 -3.0
  Mar 06, 2025 229   Wright St. W 83-62 76%     23 - 8 +14.6 +5.9 +9.3
  Mar 10, 2025 185   Oakland W 79-76 OT 59%     24 - 8 +1.6 +3.6 -2.0
  Mar 11, 2025 200   Youngstown St. W 74-71 61%    
Projected Record 25 - 8 15 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 60.9% 60.9% 14.2 0.1 4.8 41.7 14.3 0.1 39.1
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 60.9% 60.9% 0.0% 14.2 0.1 4.8 41.7 14.3 0.1 39.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 60.9% 100.0% 14.2 0.1 7.8 68.5 23.4 0.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 39.1%