Robert Morris
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.7#183
Expected Predictive Rating+3.4#128
Pace66.2#267
Improvement+0.3#165

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#183
First Shot-7.4#351
After Offensive Rebound+6.7#3
Layup/Dunks-4.6#317
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#89
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#170
Freethrows-5.0#359
Improvement-0.3#211

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#199
First Shot-0.6#192
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#222
Layups/Dunks-1.7#243
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#91
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#40
Freethrows-4.9#359
Improvement+0.6#127
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.7% 15.5% 10.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.2 14.5
.500 or above 86.7% 93.8% 80.7%
.500 or above in Conference 83.9% 92.4% 76.9%
Conference Champion 17.8% 26.1% 10.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.2% 1.0%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round12.6% 15.4% 10.3%
Second Round0.5% 0.8% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wisconsin-Milwaukee (Away) - 45.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 3
Quad 34 - 54 - 8
Quad 414 - 419 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 27 @Iowa L 69-101 5%     0 - 1 -14.9 +5.2 -20.7
  Thu, Nov 6 128 @Drake W 81-79 OT 25%     1 - 1 +7.5 +6.4 +1.0
  Thu, Nov 20 111 @St. Bonaventure L 61-75 21%     1 - 2 -7.2 -6.3 -1.2
  Sun, Nov 23 205 @Monmouth L 70-71 OT 42%     1 - 3 -0.7 -1.3 +0.6
  Wed, Nov 26 204 Illinois-Chicago W 88-74 65%     2 - 3 +8.3 +16.2 -7.4
  Fri, Nov 28 320 Southern Utah W 61-54 84%     3 - 3 -5.2 -11.5 +6.9
  Sun, Nov 30 348 Stetson W 80-62 88%     4 - 3 +3.3 +11.7 -5.8
  Thu, Dec 4 264 @Green Bay W 80-78 54%     5 - 3 1 - 0 -0.8 +7.1 -7.8
  Sat, Dec 6 221 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 75-76 45%    
  Sat, Dec 13 173 Toledo W 76-74 60%    
  Wed, Dec 17 178 Youngstown St. W 74-71 61%    
  Sat, Dec 20 356 @St. Francis (PA) W 77-68 80%    
  Mon, Dec 29 181 Northern Kentucky W 74-71 60%    
  Fri, Jan 2 313 @Detroit Mercy W 75-71 63%    
  Sun, Jan 4 141 @Oakland L 76-82 29%    
  Sun, Jan 11 236 Purdue Fort Wayne W 80-74 70%    
  Thu, Jan 15 354 @IU Indianapolis W 90-82 78%    
  Sat, Jan 17 181 @Northern Kentucky L 71-74 39%    
  Thu, Jan 22 221 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 78-73 68%    
  Sat, Jan 24 264 Green Bay W 74-67 74%    
  Wed, Jan 28 354 IU Indianapolis W 93-79 90%    
  Sat, Jan 31 236 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 76-77 49%    
  Wed, Feb 4 160 Wright St. W 71-69 55%    
  Sat, Feb 7 178 @Youngstown St. L 71-74 38%    
  Thu, Feb 12 308 @Cleveland St. W 79-76 63%    
  Sun, Feb 15 141 Oakland L 78-79 49%    
  Sun, Feb 22 160 @Wright St. L 68-72 36%    
  Wed, Feb 25 313 Detroit Mercy W 78-68 81%    
  Sat, Feb 28 308 Cleveland St. W 82-73 80%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 2.1 4.6 4.9 3.3 1.7 0.5 0.1 17.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 3.6 6.0 4.7 1.7 0.3 0.0 17.1 2nd
3rd 0.9 3.9 6.1 3.5 0.7 0.1 15.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.8 5.8 2.8 0.6 13.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.3 5.4 2.5 0.3 0.0 12.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.3 4.3 2.2 0.2 9.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.1 1.5 0.2 0.0 6.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.7 0.9 0.2 4.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.1 2.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 1.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.4 4.4 7.0 10.0 12.5 13.2 13.4 12.2 10.0 6.7 3.7 1.7 0.5 0.1 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5
18-2 99.4% 1.7    1.7 0.0
17-3 90.6% 3.3    2.9 0.5 0.0
16-4 73.9% 4.9    3.3 1.5 0.1
15-5 45.6% 4.6    2.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
14-6 17.3% 2.1    0.5 0.9 0.5 0.1
13-7 4.0% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 17.8% 17.8 11.2 4.9 1.4 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 50.0% 50.0% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.5% 40.3% 40.3% 12.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
18-2 1.7% 31.5% 31.5% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.2
17-3 3.7% 30.4% 30.4% 13.5 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 2.6
16-4 6.7% 26.4% 26.4% 13.8 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.3 0.0 4.9
15-5 10.0% 22.9% 22.9% 14.2 0.0 0.3 1.2 0.8 0.0 7.7
14-6 12.2% 16.3% 16.3% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.1 10.2
13-7 13.4% 12.8% 12.8% 14.6 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.1 11.7
12-8 13.2% 11.2% 11.2% 15.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.3 11.7
11-9 12.5% 7.3% 7.3% 15.3 0.1 0.5 0.3 11.6
10-10 10.0% 4.1% 4.1% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 9.6
9-11 7.0% 2.6% 2.6% 15.7 0.1 0.1 6.8
8-12 4.4% 1.2% 1.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 4.3
7-13 2.4% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 2.4
6-14 1.4% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 1.4
5-15 0.6% 0.6
4-16 0.2% 0.2
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 12.7% 12.7% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.4 1.9 4.5 4.6 1.3 87.3 0.0%