Evansville
Missouri Valley
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.4#242
Expected Predictive Rating-4.3#238
Pace67.1#210
Improvement+3.2#56

Offense
Total Offense-5.3#312
First Shot-0.9#204
After Offensive Rebound-4.4#358
Layup/Dunks+0.0#179
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#185
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#152
Freethrows-1.4#273
Improvement+0.9#150

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#147
First Shot+0.5#163
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#139
Layups/Dunks-0.3#181
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#247
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#170
Freethrows+0.7#126
Improvement+2.3#69
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 41 - 7
Quad 35 - 96 - 16
Quad 44 - 510 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 79   @ North Texas L 63-80 9%     0 - 1 -7.0 +2.7 -11.2
  Nov 13, 2024 118   @ Middle Tennessee L 63-80 17%     0 - 2 -11.3 -9.9 -0.6
  Nov 16, 2024 169   Radford L 81-92 46%     0 - 3 -14.3 +12.8 -28.3
  Nov 19, 2024 37   @ Ohio St. L 30-80 4%     0 - 4 -33.9 -34.8 -0.9
  Nov 22, 2024 334   Green Bay W 98-81 82%     1 - 4 +3.0 +3.7 -3.0
  Nov 24, 2024 220   Campbell W 66-53 56%     2 - 4 +7.0 -3.7 +11.6
  Dec 03, 2024 145   @ Murray St. L 61-63 22%     2 - 5 0 - 1 +1.7 -4.0 +5.5
  Dec 07, 2024 154   Western Kentucky L 65-79 42%     2 - 6 -16.5 -8.1 -8.1
  Dec 12, 2024 117   Chattanooga L 67-75 33%     2 - 7 -7.8 -6.4 -1.8
  Dec 18, 2024 216   @ Texas Arlington L 54-80 34%     2 - 8 -26.3 -17.1 -10.7
  Dec 21, 2024 271   @ Ball St. L 43-80 46%     2 - 9 -40.4 -28.8 -14.9
  Dec 29, 2024 230   Missouri St. W 57-40 58%     3 - 9 1 - 1 +10.5 -9.6 +22.4
  Jan 01, 2025 195   @ Southern Illinois W 68-53 30%     4 - 9 2 - 1 +15.9 -1.8 +18.4
  Jan 04, 2025 196   Indiana St. L 62-66 51%     4 - 10 2 - 2 -8.6 -14.7 +6.0
  Jan 08, 2025 136   Illinois St. W 69-51 38%     5 - 10 3 - 2 +16.7 +1.8 +17.2
  Jan 11, 2025 66   @ Drake L 40-63 8%     5 - 11 3 - 3 -12.0 -17.7 +0.4
  Jan 14, 2025 103   @ Northern Iowa L 56-73 15%     5 - 12 3 - 4 -10.2 -14.5 +4.6
  Jan 18, 2025 127   Belmont L 82-85 36%     5 - 13 3 - 5 -3.8 +7.6 -11.4
  Jan 22, 2025 173   Illinois-Chicago L 67-78 46%     5 - 14 3 - 6 -14.4 -3.6 -11.4
  Jan 25, 2025 208   @ Valparaiso W 78-68 33%     6 - 14 4 - 6 +10.1 +0.9 +8.7
  Jan 29, 2025 145   Murray St. W 78-74 40%     7 - 14 5 - 6 +2.2 +14.6 -11.9
  Feb 02, 2025 127   @ Belmont W 80-75 19%     8 - 14 6 - 6 +9.7 +12.3 -2.3
  Feb 05, 2025 195   Southern Illinois L 59-68 51%     8 - 15 6 - 7 -13.6 -10.3 -4.2
  Feb 08, 2025 96   Bradley L 74-80 26%     8 - 16 6 - 8 -3.7 +0.0 -3.5
  Feb 12, 2025 230   @ Missouri St. L 54-71 37%     8 - 17 6 - 9 -18.0 -9.8 -10.6
  Feb 16, 2025 208   Valparaiso W 79-69 54%     9 - 17 7 - 9 +4.6 +6.1 -1.0
  Feb 19, 2025 196   @ Indiana St. W 79-74 30%     10 - 17 8 - 9 +5.9 +5.2 +0.8
  Feb 22, 2025 173   @ Illinois-Chicago L 77-82 27%     10 - 18 8 - 10 -2.9 +1.2 -3.9
  Feb 26, 2025 66   Drake L 61-65 18%     10 - 19 8 - 11 +1.5 +0.2 +0.7
  Mar 02, 2025 136   @ Illinois St. L 53-62 21%     10 - 20 8 - 12 -4.8 -20.8 +15.9
  Mar 06, 2025 145   Murray St. L 53-74 30%     10 - 21 -20.1 -12.8 -9.4
Projected Record 10 - 21 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 100.0% 100.0
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%