IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Evansville
Missouri Valley
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.3	#248
Expected Predictive Rating	-5.8	#278

Pace	70.5	#141
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.7	#261

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.5	#219

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.4%	1.7%	0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.3	14.2	14.8

.500 or above	17.2%	22.8%	7.8%
.500 or above in Conference	24.2%	28.4%	17.0%
Conference Champion	1.1%	1.4%	0.6%
Last Place in Conference	23.0%	19.2%	29.4%

First Four	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%
First Round	1.3%	1.7%	0.7%
Second Round	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Radford (Home) - 62.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 4	0 - 6
Quad 3	3 - 9	4 - 15
Quad 4	7 - 5	11 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2024	73	@ North Texas	L	63-80	9%	0 - 1			-6.2	+3.3	-11.0
Nov 13, 2024	129	@ Middle Tennessee	L	63-80	19%	0 - 2			-11.9	-8.0	-3.0
Nov 16, 2024	254	Radford	W	73-70	63%
Nov 19, 2024	17	@ Ohio St.	L	60-81	3%
Nov 22, 2024	290	Green Bay	W	77-72	70%
Nov 24, 2024	304	Campbell	W	73-67	71%
Dec 03, 2024	136	@ Murray St.	L	64-73	22%
Dec 07, 2024	118	Western Kentucky	L	77-81	34%
Dec 12, 2024	179	Chattanooga	L	72-73	49%
Dec 18, 2024	160	@ Texas Arlington	L	74-82	25%
Dec 21, 2024	224	@ Ball St.	L	69-73	36%
Dec 29, 2024	195	Missouri St.	W	71-70	52%
Jan 01, 2025	161	@ Southern Illinois	L	64-72	25%
Jan 04, 2025	207	Indiana St.	W	76-75	55%
Jan 08, 2025	173	Illinois St.	L	68-69	48%
Jan 11, 2025	98	@ Drake	L	65-77	14%
Jan 14, 2025	128	@ Northern Iowa	L	66-76	20%
Jan 18, 2025	151	Belmont	L	75-77	43%
Jan 22, 2025	162	Illinois-Chicago	L	74-76	44%
Jan 25, 2025	278	@ Valparaiso	L	72-73	46%
Jan 29, 2025	136	Murray St.	L	67-70	41%
Feb 02, 2025	151	@ Belmont	L	72-80	24%
Feb 05, 2025	161	Southern Illinois	L	67-69	44%
Feb 08, 2025	90	Bradley	L	68-75	27%
Feb 12, 2025	195	@ Missouri St.	L	68-73	32%
Feb 16, 2025	278	Valparaiso	W	75-70	66%
Feb 19, 2025	207	@ Indiana St.	L	73-78	34%
Feb 22, 2025	162	@ Illinois-Chicago	L	71-79	26%
Feb 26, 2025	98	Drake	L	68-74	30%
Mar 02, 2025	173	@ Illinois St.	L	65-72	29%
Projected Record						11 - 19	7 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Missouri Valley Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0			1.1	1st
2nd												0.0	0.2	0.6	0.8	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0				2.2	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.3	1.0	1.2	0.6	0.1	0.0						3.4	3rd
4th										0.0	0.4	1.5	1.9	0.8	0.1	0.0							4.8	4th
5th									0.0	0.4	1.8	2.7	1.1	0.1									6.0	5th
6th								0.0	0.3	2.0	3.2	1.4	0.1	0.0									7.0	6th
7th							0.0	0.3	2.1	3.7	1.8	0.3	0.0										8.1	7th
8th						0.0	0.3	2.3	4.5	2.6	0.3	0.0											10.1	8th
9th					0.0	0.5	2.7	5.3	3.1	0.6	0.0												12.1	9th
10th				0.1	0.9	3.4	5.3	3.4	0.7	0.0													13.8	10th
11th		0.0	0.5	2.1	4.1	5.3	3.0	0.6	0.0														15.7	11th
12th	0.4	1.7	3.6	4.4	3.5	1.7	0.4	0.0															15.8	12th

Total	0.4	1.7	4.1	6.6	8.5	10.9	11.7	12.0	10.7	9.3	7.5	6.2	4.3	2.9	1.8	0.8	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0				Total

Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	92.3%	0.0		0.0	0.0
17-3	80.3%	0.2		0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
16-4	53.8%	0.2		0.1	0.1
15-5	38.7%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
14-6	12.9%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
13-7	2.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.1%	0.0					0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	1.1%	1.1		0.5	0.4	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1	0.0%																	0.0						0.0
18-2	0.0%																	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.0
17-3	0.2%		23.0%	23.0%		12.5												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.2
16-4	0.4%		15.9%	15.9%		12.6												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.4
15-5	0.8%		10.3%	10.3%		13.1												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.7
14-6	1.8%		9.1%	9.1%		13.6													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		1.6
13-7	2.9%		6.3%	6.3%		14.1														0.0	0.1	0.1		2.7
12-8	4.3%		5.1%	5.1%		14.3													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	4.1
11-9	6.2%		3.4%	3.4%		14.5													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	6.0
10-10	7.5%		1.8%	1.8%		14.9														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	7.4
9-11	9.3%		0.9%	0.9%		15.4																0.0	0.0	9.2
8-12	10.7%		0.7%	0.7%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.1	10.6
7-13	12.0%		0.6%	0.6%		15.9																0.0	0.1	11.9
6-14	11.7%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	11.6
5-15	10.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	10.9
4-16	8.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	8.5
3-17	6.6%																							6.6
2-18	4.1%																							4.1
1-19	1.7%																							1.7
0-20	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		1.4%	1.4%	0.0%	14.3												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.4	0.3	98.6		0.0%