South Carolina St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -15.3 #359
Expected Predictive Rating -16.9 #353
Pace 71.8 #98
Improvement +1.1 #127

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #354 F C F D F
Defense #346 D- F C- F F

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 28% #361 0.98 #349 -8.7 #364
2 Pt. Jumpers 37% #3 0.68 #294 +4.8 #16
Three Pointers 35% #304 1.00 #197 -3.1 #289
1st FG Attempt 0.88 #350 -7.0 #350
Freethrows 17.6 #168 62% #363 10.9 #285
Second Chance 31.3% #159 1.03 #197 0.32 #169
Turnovers 21.5% #362
Total Offense -8.6 #354

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% #38 1.33 #345 -7.2 #359
2 Pt. Jumpers 13% #356 0.81 #274 +2.3 #28
Three Pointers 42% #146 0.97 #118 +0.4 #159
1st FG Attempt 1.11 #313 -4.5 #314
Freethrows 23.2 #361 72% #165 16.8 #357
Second Chance 40.0% #363 1.22 #348 0.49 #365
Turnovers 15.4% #247
Total Defense -6.7 #346

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -5.7% #363 2.7% #359
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -8.6% #317 5.9% #288
Possession Length 18.8 #317 15.5 #7
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 #310 0.25 #350
Improvement +1.3 #109 -0.2 #201

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.6% 3.5% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 38.2% 55.8% 24.1%
Conference Champion 1.7% 3.3% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 7.9% 3.4% 11.4%
First Four2.6% 3.5% 1.9%
First Round0.7% 0.9% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Eastern Shore (Home) - 44.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 46 - 147 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 13 @Louisville L 45 - 104 0% -40  0 - 1 -38 -26 F C- F -4 C F A+
 Fri, Nov 7 249 @Samford L 72 - 82 11% -1  0 - 2 -12 -6 F C+ F -5 C F C+
 Mon, Nov 10 304 @N.C. A&T L 62 - 85 17% -14  0 - 3 -28 -22 F F F -3 D+ D+ A+
 Fri, Nov 14 164 @College of Charleston L 61 - 88 6% -14  0 - 4 -24 -9 F F F -17 F F F
 Wed, Nov 19 247 Chattanooga L 66 - 78 24% -8  0 - 5 -20 -14 F A+ C+ -6 C F B-
 Sun, Nov 23 283 @South Dakota L 81 - 82 14% -8  0 - 6 -5 +4 F B+ F -8 F F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 50 @Missouri L 66 - 98 1% -24  0 - 7 -18 -2 F C C -16 A+ F F
 Sat, Nov 29 130 @Winthrop L 79 - 101 4% -14  0 - 8 -17 +4 B B- D -20 F F A
 Fri, Dec 5 269 @Bethune-Cookman L 59 - 80 13% -12  0 - 9 -24 -12 F D F -14 F A+ F
 Mon, Dec 8 234 @Charleston Southern L 44 - 84 10% -15  0 - 10 -41 -28 F F F -14 D- C C
 Fri, Dec 12 177 @Queens L 78 - 102 7% -19  0 - 11 -22 -0 D- A+ F -21 F F F
 Tue, Dec 16 303 South Carolina Upstate L 72 - 78 34% -6  0 - 12 -17 -2 C+ C F -16 F F C
 Mon, Dec 22 69 @South Carolina L 70 - 95 2% -12  0 - 13 -14 +2 B- C C- -16 F F A+
 Tue, Dec 30 22 @Tennessee L 54 - 105 0% -23  0 - 14 -31 -8 F C A -25 F F F
 Sat, Jan 3 265 Howard W 58 - 57 27% +7  1 - 14 1 - 0 -8 -16 F B+ F +8 A+ F C
 Sat, Jan 10 360 @Morgan St. L 67 - 72 40% +2  1 - 15 1 - 1 -18 -9 F B F -9 D- D F
 Mon, Jan 12 364 @Coppin St. W 74 - 72 56% +4  2 - 15 2 - 1 -15 -1 C D+ F -13 C- F C-
 Sat, Jan 17 291 Norfolk St. L 82 - 89 32% +0  2 - 16 2 - 2 -17 +4 C C F -21 F F B
 Sat, Jan 24 330 Maryland Eastern Shore L 67 - 69 44%
 Mon, Jan 26 355 Delaware St. W 71 - 69 58%
 Sat, Jan 31 346 NC Central L 73 - 74 49%
 Sat, Feb 7 265 @Howard L 66 - 78 12%
 Sat, Feb 14 360 Morgan St. W 79 - 76 63%
 Mon, Feb 16 364 Coppin St. W 78 - 71 75%
 Sat, Feb 21 291 @Norfolk St. L 66 - 77 16%
 Sat, Feb 28 330 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 64 - 72 24%
 Mon, Mar 2 355 @Delaware St. L 68 - 72 35%
 Thu, Mar 5 346 @NC Central L 71 - 77 28%
Totals 6 - 22 6 - 8 -15 -9 F C F -7 D- F C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 1.7 1st
2nd 0.0 1.4 2.2 0.6 0.0 4.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.0 5.5 1.7 0.1 9.4 3rd
4th 0.1 4.1 11.3 4.3 0.2 19.9 4th
5th 0.5 6.8 14.9 6.7 0.2 29.0 5th
6th 0.4 5.6 11.4 4.9 0.3 22.6 6th
7th 0.1 2.3 5.6 2.3 0.1 10.4 7th
8th 0.6 1.5 0.7 0.0 2.8 8th
Total 0.7 4.2 12.4 20.6 24.0 20.3 11.5 4.6 1.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
11-3 91.5% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
10-4 57.1% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0
9-5 11.0% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
11-3 0.2% 21.3% 21.3% 16.0 0.1 0.2
10-4 1.5% 13.3% 13.3% 16.0 0.2 1.3
9-5 4.6% 7.6% 7.6% 16.0 0.4 4.3
8-6 11.5% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 0.5 10.9
7-7 20.3% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.6 19.8
6-8 24.0% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.5 23.5
5-9 20.6% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.3 20.4
4-10 12.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 12.3
3-11 4.2% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 4.2
2-12 0.7% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.7
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 16.0 97.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%