South Carolina St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.2#239
Expected Predictive Rating-6.6#276
Pace70.1#151
Improvement+5.2#5

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#282
First Shot-6.0#336
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#52
Layup/Dunks-2.0#251
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#98
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#313
Freethrows-0.7#231
Improvement+2.2#48

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#184
First Shot-0.4#183
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#187
Layups/Dunks-3.2#297
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#58
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#39
Freethrows-2.4#330
Improvement+2.9#15
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 21.1% 22.7% 17.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 54.2% 62.8% 34.8%
.500 or above in Conference 90.0% 94.5% 80.0%
Conference Champion 23.5% 28.8% 11.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.2% 1.3%
First Four11.8% 11.7% 12.2%
First Round16.1% 17.8% 12.5%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Morgan St. (Away) - 69.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 51 - 9
Quad 414 - 615 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 63   @ South Carolina L 64-86 8%     0 - 1 -10.5 -4.4 -5.6
  Nov 14, 2024 210   @ Jacksonville L 62-71 32%     0 - 2 -8.5 -9.0 +0.7
  Nov 16, 2024 260   @ Bethune-Cookman L 62-75 43%     0 - 3 -15.3 -11.1 -3.8
  Nov 22, 2024 361   @ Alabama A&M W 82-70 77%     1 - 3 +0.0 +4.1 -4.0
  Nov 23, 2024 343   IU Indianapolis W 72-62 76%     2 - 3 -1.5 -5.5 +4.5
  Nov 27, 2024 211   @ Marshall L 53-82 32%     2 - 4 -28.5 -18.2 -10.7
  Dec 01, 2024 48   @ Xavier L 68-71 6%     2 - 5 +10.8 -0.5 +11.3
  Dec 05, 2024 118   Samford L 81-88 35%     2 - 6 -7.2 +6.2 -13.6
  Dec 09, 2024 298   Charleston Southern W 82-63 72%     3 - 6 +8.7 +3.9 +4.8
  Dec 14, 2024 112   @ Furman L 64-68 17%     3 - 7 +2.1 +4.7 -3.2
  Dec 18, 2024 342   @ South Carolina Upstate W 85-70 66%     4 - 7 +6.7 -0.6 +5.6
  Dec 21, 2024 206   @ Northern Kentucky L 47-58 32%     4 - 8 -10.3 -17.1 +5.6
  Dec 29, 2024 45   @ Georgia L 72-79 5%     4 - 9 +7.1 +3.9 +3.5
  Jan 04, 2025 351   @ Morgan St. W 79-74 69%    
  Jan 06, 2025 362   @ Coppin St. W 71-61 83%    
  Jan 11, 2025 327   @ Delaware St. W 73-71 58%    
  Jan 13, 2025 358   Maryland Eastern Shore W 77-64 89%    
  Jan 25, 2025 295   @ NC Central L 71-72 50%    
  Feb 01, 2025 170   @ Norfolk St. L 67-74 27%    
  Feb 03, 2025 267   @ Howard L 73-74 45%    
  Feb 15, 2025 351   Morgan St. W 82-71 85%    
  Feb 17, 2025 362   Coppin St. W 74-58 93%    
  Feb 22, 2025 327   @ Delaware St. W 73-71 58%    
  Feb 24, 2025 358   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 74-67 73%    
  Mar 01, 2025 170   Norfolk St. L 70-71 47%    
  Mar 03, 2025 267   Howard W 76-71 66%    
  Mar 06, 2025 295   NC Central W 75-69 71%    
Projected Record 13 - 14 9 - 5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.8 4.1 7.9 7.1 3.2 0.5 23.5 1st
2nd 0.0 1.8 8.4 11.9 5.8 0.9 28.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.8 8.1 9.1 2.5 0.2 21.8 3rd
4th 0.0 1.3 5.8 5.4 1.0 0.0 13.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.3 3.1 0.4 0.0 7.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.3 0.2 3.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 8th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.7 6.0 10.9 15.9 19.2 18.4 13.9 8.0 3.2 0.5 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
13-1 100.0% 3.2    3.0 0.2
12-2 88.7% 7.1    5.4 1.7
11-3 56.9% 7.9    3.7 3.7 0.5 0.0
10-4 22.1% 4.1    0.9 2.0 1.1 0.1
9-5 3.9% 0.8    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 23.5% 23.5 13.6 7.8 1.9 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.5% 48.6% 48.6% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
13-1 3.2% 44.0% 44.0% 14.7 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.1 1.8
12-2 8.0% 35.9% 35.9% 15.4 0.2 1.3 1.4 5.1
11-3 13.9% 30.0% 30.0% 15.8 0.0 0.8 3.3 9.7
10-4 18.4% 23.8% 23.8% 15.9 0.0 0.3 4.1 14.1
9-5 19.2% 19.9% 19.9% 16.0 0.0 3.8 15.4
8-6 15.9% 14.2% 14.2% 16.0 2.3 13.6
7-7 10.9% 11.7% 11.7% 16.0 1.3 9.6
6-8 6.0% 8.4% 8.4% 16.0 0.5 5.5
5-9 2.7% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.1 2.6
4-10 1.0% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.0 1.0
3-11 0.2% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 0.2
2-12 0.0% 0.0 0.0
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 21.1% 21.1% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.8 3.2 16.9 78.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 13.5 6.6 48.4 38.5 6.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%