South Carolina St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.6#352
Expected Predictive Rating-15.8#351
Pace72.5#104
Improvement+1.2#94

Offense
Total Offense-7.7#350
First Shot-9.9#364
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#64
Layup/Dunks-6.7#348
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#118
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#309
Freethrows+0.3#162
Improvement+2.0#39

Defense
Total Defense-4.8#332
First Shot-0.6#190
After Offensive Rebounds-4.3#351
Layups/Dunks-5.6#339
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#34
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#44
Freethrows-1.5#280
Improvement-0.7#257
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.8% 7.6% 5.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.9% 2.3% 0.5%
.500 or above in Conference 49.5% 56.7% 47.6%
Conference Champion 5.9% 7.9% 5.3%
Last Place in Conference 13.8% 9.9% 14.8%
First Four5.8% 7.5% 5.4%
First Round2.2% 3.4% 1.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Charleston Southern (Away) - 20.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 48 - 138 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 14 @Louisville L 45-104 1%     0 - 1 -38.1 -26.1 -3.7
  Fri, Nov 7 228 @Samford L 72-82 14%     0 - 2 -11.0 -4.5 -6.2
  Mon, Nov 10 323 @N.C. A&T L 62-85 27%     0 - 3 -29.2 -21.4 -4.7
  Fri, Nov 14 180 @College of Charleston L 61-88 10%     0 - 4 -25.4 -9.6 -17.0
  Wed, Nov 19 209 Chattanooga L 66-78 26%     0 - 5 -18.0 -13.5 -4.1
  Sun, Nov 23 276 @South Dakota L 81-82 19%     0 - 6 -4.2 +4.8 -9.0
  Tue, Nov 25 37 @Missouri L 66-98 1%     0 - 7 -16.2 -0.9 -15.3
  Sat, Nov 29 107 @Winthrop L 79-101 4%     0 - 8 -14.7 +3.8 -17.5
  Fri, Dec 5 218 @Bethune-Cookman L 59-80 13%     0 - 9 -21.5 -10.8 -12.0
  Mon, Dec 8 288 @Charleston Southern L 70-79 21%    
  Fri, Dec 12 199 @Queens L 72-85 10%    
  Tue, Dec 16 278 South Carolina Upstate L 73-76 39%    
  Mon, Dec 22 89 @South Carolina L 62-83 2%    
  Tue, Dec 30 16 @Tennessee L 57-90 0.1%   
  Sat, Jan 3 315 Howard L 74-75 45%    
  Sat, Jan 10 359 @Morgan St. L 76-77 45%    
  Mon, Jan 12 364 @Coppin St. W 73-72 55%    
  Sat, Jan 17 231 Norfolk St. L 66-71 31%    
  Sat, Jan 24 341 Maryland Eastern Shore W 66-64 56%    
  Mon, Jan 26 355 Delaware St. W 72-68 65%    
  Sat, Jan 31 336 NC Central W 72-71 55%    
  Sat, Feb 7 315 @Howard L 71-78 26%    
  Sat, Feb 14 359 Morgan St. W 79-74 66%    
  Mon, Feb 16 364 Coppin St. W 76-69 75%    
  Sat, Feb 21 231 @Norfolk St. L 63-74 16%    
  Sat, Feb 28 341 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 63-67 34%    
  Mon, Mar 2 355 @Delaware St. L 69-71 43%    
  Thu, Mar 5 336 @NC Central L 69-74 34%    
Projected Record 7 - 21 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 1.9 1.8 0.9 0.2 0.1 5.9 1st
2nd 0.2 2.5 5.0 3.2 0.9 0.1 11.9 2nd
3rd 0.2 3.5 7.4 3.3 0.4 0.0 14.9 3rd
4th 0.2 3.7 8.8 3.7 0.3 16.7 4th
5th 0.2 3.7 8.7 3.9 0.3 16.8 5th
6th 0.3 3.3 7.2 3.4 0.2 14.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.9 5.3 2.9 0.2 11.9 7th
8th 0.2 0.9 2.4 2.6 1.5 0.1 0.0 7.6 8th
Total 0.2 1.0 2.9 5.8 10.3 14.2 16.2 16.6 13.9 9.4 5.6 2.8 1.0 0.2 0.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
12-2 94.2% 0.9    0.7 0.2
11-3 66.7% 1.8    1.1 0.7 0.1
10-4 34.6% 1.9    0.7 0.9 0.3 0.0
9-5 8.9% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 5.9% 5.9 2.9 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.2% 39.3% 39.3% 16.0 0.1 0.1
12-2 1.0% 29.8% 29.8% 16.0 0.3 0.7
11-3 2.8% 24.5% 24.5% 16.0 0.7 2.1
10-4 5.6% 15.1% 15.1% 16.0 0.8 4.7
9-5 9.4% 10.7% 10.7% 16.0 1.0 8.4
8-6 13.9% 6.9% 6.9% 16.0 1.0 13.0
7-7 16.6% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.9 15.7
6-8 16.2% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.5 15.7
5-9 14.2% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.3 13.9
4-10 10.3% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.2 10.0
3-11 5.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 5.8
2-12 2.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.9
1-13 1.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.0
0-14 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 5.8% 5.8% 0.0% 16.0 5.8 94.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%