South Carolina St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.7#193
Expected Predictive Rating-4.5#242
Pace71.6#82
Improvement+5.8#11

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#235
First Shot-4.9#307
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#42
Layup/Dunks-1.2#224
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#105
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#306
Freethrows-0.7#229
Improvement+3.9#27

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#153
First Shot+0.5#162
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#164
Layups/Dunks-2.8#288
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#46
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#39
Freethrows-2.1#316
Improvement+1.9#91
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 41.4% 44.2% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 n/a
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four10.2% 10.9% 0.0%
First Round37.4% 40.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 50 - 9
Quad 417 - 317 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 68   @ South Carolina L 64-86 13%     0 - 1 -11.3 -3.6 -7.2
  Nov 14, 2024 199   @ Jacksonville L 62-71 41%     0 - 2 -8.2 -8.6 +0.6
  Nov 16, 2024 289   @ Bethune-Cookman L 62-75 62%     0 - 3 -17.7 -13.1 -4.2
  Nov 22, 2024 359   @ Alabama A&M W 82-70 86%     1 - 3 -1.2 +5.4 -6.6
  Nov 23, 2024 318   IU Indianapolis W 72-62 77%     2 - 3 +0.6 -8.2 +9.3
  Nov 27, 2024 167   @ Marshall L 53-82 35%     2 - 4 -26.7 -17.8 -9.4
  Dec 01, 2024 39   @ Xavier L 68-71 6%     2 - 5 +12.6 +1.3 +11.3
  Dec 05, 2024 123   Samford L 81-88 45%     2 - 6 -7.5 +8.1 -15.8
  Dec 09, 2024 307   Charleston Southern W 82-63 82%     3 - 6 +7.8 +4.7 +3.1
  Dec 14, 2024 139   @ Furman L 64-68 29%     3 - 7 +0.0 +1.9 -2.5
  Dec 18, 2024 349   @ South Carolina Upstate W 85-70 79%     4 - 7 +5.0 -2.9 +6.2
  Dec 21, 2024 222   @ Northern Kentucky L 47-58 46%     4 - 8 -11.6 -19.8 +6.8
  Dec 29, 2024 31   @ Georgia L 72-79 5%     4 - 9 +9.7 +5.5 +4.5
  Jan 04, 2025 333   @ Morgan St. W 86-72 74%     5 - 9 1 - 0 +5.7 +3.8 +1.4
  Jan 06, 2025 362   @ Coppin St. W 85-77 88%     6 - 9 2 - 0 -6.4 +0.4 -7.7
  Jan 11, 2025 310   Delaware St. L 75-76 83%     6 - 10 2 - 1 -12.8 +1.5 -14.4
  Jan 13, 2025 360   Maryland Eastern Shore W 78-64 94%     7 - 10 3 - 1 -5.2 -3.3 -1.8
  Jan 25, 2025 316   @ NC Central L 77-82 68%     7 - 11 3 - 2 -11.6 -5.3 -6.0
  Feb 01, 2025 182   @ Norfolk St. L 65-67 OT 38%     7 - 12 3 - 3 -0.5 -12.0 +11.6
  Feb 03, 2025 315   @ Howard W 89-66 68%     8 - 12 4 - 3 +16.5 +0.7 +13.2
  Feb 15, 2025 333   Morgan St. W 90-62 87%     9 - 12 5 - 3 +14.2 +10.4 +4.6
  Feb 17, 2025 362   Coppin St. W 87-57 95%     10 - 12 6 - 3 +10.1 +8.1 +1.7
  Feb 22, 2025 310   @ Delaware St. W 94-88 OT 67%     11 - 12 7 - 3 -0.3 +3.8 -4.9
  Feb 24, 2025 360   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 81-68 87%     12 - 12 8 - 3 -0.7 +2.8 -3.4
  Mar 01, 2025 182   Norfolk St. W 91-88 59%     13 - 12 9 - 3 -1.0 +13.5 -14.5
  Mar 03, 2025 315   Howard W 79-69 83%     14 - 12 10 - 3 -2.0 -6.6 +4.0
  Mar 06, 2025 316   NC Central W 87-71 84%     15 - 12 11 - 3 +3.9 +3.0 +0.3
  Mar 12, 2025 362   Coppin St. W 77-61 92%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 11 - 3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 100.0% 41.4% 41.4% 15.8 0.4 9.2 31.8 58.6
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 41.4% 41.4% 0.0% 15.8 0.4 9.2 31.8 58.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 41.4% 100.0% 15.8 0.8 22.3 76.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 31.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 20.8%
Lose Out 6.4%