NC Central
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.0#336
Expected Predictive Rating-11.8#323
Pace67.2#251
Improvement+2.7#26

Offense
Total Offense-6.5#339
First Shot-6.1#330
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#196
Layup/Dunks-3.3#293
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#244
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#259
Freethrows+0.8#135
Improvement+0.0#174

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#325
First Shot-1.7#225
After Offensive Rebounds-2.8#323
Layups/Dunks+3.3#69
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#55
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#324
Freethrows-1.9#293
Improvement+2.7#14
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.7% 11.6% 7.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 9.0% 13.8% 3.2%
.500 or above in Conference 63.3% 68.2% 57.5%
Conference Champion 11.3% 13.6% 8.5%
Last Place in Conference 8.6% 7.1% 10.5%
First Four9.4% 11.1% 7.3%
First Round4.2% 5.0% 3.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: N.C. A&T (Home) - 54.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 30 - 20 - 8
Quad 49 - 109 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 35 @North Carolina St. L 65-114 1%     0 - 1 -33.0 -5.7 -25.4
  Fri, Nov 7 26 @Virginia L 62-81 1%     0 - 2 -1.6 +2.3 -6.1
  Sun, Nov 9 283 @Appalachian St. L 54-76 24%     0 - 3 -25.6 -14.8 -12.8
  Fri, Nov 14 21 @North Carolina L 53-97 1%     0 - 4 -25.9 -11.1 -14.8
  Sat, Nov 22 67 @Dayton L 55-74 3%     0 - 5 -7.5 -8.0 -0.6
  Tue, Nov 25 278 @South Carolina Upstate L 67-82 24%     0 - 6 -18.4 -4.9 -13.7
  Wed, Dec 3 169 @James Madison L 62-67 12%     0 - 7 -3.0 -6.4 +2.9
  Sat, Dec 6 323 N.C. A&T W 72-71 55%    
  Tue, Dec 9 23 @Kentucky L 59-88 0.4%   
  Sat, Dec 20 289 Longwood L 72-73 46%    
  Mon, Dec 29 96 @Penn St. L 64-83 4%    
  Sat, Jan 3 231 Norfolk St. L 65-69 37%    
  Sat, Jan 10 364 @Coppin St. W 72-69 61%    
  Mon, Jan 12 359 @Morgan St. W 74-73 51%    
  Sat, Jan 17 315 Howard W 73-72 52%    
  Sat, Jan 24 355 Delaware St. W 71-65 69%    
  Mon, Jan 26 341 Maryland Eastern Shore W 65-62 62%    
  Sat, Jan 31 352 @South Carolina St. L 71-72 45%    
  Sat, Feb 7 231 @Norfolk St. L 62-72 19%    
  Sat, Feb 14 364 Coppin St. W 75-66 78%    
  Mon, Feb 16 359 Morgan St. W 77-71 71%    
  Sat, Feb 21 315 @Howard L 69-75 31%    
  Sat, Feb 28 355 @Delaware St. L 67-68 49%    
  Mon, Mar 2 341 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 62-65 40%    
  Thu, Mar 5 352 South Carolina St. W 74-69 66%    
Projected Record 8 - 17 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.1 3.1 3.8 2.4 0.7 0.2 11.3 1st
2nd 0.2 2.8 7.0 5.3 1.7 0.2 17.3 2nd
3rd 0.2 3.6 8.7 4.8 0.7 0.0 18.0 3rd
4th 0.2 3.3 8.4 4.3 0.4 16.6 4th
5th 0.1 2.6 7.2 3.4 0.2 13.5 5th
6th 0.1 2.2 5.4 3.0 0.1 10.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.5 2.3 0.1 7.8 7th
8th 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.7 1.1 0.1 4.5 8th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.5 7.0 10.5 13.8 15.7 16.2 13.4 9.1 5.5 2.6 0.7 0.2 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
13-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7 0.0
12-2 91.6% 2.4    1.9 0.5 0.0
11-3 68.7% 3.8    2.3 1.4 0.1
10-4 34.4% 3.1    1.0 1.6 0.6 0.0
9-5 8.2% 1.1    0.1 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 11.3% 11.3 6.0 3.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.2% 39.7% 39.7% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-1 0.7% 41.8% 41.8% 15.9 0.0 0.3 0.4
12-2 2.6% 32.3% 32.3% 16.0 0.0 0.8 1.7
11-3 5.5% 27.9% 27.9% 16.0 1.5 3.9
10-4 9.1% 18.7% 18.7% 16.0 1.7 7.4
9-5 13.4% 13.4% 13.4% 16.0 1.8 11.6
8-6 16.2% 8.6% 8.6% 16.0 1.4 14.8
7-7 15.7% 5.9% 5.9% 16.0 0.9 14.8
6-8 13.8% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.6 13.3
5-9 10.5% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.4 10.1
4-10 7.0% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.2 6.8
3-11 3.5% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 3.5
2-12 1.3% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 1.3
1-13 0.4% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.4
0-14 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 9.7% 9.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 9.7 90.3 0.0%