NC Central
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.3#316
Expected Predictive Rating-10.3#324
Pace67.2#206
Improvement-1.6#257

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#254
First Shot-4.4#298
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#107
Layup/Dunks-0.8#208
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#248
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#269
Freethrows+0.3#152
Improvement-1.3#253

Defense
Total Defense-6.2#337
First Shot-4.0#304
After Offensive Rebounds-2.2#329
Layups/Dunks-5.1#339
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#117
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#96
Freethrows-1.8#305
Improvement-0.3#207
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.7% 7.4% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four3.7% 7.4% 0.0%
First Round1.4% 2.9% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 41 - 7
Quad 49 - 1210 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 90   @ George Mason L 58-75 6%     0 - 1 -8.5 -4.5 -4.5
  Nov 08, 2024 272   Gardner-Webb L 82-88 48%     0 - 2 -14.9 +1.4 -16.0
  Nov 12, 2024 88   @ High Point L 60-76 6%     0 - 3 -7.4 -3.8 -6.1
  Nov 15, 2024 251   Georgia Southern L 75-80 33%     0 - 4 -9.8 -6.6 -2.8
  Nov 16, 2024 232   William & Mary W 78-76 30%     1 - 4 -1.9 +0.0 -1.9
  Nov 17, 2024 161   @ Winthrop L 75-77 13%     1 - 5 +0.7 +3.2 -2.4
  Nov 22, 2024 252   @ Georgia St. L 79-93 25%     1 - 6 -16.2 +8.1 -25.3
  Dec 05, 2024 169   Radford L 67-70 28%     1 - 7 -6.3 -10.3 +4.0
  Dec 07, 2024 272   @ Gardner-Webb W 78-77 28%     2 - 7 -2.4 +2.0 -4.5
  Dec 10, 2024 43   @ West Virginia L 45-79 2%     2 - 8 -19.5 -11.5 -12.2
  Dec 14, 2024 227   @ Longwood W 77-70 21%     3 - 8 +6.3 +4.0 +2.3
  Dec 20, 2024 227   Longwood L 67-82 38%     3 - 9 -21.2 -8.3 -13.3
  Dec 28, 2024 328   @ N.C. A&T L 72-85 44%     3 - 10 -20.8 +0.2 -21.6
  Jan 04, 2025 362   @ Coppin St. L 61-63 69%     3 - 11 0 - 1 -16.4 -14.9 -1.5
  Jan 07, 2025 333   @ Morgan St. L 98-102 2OT 46%     3 - 12 0 - 2 -12.3 -1.3 -10.2
  Jan 11, 2025 360   Maryland Eastern Shore W 88-69 82%     4 - 12 1 - 2 -0.2 +9.0 -8.7
  Jan 13, 2025 310   Delaware St. W 75-72 59%     5 - 12 2 - 2 -8.8 -1.4 -7.2
  Jan 25, 2025 193   South Carolina St. W 82-77 32%     6 - 12 3 - 2 +0.6 +3.6 -3.3
  Feb 03, 2025 182   @ Norfolk St. L 78-81 16%     6 - 13 3 - 3 -1.5 +12.5 -14.3
  Feb 08, 2025 315   @ Howard L 78-82 39%     6 - 14 3 - 4 -10.5 -1.4 -9.0
  Feb 15, 2025 362   Coppin St. W 71-59 84%     7 - 14 4 - 4 -7.9 -4.5 -3.0
  Feb 17, 2025 333   Morgan St. L 78-92 67%     7 - 15 4 - 5 -27.8 -3.9 -24.0
  Feb 24, 2025 310   @ Delaware St. L 84-86 OT 38%     7 - 16 4 - 6 -8.3 +0.6 -8.7
  Feb 26, 2025 360   @ Maryland Eastern Shore L 59-68 67%     7 - 17 4 - 7 -22.7 -19.2 -3.7
  Mar 01, 2025 315   Howard W 72-68 60%     8 - 17 5 - 7 -8.0 -10.5 +2.4
  Mar 03, 2025 182   Norfolk St. W 91-87 OT 30%     9 - 17 6 - 7 +0.0 +13.3 -13.4
  Mar 06, 2025 193   @ South Carolina St. L 71-87 16%     9 - 18 6 - 8 -14.9 -2.7 -11.5
  Mar 13, 2025 310   Delaware St. L 77-78 49%    
Projected Record 9 - 19 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8 100.0% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 3.7 96.4
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 16.0 3.7 96.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 3.7% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 8.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 36.6%
Lose Out 50.9%