Morgan St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.1#333
Expected Predictive Rating-11.4#332
Pace74.6#40
Improvement+2.5#89

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#252
First Shot-3.3#275
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#175
Layup/Dunks-0.1#183
2 Pt Jumpshots+8.6#2
3 Pt Jumpshots-10.6#363
Freethrows-1.2#261
Improvement+0.8#153

Defense
Total Defense-8.0#356
First Shot-8.6#361
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#125
Layups/Dunks-3.6#309
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#171
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#297
Freethrows-2.4#330
Improvement+1.7#97
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% 4.7% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.1% 4.7% 0.0%
First Round0.7% 1.6% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 40 - 7
Quad 410 - 1110 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 342   Mercyhurst L 73-78 65%     0 - 1 -19.9 -7.2 -12.7
  Nov 09, 2024 227   @ Longwood L 66-84 17%     0 - 2 -18.7 -10.4 -7.6
  Nov 16, 2024 352   NJIT W 81-69 69%     1 - 2 -4.1 +2.3 -6.5
  Nov 20, 2024 328   @ N.C. A&T L 83-86 37%     1 - 3 -10.8 -2.1 -8.4
  Nov 22, 2024 346   @ Buffalo L 73-82 44%     1 - 4 -18.6 -2.0 -16.8
  Nov 24, 2024 150   Towson L 60-64 20%     1 - 5 -6.2 -11.3 +5.0
  Nov 27, 2024 303   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 69-92 29%     1 - 6 -28.4 -17.9 -8.0
  Dec 07, 2024 283   @ Bowling Green L 81-102 26%     1 - 7 -25.4 +1.2 -24.9
  Dec 10, 2024 39   @ Xavier L 58-119 2%     1 - 8 -45.4 -9.5 -32.8
  Dec 15, 2024 220   Campbell W 86-76 31%     2 - 8 +4.0 +12.6 -8.5
  Dec 22, 2024 10   @ Iowa St. L 72-99 1%     2 - 9 -5.6 +8.0 -12.2
  Dec 29, 2024 86   @ Minnesota L 68-90 4%     2 - 10 -12.6 +5.6 -19.8
  Jan 04, 2025 193   South Carolina St. L 72-86 26%     2 - 11 0 - 1 -18.4 -3.8 -14.2
  Jan 07, 2025 316   NC Central W 102-98 2OT 54%     3 - 11 1 - 1 -8.1 +0.9 -9.8
  Jan 11, 2025 315   @ Howard L 95-100 33%     3 - 12 1 - 2 -11.5 +6.5 -17.5
  Jan 13, 2025 182   Norfolk St. W 78-74 25%     4 - 12 2 - 2 +0.0 +4.3 -4.1
  Jan 25, 2025 362   Coppin St. W 80-64 80%     5 - 12 3 - 2 -3.9 -1.2 -3.3
  Feb 01, 2025 360   Maryland Eastern Shore W 76-63 78%     6 - 12 4 - 2 -6.2 -3.7 -2.2
  Feb 03, 2025 310   @ Delaware St. L 82-84 32%     6 - 13 4 - 3 -8.3 -2.8 -5.3
  Feb 15, 2025 193   @ South Carolina St. L 62-90 13%     6 - 14 4 - 4 -26.9 -6.9 -20.8
  Feb 17, 2025 316   @ NC Central W 92-78 33%     7 - 14 5 - 4 +7.4 +14.7 -7.3
  Feb 22, 2025 315   Howard L 81-87 54%     7 - 15 5 - 5 -18.0 +1.7 -19.9
  Feb 24, 2025 182   @ Norfolk St. L 60-69 12%     7 - 16 5 - 6 -7.5 -10.0 +2.0
  Mar 01, 2025 360   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 75-72 60%     8 - 16 6 - 6 -10.7 -1.2 -9.4
  Mar 03, 2025 310   Delaware St. W 87-81 53%     9 - 16 7 - 6 -5.8 +1.0 -7.2
  Mar 06, 2025 362   @ Coppin St. L 75-82 OT 63%     9 - 17 7 - 7 -21.4 -8.3 -12.3
  Mar 13, 2025 315   Howard L 82-84 43%    
Projected Record 9 - 18 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7 100.0% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 2.1 97.9
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 16.0 2.1 97.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.1% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 6.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 35.2%
Lose Out 56.3%