Morgan St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.2#359
Expected Predictive Rating-21.4#363
Pace74.3#68
Improvement-1.0#267

Offense
Total Offense-6.9#344
First Shot-4.8#304
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#301
Layup/Dunks-1.6#237
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#39
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.1#348
Freethrows+0.7#141
Improvement-1.0#264

Defense
Total Defense-7.2#355
First Shot-4.4#313
After Offensive Rebounds-2.9#325
Layups/Dunks-0.2#183
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#144
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#245
Freethrows-3.2#335
Improvement+0.0#191
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.7% 5.1% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.7% 3.7% 0.6%
.500 or above in Conference 35.1% 43.0% 30.8%
Conference Champion 3.8% 6.0% 2.7%
Last Place in Conference 23.9% 17.6% 27.4%
First Four3.7% 5.1% 3.0%
First Round1.3% 1.8% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Longwood (Home) - 35.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 30 - 20 - 6
Quad 47 - 147 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 85 @Georgetown L 70-87 3%     0 - 1 -7.7 -4.6 -1.9
  Tue, Nov 11 272 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 79-81 31%     0 - 2 -11.1 -1.5 -9.6
  Sat, Nov 15 328 @Mercyhurst L 72-86 23%     0 - 3 -20.6 -0.8 -20.3
  Tue, Nov 18 323 N.C. A&T L 73-79 42%     0 - 4 -18.2 -4.4 -13.9
  Fri, Nov 21 220 @Old Dominion L 56-88 11%     0 - 5 -32.6 -15.3 -19.0
  Tue, Nov 25 256 Drexel L 66-71 29%     0 - 6 -13.4 -5.7 -8.1
  Sat, Dec 6 289 Longwood L 76-80 35%    
  Tue, Dec 9 121 @DePaul L 66-86 3%    
  Sat, Dec 13 347 Niagara W 71-70 52%    
  Fri, Dec 19 69 @California L 65-90 1%    
  Sun, Dec 21 99 @San Francisco L 64-86 2%    
  Tue, Dec 23 143 @Loyola Marymount L 64-82 4%    
  Sat, Jan 3 341 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 64-70 29%    
  Sat, Jan 10 352 South Carolina St. W 77-76 55%    
  Mon, Jan 12 336 NC Central L 73-74 49%    
  Sat, Jan 17 355 @Delaware St. L 70-74 37%    
  Sat, Jan 24 315 @Howard L 73-82 22%    
  Mon, Jan 26 231 @Norfolk St. L 64-77 13%    
  Sat, Jan 31 364 @Coppin St. L 74-75 49%    
  Sat, Feb 7 341 Maryland Eastern Shore L 67-68 50%    
  Sat, Feb 14 352 @South Carolina St. L 74-79 34%    
  Mon, Feb 16 336 @NC Central L 71-77 29%    
  Sat, Feb 21 355 Delaware St. W 73-71 57%    
  Sat, Feb 28 315 Howard L 76-79 41%    
  Mon, Mar 2 231 Norfolk St. L 67-74 27%    
  Thu, Mar 5 364 Coppin St. W 78-72 69%    
Projected Record 7 - 19 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.8 1st
2nd 0.2 2.0 3.4 1.7 0.5 0.0 7.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.9 5.4 2.2 0.3 11.0 3rd
4th 0.3 3.4 6.7 2.5 0.1 13.1 4th
5th 0.2 3.7 8.1 3.1 0.1 15.3 5th
6th 0.4 4.3 8.3 3.5 0.2 16.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 5.0 7.6 3.6 0.2 17.4 7th
8th 0.6 2.5 5.0 4.9 2.0 0.1 15.0 8th
Total 0.6 2.6 6.0 10.3 14.1 16.0 15.5 13.1 10.0 6.3 3.3 1.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
12-2 92.5% 0.5    0.5 0.0
11-3 71.8% 1.1    0.7 0.4 0.0
10-4 39.6% 1.3    0.4 0.7 0.2 0.0
9-5 9.6% 0.6    0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1
8-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 3.8% 3.8 1.8 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0
13-1 0.2% 26.8% 26.8% 16.0 0.1 0.1
12-2 0.5% 34.8% 34.8% 16.0 0.2 0.4
11-3 1.6% 18.4% 18.4% 16.0 0.3 1.3
10-4 3.3% 12.8% 12.8% 16.0 0.4 2.9
9-5 6.3% 9.9% 9.9% 16.0 0.6 5.7
8-6 10.0% 6.6% 6.6% 16.0 0.7 9.4
7-7 13.1% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.5 12.6
6-8 15.5% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.4 15.1
5-9 16.0% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.3 15.7
4-10 14.1% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 14.0
3-11 10.3% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 10.1
2-12 6.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.0
1-13 2.6% 2.6
0-14 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 16.0 3.7 96.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%