IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Delaware St.
Mid-Eastern
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-10.8	#338
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	74.1	#50
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.3	#321

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.4	#334

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	9.9%	17.6%	9.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	17.1	15.7	15.9

.500 or above	21.4%	48.7%	19.3%
.500 or above in Conference	35.9%	54.4%	34.5%
Conference Champion	4.7%	8.2%	4.4%
Last Place in Conference	13.8%	6.2%	14.4%

First Four	7.8%	10.5%	7.6%
First Round	6.4%	13.9%	5.8%
Second Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Temple (Away) - 7.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	0 - 3	0 - 7
Quad 4	8 - 8	9 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2025	132	@ Temple	L	69-85	7%
Nov 08, 2025	64	@ Syracuse	L	65-88	2%
Nov 10, 2025	335	@ Niagara	L	69-72	38%
Nov 15, 2025	363	@ New Haven	W	75-71	63%
Nov 23, 2025	56	@ Miami (FL)	L	64-88	2%
Nov 29, 2025	304	@ Maryland Baltimore Co.	L	77-83	31%
Dec 03, 2025	224	Navy	L	71-75	36%
Dec 06, 2025	242	Delaware	L	78-81	38%
Dec 13, 2025	204	@ Longwood	L	71-82	17%
Dec 18, 2025	111	@ Saint Joseph's	L	64-82	7%
Dec 29, 2025	81	@ Rutgers	L	64-85	4%
Jan 03, 2026	362	Coppin St.	W	77-67	79%
Jan 10, 2026	251	Norfolk St.	L	71-74	41%
Jan 12, 2026	324	@ Howard	L	76-80	36%
Jan 17, 2026	355	Morgan St.	W	81-76	68%
Jan 24, 2026	329	@ NC Central	L	72-76	38%
Feb 07, 2026	362	@ Coppin St.	W	74-70	62%
Feb 14, 2026	251	@ Norfolk St.	L	68-77	23%
Feb 16, 2026	324	Howard	W	79-77	57%
Feb 21, 2026	355	@ Morgan St.	L	78-79	48%
Feb 28, 2026	329	NC Central	W	75-73	57%
Mar 05, 2026	360	@ Maryland Eastern Shore	W	72-70	56%
Projected Record						8 - 14	6 - 5

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st								0.0	0.4	1.6	2.0	0.7					4.7	1st
2nd							0.0	1.2	4.6	3.9	1.1	0.1					10.9	2nd
3rd						0.1	2.0	6.8	5.1	1.0	0.0						15.1	3rd
4th					0.2	2.3	7.7	5.8	0.8	0.0							16.7	4th
5th				0.2	2.7	8.0	5.6	0.8	0.0								17.2	5th
6th			0.2	2.5	6.8	5.2	0.7	0.0									15.5	6th
7th		0.2	2.4	5.2	3.9	0.7											12.5	7th
8th	0.5	2.0	2.8	1.7	0.3												7.3	8th

Total	0.5	2.2	5.5	9.7	13.9	16.3	16.0	14.5	10.9	6.6	3.2	0.7						Total

Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3	91.7%	0.7		0.6	0.1
10-4	64.0%	2.0		1.2	0.7	0.1
9-5	24.5%	1.6		0.4	0.8	0.4	0.1
8-6	3.6%	0.4		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
7-7	0.1%	0.0					0.0		0.0

Total	4.7%	4.7		2.2	1.7	0.7	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3	0.7%		55.1%	55.1%		17.1														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.3
10-4	3.2%		41.6%	41.6%		17.7														0.0	0.1	0.4	1.0	1.9
9-5	6.6%		27.8%	27.8%		18.0															0.0	0.3	1.7	4.7
8-6	10.9%		19.4%	19.4%		17.6														0.0	0.0	0.2	2.1	8.8
7-7	14.5%		11.7%	11.7%		16.5															0.0	0.0	1.7	12.8
6-8	16.0%		7.3%	7.3%		16.4																	1.2	14.8
5-9	16.3%		4.8%	4.8%		16.0																	0.8	15.5
4-10	13.9%		2.7%	2.7%		16.0																	0.4	13.5
3-11	9.7%		1.6%	1.6%		16.0																	0.2	9.5
2-12	5.5%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.0	5.4
1-13	2.2%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.0	2.2
0-14	0.5%																							0.5

Total	100%		9.9%	9.9%	0.0%	17.1														0.0	0.2	1.2	9.3	90.1		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%