Delaware St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -14.1 #355
Expected Predictive Rating -18.8 #358
Pace 69.0 #173
Improvement +0.4 #165

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #364 F F F D+ F
Defense #241 D- D B+ C D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #265 0.91 #363 -6.3 #349
2 Pt. Jumpers 35% #7 0.64 #328 +3.3 #43
Three Pointers 30% #354 0.88 #335 -7.7 #355
1st FG Attempt 0.80 #365 -10.8 #365
Freethrows 16.1 #248 71% #234 11.5 #254
Second Chance 25.5% #314 0.77 #365 0.20 #361
Turnovers 19.5% #338
Total Offense -12.0 #364

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #138 1.39 #364 -5.7 #349
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #308 0.69 #81 +2.2 #35
Three Pointers 44% #105 1.00 #163 -0.9 #218
1st FG Attempt 1.11 #314 -4.5 #313
Freethrows 18.0 #217 70% #68 12.6 #183
Second Chance 31.4% #220 1.20 #334 0.38 #308
Turnovers 18.9% #55
Total Defense -2.0 #241

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -4.1% #356 1.4% #299
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -17.8% #365 7.4% #314
Possession Length 19.4 #342 14.9 #2
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 #120 0.19 #246
Improvement -0.6 #213 +1.0 #117

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.4% 3.9% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 5.8% 11.3% 1.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 42.5% 26.9% 53.9%
First Four3.4% 3.8% 3.0%
First Round1.1% 1.4% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina St. (Away) - 42.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 20 - 6
Quad 46 - 136 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 140 @Temple L 65 - 83 5% -9  0 - 1 -14 -3 B+ F F -12 F D F
 Sat, Nov 8 67 @Syracuse L 43 - 83 2% -23  0 - 2 -29 -25 F F F -3 F D A
 Mon, Nov 10 352 @Niagara L 57 - 68 34% -8  0 - 3 -21 -10 F F B -13 F A+ F
 Sat, Nov 15 331 @New Haven L 52 - 65 27% -7  0 - 4 -21 -19 F F C -2 F C- A+
 Sun, Nov 23 40 @Miami (FL) L 41 - 97 1% -31  0 - 5 -41 -24 F F F -16 F C- C
 Sat, Nov 29 275 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 57 - 71 16% -8  0 - 6 -17 -16 F F C -2 F B B+
 Wed, Dec 3 194 Navy L 59 - 66 20% -9  0 - 7 -12 -15 F F A+ +3 A F A+
 Sat, Dec 6 295 Delaware W 75 - 72 OT 37% +1  1 - 7 -8 -9 C- F F +1 C C A+
 Sat, Dec 13 262 @Longwood W 81 - 76 14% +5  2 - 7 +2 +10 A+ F A -8 F C+ A+
 Thu, Dec 18 159 @Saint Joseph's L 51 - 67 7% -12  2 - 8 -13 -16 F D- F +2 C D- A
 Mon, Dec 29 115 @Rutgers L 50 - 65 4% -9  2 - 9 -9 -17 F F F +8 A+ F A+
 Sat, Jan 3 364 Coppin St. L 51 - 53 79% +1  2 - 10 0 - 1 -25 -29 F F F +4 C+ F A+
 Sat, Jan 10 291 Norfolk St. L 64 - 66 36% +1  2 - 11 0 - 2 -12 -13 D+ C F +0 F B A+
 Mon, Jan 12 265 @Howard L 58 - 84 15% -14  2 - 12 0 - 3 -29 -7 F C- F -24 F F F
 Sat, Jan 17 360 Morgan St. L 79 - 80 68% -5  2 - 13 0 - 4 -20 -7 F F C -13 F C F
 Mon, Jan 26 359 @South Carolina St. L 69 - 71 42%
 Sat, Jan 31 330 Maryland Eastern Shore L 63 - 64 48%
 Sat, Feb 7 364 @Coppin St. W 71 - 68 59%
 Sat, Feb 14 291 @Norfolk St. L 62 - 72 18%
 Mon, Feb 16 265 Howard L 65 - 70 30%
 Sat, Feb 21 360 @Morgan St. L 71 - 72 45%
 Sat, Feb 28 346 NC Central W 69 - 68 53%
 Mon, Mar 2 359 South Carolina St. W 72 - 68 65%
 Thu, Mar 5 330 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 60 - 66 28%
Totals 6 - 18 4 - 9 -14 -12 F F F -2 D- D B+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.0 1.5 3rd
4th 0.1 1.8 2.6 0.3 4.7 4th
5th 0.4 4.4 6.0 1.1 0.0 11.9 5th
6th 0.6 7.2 10.6 2.7 0.0 21.1 6th
7th 0.2 3.3 12.6 14.3 3.9 0.1 34.3 7th
8th 1.1 5.6 10.3 7.4 1.7 0.1 26.1 8th
Total 1.1 5.7 13.6 20.7 23.5 19.0 10.6 4.5 1.2 0.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 16.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.8% 0.0    0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 0.1% 20.0% 20.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1
8-6 1.2% 10.0% 10.0% 16.0 0.1 1.1
7-7 4.5% 8.1% 8.1% 16.0 0.4 4.1
6-8 10.6% 6.1% 6.1% 16.0 0.7 10.0
5-9 19.0% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.7 18.2
4-10 23.5% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.7 22.8
3-11 20.7% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.4 20.3
2-12 13.6% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 13.4
1-13 5.7% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 5.7
0-14 1.1% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 1.1
Total 100% 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 16.0 96.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.9%