Delaware St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.8#314
Expected Predictive Rating-6.3#269
Pace72.8#70
Improvement+4.5#26

Offense
Total Offense-5.0#308
First Shot-5.2#318
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#169
Layup/Dunks-3.9#313
2 Pt Jumpshots+9.7#1
3 Pt Jumpshots-10.9#364
Freethrows+0.0#175
Improvement+2.2#69

Defense
Total Defense-3.8#288
First Shot-2.6#262
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#286
Layups/Dunks-2.7#284
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#10
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#293
Freethrows+0.0#190
Improvement+2.3#64
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.9% 8.2% 4.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 38.7% 52.0% 18.4%
.500 or above in Conference 86.8% 95.6% 73.3%
Conference Champion 4.1% 6.2% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four5.6% 6.4% 4.4%
First Round3.6% 4.4% 2.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Howard (Home) - 60.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 41 - 7
Quad 412 - 713 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 118   @ Virginia Tech L 60-83 10%     0 - 1 -17.9 -12.4 -5.2
  Nov 09, 2024 237   @ Columbia L 62-83 25%     0 - 2 -23.0 -19.7 -1.9
  Nov 19, 2024 66   @ Providence L 48-78 5%     0 - 3 -19.4 -12.2 -12.1
  Nov 23, 2024 260   @ Mount St. Mary's L 66-76 29%     0 - 4 -13.1 -1.6 -12.3
  Nov 29, 2024 30   @ Texas L 68-90 2%     0 - 5 -5.4 -1.0 -3.0
  Dec 03, 2024 232   @ Delaware L 80-93 25%     0 - 6 -14.6 -5.4 -7.9
  Dec 07, 2024 325   Loyola Maryland W 80-77 64%     1 - 6 -9.5 -2.5 -7.1
  Dec 11, 2024 344   NJIT W 71-59 70%     2 - 6 -2.3 -5.3 +3.0
  Dec 19, 2024 339   Grambling St. W 73-60 61%     3 - 6 +1.4 +3.9 -1.2
  Dec 20, 2024 308   Alabama St. W 83-80 49%     4 - 6 -5.5 +7.5 -12.9
  Dec 28, 2024 86   @ Saint Joseph's L 58-76 6%     4 - 7 -8.8 -11.3 +3.1
  Jan 04, 2025 310   @ Howard L 94-100 39%     4 - 8 0 - 1 -12.1 +6.1 -17.7
  Jan 06, 2025 185   Norfolk St. L 64-73 31%     4 - 9 0 - 2 -12.8 -15.1 +2.8
  Jan 11, 2025 229   @ South Carolina St. W 76-75 23%     5 - 9 1 - 2 -0.2 +10.6 -10.7
  Jan 13, 2025 295   @ NC Central L 72-75 35%     5 - 10 1 - 3 -7.9 -2.3 -5.7
  Jan 25, 2025 361   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 73-66 70%     6 - 10 2 - 3 -7.2 -3.4 -3.6
  Feb 01, 2025 362   @ Coppin St. W 84-61 73%     7 - 10 3 - 3 +7.7 +1.4 +4.5
  Feb 03, 2025 329   Morgan St. W 84-82 66%     8 - 10 4 - 3 -11.0 -6.0 -5.2
  Feb 15, 2025 310   Howard W 81-79 60%    
  Feb 17, 2025 185   @ Norfolk St. L 68-78 16%    
  Feb 22, 2025 229   South Carolina St. L 72-75 42%    
  Feb 24, 2025 295   NC Central W 75-74 56%    
  Mar 01, 2025 362   Coppin St. W 76-65 86%    
  Mar 03, 2025 329   @ Morgan St. L 80-81 45%    
  Mar 06, 2025 361   Maryland Eastern Shore W 78-68 84%    
Projected Record 12 - 13 8 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.5 2.5 1.1 4.1 1st
2nd 0.0 2.1 12.1 6.3 0.2 20.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.6 16.2 9.0 0.1 26.9 3rd
4th 0.7 11.1 11.5 0.4 23.7 4th
5th 0.1 5.0 9.9 0.9 15.9 5th
6th 0.1 2.1 4.7 1.4 8.3 6th
7th 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
Total 0.2 2.5 10.6 24.0 30.7 21.9 8.9 1.3 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 86.8% 1.1    0.7 0.4
10-4 27.8% 2.5    0.4 1.4 0.7 0.0
9-5 2.5% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 4.1% 4.1 1.1 1.8 0.9 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 1.3% 23.3% 23.3% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 1.0
10-4 8.9% 17.4% 17.4% 15.9 0.1 1.5 7.3
9-5 21.9% 9.1% 9.1% 16.0 2.0 19.9
8-6 30.7% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 1.7 29.0
7-7 24.0% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.9 23.0
6-8 10.6% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.3 10.3
5-9 2.5% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.1 2.4
4-10 0.2% 0.2
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 6.9% 6.9% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 6.6 93.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 15.3 10.0 53.3 36.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.4%