Rutgers
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +2.6 122
Expected Predictive Rating +2.5 124
Pace 65.8 254
Improvement +2.4 81

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ #119 D+ B B- B- F+
Defense C #147 C+ C C+ B C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% 312 54% 278 -4.4 324
2 Pt. Jumpers 31% 20 40% 122 +4.5 18
Three Pointers 36% 295 33% 209 -3.1 285
1st FG Attempt 0.96 267 -3.0 267
Second Chance 34.6% 69 1.13 58 0.39 48
Turnovers 15.3% 86
Freethrows 0.34 69 73% 169 0.25 85
Total Offense +1.9 119

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 214 56% 130 +1.3 130
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 104 33% 37 +0.2 169
Three Pointers 40% 218 36% 272 -0.7 218
1st FG Attempt 1.00 154 +0.7 154
Second Chance 32.2% 253 0.98 110 0.32 202
Turnovers 17.5% 146
Freethrows 0.25 39 75% 312 0.19 59
Total Defense +0.7 147

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection -1.7 344 -0.3 109
Shot Type Accuracy -1.3 217 -0.4 166
Possession Length 17.2 159 18.3 316
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 85 0.16 131
Improvement +3.4 #36 -1.0 #250

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 29% 15% 44%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Maryland (Home) - 53.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 80 - 8
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 13
Quad 21 - 51 - 17
Quad 34 - 15 - 19
Quad 46 - 111 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 354 Rider W 81 - 53 96% +14  93% 1 - 0 B +11 C +1 F B B+ A +12 A+ C- B+
 Mon, Nov 10 338 Maine W 72 - 60 94% +11  98% 2 - 0 C- -3 C +0 C+ A- F+ C- -2 F B- A+
 Fri, Nov 14 306 Lehigh W 84 - 72 90% +4  73% 3 - 0 C +1 C+ +3 C+ B+ B- C- -3 C+ C F
 Tue, Nov 18 258 American W 80 - 71 85% +1  49% 4 - 0 C +0 C +0 F+ A+ B C +0 A- C F
 Fri, Nov 21 294 Central Connecticut St. L 54 - 67 89% -5  11% 4 - 1 F -24 F -21 F D- F+ D+ -4 C+ A- F
 Mon, Nov 24 18 Tennessee L 60 - 85 8% -19  1% 4 - 2 D+ -7 D+ -3 D+ C+ D- D -5 D+ F B-
 Tue, Nov 25 82 Notre Dame L 63 - 68 35% -8  6% 4 - 3 C+ +2 C- -2 D A+ F B- +3 C- F A+
 Thu, Nov 27 124 UNLV W 80 - 65 52% +3  58% 5 - 3 A- +17 B- +5 F A- A- A +13 A A F
 Tue, Dec 2 9 Purdue L 65 - 81 9% -12  7% 5 - 4 0 - 1 C +2 C +1 B+ D- A C -1 B+ C+ C+
 Sat, Dec 6 1 @Michigan L 60 - 101 2% -22  0% 5 - 5 0 - 2 D- -12 D+ -2 D+ A+ F+ D- -8 F C C
 Sat, Dec 13 53 @Seton Hall L 59 - 81 16% -11  0% 5 - 6 D -9 D+ -4 F A+ D- D -6 F F A+
 Sat, Dec 20 185 Penn W 70 - 69 75% -4  7% 6 - 6 C- -4 D- -6 F+ F A+ B- +3 A+ F B+
 Mon, Dec 29 359 Delaware St. W 65 - 50 96% +9  90% 7 - 6 C- -3 F -12 F A+ F A- +9 B- C B
 Fri, Jan 2 39 Ohio St. L 73 - 80 22% +1  46% 7 - 7 0 - 3 C+ +4 A- +9 C A+ A- D -6 D+ B- A-
 Mon, Jan 5 80 Oregon W 88 - 85 OT 45% -1  40% 8 - 7 1 - 3 B- +7 A- +10 C D+ A+ C- -3 C+ F A+
 Thu, Jan 8 6 @Illinois L 55 - 81 3% -17  2% 8 - 8 1 - 4 C -2 D- -7 D C B- B- +3 D+ A+ D
 Sun, Jan 11 64 Northwestern W 77 - 75 OT 39% -4  11% 9 - 8 2 - 4 B- +7 C+ +2 C+ C- A+ B +5 A+ B+ D-
 Sat, Jan 17 33 @Wisconsin L 87 - 96 9% -13  3% 9 - 9 2 - 5 B +8 A+ +15 A A B D -6 B F C
 Tue, Jan 20 25 @Iowa L 62 - 68 7% -1  34% 9 - 10 2 - 6 B+ +13 C -0 C+ D F A +13 A A+ A-
 Fri, Jan 23 29 Indiana L 59 - 82 20% -13  0% 9 - 11 2 - 7 D- -11 C- -2 D C+ A+ F -14 F B F
 Tue, Jan 27 10 Michigan St. L 79 - 88 OT 10% +5  80% 9 - 12 2 - 8 B- +8 A +12 B B- A+ D+ -4 B- F B+
 Sat, Jan 31 47 @USC L 75 - 78 14% -10  3% 9 - 13 2 - 9 B+ +11 B+ +7 D- A+ A+ B- +4 F+ A A+
 Tue, Feb 3 34 @UCLA L 66 - 98 9% -14  3% 9 - 14 2 - 10 F+ -15 B +6 B- C A+ F -24 F F+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 15 Nebraska L 68 - 80 12% -10  3% 9 - 15 2 - 11 C+ +3 C+ +3 A- B D+ C +0 B+ B F+
 Sun, Feb 15 104 Maryland W 74 - 73 54%
 Wed, Feb 18 109 @Penn St. L 73 - 77 35%
 Sat, Feb 21 71 @Minnesota L 64 - 72 22%
 Tue, Feb 24 46 Washington L 70 - 76 30%
 Sun, Mar 1 104 @Maryland L 71 - 76 32%
 Thu, Mar 5 10 @Michigan St. L 60 - 80 3%
 Sun, Mar 8 109 Penn St. W 76 - 74 57%
Totals 11 - 20 4 - 16 +3 C+ +2 D+ B B- C +1 C+ C C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ D+ C+ C- C- 33% 31% 36% F+ D+ B B B B- B C B- C C+ B+ D+ C 37% 23% 40% C+ C+ C- C+ C C+ B D B
1.11 54% 40% 33% -1 -2 0.96 35% 1.1 .39 15% .34 73% .25 1.08 56% 33% 36% 0 0 1.00 32% 1.0 .32 17% .25 75% .26
Nov
5		 Rider C F C B- F 42% 11% 47% C F A D+ B B+ A+ D A+ A B+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 30% 32% D+ A+ F A C- B+ F+ F F
1.22 42% 40% 38% -4 +1 0.98 44% 1.0 .42 11% .55 64% .35 0.80 44% 14% 13% -22 -1 0.55 44% 0.7 .31 21% .34 83% .29
Nov
10		 Maine C B- D- A- B- 43% 25% 33% D+ C+ B+ B A- F+ A+ F A+ C- B+ D F F 23% 32% 45% A+ F C- A B- A+ B- A+ B+
1.13 65% 30% 38% +3 0 1.08 45% 1.1 .52 22% .58 62% .36 0.94 50% 43% 45% +7 -3 1.11 21% 0.8 .17 28% .28 54% .15
Nov
14		 Lehigh C+ C+ A+ F B- 45% 31% 24% D+ C+ A- C+ B+ B- A+ D+ A C- C C- C+ C 29% 27% 44% B C+ B- D- C F C+ B- C+
1.20 59% 60% 25% +4 -1 1.08 42% 1.1 .45 14% .45 70% .32 1.03 56% 40% 33% 0 -2 0.98 18% 1.1 .21 13% .26 69% .18
Nov
18		 American C C F C- F+ 44% 29% 27% D+ F+ C- A+ A+ B A+ A A+ C A+ A+ D A 39% 15% 46% C A- C C C F B- D+ C+
1.14 60% 23% 33% -4 -1 0.93 30% 1.8 .53 16% .50 80% .40 1.01 39% 22% 37% -8 +1 0.88 25% 0.9 .23 11% .22 79% .18
Nov
21		 Central Connecticut St. F F+ F F F 35% 29% 37% F F D F+ D- F+ F+ F F+ D+ B- B+ F C 31% 37% 33% B- C+ F+ A+ A- F C A- B-
0.87 47% 29% 28% -10 -1 0.80 26% 0.8 .21 16% .19 70% .13 1.08 56% 32% 41% +1 -3 0.98 33% 0.5 .18 11% .25 71% .18
Nov
24		 Tennessee D+ C- F C- C- 33% 31% 36% D- D+ B- C- C+ D- A+ C+ A+ D B- A+ F D+ 39% 17% 43% C D+ C- F F B- B+ C B
0.90 53% 21% 31% -8 -2 0.82 28% 0.9 .26 21% .46 67% .30 1.27 56% 25% 50% +7 0 1.17 47% 1.3 .59 19% .32 71% .22
Nov
25		 Notre Dame C- F F A D+ 16% 30% 53% F D B+ A+ A+ F A- D B+ B- B C+ F C 52% 18% 30% F C- F C- F A+ A+ B- A+
1.01 43% 15% 39% -5 -3 0.86 31% 1.5 .46 23% .35 71% .25 1.09 57% 38% 46% +5 +1 1.14 43% 1.0 .43 26% .19 67% .13
Nov
27		 UNLV B- F C F+ D- 33% 38% 29% F F A- C+ A- A- A+ A- A+ A A F A+ A 36% 29% 35% A A A+ A- A F A+ A A+
1.15 44% 39% 29% -7 -3 0.83 38% 1.1 .43 14% .61 78% .47 0.94 45% 56% 26% -3 -1 0.93 24% 0.7 .17 12% .26 63% .16
Dec
2		 Purdue C F+ B A+ A- 33% 37% 29% D+ B+ D+ F D- A C D C- C D A+ D+ A- 34% 18% 48% D+ B+ C+ C C+ C+ F+ F F
1.00 47% 42% 47% +4 -3 1.04 19% 0.8 .16 14% .20 64% .13 1.25 71% 22% 38% +4 0 1.10 37% 1.2 .43 14% .36 85% .30
Dec
6		 Michigan D+ C D F C- 22% 43% 35% F+ D+ A- A+ A+ F+ D- D- D- D- F F F F 48% 3% 48% D+ F D+ B C C A+ A- A+
0.83 50% 30% 21% -12 -4 0.70 33% 1.3 .42 22% .16 67% .11 1.39 75% 50% 46% +18 +3 1.43 42% 1.3 .54 15% .24 67% .16
Dec
13		 Seton Hall D+ F F C F 45% 26% 29% C- F A A+ A+ D- A D B+ D F B- C F 54% 23% 23% D+ F F C+ F A+ A+ D+ A
0.87 37% 18% 33% -15 0 0.71 41% 1.3 .51 27% .44 68% .30 1.20 75% 33% 33% +8 +1 1.19 50% 1.0 .50 22% .23 75% .17
Dec
20		 Penn D- F A+ F D- 32% 34% 34% F F+ F F F A+ A+ C+ A+ B- D- D+ A+ A+ 37% 28% 35% C A+ D- F F B+ F C- F
1.02 44% 65% 18% -4 -2 0.90 21% 0.6 .13 9% .50 68% .34 1.01 63% 42% 7% -12 -1 0.77 36% 1.7 .61 20% .46 72% .33
Dec
29		 Delaware St. F F C- F F 21% 33% 45% F F A+ B+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ A- B+ A+ D C+ 30% 39% 30% B B- A- F C B F+ A D+
0.97 22% 36% 16% -21 -3 0.55 50% 1.3 .64 25% .58 83% .48 0.74 43% 22% 36% -10 -3 0.76 18% 1.0 .18 22% .35 61% .21
Jan
2		 Ohio St. A- C A F C 33% 29% 38% C C A+ C A+ A- B B- B D F+ A+ F D+ 48% 24% 29% D- D+ F A+ B- A- F D- F
1.18 56% 50% 22% -4 -1 0.92 47% 1.0 .47 13% .31 76% .24 1.29 75% 20% 50% +11 0 1.24 50% 0.7 .35 19% .46 83% .38
Jan
5		 Oregon A- F A B+ B- 27% 44% 29% F C C- D D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C- B- A+ F+ C+ 32% 15% 53% C+ C+ F+ F+ F A+ B+ D B-
1.19 40% 50% 38% +2 -4 0.98 27% 0.8 .22 9% .51 88% .45 1.15 53% 13% 39% -1 0 1.00 42% 1.3 .55 23% .28 75% .21
Jan
8		 Illinois D- F C+ C- C- 18% 48% 34% F D D+ B C B- D+ F F+ B- C+ F D D 31% 16% 53% B D+ A A+ A+ D D F+ F+
0.85 30% 37% 32% -7 -5 0.79 21% 1.0 .21 11% .14 38% .05 1.26 60% 75% 38% +10 0 1.22 34% 0.3 .11 11% .37 86% .31
Jan
11		 Northwestern C+ D+ B B B 30% 39% 30% F C+ C D+ C- A+ A+ C A+ B A+ F A- A 36% 39% 25% A+ A+ A- C B+ D- F A+ C-
1.09 53% 41% 35% 0 -3 0.96 31% 0.8 .26 8% .42 70% .29 1.06 35% 50% 29% -5 -3 0.86 24% 1.3 .31 8% .45 59% .26
Jan
17		 Wisconsin A+ B+ A+ B+ A+ 15% 36% 49% F A A B- A B B A B+ D D+ A+ D+ B 33% 14% 53% B- B B F F C F F F
1.19 63% 55% 37% +9 -4 1.13 34% 1.1 .38 14% .30 79% .24 1.32 65% 14% 37% +1 +1 1.06 27% 2.3 .60 12% .45 90% .41
Jan
20		 Iowa C A+ F+ D+ B- 33% 28% 40% D C+ A- F D F A+ A A+ A C B- B- A 40% 21% 38% B A A+ A+ A+ A- B- D- C
0.96 77% 27% 31% +2 -1 1.03 35% 0.6 .19 29% .53 79% .42 1.05 63% 40% 33% +2 0 1.06 24% 0.7 .17 19% .30 81% .25
Jan
23		 Indiana C- F C F D 33% 37% 29% D- D D+ A C+ A+ D A+ C- F B- F F F 24% 10% 65% B+ F F A+ B F A+ F A+
1.00 41% 37% 27% -9 -3 0.78 24% 1.3 .32 8% .26 86% .22 1.39 58% 80% 47% +17 0 1.37 38% 0.7 .28 8% .13 100% .13
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Michigan St. A C B- B- A- 24% 29% 47% D B D+ A+ B- A+ A A+ A+ D+ F A+ C+ B 40% 23% 38% C- B- D F F B+ F F F
1.10 54% 38% 35% -1 -2 0.96 16% 1.2 .18 7% .35 83% .29 1.23 79% 9% 33% +1 0 1.04 45% 1.4 .62 21% .46 92% .42
Jan
31		 USC B+ F+ D D- D 31% 38% 31% F D- A A A+ A+ F C F B- F D- D F 49% 32% 20% C+ F+ F A+ A A+ F C- F
1.06 44% 36% 28% -8 -3 0.81 38% 1.1 .42 11% .19 75% .14 1.11 75% 46% 38% +12 -1 1.24 43% 0.6 .25 24% .56 73% .41
Feb
3		 UCLA B D- A+ C B+ 26% 33% 41% F+ B- C+ C- C A+ A F C- F D D- F F 33% 33% 33% B- F C- F F+ F B F C
1.05 50% 53% 32% +1 -2 1.00 31% 0.9 .28 14% .37 55% .20 1.55 67% 44% 61% +19 -2 1.35 34% 1.4 .48 3% .29 89% .26
Feb
7		 Nebraska C+ A+ A+ D A+ 15% 44% 40% F A- C A+ B D+ C+ F C- C B+ F C- B+ 41% 14% 45% C B+ B B B F+ A- F B-
1.00 75% 52% 29% +6 -5 1.04 24% 1.1 .27 22% .23 58% .13 1.17 57% 50% 36% +3 +1 1.09 24% 1.0 .24 9% .19 92% .18



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 11th
12th 0.0 1.1 1.8 0.5 3.4 12th
13th 2.7 7.0 1.8 0.1 11.6 13th
14th 1.9 14.6 4.5 0.2 21.2 14th
15th 0.2 12.0 6.7 0.2 19.1 15th
16th 0.0 3.2 13.1 0.8 17.1 16th
17th 1.4 11.1 4.0 0.0 16.5 17th
18th 4.7 6.2 0.1 11.0 18th
Total 6.1 20.7 31.2 24.8 12.7 3.8 0.7 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 0.0% 0.0
8-12 0.7% 0.7
7-13 3.8% 3.8
6-14 12.7% 12.7
5-15 24.8% 24.8
4-16 31.2% 31.2
3-17 20.7% 20.7
2-18 6.1% 6.1
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 6.1%