Rutgers
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +3.6 109
Results Rating +4.8 101
Consistency 0.15 185
Pace 66.2 244
Improvement +2.7 86

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 118 D+ B B B F+
Defense C+ 125 C C+ C+ B C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 307 D+ 55% 264 -3.7 312
2 Pt. Jumpers 52% 41 C+ 40% 102 +4.7 19
Three Pointers 35% 304 C- 33% 235 -3.8 311
Shot Selection/Accuracy F+ -1.6 342 C- -1.2 219
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.96 268
Second Chance B- 32.7% 102 B 1.14 46 B 0.37 61
Opponents' Steals B- 8.4% 84
Other Turnovers B 6.3% 63
Turnovers B 14.6% 58
Freethrows B 0.35 48 C+ 74% 139 B 0.26 44
Total Offense C+ +1.9 118

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 167 D+ 13.0% 306
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 151 C+ 4.1% 119
Three Pointers B 90% 54 B- 0.5% 97
Total C- 53% 229 C- 5.9% 219


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 223 C 58% 171 -0.8 139
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 121 B+ 34% 36 -0.4 155
Three Pointers 40% 197 D+ 36% 266 +0.8 227
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.3 121 C -0.1 171
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 163
Second Chance C- 31.4% 238 B- 0.96 68 C+ 0.30 151
Turnovers from Steals C 9.5% 181
Other Turnovers B 8.3% 60
Turnovers C+ 17.8% 109
Freethrows B+ 0.25 30 D+ 74% 283 B 0.18 48
Total Defense C+ +1.7 125

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 188 C+ 11.8% 140
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 21% 87 B- 6.8% 68
Three Pointers C- 84% 197 C- 0.6% 229
Total C 56% 190 C+ 6.2% 136

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.1 147 18.2 310
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 72 0.17 168
Consistency 0.11 57 0.12 187
Improvement +1.4 118 +1.2 123

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 126 113 102
Results Rating Rank 120 102 92
Conference Record 5 - 15 6 - 14 6 - 14
Conference Finish 15 14 13
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 1% 0% 1%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Michigan St. (Away) - 3.2% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 100 - 10
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 13
Quad 22 - 52 - 18
Quad 35 - 07 - 18
Quad 46 - 113 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 356 Rider W 81 - 53 97% +14  93% 1 - 0 B +10 C +1 F B+ A A +10 A+ D+ A-
 Mon, Nov 10 346 Maine W 72 - 60 95% +11  98% 2 - 0 C- -4 C +0 C+ A F+ C- -3 F C+ A+
 Fri, Nov 14 294 Lehigh W 84 - 72 90% +4  73% 3 - 0 C +1 C+ +3 C+ A- B- C- -2 B- C- F
 Tue, Nov 18 255 American W 80 - 71 86% +1  49% 4 - 0 C +1 C +1 F+ A+ B+ C +0 A- C F
 Fri, Nov 21 306 Central Connecticut St. L 54 - 67 91% -5  11% 4 - 1 F -25 F -22 F F+ F+ D+ -5 C+ B+ F
 Mon, Nov 24 13 Tennessee L 60 - 85 9% -19  1% 4 - 2 D+ -6 C- -2 D+ B- D- D -5 D F+ B
 Tue, Nov 25 85 Notre Dame L 63 - 68 38% -8  6% 4 - 3 C +2 C- -2 D A+ F B- +3 C- F A+
 Thu, Nov 27 102 UNLV W 80 - 65 47% +3  58% 5 - 3 A +19 B- +5 F A- A- A+ +14 A A F
 Tue, Dec 2 7 Purdue L 65 - 81 10% -12  7% 5 - 4 0 - 1 C +2 C -0 B+ D- A- C+ +0 B+ B- B-
 Sat, Dec 6 2 @Michigan L 60 - 101 2% -22  0% 5 - 5 0 - 2 D -11 D+ -2 D+ A+ F+ D- -7 F C+ C
 Sat, Dec 13 53 @Seton Hall L 59 - 81 17% -11  0% 5 - 6 D -8 D+ -2 F A+ D- D- -7 F F A+
 Sat, Dec 20 162 Penn W 70 - 69 75% -4  7% 6 - 6 C- -2 D+ -4 F+ F A+ C+ +2 A+ F A-
 Mon, Dec 29 361 Delaware St. W 65 - 50 98% +9  90% 7 - 6 D+ -6 F -13 F A+ F A- +8 B- C B
 Fri, Jan 2 32 Ohio St. L 73 - 80 22% +1  46% 7 - 7 0 - 3 C+ +5 A- +10 C A+ A- D- -7 D+ B- A
 Mon, Jan 5 82 Oregon W 88 - 85 OT 49% -1  40% 8 - 7 1 - 3 B- +7 A- +11 C+ D+ A+ D+ -4 C+ F A+
 Thu, Jan 8 5 @Illinois L 55 - 81 3% -17  2% 8 - 8 1 - 4 C -1 D- -7 D C B B +4 D+ A+ D+
 Sun, Jan 11 69 Northwestern W 77 - 75 OT 42% -4  11% 9 - 8 2 - 4 B- +8 C+ +3 C+ C- A+ B +5 A+ B+ F+
 Sat, Jan 17 28 @Wisconsin L 87 - 96 9% -13  3% 9 - 9 2 - 5 B +9 A+ +15 A A B D -5 B F C
 Tue, Jan 20 29 @Iowa L 62 - 68 9% -1  34% 9 - 10 2 - 6 B+ +12 C -0 C+ D+ F A+ +12 A- A+ A-
 Fri, Jan 23 42 Indiana L 59 - 82 28% -13  0% 9 - 11 2 - 7 D- -13 D+ -3 D- C+ A+ F -15 F B- F
 Tue, Jan 27 9 Michigan St. L 79 - 88 OT 11% +5  80% 9 - 12 2 - 8 B +8 A +12 B B- A+ D+ -3 B F A-
 Sat, Jan 31 63 @USC L 75 - 78 21% -10  3% 9 - 13 2 - 9 B +9 B +6 D- A+ A+ B- +3 F A A+
 Tue, Feb 3 30 @UCLA L 66 - 98 10% -14  3% 9 - 14 2 - 10 D- -14 B- +4 B- C A F -22 F F+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 16 Nebraska L 68 - 80 14% -10  3% 9 - 15 2 - 11 C+ +3 B- +4 A- B D+ C -1 B B+ F
 Sun, Feb 15 107 Maryland W 68 - 57 60% +4  80% 10 - 15 3 - 11 B+ +12 C- -1 F A C+ A+ +14 A+ A D
 Wed, Feb 18 110 @Penn St. W 85 - 72 39% +13  100% 11 - 15 4 - 11 A +20 A +12 A- C- B- A- +8 D+ A A+
 Sat, Feb 21 57 @Minnesota L 61 - 80 19% -10  8% 11 - 16 4 - 12 D+ -6 C+ +4 C+ C- A+ F -13 F D+ B-
 Tue, Feb 24 52 Washington L 72 - 79 35% -9  2% 11 - 17 4 - 13 C +1 C -0 C- C- A+ C+ +1 C B- C-
 Sun, Mar 1 107 @Maryland W 69 - 65 37% +7  89% 12 - 17 5 - 13 B +11 D+ -3 F D- A+ A+ +14 C+ B A+
 Thu, Mar 5 9 @Michigan St. L 60 - 80 3%
 Sun, Mar 8 110 Penn St. W 77 - 74 62%
Totals 13 - 18 6 - 14 +4 C+ +2 B C- F+ C+ +2 C- C+ B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ D+ C+ C- C- 34% 52% 35% F+ D+ B- B B B B C+ B C+ C B+ D+ C 37% 22% 40% C+ C C- B- C+ C+ B+ D+ B
1.11 55% 40% 33% -1 -2 0.96 33% 1.1 .37 15% .35 74% .26 1.06 58% 34% 36% 0 0 1.01 31% 1.0 .30 18% .25 74% .26
Nov
5		 Rider C F C B- F 42% 11% 47% C F A D+ B+ A A+ F+ A+ A A- A+ A+ A+ 38% 30% 32% D A+ F A D+ A- F F F
1.22 42% 40% 38% -4 +2 0.98 44% 1.0 .42 11% .55 64% .35 0.80 44% 14% 13% -22 -1 0.55 44% 0.7 .31 21% .34 83% .29
Nov
10		 Maine C B- F+ A- B- 43% 25% 33% D+ C+ A- B A F+ A+ F A+ C- B+ D F F 23% 32% 45% A+ F D+ A C+ A+ B A+ A-
1.13 65% 30% 38% +3 0 1.08 45% 1.1 .52 22% .58 62% .36 0.94 50% 43% 45% +7 -3 1.11 21% 0.8 .17 28% .28 54% .15
Nov
14		 Lehigh C+ C+ A+ F B- 45% 31% 24% D C+ A- B- A- B- A+ D+ A+ C- C+ C- C+ C+ 29% 27% 44% B B- B F C- F C+ B+ B-
1.20 59% 60% 25% +4 -1 1.08 42% 1.1 .45 14% .45 70% .32 1.03 56% 40% 33% 0 -2 0.98 18% 1.1 .21 13% .26 69% .18
Nov
18		 American C C F C- F+ 44% 29% 27% D F+ C- A+ A+ B+ A+ A A+ C A+ A+ D A- 39% 15% 46% C A- C C C F B D B-
1.14 60% 23% 33% -4 -1 0.93 30% 1.8 .53 16% .50 80% .40 1.01 39% 22% 37% -8 +1 0.88 25% 0.9 .23 11% .22 79% .18
Nov
21		 Central Connecticut St. F F+ F F F 35% 29% 37% F F D F F+ F+ F+ F F D+ C+ B+ F C 31% 37% 33% B- C+ F+ A+ B+ F C A- C+
0.87 47% 29% 28% -10 -1 0.80 26% 0.8 .21 16% .19 70% .13 1.08 56% 32% 41% +1 -3 0.98 33% 0.5 .18 11% .25 71% .18
Nov
24		 Tennessee C- C- F C- C- 33% 31% 36% D D+ B C B- D- A+ C A+ D B A+ F D 39% 17% 43% C D C F F+ B B C B-
0.90 53% 21% 31% -8 -2 0.82 28% 0.9 .26 21% .46 67% .30 1.27 56% 25% 50% +7 0 1.17 47% 1.3 .59 19% .32 71% .22
Nov
25		 Notre Dame C- F F A D+ 16% 30% 53% F D B+ A+ A+ F A- D- B B- B C+ F C+ 52% 18% 30% F C- F C- F A+ A+ B- A+
1.01 43% 15% 39% -5 -3 0.86 31% 1.5 .46 23% .35 71% .25 1.09 57% 38% 46% +4 +1 1.14 43% 1.0 .43 26% .19 67% .13
Nov
27		 UNLV B- F C+ F+ F+ 33% 38% 29% F F A- C+ A- A- A+ A- A+ A+ A+ F A+ A 36% 29% 35% A A A A A F A A A+
1.15 44% 39% 29% -7 -3 0.83 38% 1.1 .43 14% .61 78% .47 0.94 45% 56% 26% -3 -1 0.93 24% 0.7 .17 12% .26 63% .16
Dec
2		 Purdue C F B- A+ A- 33% 37% 29% D B+ D+ F D- A- C- D D+ C+ D A+ D+ A- 34% 18% 48% D+ B+ C B- B- B- F+ F F
1.00 47% 42% 47% +3 -3 1.04 19% 0.8 .16 14% .20 64% .13 1.25 71% 22% 38% +4 0 1.10 37% 1.2 .43 14% .36 85% .30
Dec
6		 Michigan D+ C D F C- 22% 43% 35% F D+ A- A+ A+ F+ D- D- D- D- F F F F 48% 3% 48% D F D+ B+ C+ C A+ A A+
0.83 50% 30% 21% -12 -4 0.70 33% 1.3 .42 22% .16 67% .11 1.39 75% 50% 46% +18 +3 1.43 42% 1.3 .54 15% .24 67% .16
Dec
13		 Seton Hall D+ F F C F 45% 26% 29% C- F A A+ A+ D- A+ D+ A- D- F B- C F 54% 23% 23% D+ F F C+ F A+ A+ D+ A
0.87 37% 18% 33% -15 0 0.71 41% 1.3 .51 27% .44 68% .30 1.20 75% 33% 33% +8 +1 1.19 50% 1.0 .50 22% .23 75% .17
Dec
20		 Penn D+ F A+ F D 32% 34% 34% F F+ F F F A+ A+ B- A+ C+ D- D+ A+ A+ 37% 28% 35% C A+ F+ F F A- F D+ F
1.02 44% 65% 18% -4 -2 0.90 21% 0.6 .13 9% .50 68% .34 1.01 63% 42% 7% -12 -1 0.77 36% 1.7 .61 20% .46 72% .33
Dec
29		 Delaware St. F F C- F F 21% 33% 45% F F A+ B+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ A- A- A+ D- B- 30% 39% 30% B B- A- F C B F+ A C-
0.97 22% 36% 16% -21 -3 0.55 50% 1.3 .64 25% .58 83% .48 0.74 43% 22% 36% -10 -3 0.76 18% 1.0 .18 22% .35 61% .21
Jan
2		 Ohio St. A- C A+ F C 33% 29% 38% C C A+ C A+ A- B- B B D- F+ A+ F C- 48% 24% 29% D- D+ F A+ B- A F F+ F
1.18 56% 50% 22% -4 -1 0.92 47% 1.0 .47 13% .31 76% .24 1.29 75% 20% 50% +11 0 1.24 50% 0.7 .35 19% .46 83% .38
Jan
5		 Oregon A- F A B+ B 27% 44% 29% F C+ D+ D+ D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ B A+ F+ C+ 32% 15% 53% B- C+ F F+ F A+ B+ C- B
1.19 40% 50% 38% +2 -4 0.98 27% 0.8 .22 9% .51 88% .45 1.15 53% 13% 39% -1 0 1.00 42% 1.3 .55 23% .28 75% .21
Jan
8		 Illinois D- F C+ C- C- 18% 48% 34% F D C- B C B D+ F F+ B B- F D- D- 31% 16% 53% B+ D+ A A+ A+ D+ D- F+ F
0.85 30% 37% 32% -7 -5 0.79 21% 1.0 .21 11% .14 38% .05 1.26 60% 75% 38% +10 0 1.22 34% 0.3 .11 11% .37 86% .31
Jan
11		 Northwestern C+ D+ B B- B 30% 39% 30% F C+ C- D+ C- A+ A+ C- A+ B A+ F A- A 36% 39% 25% A+ A+ A- C B+ F+ F A+ C-
1.09 53% 41% 35% 0 -3 0.96 31% 0.8 .26 8% .42 70% .29 1.06 35% 50% 29% -6 -3 0.86 24% 1.3 .31 8% .45 59% .26
Jan
17		 Wisconsin A+ B+ A+ B+ A+ 15% 36% 49% F A A B A B B A A- D D+ A+ D+ B 33% 14% 53% B- B B+ F F C F F F
1.19 63% 55% 37% +9 -4 1.13 34% 1.1 .38 14% .30 79% .24 1.32 65% 14% 37% +1 +1 1.06 27% 2.3 .60 12% .45 90% .41
Jan
20		 Iowa C A+ F+ D+ B- 33% 28% 40% D- C+ A F D+ F A+ A- A+ A+ C B- B- A- 40% 21% 38% B A- A+ A+ A+ A- B- D C+
0.96 77% 27% 31% +1 -1 1.03 35% 0.6 .19 29% .53 79% .42 1.05 63% 40% 33% +2 0 1.06 24% 0.7 .17 19% .30 81% .25
Jan
23		 Indiana D+ F C F D- 33% 37% 29% D- D- D+ A+ C+ A+ D A+ C F B- F F F 24% 10% 65% B+ F F A+ B- F A+ F A+
1.00 41% 37% 27% -9 -3 0.78 24% 1.3 .32 8% .26 86% .22 1.39 58% 80% 47% +17 0 1.37 38% 0.7 .28 8% .13 100% .13
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Michigan St. A C C+ B- A- 24% 29% 47% D B D+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ F A+ B- B 40% 23% 38% C- B D- F F A- F F F
1.10 54% 38% 35% -1 -2 0.96 16% 1.2 .18 7% .35 83% .29 1.23 79% 9% 33% +1 0 1.04 45% 1.4 .62 21% .46 92% .42
Jan
31		 USC B F D F+ D 31% 38% 31% F D- A A A+ A+ F C- F B- F D- D F 49% 32% 20% B- F F A+ A A+ F C F
1.06 44% 36% 28% -8 -3 0.81 38% 1.1 .42 11% .19 75% .14 1.11 75% 46% 38% +12 -1 1.24 43% 0.6 .25 24% .56 73% .41
Feb
3		 UCLA B- D- A+ C- B 26% 33% 41% F+ B- C+ C- C A A F C F D D F F 33% 33% 33% B F C- F F+ F B- F C-
1.05 50% 53% 32% +1 -2 1.00 31% 0.9 .28 14% .37 55% .20 1.55 67% 44% 61% +19 -2 1.35 34% 1.4 .48 3% .29 89% .26
Feb
7		 Nebraska B- A+ A+ D A+ 15% 44% 40% F A- C A+ B D+ C+ F C- C B+ F C- B 41% 14% 45% C B B+ B B+ F A F B-
1.00 75% 52% 29% +6 -5 1.04 24% 1.1 .27 22% .23 58% .13 1.17 57% 50% 36% +2 +1 1.09 24% 1.0 .24 9% .19 92% .18
Feb
15		 Maryland C- F C F+ F+ 22% 41% 37% F F C+ A+ A C+ A+ A A+ A+ C+ A+ A- A+ 31% 20% 49% B- A+ D+ A+ A D A+ A+ A+
1.05 40% 37% 29% -7 -4 0.80 28% 1.4 .41 15% .44 79% .35 0.88 56% 10% 28% -11 0 0.80 38% 0.7 .28 15% .24 46% .11
Feb
18		 Penn St. A A A+ D+ A 42% 27% 31% D+ A- D+ B C- B- A+ A+ A+ A- F F A+ D- 33% 26% 40% A D+ A- A A A+ F D+ F
1.25 70% 62% 33% +11 -1 1.23 25% 1.3 .33 18% .41 87% .36 1.06 93% 64% 18% +8 -1 1.17 23% 1.0 .23 22% .41 77% .32
Feb
21		 Minnesota C+ C- B- B- B- 32% 34% 34% D C+ F+ A+ C- A+ F B- D- F D+ B F F 39% 7% 54% D- F B+ F D+ B- A+ C- A+
1.04 56% 41% 35% +1 -2 1.00 19% 1.2 .22 12% .16 75% .12 1.37 67% 33% 56% +21 +2 1.48 24% 1.4 .33 17% .14 71% .10
Feb
24		 Washington C B C F C 31% 43% 25% F+ C- D+ C+ C- A+ A+ B- A+ C+ C A+ F+ C+ 43% 20% 37% F+ C A+ F B- C- D- C- D-
1.02 63% 36% 23% -4 -3 0.88 23% 1.0 .23 10% .50 72% .36 1.12 62% 30% 39% +3 0 1.08 25% 1.4 .36 14% .35 76% .26
Mar
1		 Maryland D+ D F F F 50% 19% 31% B F F A+ D- A+ A- A+ A+ A+ D+ D A C+ 38% 15% 47% D+ C+ F A+ B A+ B B B
0.98 52% 20% 24% -11 +1 0.81 13% 1.4 .18 9% .36 83% .30 0.93 61% 43% 27% -3 +1 0.98 43% 0.8 .32 27% .31 69% .21



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 0.1 0.1 11th
12th 0.6 0.6 12th
13th 9.1 1.1 10.2 13th
14th 19.5 47.9 0.3 67.7 14th
15th 17.6 3.7 21.3 15th
16th 0.2 0.2 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 37.2 60.7 2.1 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13 2.1% 2.1
6-14 60.7% 60.7
5-15 37.2% 37.2
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 32.9%