Maryland
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +4.1 107
Results Rating +5.4 96
Consistency 0.17 291
Pace 67.4 212
Improvement +2.0 116

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 122 C- B C- B C+
Defense C+ 111 C+ B C C+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 256 C- 57% 198 -1.9 252
2 Pt. Jumpers 30% 267 C+ 39% 134 -1.2 247
Three Pointers 47% 55 C- 33% 238 +2.2 102
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.3 155 C- -1.1 216
1st FG Attempt C- 1.00 201
Second Chance B+ 35.8% 36 C+ 1.06 133 B 0.38 57
Opponents' Steals C+ 8.8% 117
Other Turnovers D- 8.9% 335
Turnovers C- 17.7% 248
Freethrows B 0.35 43 C 72% 196 B 0.25 57
Total Offense C+ +1.8 122

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D 38% 320 C 10.9% 173
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 31% 102 B- 3.4% 68
Three Pointers D- 76% 333 D+ 1.2% 275
Total D+ 51% 286 C+ 5.1% 121


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 240 C+ 56% 107 -1.9 112
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 232 B 35% 73 -1.2 87
Three Pointers 44% 81 C- 35% 227 +2.3 295
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.1 185 C+ -0.9 144
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.01 147
Second Chance B 26.5% 54 C+ 1.00 136 B 0.27 63
Turnovers from Steals D 7.7% 313
Other Turnovers B+ 8.7% 31
Turnovers C 16.4% 194
Freethrows C+ 0.29 143 B- 71% 90 C+ 0.20 117
Total Defense C+ +2.3 111

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 52% 260 C+ 12.3% 119
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 23% 138 C- 4.1% 217
Three Pointers B- 80% 80 C+ 1.2% 107
Total C- 58% 230 C 5.8% 157

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.4 179 17.6 236
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 272 0.18 196
Consistency 0.14 312 0.13 217
Improvement +1.3 125 +0.7 159

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 117 107 99
Results Rating Rank 103 100 88
Conference Record 4 - 16 4 - 16 5 - 15
Conference Finish 17 16 15
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 44% 4% 48%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Wisconsin (Away) - 8.6% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 120 - 12
Quad 1b1 - 22 - 14
Quad 23 - 24 - 16
Quad 32 - 46 - 20
Quad 45 - 011 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 363 Coppin St. W 83 - 61 97% +13  96% 1 - 0 C+ +4 C+ +3 D C D+ C+ +1 F+ D A+
 Fri, Nov 7 80 Georgetown L 60 - 70 49% -10  0% 1 - 1 D+ -6 F -13 F B D A- +7 A+ B+ B-
 Tue, Nov 11 350 Alcorn St. W 84 - 64 96% +12  98% 2 - 1 C+ +3 C- -2 C C F B +4 F+ B- A+
 Sat, Nov 15 87 @Marquette W 89 - 82 30% +3  65% 3 - 1 A- +16 A- +11 A+ D- A- B +5 A+ F C
 Wed, Nov 19 272 Mount St. Mary's W 95 - 90 OT 89% +2  58% 4 - 1 C- -4 B+ +8 B- C+ C+ F -13 F D B-
 Mon, Nov 24 102 UNLV W 74 - 67 49% -0  39% 5 - 1 B +11 D -5 F+ A F A+ +16 A+ A+ B-
 Tue, Nov 25 11 Gonzaga L 61 - 100 9% -19  0% 5 - 2 F -20 D -4 F+ A F F -16 F D+ B+
 Wed, Nov 26 15 Alabama L 72 - 105 10% -20  0% 5 - 3 D- -14 D -5 C F+ B+ D- -7 F F+ B+
 Tue, Dec 2 317 Wagner W 89 - 63 93% +9  88% 6 - 3 B+ +13 C+ +3 F B B+ A +9 B+ A+ A
 Sat, Dec 6 29 @Iowa L 64 - 83 10% -15  2% 6 - 4 0 - 1 C -1 D+ -4 F+ A- F+ B- +3 C B C
 Sat, Dec 13 2 Michigan L 83 - 101 4% -3  35% 6 - 5 0 - 2 B- +6 A+ +20 A+ A+ C+ F -14 F A+ D
 Sat, Dec 20 21 @Virginia L 72 - 80 7% -4  18% 6 - 6 B+ +12 A- +10 A+ A- F B- +2 B- A+ D-
 Sun, Dec 28 244 Old Dominion W 73 - 58 86% +18  97% 7 - 6 B- +7 D -4 C- D- B+ A+ +12 A+ B B+
 Fri, Jan 2 82 Oregon L 54 - 64 51% -5  2% 7 - 7 0 - 3 D+ -6 F -14 F C- B- A- +7 D+ A+ A
 Wed, Jan 7 42 Indiana L 66 - 84 29% -6  25% 7 - 8 0 - 4 D -8 D -5 D- B+ C+ C- -3 A- D B
 Sat, Jan 10 30 @UCLA L 55 - 67 11% -9  17% 7 - 9 0 - 5 B- +6 F -10 F A+ C- A+ +15 A+ A F+
 Tue, Jan 13 63 @USC L 71 - 88 22% -4  23% 7 - 10 0 - 6 C- -5 B- +5 B+ D C F -11 D B+ F
 Sun, Jan 18 110 Penn St. W 96 - 73 63% +15  92% 8 - 10 1 - 6 A+ +24 A+ +25 A+ A+ B C+ +0 D A+ F+
 Wed, Jan 21 5 @Illinois L 70 - 89 3% -12  18% 8 - 11 1 - 7 B- +6 B +6 C+ A- A+ C+ +0 B+ B- D
 Sat, Jan 24 9 @Michigan St. L 48 - 91 5% -24  0% 8 - 12 1 - 8 F -20 F+ -9 D- C+ C- F -16 F F F+
 Sun, Feb 1 7 Purdue L 63 - 93 11% -18  0% 8 - 13 1 - 9 D- -12 C- -2 F+ A- C- F -13 C+ F C
 Thu, Feb 5 32 Ohio St. L 62 - 82 24% -11  4% 8 - 14 1 - 10 D -8 C- -2 A- A F F+ -9 C F D+
 Sun, Feb 8 57 @Minnesota W 67 - 62 20% -1  29% 9 - 14 2 - 10 A +18 A+ +16 B+ A- C B- +3 C C C+
 Wed, Feb 11 29 Iowa W 77 - 70 22% +2  63% 10 - 14 3 - 10 A +19 A+ +16 A+ A+ C B +4 A+ C+ F
 Sun, Feb 15 109 @Rutgers L 57 - 68 40% -4  11% 10 - 15 3 - 11 C- -4 F -11 F C- B B+ +5 A D+ C+
 Wed, Feb 18 69 @Northwestern L 74 - 78 24% -4  14% 10 - 16 3 - 12 B- +8 B+ +9 A+ D F C -1 D+ B- C-
 Sat, Feb 21 52 Washington W 64 - 60 36% -0  46% 11 - 16 4 - 12 B+ +12 B +7 C A+ B- B+ +5 C+ A+ F
 Wed, Feb 25 16 @Nebraska L 61 - 74 6% -3  26% 11 - 17 4 - 13 B +8 B- +5 B C- B+ B- +2 C+ A+ F
 Sun, Mar 1 109 Rutgers L 65 - 69 63% -7  9% 11 - 18 4 - 14 C- -3 F -10 C- C+ F A- +7 A A+ F
 Wed, Mar 4 28 @Wisconsin L 71 - 85 9%
 Sun, Mar 8 5 Illinois L 68 - 83 7%
Totals 11 - 20 4 - 16 +4 C+ +2 B- C- C+ C+ +2 C- C B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ C- C+ C- C- 36% 30% 47% C+ C- B+ C+ B C- B C B C+ C+ B C- C+ 37% 19% 44% C C+ B C+ B C C+ B- C+
1.11 57% 39% 33% -1 0 1.00 36% 1.1 .38 18% .35 72% .25 1.05 56% 35% 35% -1 0 1.01 26% 1.0 .27 16% .29 71% .25
Nov
3		 Coppin St. C+ A F F+ D- 40% 6% 54% B+ D C- C+ C D+ A A+ A+ C+ A- C- F D- 44% 18% 38% F F+ B- F D A+ C- F D
1.22 74% 0% 31% +1 +2 1.08 34% 1.2 .41 18% .44 92% .41 0.89 45% 38% 41% -2 +1 1.00 26% 1.3 .32 29% .33 75% .25
Nov
7		 Georgetown F F F F F 43% 15% 41% A F C A+ B D A+ A A+ A- B A A+ A+ 46% 15% 39% F A+ B+ C+ B+ B- F C F
0.87 30% 29% 16% -25 +1 0.54 29% 1.3 .36 19% .66 81% .53 1.01 52% 29% 22% -11 +1 0.83 28% 1.1 .31 16% .53 74% .40
Nov
11		 Alcorn St. C- A+ D- D C 33% 13% 54% D+ C A- F C F A+ C+ A+ B F A+ F F 26% 30% 44% A F+ C- A B- A+ B- A- B
1.17 81% 33% 31% +4 +1 1.13 45% 1.0 .45 24% .49 74% .36 0.89 77% 20% 41% +4 -2 1.06 26% 0.8 .19 29% .22 64% .14
Nov
15		 Marquette A- A A+ C A 49% 10% 41% A A+ F A+ D- A- A+ A+ A+ B A- F A+ A+ 42% 3% 55% C- A+ F F F C D+ C D+
1.15 68% 60% 33% +7 +2 1.20 14% 1.5 .21 17% .42 85% .36 1.06 50% 50% 24% -12 +2 0.84 39% 1.3 .49 14% .33 68% .23
Nov
19		 Mount St. Mary's B+ F A A+ C+ 40% 13% 47% B+ B- B D+ C+ C+ A+ B+ A+ F F+ A+ F F 26% 16% 59% A- F F+ B- D B- B- C- C+
1.21 32% 50% 45% -1 +1 1.02 34% 1.0 .34 14% .70 79% .55 1.15 67% 11% 47% +10 0 1.21 35% 1.0 .35 24% .27 69% .18
Nov
24		 UNLV D D- A+ F F 37% 8% 55% B+ F+ A C+ A F B- C C+ A+ A+ F B+ A+ 44% 9% 47% F A+ A A+ A+ B- C- C+ C
1.01 50% 75% 22% -10 +1 0.86 40% 1.1 .45 27% .39 71% .28 0.92 42% 60% 31% -7 +2 0.91 25% 0.5 .13 18% .37 68% .25
Nov
25		 Gonzaga D F B+ F F 39% 26% 35% B F+ A+ B- A F A+ C A+ F F F F F 36% 9% 55% F F F A D+ B+ B- F C
0.87 33% 42% 25% -13 -1 0.74 35% 0.9 .33 26% .44 70% .31 1.43 79% 60% 45% +18 +1 1.42 46% 1.0 .46 17% .26 80% .21
Nov
26		 Alabama D F A+ B C- 39% 22% 39% B C C- F F+ B+ F D F D- F A+ F F 43% 7% 50% D F D- D F+ B+ B+ F+ B
0.94 32% 50% 36% -6 0 0.89 25% 0.6 .16 12% .16 64% .10 1.37 84% 0% 45% +17 +2 1.40 39% 1.3 .50 16% .28 83% .23
Dec
2		 Wagner C+ C F F F 50% 12% 38% B F A+ F+ B B+ A+ C- A+ A B D+ A+ B+ 33% 23% 44% C+ B+ A A+ A+ A D F F
1.20 58% 17% 25% -8 +2 0.90 42% 0.9 .38 11% .68 71% .49 0.85 47% 42% 26% -8 -1 0.85 24% 0.7 .16 24% .32 83% .27
Dec
6		 Iowa D+ F F B+ F+ 38% 23% 40% C- F+ A C+ A- F+ A+ F A+ B- A F F C- 46% 25% 30% B+ C A+ F B C A+ A+ A+
0.91 47% 11% 38% -8 0 0.85 35% 1.0 .35 26% .73 63% .46 1.18 50% 64% 47% +9 0 1.19 24% 1.3 .29 14% .20 50% .10
Dec
13		 Michigan A+ C B A+ A+ 27% 29% 44% C A+ A A+ A+ C+ C+ D+ C F C F F F 57% 8% 36% D F A+ A+ A+ D C+ F D-
1.19 50% 40% 43% +5 -2 1.08 35% 1.6 .58 17% .22 69% .16 1.45 63% 50% 63% +20 +3 1.47 25% 1.2 .29 13% .36 86% .31
Dec
20		 Virginia A- B- C A+ A+ 21% 26% 53% D+ A+ A+ F+ A- F A+ C- A+ B- C+ A+ D- B 53% 13% 34% D B- C A+ A+ D- D A+ C
1.07 56% 36% 43% +7 -2 1.12 49% 0.7 .34 28% .46 73% .33 1.19 57% 29% 39% +1 +2 1.08 40% 0.6 .25 12% .35 62% .22
Dec
28		 Old Dominion D F F A+ C- 33% 20% 47% C- C- F B D- B+ F+ A D+ A+ C- A A+ A+ 29% 37% 33% A A+ D A+ B B+ D- A+ C
1.07 50% 18% 42% -1 0 1.00 21% 1.1 .24 12% .28 82% .23 0.85 60% 26% 24% -9 -3 0.78 28% 0.8 .23 19% .35 63% .22
Jan
2		 Oregon F F B F F 28% 21% 51% C+ F B- D- C- B- C B C+ A- C- F B- C- 48% 14% 38% D D+ A+ A- A+ A F A+ C-
0.83 27% 45% 19% -19 -1 0.62 33% 0.8 .24 15% .26 79% .20 0.99 60% 50% 31% +1 +1 1.07 25% 1.0 .25 22% .41 62% .26
Jan
7		 Indiana D A- A- F F+ 37% 22% 41% B D- B- A- B+ C+ C- F D C- B F B+ A+ 52% 2% 46% F A- F A- D B F F+ F
0.96 63% 45% 10% -12 0 0.78 31% 1.3 .38 16% .29 65% .19 1.22 58% 100% 30% -1 +3 1.06 40% 0.9 .37 16% .45 85% .38
Jan
10		 UCLA F D- F F F 29% 23% 48% C- F A+ A+ A+ C- C F D A+ B- B A+ A+ 35% 30% 35% C+ A+ A+ F A F+ F A+ F+
0.84 50% 18% 9% -25 -1 0.50 45% 1.2 .55 20% .29 60% .17 1.02 56% 36% 25% -6 -2 0.87 15% 1.8 .27 9% .45 67% .30
Jan
13		 USC B- F A+ B+ A 21% 35% 44% F B+ F A+ D C A+ B- A+ F F B- C+ D 39% 19% 42% C- D D A+ B+ F A+ D+ A+
1.05 44% 53% 37% +4 -3 1.05 15% 1.3 .19 18% .48 78% .38 1.30 77% 36% 33% +7 0 1.16 39% 0.8 .30 9% .26 75% .19
Jan
18		 Penn St. A+ C F A+ A+ 24% 14% 63% C- A+ A+ B A+ B A D- A- C+ D- B F D- 35% 17% 48% C+ D A+ A A+ F+ D+ A C+
1.47 58% 29% 53% +17 0 1.35 41% 1.3 .55 17% .31 71% .22 1.11 69% 38% 41% +9 0 1.20 13% 1.0 .13 11% .36 67% .24
Jan
21		 Illinois B A+ C- F+ B- 15% 36% 49% D- C+ C- A+ A- A+ A F C+ C+ B+ F C- B- 17% 19% 64% A+ B+ C+ C+ B- D F A F
1.03 78% 33% 28% -3 -4 0.88 22% 1.4 .32 7% .25 50% .13 1.31 56% 50% 35% +3 -1 1.06 41% 1.2 .49 10% .46 71% .33
Jan
24		 Michigan St. F+ B- B- F D+ 14% 37% 49% F D- B+ D C+ C- D+ F F+ F F F F F 24% 39% 37% A+ F B- F F F+ C+ C+ C+
0.77 57% 39% 21% -10 -4 0.76 26% 0.7 .17 18% .21 55% .12 1.45 82% 50% 47% +18 -3 1.30 38% 1.9 .71 13% .35 74% .26
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
1		 Purdue C- F D C- F 36% 27% 36% B- F+ C+ A+ A- C- A+ A+ A+ F B C- F B- 33% 15% 52% D C+ C- F F C F F+ F
0.98 38% 33% 31% -10 -1 0.80 24% 1.5 .35 19% .48 76% .36 1.44 60% 43% 42% +7 0 1.17 38% 1.7 .66 12% .44 80% .35
Feb
5		 Ohio St. C- A+ A+ D+ A- 24% 20% 56% B- A- A B A F B F D F+ C F C+ C 41% 29% 29% C C C F F D+ F A+ F+
1.01 70% 50% 30% +2 -1 1.05 39% 1.1 .43 26% .33 53% .18 1.33 65% 58% 33% +8 -1 1.17 35% 1.8 .62 13% .56 60% .34
Feb
8		 Minnesota A+ A+ A+ F A 22% 27% 51% D B+ A- B+ A- C A+ C- A+ B- A+ F F+ C+ 24% 2% 73% D+ C C- B- C C+ B- A+ A-
1.22 78% 73% 24% +6 -2 1.10 34% 1.0 .34 18% .38 71% .27 1.13 40% 100% 40% +4 +1 1.12 30% 1.0 .30 16% .31 57% .17
Feb
11		 Iowa A+ A+ A+ B- A+ 37% 15% 49% B- A+ A+ B+ A+ C A+ D- A+ B D+ A A+ A+ 42% 12% 46% D+ A+ B- C+ C+ F B C B
1.24 80% 50% 35% +10 +1 1.24 42% 1.1 .46 23% .58 68% .39 1.13 67% 33% 26% -2 +1 1.00 31% 1.0 .31 6% .29 76% .22
Feb
15		 Rutgers F C- F F F 31% 20% 49% C F B+ F C- B C- F F B+ A+ C+ B+ A- 22% 41% 37% A+ A B+ F D+ C+ F D- F
0.88 56% 10% 28% -11 0 0.80 38% 0.7 .28 15% .24 46% .11 1.05 40% 37% 29% -7 -4 0.80 28% 1.4 .41 15% .44 79% .35
Feb
18		 Northwestern B+ B A+ A- A+ 41% 11% 48% A- A+ A F D F A+ A+ A+ C A+ B+ F D+ 41% 20% 39% D+ D+ A+ F B- C- F A+ D+
1.12 61% 60% 38% +7 +1 1.18 42% 0.5 .23 23% .41 86% .35 1.18 42% 33% 56% +5 0 1.13 21% 1.7 .34 12% .43 64% .28
Feb
21		 Washington B B+ F A+ C 31% 33% 36% C- C A+ A- A+ B- D+ B C- B+ F F+ A+ C+ 31% 25% 44% C C+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ F A+
1.13 64% 7% 44% -3 -2 0.91 42% 1.1 .48 14% .23 73% .16 1.06 80% 50% 24% +3 -1 1.06 15% 0.5 .08 11% .14 100% .14
Feb
25		 Nebraska B- F+ C+ C+ B- 16% 16% 67% B B D B+ C- B+ D- A+ C- B- F A+ D+ C 30% 13% 57% B- C+ A A+ A+ F F C F
0.96 50% 38% 33% -2 -1 0.96 20% 1.0 .20 17% .15 88% .13 1.16 79% 17% 37% +6 0 1.15 21% 0.6 .12 9% .42 75% .31
Mar
1		 Rutgers F B- B+ F D+ 38% 15% 47% B C- A+ F C+ F A- D- B A- B- A+ A+ A+ 50% 19% 31% F A A+ F A+ F C- F D
0.93 61% 43% 27% -3 +1 0.98 43% 0.8 .32 27% .31 69% .21 0.98 52% 20% 24% -11 +1 0.81 13% 1.4 .18 9% .36 83% .30



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 0.1 0.1 13th
14th 2.8 0.7 3.4 14th
15th 7.4 0.1 7.5 15th
16th 41.1 4.2 45.3 16th
17th 40.1 40.1 17th
18th 3.6 3.6 18th
Total 84.8 14.4 0.8 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14 0.8% 0.8
5-15 14.4% 14.4
4-16 84.8% 84.8
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1%
Lose Out 84.8%