Marquette
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.9#83
Expected Predictive Rating+0.1#172
Pace73.5#89
Improvement-0.2#205

Offense
Total Offense+2.8#101
First Shot+4.2#66
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#261
Layup/Dunks+4.8#40
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#348
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#211
Freethrows+3.9#22
Improvement-1.0#260

Defense
Total Defense+4.1#67
First Shot+1.2#132
After Offensive Rebounds+2.9#37
Layups/Dunks-1.9#245
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#92
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#236
Freethrows+3.0#31
Improvement+0.8#115
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.5% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.9% 11.8% 4.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 5.0% 10.5% 3.7%
Average Seed 9.7 9.4 9.9
.500 or above 21.4% 36.9% 17.7%
.500 or above in Conference 26.4% 33.9% 24.6%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.6% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 15.3% 10.7% 16.4%
First Four1.8% 2.6% 1.6%
First Round4.9% 10.5% 3.6%
Second Round2.0% 4.5% 1.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.9% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wisconsin (Away) - 19.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 52 - 11
Quad 24 - 56 - 17
Quad 33 - 29 - 19
Quad 45 - 014 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 324 Albany W 80-53 95%     1 - 0 +14.8 -5.8 +18.3
  Wed, Nov 5 201 Southern W 100-82 87%     2 - 0 +12.5 +14.6 -4.2
  Sun, Nov 9 24 Indiana L 77-100 23%     2 - 1 -8.4 +5.9 -12.7
  Wed, Nov 12 305 Arkansas Little Rock W 89-49 94%     3 - 1 +29.0 +16.1 +14.7
  Sat, Nov 15 86 Maryland L 82-89 65%     3 - 2 -3.9 +4.0 -7.3
  Wed, Nov 19 67 Dayton L 71-77 OT 55%     3 - 3 -0.5 -7.5 +7.8
  Sat, Nov 22 309 Central Michigan W 85-71 94%     4 - 3 +2.8 +4.9 -2.3
  Fri, Nov 28 41 Oklahoma L 74-75 32%     4 - 4 +10.8 +11.5 -0.9
  Tue, Dec 2 214 Valparaiso W 75-72 OT 89%     5 - 4 -3.3 -5.5 +2.0
  Sat, Dec 6 36 @Wisconsin L 74-83 19%    
  Sat, Dec 13 2 @Purdue L 66-84 5%    
  Wed, Dec 17 85 Georgetown W 79-75 63%    
  Sat, Dec 20 45 @Creighton L 72-79 24%    
  Tue, Dec 30 76 Seton Hall W 71-69 59%    
  Sun, Jan 4 5 @Connecticut L 63-80 6%    
  Wed, Jan 7 77 Xavier W 77-75 59%    
  Sat, Jan 10 39 Villanova L 70-72 42%    
  Tue, Jan 13 13 @St. John's L 73-87 10%    
  Fri, Jan 16 121 @DePaul W 75-74 53%    
  Mon, Jan 19 72 Providence W 83-81 58%    
  Fri, Jan 23 44 @Butler L 76-83 25%    
  Tue, Jan 27 45 Creighton L 75-76 45%    
  Sat, Jan 31 76 @Seton Hall L 68-72 38%    
  Sat, Feb 7 44 Butler L 79-80 44%    
  Tue, Feb 10 39 @Villanova L 67-75 23%    
  Sat, Feb 14 77 @Xavier L 74-78 38%    
  Wed, Feb 18 13 St. John's L 76-84 24%    
  Tue, Feb 24 85 @Georgetown L 76-78 41%    
  Sun, Mar 1 121 DePaul W 78-71 72%    
  Wed, Mar 4 72 @Providence L 80-84 37%    
  Sat, Mar 7 5 Connecticut L 66-77 17%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 1.7 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 4.7 3rd
4th 0.2 1.6 3.0 2.1 0.7 0.1 7.7 4th
5th 0.3 2.3 4.3 2.6 0.6 0.1 10.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.4 3.0 0.7 0.0 11.9 6th
7th 0.3 2.6 5.9 3.8 0.7 0.0 13.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.7 6.1 4.3 0.7 0.0 14.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.8 6.1 4.3 0.7 0.0 14.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.1 4.8 3.0 0.6 0.0 12.4 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.7 2.6 1.6 0.3 0.0 9.1 11th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.4 6.2 9.5 12.3 13.9 13.7 12.5 9.6 7.0 4.7 2.7 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-3 66.7% 0.0    0.0
16-4 44.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 14.1% 0.1    0.0 0.1
14-6 5.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.2% 95.6% 8.8% 86.8% 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 95.2%
15-5 0.7% 87.8% 4.4% 83.4% 8.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 87.2%
14-6 1.4% 73.2% 3.6% 69.6% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.4 72.2%
13-7 2.7% 53.8% 6.6% 47.2% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.0 1.3 50.5%
12-8 4.7% 27.8% 2.3% 25.5% 10.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.0 3.4 26.1%
11-9 7.0% 9.3% 1.6% 7.7% 10.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 6.4 7.8%
10-10 9.6% 2.8% 1.4% 1.5% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 9.3 1.5%
9-11 12.5% 1.0% 0.8% 0.2% 11.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 12.4 0.2%
8-12 13.7% 0.3% 0.3% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.6
7-13 13.9% 0.4% 0.4% 14.8 0.0 0.0 13.8
6-14 12.3% 0.2% 0.2% 15.5 0.0 0.0 12.3
5-15 9.5% 0.2% 0.2% 15.7 0.0 0.0 9.5
4-16 6.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.1
3-17 3.4% 3.4
2-18 1.5% 1.5
1-19 0.5% 0.5
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.9% 0.9% 5.0% 9.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.5 1.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 94.1 5.0%