Marquette
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +6.5 85
Expected Predictive Rating +2.5 123
Pace 72.3 82
Improvement +4.7 25

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ #106 C+ C B C A
Defense B- #63 C+ C+ A- B- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 48% 11 58% 167 +5.3 24
2 Pt. Jumpers 7% 362 38% 179 -5.1 362
Three Pointers 45% 96 32% 239 +1.1 140
1st FG Attempt 1.05 129 +1.4 130
Second Chance 31.5% 152 0.96 276 0.30 194
Turnovers 14.7% 47
Freethrows 0.31 154 69% 294 0.22 200
Total Offense +2.5 106

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 128 57% 165 -1.0 211
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 157 33% 35 +0.7 131
Three Pointers 38% 255 33% 129 +2.0 99
1st FG Attempt 0.98 121 +1.7 121
Second Chance 31.4% 222 0.95 75 0.30 138
Turnovers 20.6% 22
Freethrows 0.27 63 75% 307 0.20 96
Total Defense +4.1 63

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +2.3 3 +0.1 182
Shot Type Accuracy -0.9 203 -1.8 107
Possession Length 15.0 15 18.7 346
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.28 8 0.16 139
Improvement +2.5 #60 +2.2 #71

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.5 15.2
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 51% 25% 67%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Xavier (Away) - 38.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 60 - 6
Quad 1b0 - 51 - 11
Quad 23 - 63 - 17
Quad 34 - 47 - 21
Quad 45 - 012 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 325 Albany W 80 - 53 96% +13  90% 1 - 0 B+ +14 F+ -9 D+ F F+ A+ +21 A+ D- A+
 Wed, Nov 5 264 Southern W 100 - 82 92% +9  88% 2 - 0 B +9 A- +9 A- D- A+ C- -2 D C C-
 Sun, Nov 9 29 Indiana L 77 - 100 22% -12  5% 2 - 1 D -8 C +1 F A+ D- D- -8 C- D- D-
 Wed, Nov 12 301 Arkansas Little Rock W 89 - 49 94% +18  86% 3 - 1 A+ +29 A +12 A- D- A+ A+ +18 A- A+ A+
 Sat, Nov 15 104 Maryland L 82 - 89 69% -3  28% 3 - 2 D+ -6 C- -1 F A+ B+ D+ -4 F A+ C-
 Wed, Nov 19 97 Dayton L 71 - 77 OT 66% -5  9% 3 - 3 C- -4 F -10 D D+ D B+ +7 F+ C A+
 Sat, Nov 22 296 Central Michigan W 85 - 71 94% +5  90% 4 - 3 C+ +3 C +2 B+ F+ B+ C+ +1 B- A D
 Fri, Nov 28 54 Oklahoma L 74 - 75 36% +4  76% 4 - 4 B +9 B+ +9 B F+ A+ C+ +0 C D+ C-
 Tue, Dec 2 155 Valparaiso W 75 - 72 OT 81% -2  23% 5 - 4 C +0 D- -7 D- D- C- B+ +7 D- C+ A+
 Sat, Dec 6 33 @Wisconsin L 76 - 96 16% -12  0% 5 - 5 C- -3 C- -1 B F A+ C+ +1 D- A+ B+
 Sat, Dec 13 9 @Purdue L 59 - 79 7% -16  0% 5 - 6 C+ +4 D+ -3 F A C B +5 C D A+
 Wed, Dec 17 76 Georgetown L 69 - 78 58% -2  42% 5 - 7 0 - 1 C- -4 C+ +2 D+ B+ A+ D -7 C+ F C
 Sat, Dec 20 61 @Creighton L 63 - 84 31% -14  19% 5 - 8 0 - 2 D -9 F -14 F F+ C B+ +7 B- B- C+
 Tue, Dec 30 53 Seton Hall L 73 - 79 47% +2  60% 5 - 9 0 - 3 C +1 B- +4 D+ D+ A+ C- -3 A F B
 Sun, Jan 4 7 @Connecticut L 57 - 73 6% -11  0% 5 - 10 0 - 4 B- +8 D -5 D D+ A- A +13 A+ B+ C
 Wed, Jan 7 83 Xavier W 66 - 65 61% +5  94% 6 - 10 1 - 4 C+ +5 F+ -8 F A+ F+ A +13 B A A+
 Sat, Jan 10 32 Villanova L 73 - 76 32% -3  2% 6 - 11 1 - 5 B +8 A- +10 A D+ A+ C- -2 D C+ C+
 Tue, Jan 13 20 @St. John's L 68 - 92 10% -11  0% 6 - 12 1 - 6 C- -3 C- -1 A+ F F+ C -0 C C B
 Fri, Jan 16 98 @DePaul L 75 - 80 43% +0  50% 6 - 13 1 - 7 C+ +3 A +12 A+ F A+ D- -9 D+ F F
 Mon, Jan 19 60 Providence W 105 - 104 OT 52% +3  71% 7 - 13 2 - 7 B- +7 A +13 A- A A+ D -6 D+ F A+
 Fri, Jan 23 75 @Butler L 76 - 87 35% -5  2% 7 - 14 2 - 8 C -0 B- +4 B A D- D+ -4 B- F+ C+
 Tue, Jan 27 61 Creighton W 86 - 62 53% +17  92% 8 - 14 3 - 8 A+ +30 A +13 A+ C- A+ A+ +18 A- A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 31 53 @Seton Hall L 64 - 69 26% +2  62% 8 - 15 3 - 9 B +8 B +7 C- A+ D+ C+ +0 C- F A+
 Sat, Feb 7 75 Butler W 70 - 55 58% +8  85% 9 - 15 4 - 9 A +20 C- -2 A+ F C- A+ +22 A A+ A+
 Tue, Feb 10 32 @Villanova L 74 - 77 15% -3  25% 9 - 16 4 - 10 A- +14 B +6 A- A- F A- +8 A D+ B
 Sat, Feb 14 83 @Xavier L 77 - 80 38%
 Wed, Feb 18 20 St. John's L 74 - 82 22%
 Tue, Feb 24 76 @Georgetown L 72 - 76 34%
 Sun, Mar 1 98 DePaul W 74 - 70 66%
 Wed, Mar 4 60 @Providence L 83 - 88 30%
 Sat, Mar 7 7 Connecticut L 67 - 78 14%
Totals 11 - 20 6 - 14 +7 C+ +2 C+ C B B- +4 C+ C+ A-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ C C C- C- 48% 7% 45% A C+ C+ D+ C B C+ D C B- C B+ C+ C+ 41% 21% 38% C C+ C- B- C+ A- B- D B-
1.12 58% 38% 32% -1 +2 1.05 32% 1.0 .30 15% .31 69% .22 1.03 57% 33% 33% -2 0 0.98 31% 0.9 .30 21% .27 75% .23
Nov
3		 Albany F+ C- A+ F D- 49% 6% 45% A D+ B- F F F+ A+ F+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ 33% 16% 51% C A+ F C D- A+ D+ F+ D
1.04 57% 100% 24% -4 +3 1.00 38% 0.6 .23 18% .62 69% .43 0.69 44% 0% 18% -23 0 0.56 39% 0.9 .37 30% .26 71% .19
Nov
5		 Southern A- A+ C+ B B+ 33% 8% 59% B+ A- D- D D- A+ F B D- C- C+ C+ C C- 56% 16% 27% F D B- D C C- F D F
1.26 75% 40% 39% +10 +1 1.25 26% 1.0 .26 11% .29 80% .23 1.04 55% 33% 33% -3 +2 1.00 28% 1.1 .30 16% .44 72% .32
Nov
9		 Indiana C D- F F F 51% 21% 28% A F A A A+ D- A+ A+ A+ D- B- C+ F D+ 42% 16% 42% B- C- B- F D- D- C- D- D
1.02 46% 10% 23% -17 +1 0.70 37% 1.3 .47 20% .55 88% .48 1.32 58% 44% 46% +9 +1 1.21 29% 1.4 .40 11% .36 83% .30
Nov
12		 Arkansas Little Rock A B+ F A+ B+ 59% 4% 37% A+ A- A- F D- A+ B- F C- A+ C A+ D- A 36% 30% 34% D+ A- C- A+ A+ A+ D A+ C
1.33 70% 0% 47% +13 +4 1.35 44% 0.6 .25 13% .31 61% .19 0.73 59% 0% 38% -9 -1 0.81 31% 0.5 .14 30% .28 54% .15
Nov
15		 Maryland C- D- A+ F F 42% 3% 55% A F A A A+ B+ B+ C- B D+ F F C F 49% 10% 41% F F A+ F A+ C- D- F F
1.06 50% 50% 24% -11 +2 0.84 39% 1.3 .49 14% .33 68% .23 1.15 68% 60% 33% +7 +2 1.20 14% 1.5 .21 17% .42 85% .36
Nov
19		 Dayton F F A+ F+ D- 33% 18% 49% C+ D C+ F D+ D D B+ C- B+ B- F F F+ 56% 7% 38% F F+ A F C A+ D- A- C-
0.88 44% 50% 30% -5 0 0.91 32% 0.8 .24 25% .26 75% .20 0.96 56% 67% 41% +5 +3 1.18 19% 1.6 .31 31% .47 69% .32
Nov
22		 Central Michigan C A F D B- 57% 2% 40% A+ B+ F+ D+ F+ B+ A+ F A+ C+ D+ A+ B B- 40% 31% 29% C+ B- F A+ A D B D+ B-
1.19 70% 0% 32% +5 +4 1.19 28% 1.1 .31 13% .56 63% .35 1.00 61% 28% 29% -4 -1 0.91 35% 0.5 .19 15% .23 71% .17
Nov
28		 Oklahoma B+ F A+ B+ B 41% 14% 45% A- B A F F+ A+ D+ C D+ C+ F A+ D C- 35% 19% 46% B- C B- F D+ C- A+ A A+
1.17 43% 71% 39% +2 +1 1.08 41% 0.5 .21 8% .26 73% .19 1.19 72% 20% 38% +4 0 1.10 32% 1.5 .48 13% .16 67% .11
Dec
2		 Valparaiso D- F D- C F 51% 14% 35% A D- C F D- C- A+ A+ A+ B+ F F B F+ 24% 35% 42% B+ D- C+ C+ C+ A+ A+ B A+
0.97 42% 29% 33% -10 +2 0.86 31% 0.6 .19 18% .51 84% .43 0.94 69% 47% 30% +4 -3 1.04 31% 1.0 .31 27% .21 67% .14
Dec
6		 Wisconsin C- B- F C+ C+ 49% 10% 41% A+ B D- F F A+ C+ F F+ C+ D A- F F+ 28% 11% 60% B D- A- A+ A+ B+ F D- F
0.97 58% 17% 35% -2 +2 1.03 17% 0.5 .09 10% .27 47% .13 1.22 67% 33% 44% +11 0 1.25 24% 0.8 .18 15% .44 83% .36
Dec
13		 Purdue D+ F F D- F 24% 22% 54% C+ F A+ C A C A A- A B F C+ B- C 34% 21% 45% C- C F B D A+ C F+ D+
0.91 45% 20% 28% -12 -1 0.76 37% 1.1 .39 18% .28 73% .21 1.21 88% 40% 33% +10 0 1.21 46% 1.1 .50 21% .29 80% .23
Dec
17		 Georgetown C+ C- F F F+ 48% 10% 42% A+ D+ C+ A+ B+ A+ F+ F+ F D C C A+ B 52% 22% 26% D- C+ F D F C F+ F F
1.07 52% 20% 27% -9 +2 0.88 31% 1.3 .38 11% .21 67% .14 1.21 58% 40% 25% -3 +1 0.98 44% 1.2 .53 14% .42 87% .36
Dec
20		 Creighton F F F C F 54% 9% 37% A+ F F D- F+ C A F B- B+ A- C- F+ B- 34% 21% 45% B- B- A+ F B- C+ D D- D-
0.82 39% 0% 33% -14 +3 0.79 19% 0.9 .17 16% .31 55% .17 1.09 53% 42% 40% +3 0 1.07 18% 1.5 .26 16% .31 80% .25
Dec
30		 Seton Hall B- F C- D+ D- 46% 6% 48% A D+ C- D D+ A+ A- C- B+ C- B+ A+ A- A+ 48% 19% 33% D A F F F B F D+ F
1.02 40% 33% 31% -11 +3 0.85 28% 0.8 .23 11% .43 70% .30 1.11 50% 10% 28% -12 +1 0.80 49% 1.3 .61 18% .50 76% .38
Jan
4		 Connecticut D F+ F F F 55% 4% 42% A+ D C+ F D+ A- C F D A D+ A A+ A+ 42% 18% 40% B- A+ D+ A+ B+ C D- B+ D+
0.83 41% 0% 23% -17 +3 0.74 27% 0.7 .18 16% .33 63% .21 1.07 67% 33% 20% -6 +1 0.92 40% 0.9 .36 16% .37 67% .24
Jan
7		 Xavier F+ D- D F F 54% 12% 35% A+ F A+ B- A+ F+ B F D A A+ B F B 28% 30% 42% B B C A+ A A+ C C C
0.93 50% 33% 22% -11 +2 0.85 44% 0.9 .40 21% .32 50% .16 0.92 43% 33% 43% 0 -2 0.98 26% 0.6 .16 23% .26 71% .18
Jan
10		 Villanova A- C+ A+ B+ B+ 43% 4% 53% A+ A B F D+ A+ B A+ A- C- F F A- D- 37% 16% 47% C D A+ F C+ C+ A+ F A+
1.15 59% 50% 37% +3 +2 1.14 33% 0.7 .23 14% .28 80% .22 1.20 74% 88% 29% +10 +1 1.24 26% 1.3 .35 16% .13 100% .13
Jan
13		 St. John's C- B- A+ B- A- 64% 5% 32% A+ A+ F+ F F F+ A+ F A+ C D+ F A+ C 54% 16% 30% C- C D+ C+ C B C+ F D-
0.91 57% 50% 36% +1 +4 1.11 21% 0.4 .09 25% .49 63% .31 1.23 61% 56% 24% 0 +2 1.05 41% 1.2 .47 16% .38 88% .34
Jan
16		 DePaul A A C A+ A+ 37% 15% 48% B+ A+ D- F F A+ F F F D- C- A- F D 36% 26% 38% B D+ F D+ F F A A+ A+
1.16 65% 38% 46% +11 +1 1.26 23% 0.4 .09 11% .23 38% .09 1.24 61% 31% 42% +4 -1 1.08 41% 1.3 .51 12% .23 54% .12
Jan
19		 Providence A A+ B+ F B+ 56% 15% 30% A+ A- B- A+ A A+ A+ F B+ D C B- F D+ 46% 15% 38% C- D+ F D+ F A+ F F F
1.29 74% 44% 22% +4 +2 1.15 32% 1.3 .41 7% .40 63% .25 1.28 63% 38% 45% +8 +1 1.21 45% 1.2 .55 21% .51 88% .45
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
23		 Butler B- A+ A+ F B- 42% 13% 44% B+ B A B+ A D- B- F+ C D+ C- F A+ B 53% 13% 34% D B- D F+ F+ C+ F D F
1.08 77% 71% 17% +2 +1 1.08 38% 1.1 .41 20% .25 64% .16 1.24 60% 50% 25% -2 +2 1.02 39% 1.3 .52 16% .52 74% .39
Jan
27		 Creighton A A+ F B+ A+ 53% 9% 38% A+ A+ F+ A+ C- A+ A F C+ A+ F F A+ A- 24% 24% 53% A A- B- A+ A+ A+ A+ C A+
1.25 76% 0% 38% +8 +3 1.24 20% 1.3 .27 9% .30 53% .16 0.90 85% 54% 21% 0 -1 0.98 26% 0.5 .13 20% .07 75% .05
Jan
31		 Seton Hall B F F A+ D+ 50% 14% 36% B+ C- B- A+ A+ D+ F F F C+ C- B F D+ 46% 33% 21% A- C- F F F A+ A+ D- A+
1.03 33% 17% 47% -9 +2 0.88 33% 2.2 .73 26% .19 56% .11 1.11 59% 31% 40% 0 -1 1.00 44% 1.3 .56 22% .19 78% .15
Feb
7		 Butler C- F+ A+ A+ A 37% 4% 59% A A+ F F F C- D F D- A+ A A+ C- A+ 47% 16% 38% C A D A+ A+ A+ A- A+ A
1.05 47% 50% 47% +8 +2 1.22 13% 0.5 .07 18% .18 60% .11 0.82 48% 14% 35% -8 +1 0.89 40% 0.4 .14 24% .29 60% .18
Feb
10		 Villanova B A- A+ D- B+ 42% 9% 49% A+ A- F+ A+ A- F A+ A+ A+ A- A- A+ C- A+ 32% 9% 60% D+ A D+ C- D+ B F A+ F
1.06 67% 75% 29% +3 +2 1.12 21% 1.8 .38 26% .38 90% .35 1.10 53% 0% 36% -3 +1 0.98 39% 1.1 .41 17% .53 58% .31



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.3 0.8 0.1 2.2 5th
6th 1.9 5.1 0.6 0.0 7.5 6th
7th 0.2 8.8 2.2 0.0 11.2 7th
8th 0.0 4.3 9.1 0.1 13.6 8th
9th 0.8 14.7 2.4 17.9 9th
10th 0.2 9.1 12.0 0.2 21.6 10th
11th 7.6 16.1 1.9 0.0 25.6 11th
Total 7.8 25.9 33.2 22.3 8.8 1.8 0.1 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.1% 0.1
9-11 1.8% 1.1% 1.1% 12.5 0.0 0.0 1.8
8-12 8.8% 0.6% 0.6% 13.8 0.0 0.0 8.8
7-13 22.3% 0.4% 0.4% 15.0 0.1 22.2
6-14 33.2% 0.2% 0.2% 15.8 0.0 0.1 33.1
5-15 25.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 25.9
4-16 7.8% 7.8
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 14.8 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 4.9%