Marquette
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +6.4 87
Results Rating +2.8 121
Consistency 0.15 159
Pace 71.5 100
Improvement +4.4 43

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 109 C+ C B C- A
Defense B- 70 B- C+ A- B- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% 11 C+ 59% 141 +5.7 17
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 356 C+ 39% 135 -4.9 360
Three Pointers 45% 94 D+ 32% 262 +0.9 151
Shot Selection/Accuracy A +2.3 3 C -0.6 189
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.06 121
Second Chance C+ 31.1% 161 C- 0.99 244 C 0.31 178
Opponents' Steals C+ 8.8% 119
Other Turnovers B+ 5.6% 22
Turnovers B 14.5% 49
Freethrows C 0.30 182 D 68% 314 C- 0.21 230
Total Offense C+ +2.3 109

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B- 53% 102 B 8.5% 48
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 38% 31 C 5.1% 191
Three Pointers B 90% 51 C 0.9% 194
Total B+ 64% 39 B- 4.8% 96


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 141 C+ 57% 144 +0.4 196
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 180 B+ 33% 32 -1.0 110
Three Pointers 39% 220 B- 32% 103 -1.6 118
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.1 194 B- -2.3 88
1st FG Attempt B- 0.98 111
Second Chance D+ 32.1% 262 B+ 0.92 37 C+ 0.30 136
Turnovers from Steals A+ 14.1% 4
Other Turnovers D+ 6.5% 282
Turnovers A- 20.7% 17
Freethrows B- 0.27 73 D 75% 308 B- 0.20 100
Total Defense B- +4.1 70

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 55% 318 C 10.6% 191
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 200 B 7.5% 50
Three Pointers B 79% 60 C- 0.7% 193
Total C- 58% 232 C+ 6.0% 143

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.0 11 18.9 350
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.27 8 0.17 167
Consistency 0.12 165 0.13 274
Improvement +2.3 77 +2.1 80

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 99 89 77
Results Rating Rank 140 118 104
Conference Record 5 - 15 5 - 15 6 - 14
Conference Finish 11 10 8
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 80% 46% 93%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Providence (Away) - 29.3% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 60 - 6
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 10
Quad 22 - 83 - 18
Quad 34 - 37 - 21
Quad 44 - 011 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 321 Albany W 80 - 53 95% +13  90% 1 - 0 B+ +14 F+ -10 D+ F F+ A+ +21 A+ D- A+
 Wed, Nov 5 277 Southern W 100 - 82 92% +9  88% 2 - 0 B +9 B+ +9 A- F+ A+ C- -2 D C C
 Sun, Nov 9 42 Indiana L 77 - 100 27% -12  5% 2 - 1 D -10 C +0 F A+ F+ F+ -9 C- F+ D-
 Wed, Nov 12 299 Arkansas Little Rock W 89 - 49 94% +18  86% 3 - 1 A+ +29 A +12 A D- A A+ +19 A- A+ A+
 Sat, Nov 15 107 Maryland L 82 - 89 70% -3  28% 3 - 2 D+ -6 C -0 F A+ B D -5 F A+ C-
 Wed, Nov 19 75 Dayton L 71 - 77 OT 57% -5  9% 3 - 3 C -1 F+ -9 D+ D+ D- A +9 D- C+ A+
 Sat, Nov 22 258 Central Michigan W 85 - 71 91% +5  90% 4 - 3 B- +5 C+ +3 B+ F+ A- C+ +2 B A+ D-
 Fri, Nov 28 44 Oklahoma L 74 - 75 28% +4  76% 4 - 4 B+ +11 B+ +9 B+ F+ A+ B- +2 C+ D D+
 Tue, Dec 2 155 Valparaiso W 75 - 72 OT 81% -2  23% 5 - 4 C +0 D- -8 F+ F+ C- A- +8 D B- A+
 Sat, Dec 6 28 @Wisconsin L 76 - 96 14% -12  0% 5 - 5 C- -2 C- -1 B- F A+ C+ +1 D- A+ B+
 Sat, Dec 13 7 @Purdue L 59 - 79 7% -16  0% 5 - 6 C+ +4 D+ -4 F A C- B+ +6 C D+ A+
 Wed, Dec 17 80 Georgetown L 69 - 78 58% -2  42% 5 - 7 0 - 1 C- -5 C +1 D+ B+ A+ D- -7 B- F C
 Sat, Dec 20 72 @Creighton L 63 - 84 33% -14  19% 5 - 8 0 - 2 D -10 F -14 F F+ C B+ +6 B- B- C+
 Tue, Dec 30 53 Seton Hall L 73 - 79 45% +2  60% 5 - 9 0 - 3 C+ +2 B- +5 C- C- A+ D+ -3 A+ F B
 Sun, Jan 4 8 @Connecticut L 57 - 73 7% -11  0% 5 - 10 0 - 4 B- +8 D -6 D D+ A- A+ +13 A+ B C
 Wed, Jan 7 86 Xavier W 66 - 65 61% +5  94% 6 - 10 1 - 4 C+ +5 F -10 F A+ F A+ +15 B+ A A+
 Sat, Jan 10 38 Villanova L 73 - 76 34% -3  2% 6 - 11 1 - 5 B- +8 A- +10 A D+ A+ C- -3 D- C+ B-
 Tue, Jan 13 19 @St. John's L 68 - 92 10% -11  0% 6 - 12 1 - 6 C- -4 C +1 A+ F F C- -3 C- D+ B+
 Fri, Jan 16 84 @DePaul L 75 - 80 38% +0  50% 6 - 13 1 - 7 C+ +5 A +14 A+ F A+ F+ -10 D+ F F
 Mon, Jan 19 61 Providence W 105 - 104 OT 51% +3  71% 7 - 13 2 - 7 B- +7 A +13 A A A+ D -6 D+ F A+
 Fri, Jan 23 79 @Butler L 76 - 87 35% -5  2% 7 - 14 2 - 8 C -0 B- +4 B A D- D+ -4 B- F B-
 Tue, Jan 27 72 Creighton W 86 - 62 55% +17  92% 8 - 14 3 - 8 A+ +29 A +13 A+ C- A+ A+ +17 A- A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 31 53 @Seton Hall L 64 - 69 24% +2  62% 8 - 15 3 - 9 B +9 B+ +8 C A+ D C -0 C F A+
 Sat, Feb 7 79 Butler W 70 - 55 58% +8  85% 9 - 15 4 - 9 A +20 C- -2 A+ F C- A+ +22 A+ A+ A+
 Tue, Feb 10 38 @Villanova L 74 - 77 17% -3  25% 9 - 16 4 - 10 B+ +14 B +6 A- B+ F A- +7 A D B+
 Sat, Feb 14 86 @Xavier L 88 - 96 38% -11  1% 9 - 17 4 - 11 C +2 A +13 B A A F -11 D F+ C-
 Wed, Feb 18 19 St. John's L 70 - 76 22% -3  13% 9 - 18 4 - 12 B +8 B- +5 B- B A+ B- +3 B- C+ A-
 Tue, Feb 24 80 @Georgetown W 76 - 60 35% +5  65% 10 - 18 5 - 12 A+ +26 A- +11 A- B+ B+ A+ +17 A+ C- A+
 Sun, Mar 1 84 DePaul L 51 - 62 61% -7  13% 10 - 19 5 - 13 D+ -7 F -14 D+ F C- B+ +5 C+ A+ A
 Wed, Mar 4 61 @Providence L 81 - 87 29%
 Sat, Mar 7 8 Connecticut L 67 - 78 15%
Totals 10 - 21 5 - 15 +6 C+ +2 A+ C A B- +4 D+ D C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ C+ C+ D+ C 47% 16% 45% A C+ C+ C- C B C D C- B- C+ B+ B- B- 40% 20% 39% C B- D+ B+ C+ A- B- D B-
1.12 59% 39% 32% -1 +2 1.06 31% 1.0 .31 14% .30 68% .21 1.03 57% 33% 32% -2 0 0.98 32% 0.9 .30 21% .27 75% .23
Nov
3		 Albany F+ C- A+ F D- 49% 6% 45% A D+ B- F F F+ A+ D- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 16% 51% C A+ F C D- A+ D+ D D
1.04 57% 100% 24% -4 +3 1.00 38% 0.6 .23 18% .62 69% .43 0.69 44% 0% 18% -23 0 0.56 39% 0.9 .37 30% .26 71% .19
Nov
5		 Southern B+ A+ C+ B+ A- 33% 8% 59% B A- D- F+ F+ A+ F B D- C- C C+ C C- 56% 16% 27% F D C+ D+ C C F D F
1.26 75% 40% 39% +10 +1 1.25 26% 1.0 .26 11% .29 80% .23 1.04 55% 33% 33% -3 +2 1.00 28% 1.1 .30 16% .44 72% .32
Nov
9		 Indiana C D- F F F 51% 21% 28% A F A A A+ F+ A+ A+ A+ F+ B- C+ F C- 42% 16% 42% B- C- C+ F F+ D- D+ D- D
1.02 46% 10% 23% -17 +1 0.70 37% 1.3 .47 20% .55 88% .48 1.32 58% 44% 46% +9 +1 1.21 29% 1.4 .40 11% .36 83% .30
Nov
12		 Arkansas Little Rock A B+ F A+ A 59% 4% 37% A+ A A- F D- A B- F D+ A+ C A+ D A 36% 30% 34% D+ A- C- A+ A+ A+ D- A+ C
1.33 70% 0% 47% +13 +4 1.35 44% 0.6 .25 13% .31 61% .19 0.73 59% 0% 38% -9 -1 0.81 31% 0.5 .14 30% .28 54% .15
Nov
15		 Maryland C D- A+ F F 42% 3% 55% A F A+ A+ A+ B B D+ B- D F F C F 49% 10% 41% F F A+ F A+ C- F+ F F
1.06 50% 50% 24% -12 +2 0.84 39% 1.3 .49 14% .33 68% .23 1.15 68% 60% 33% +7 +2 1.20 14% 1.5 .21 17% .42 85% .36
Nov
19		 Dayton F+ F A+ F+ D 33% 18% 49% B- D+ B- F D+ D- D B+ C- A B- F F D 56% 7% 38% F D- A F C+ A+ D- A C-
0.88 44% 50% 30% -6 0 0.91 32% 0.8 .24 25% .26 75% .20 0.96 56% 67% 41% +5 +3 1.18 19% 1.6 .31 31% .47 69% .32
Nov
22		 Central Michigan C+ A F D+ B 57% 2% 40% A+ B+ F+ C- F+ A- A+ F A+ C+ D+ A+ B+ B 40% 31% 29% C+ B F+ A+ A+ D- B D+ B-
1.19 70% 0% 32% +5 +4 1.19 28% 1.1 .31 13% .56 63% .35 1.00 61% 28% 29% -4 -1 0.91 35% 0.5 .19 15% .23 71% .17
Nov
28		 Oklahoma B+ F A+ A- B 41% 14% 45% A- B+ A F F+ A+ C- C C- B- F A+ D+ C+ 35% 19% 46% C+ C+ B- F D D+ A+ A A+
1.17 43% 71% 39% +2 +1 1.08 41% 0.5 .21 8% .26 73% .19 1.19 72% 20% 38% +4 0 1.10 32% 1.5 .48 13% .16 67% .11
Dec
2		 Valparaiso D- F D- C F 51% 14% 35% A- F+ C F F+ C- A+ A+ A+ A- F F B F+ 24% 35% 42% B+ D C B B- A+ A+ B A+
0.97 42% 29% 33% -10 +2 0.86 31% 0.6 .19 18% .51 84% .43 0.94 69% 47% 30% +4 -3 1.04 31% 1.0 .31 27% .21 67% .14
Dec
6		 Wisconsin C- B- F C+ C 49% 10% 41% A+ B- D- F F A+ C+ F F+ C+ D B+ F F+ 28% 11% 60% B- D- A A+ A+ B+ F D- F
0.97 58% 17% 35% -2 +2 1.03 17% 0.5 .09 10% .27 47% .13 1.22 67% 33% 44% +11 0 1.25 24% 0.8 .18 15% .44 83% .36
Dec
13		 Purdue D+ F F F+ F 24% 22% 54% C+ F A+ C A C- A- A- A B+ F C+ B- C 34% 21% 45% C C F A- D+ A+ C F+ D+
0.91 45% 20% 28% -12 -1 0.76 37% 1.1 .39 18% .28 73% .21 1.21 88% 40% 33% +10 0 1.21 46% 1.1 .50 21% .29 80% .23
Dec
17		 Georgetown C D+ F F F+ 48% 10% 42% A+ D+ C+ A+ B+ A+ F F+ F D- C C- A+ B 52% 22% 26% D- B- F D F C F F F
1.07 52% 20% 27% -9 +2 0.88 31% 1.3 .38 11% .21 67% .14 1.21 58% 40% 25% -3 +1 0.98 44% 1.2 .53 14% .42 87% .36
Dec
20		 Creighton F F F C- F 54% 9% 37% A+ F F+ F+ F+ C A+ F B- B+ A D+ F+ C+ 34% 21% 45% B- B- A+ F B- C+ D D D-
0.82 39% 0% 33% -14 +3 0.79 19% 0.9 .17 16% .31 55% .17 1.09 53% 42% 40% +3 0 1.07 18% 1.5 .26 16% .31 80% .25
Dec
30		 Seton Hall B- F C- D D 46% 6% 48% A C- C- C- C- A+ A C A- D+ B+ A+ A- A+ 48% 19% 33% D A+ F F F B F D F
1.02 40% 33% 31% -11 +3 0.85 28% 0.8 .23 11% .43 70% .30 1.11 50% 10% 28% -12 +1 0.80 49% 1.3 .61 18% .50 76% .38
Jan
4		 Connecticut D F+ F F F 55% 4% 42% A+ D C+ F D+ A- C+ F D+ A+ D+ A A+ A+ 42% 18% 40% B- A+ D A+ B C D- B+ D+
0.83 41% 0% 23% -18 +3 0.74 27% 0.7 .18 16% .33 63% .21 1.07 67% 33% 20% -6 +1 0.92 40% 0.9 .36 16% .37 67% .24
Jan
7		 Xavier F D- D F F 54% 12% 35% A+ F A+ C A+ F B F D A+ A+ B+ F B+ 28% 30% 42% B B+ C+ A+ A A+ C B- C
0.93 50% 33% 22% -11 +2 0.85 44% 0.9 .40 21% .32 50% .16 0.92 43% 33% 43% 0 -2 0.98 26% 0.6 .16 23% .26 71% .18
Jan
10		 Villanova A- C+ A+ B+ B+ 43% 4% 53% A+ A B F D+ A+ B A+ A- C- F F A- D- 37% 16% 47% C D- A+ F C+ B- A+ F A+
1.15 59% 50% 37% +3 +2 1.14 33% 0.7 .23 14% .28 80% .22 1.20 74% 88% 29% +10 +1 1.24 26% 1.3 .35 16% .13 100% .13
Jan
13		 St. John's C B A+ B A 64% 5% 32% A+ A+ D- F F F A+ F A+ C- D+ F A+ C 54% 16% 30% D+ C- D C D+ B+ C F F+
0.91 57% 50% 36% +1 +4 1.11 21% 0.4 .09 25% .49 63% .31 1.23 61% 56% 24% 0 +2 1.05 41% 1.2 .47 16% .38 88% .34
Jan
16		 DePaul A A C A+ A+ 37% 15% 48% B+ A+ D F F A+ F F F F+ C- A- F D 36% 26% 38% B D+ F F+ F F A A+ A+
1.16 65% 38% 46% +11 +1 1.26 23% 0.4 .09 11% .23 38% .09 1.24 61% 31% 42% +4 -1 1.08 41% 1.3 .51 12% .23 54% .12
Jan
19		 Providence A A+ B+ F B+ 56% 15% 30% A+ A B- A+ A A+ A+ F A- D C B- F D+ 46% 15% 38% C- D+ F C- F A+ F F F
1.29 74% 44% 22% +4 +2 1.15 32% 1.3 .41 7% .40 63% .25 1.28 63% 38% 45% +8 +1 1.21 45% 1.2 .55 21% .51 88% .45
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
23		 Butler B- A+ A+ F B- 42% 13% 44% B+ B A B+ A D- B- F+ C D+ C- F A+ B 53% 13% 34% D- B- D F F B- F D+ F
1.08 77% 71% 17% +2 +1 1.08 38% 1.1 .41 20% .25 64% .16 1.24 60% 50% 25% -2 +2 1.02 39% 1.3 .52 16% .52 74% .39
Jan
27		 Creighton A A+ F B+ A+ 53% 9% 38% A+ A+ D- A+ C- A+ A+ F C+ A+ F F A+ B+ 24% 24% 53% A A- B- A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ A+
1.25 76% 0% 38% +8 +3 1.24 20% 1.3 .27 9% .30 53% .16 0.90 85% 54% 21% -1 -1 0.98 26% 0.5 .13 20% .07 75% .05
Jan
31		 Seton Hall B+ F F A+ D+ 50% 14% 36% B+ C B- A+ A+ D F F F C C- B+ F D+ 46% 33% 21% A- C F F F A+ A+ F+ A+
1.03 33% 17% 47% -9 +2 0.88 33% 2.2 .73 26% .19 56% .11 1.11 59% 31% 40% 0 -1 1.00 44% 1.3 .56 22% .19 78% .15
Feb
7		 Butler C- F A+ A+ A 37% 4% 59% A A+ F F F C- D F D- A+ A A+ C- A+ 47% 16% 38% C A+ D A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+
1.05 47% 50% 47% +8 +2 1.22 13% 0.5 .07 18% .18 60% .11 0.82 48% 14% 35% -8 +1 0.89 40% 0.4 .14 24% .29 60% .18
Feb
10		 Villanova B A- A+ F+ B+ 42% 9% 49% A+ A- F+ A+ B+ F A+ A+ A+ A- A- A+ C- A+ 32% 9% 60% D A D C D B+ F A+ F
1.06 67% 75% 29% +3 +2 1.12 21% 1.8 .38 26% .38 90% .35 1.10 53% 0% 36% -3 +1 0.98 39% 1.1 .41 17% .53 58% .31
Feb
14		 Xavier A A D F+ B- 51% 15% 34% A B B- A+ A A F B- F F A+ D- F D- 27% 24% 49% C D F C F+ C- F+ F F
1.22 71% 33% 29% +3 +2 1.11 30% 1.3 .38 12% .17 73% .13 1.33 47% 46% 48% +9 -1 1.18 36% 1.0 .36 11% .33 86% .28
Feb
18		 St. John's B- C- A- F+ C+ 45% 21% 34% B- B- C A+ B A+ C B C+ B- A+ F B- B- 38% 17% 46% B B- C+ C C+ A- D A C
1.02 50% 45% 28% -5 0 0.92 26% 1.2 .32 15% .27 75% .21 1.11 44% 63% 32% -3 0 0.98 36% 1.2 .42 18% .42 67% .28
Feb
24		 Georgetown A- B+ B C B+ 46% 13% 40% A A- C A+ B+ B+ F F F A+ F A+ A+ A+ 38% 19% 44% D+ A+ F A+ C- A+ A D+ A-
1.17 63% 43% 33% +2 +1 1.10 29% 1.3 .38 14% .20 55% .11 0.92 72% 0% 19% -12 0 0.79 45% 0.9 .39 23% .26 77% .20
Mar
1		 DePaul F A- D F F+ 45% 7% 48% A+ D+ F F F C- A+ F C B+ C A+ C B 40% 12% 49% F+ C+ D- A+ A+ A F+ F F
0.81 63% 33% 20% -8 +2 0.90 19% 0.3 .06 21% .44 50% .22 0.98 59% 20% 33% -2 +1 1.00 36% 0.3 .12 22% .39 79% .30



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 2.0 2.0 7th
8th 7.0 2.1 9.1 8th
9th 23.1 0.5 23.7 9th
10th 28.0 4.5 32.5 10th
11th 32.7 32.7 11th
Total 60.7 34.7 4.6 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13 4.6% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 4.6
6-14 34.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 34.5
5-15 60.7% 0.2% 0.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 60.6
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 15.9 99.8 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%
Lose Out 34.6%