Seton Hall
Big East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +10.2 53
Expected Predictive Rating +11.6 52
Pace 64.8 280
Improvement -1.4 252

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ #137 C- B B- B- C+
Defense A- #15 B+ B- A+ D C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% 19 57% 204 +3.8 57
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 128 36% 252 +0.4 153
Three Pointers 31% 349 31% 281 -6.2 344
1st FG Attempt 0.98 235 -2.1 235
Second Chance 36.5% 35 1.02 188 0.37 69
Turnovers 15.6% 95
Freethrows 0.33 98 73% 163 0.24 104
Total Offense +1.0 137

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 184 47% 6 +4.2 48
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 234 33% 32 +1.6 64
Three Pointers 43% 117 32% 110 +0.0 178
1st FG Attempt 0.90 34 +5.9 34
Second Chance 29.4% 134 0.94 58 0.28 80
Turnovers 24.0% 2
Freethrows 0.35 308 71% 127 0.25 302
Total Defense +9.2 15

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.2 161 +0.3 220
Shot Type Accuracy -2.2 251 -6.0 17
Possession Length 16.9 132 18.7 344
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 109 0.10 17
Improvement -0.7 #226 -0.7 #229

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 30% 39% 22%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 28% 37% 20%
Average Seed 10.5 10.4 10.7
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 65% 84% 46%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four18% 21% 14%
First Round21% 28% 14%
Second Round7% 10% 4%
Sweet Sixteen1% 2% 1%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Butler (Away) - 49.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 23 - 6
Quad 26 - 48 - 11
Quad 36 - 114 - 12
Quad 47 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 228 St. Peter's W 77 - 50 93% +16  97% 1 - 0 A +20 A +12 C- A+ A+ A +12 A+ B+ A+
 Fri, Nov 7 331 Wagner W 68 - 61 98% +3  67% 2 - 0 D+ -7 F -10 F B- D- B- +3 F+ D+ A+
 Mon, Nov 10 262 Fairfield W 82 - 59 95% +10  96% 3 - 0 A- +14 C+ +2 F A- A A +12 B- A A+
 Thu, Nov 13 208 Monmouth W 70 - 58 92% +2  53% 4 - 0 B- +6 D+ -3 D- D- A+ A- +9 A+ F A+
 Tue, Nov 18 334 New Haven W 68 - 45 98% +14  98% 5 - 0 B +9 D+ -2 C+ D+ C A+ +14 A C+ B+
 Mon, Nov 24 27 North Carolina St. W 85 - 74 31% +8  96% 6 - 0 A+ +26 A- +11 B A+ B A+ +15 A A+ A
 Tue, Nov 25 47 USC L 81 - 83 46% +2  54% 6 - 1 B +9 A +13 A+ F+ A D+ -4 C- D+ A+
 Wed, Nov 26 125 Washington St. W 75 - 61 78% +11  97% 7 - 1 A- +16 C+ +2 B- A+ F A+ +15 A+ A- A
 Wed, Dec 3 294 Central Connecticut St. W 77 - 61 96% +9  96% 8 - 1 B- +5 C+ +3 B+ F C B- +4 F+ A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 6 101 @Kansas St. W 78 - 67 58% +8  92% 9 - 1 A +19 C- -2 F+ C+ B+ A+ +20 A+ A+ A-
 Sat, Dec 13 122 Rutgers W 81 - 59 84% +11  97% 10 - 1 A +22 B+ +8 A A+ F A+ +15 A+ F A+
 Fri, Dec 19 60 @Providence W 72 - 67 43% +3  83% 11 - 1 1 - 0 A- +17 C- -2 C- B- F+ A+ +19 A+ A+ A-
 Tue, Dec 23 32 Villanova L 56 - 64 45% -8  5% 11 - 2 1 - 1 C+ +3 F+ -8 F D A+ A +11 C- C A+
 Tue, Dec 30 85 @Marquette W 79 - 73 53% -2  37% 12 - 2 2 - 1 A- +16 B+ +8 F A+ B B+ +8 A+ B+ D-
 Sun, Jan 4 61 Creighton W 56 - 54 67% -5  6% 13 - 2 3 - 1 B- +8 F -13 F F B+ A+ +21 A+ B+ B+
 Sat, Jan 10 76 @Georgetown W 76 - 67 49% -2  17% 14 - 2 4 - 1 A +20 B +6 D- A B- A+ +14 A+ B B+
 Tue, Jan 13 7 Connecticut L 64 - 69 23% -7  19% 14 - 3 4 - 2 B+ +13 C+ +3 C- A+ D A- +9 A- D+ A+
 Sat, Jan 17 75 Butler L 66 - 77 71% -6  19% 14 - 4 4 - 3 D+ -6 D- -6 F B+ D C -1 B- A+ D-
 Tue, Jan 20 20 @St. John's L 60 - 65 16% +4  84% 14 - 5 4 - 4 A- +16 C +1 C B C+ A+ +15 A+ C+ A
 Sat, Jan 24 98 @DePaul L 60 - 67 58% -8  0% 14 - 6 4 - 5 C +1 D- -6 D- B- A B+ +7 C+ A B
 Wed, Jan 28 83 Xavier W 86 - 68 74% -2  41% 15 - 6 5 - 5 A +22 A- +10 C- A A- A +11 B D A+
 Sat, Jan 31 85 Marquette W 69 - 64 74% -2  26% 16 - 6 6 - 5 B +9 B- +5 C+ A+ D+ B +4 A F A+
 Wed, Feb 4 32 @Villanova L 60 - 72 25% -10  0% 16 - 7 6 - 6 B- +5 C- -1 D D- A B +5 C- A+ A+
 Sat, Feb 7 61 @Creighton L 68 - 69 44% +2  52% 16 - 8 6 - 7 B +11 C- -0 B A- F A +11 B+ F A+
 Wed, Feb 11 60 Providence W 87 - 80 66% -1  31% 17 - 8 7 - 7 B+ +13 A +11 B B A+ C+ +2 F A- A+
 Sun, Feb 15 75 @Butler L 70 - 71 49%
 Wed, Feb 18 98 DePaul W 69 - 61 77%
 Sat, Feb 21 76 Georgetown W 70 - 64 70%
 Sat, Feb 28 7 @Connecticut L 58 - 72 10%
 Tue, Mar 3 83 @Xavier W 71 - 70 53%
 Fri, Mar 6 20 St. John's L 69 - 73 34%
Totals 20 - 11 10 - 10 +10 C+ +1 C- B B- A- +9 B+ B- A+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ C- C- D+ D+ 46% 23% 31% C+ C- B+ C B B- B- C B- A- A B+ C+ A- 39% 19% 43% C- B+ C+ B B- A+ D C+ D
1.10 57% 36% 31% -2 0 0.98 36% 1.0 .37 16% .33 73% .24 0.95 47% 33% 32% -6 0 0.90 29% 0.9 .28 24% .35 71% .24
Nov
3		 St. Peter's A C+ F C D+ 45% 16% 39% C+ C- B- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ B- A+ 27% 24% 49% B A+ D A+ B+ A+ F C+ F
1.28 59% 17% 33% -3 +1 0.97 39% 1.4 .54 13% .69 83% .57 0.83 36% 10% 30% -15 -1 0.68 38% 0.7 .26 25% .49 73% .35
Nov
7		 Wagner F B- F F F 46% 17% 37% C F A+ F B- D- B+ F F+ B- A+ F F F 33% 14% 53% D+ F+ C D D+ A+ C A+ A
1.05 62% 13% 29% -5 +1 0.93 50% 0.8 .38 17% .45 50% .22 0.95 29% 50% 48% +3 0 1.09 31% 1.2 .38 31% .27 42% .11
Nov
10		 Fairfield C+ F A+ F F 59% 16% 25% B- F B+ B+ A- A A+ A A+ A A+ C+ F B- 30% 26% 44% B+ B- B A+ A A+ F F F
1.20 43% 50% 23% -11 +2 0.84 37% 1.2 .44 10% .45 82% .37 0.86 23% 36% 42% -6 -1 0.88 29% 0.6 .18 25% .45 78% .35
Nov
13		 Monmouth D+ F A+ B- F 51% 12% 37% A- D- B- F D- A+ A+ B+ A+ A- A+ D- A A+ 51% 19% 30% F A+ C+ F F A+ F D F
1.05 38% 50% 37% -7 +2 0.92 37% 0.6 .21 12% .46 78% .36 0.87 26% 43% 27% -18 +1 0.68 30% 1.7 .50 30% .58 78% .45
Nov
18		 New Haven D+ B F A- C+ 41% 18% 41% C- C+ D C+ D+ C F B F+ A+ A A+ B- A 28% 28% 43% B+ A A- F C+ B+ A A A-
1.10 65% 22% 40% +4 0 1.10 23% 1.1 .27 16% .19 80% .15 0.73 46% 23% 30% -10 -2 0.78 15% 1.2 .18 23% .17 63% .10
Nov
24		 North Carolina St. A- B+ B+ D- B- 45% 14% 41% B- B C A+ A+ B A A+ A+ A+ A+ F B- A 40% 13% 46% C- A A- A+ A+ A D B C-
1.15 64% 43% 30% +1 +1 1.06 25% 1.9 .46 19% .40 83% .33 1.00 43% 71% 33% -2 +1 1.00 23% 0.9 .21 18% .36 73% .26
Nov
25		 USC A A A+ B A+ 43% 31% 26% D+ A+ F D+ F+ A C+ F C- D+ C+ A+ F C- 50% 28% 23% C- C- D- C+ D+ A+ F F F
1.17 65% 65% 36% +12 -1 1.24 17% 0.8 .14 13% .30 67% .20 1.20 60% 27% 56% +5 0 1.13 41% 1.0 .41 23% .71 82% .58
Nov
26		 Washington St. C+ A+ F D B 45% 34% 21% D B- B- A+ A+ F D A+ C- A+ C+ F A+ A+ 43% 7% 50% F A+ C A+ A- A C- C- C-
1.13 81% 25% 30% +5 -1 1.09 29% 1.9 .54 21% .25 85% .21 0.92 60% 67% 22% -6 +2 0.93 30% 0.7 .20 23% .31 75% .23
Dec
3		 Central Connecticut St. C+ F C- A+ A- 49% 16% 35% C+ B+ C F F C C+ C+ B- B- C- A+ F D- 41% 18% 41% F F+ C+ A+ A+ A+ C+ B- C+
1.21 44% 38% 61% +7 +1 1.20 32% 0.5 .18 13% .27 80% .22 0.96 61% 25% 44% +5 0 1.14 26% 0.3 .06 24% .25 75% .19
Dec
6		 Kansas St. C- C- F F F 49% 19% 32% B F+ C+ C+ C+ B+ B A- A- A+ C- A+ A+ A+ 37% 12% 51% D+ A+ F+ A+ A+ A- F A+ F+
1.01 54% 18% 22% -12 +1 0.81 35% 1.2 .42 15% .34 77% .26 0.86 63% 17% 23% -9 +1 0.86 40% 0.5 .21 21% .57 43% .24
Dec
13		 Rutgers B+ A+ C- C- A 54% 23% 23% B A A+ C A+ F D+ C D+ A+ A+ A+ C A+ 45% 26% 29% F A+ F+ D- F A+ F B F+
1.20 75% 33% 33% +8 +1 1.19 50% 1.0 .50 22% .23 75% .17 0.87 37% 18% 33% -15 0 0.71 41% 1.3 .51 27% .44 68% .30
Dec
19		 Providence C- D+ C+ C- C- 46% 22% 33% B C- B- C B- F+ A+ F A+ A+ C+ A- A+ A+ 44% 7% 49% F+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A- F D+ F
1.04 52% 40% 33% -2 0 0.98 32% 1.0 .32 19% .48 63% .30 0.96 60% 33% 23% -8 +2 0.91 20% 0.8 .17 19% .53 80% .42
Dec
23		 Villanova F+ B+ F F F 46% 31% 23% C F B+ F D A+ B+ C B+ A A+ B F C 38% 8% 54% F+ C- A- F C A+ D A C-
0.89 64% 0% 27% -12 -1 0.77 35% 0.6 .20 14% .30 69% .20 1.01 47% 33% 48% +6 +2 1.18 30% 1.3 .37 29% .35 63% .22
Dec
30		 Marquette B+ D- F F+ F 48% 19% 33% B F A+ A+ A+ B A+ C+ A+ B+ A+ B B- A+ 46% 6% 48% C- A+ B B+ B+ D- F C- F
1.11 50% 10% 28% -12 +1 0.80 49% 1.3 .61 18% .50 76% .38 1.02 40% 33% 31% -11 +3 0.85 28% 0.8 .23 11% .43 70% .30
Jan
4		 Creighton F F F C F 42% 46% 13% F F F F F B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B- A A+ A+ 33% 22% 46% B A+ C+ A B+ B+ D A+ C
0.88 45% 27% 33% -10 -3 0.75 17% 0.7 .11 13% .34 84% .29 0.85 60% 30% 19% -11 -1 0.78 28% 0.8 .23 17% .31 63% .19
Jan
10		 Georgetown B F A+ F+ F+ 42% 29% 29% C+ D- A- A- A B- A+ C A+ A+ A+ A+ F+ A+ 37% 29% 35% B A+ C- A B B+ C- F D-
1.09 35% 50% 29% -8 -1 0.83 37% 1.1 .42 16% .56 73% .41 0.96 32% 27% 39% -10 -1 0.79 34% 0.9 .32 17% .36 86% .31
Jan
13		 Connecticut C+ A A F C 40% 30% 30% D+ C- A+ C+ A+ D A+ F A- A- C F A+ A 51% 11% 38% D- A- F+ B- D+ A+ F A+ F
0.99 65% 46% 0% -10 -1 0.79 49% 1.0 .46 22% .49 60% .30 1.07 63% 75% 21% 0 +2 1.05 43% 1.1 .47 26% .55 62% .34
Jan
17		 Butler D- C+ F F F 34% 32% 34% F+ F A+ F B+ D A+ D+ A+ C D- F A+ B- 42% 16% 42% C+ B- A+ A+ A+ D- F F F
0.98 59% 25% 18% -12 -2 0.74 49% 0.7 .35 19% .46 68% .31 1.15 67% 57% 22% -1 +1 1.02 17% 0.6 .10 12% .69 80% .56
Jan
20		 St. John's C F B- A+ D+ 60% 12% 28% A+ C A+ F B C+ A+ F C+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 58% 21% 21% C A+ F A+ C+ A F B F
0.94 38% 40% 42% -8 +3 0.91 46% 0.7 .33 20% .39 55% .22 1.02 48% 22% 11% -16 +1 0.72 47% 1.0 .44 19% .58 70% .40
Jan
24		 DePaul D- F D B- F+ 48% 30% 22% C+ D- C- A- B- A C- F D- B+ F A+ C C+ 28% 18% 54% C+ C+ A- A- A B F D F
0.90 42% 33% 36% -8 -1 0.84 28% 1.1 .31 15% .30 59% .18 1.01 73% 14% 33% -1 0 1.00 24% 1.0 .24 20% .63 74% .47
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Xavier A- F A+ A D 64% 18% 18% A+ C- A+ D- A A- A+ A- A+ A D- D- A B 25% 21% 54% C B C+ F D A+ A- F B
1.19 43% 60% 40% -4 +2 0.98 49% 0.7 .35 14% .45 75% .34 0.94 69% 45% 29% 0 -1 1.00 26% 1.3 .32 26% .19 80% .15
Jan
31		 Marquette B- C+ D A C+ 46% 33% 21% D C+ A+ A+ A+ D+ F B F+ B A+ A+ F A 50% 14% 36% B A C- F F A+ A+ A+ A+
1.11 59% 31% 40% 0 -1 1.00 44% 1.3 .56 22% .19 78% .15 1.03 33% 17% 47% -9 +2 0.88 33% 2.2 .73 26% .19 56% .11
Feb
4		 Villanova C- C+ A- F D- 48% 22% 30% B+ D D+ F+ D- A D+ A+ B- B F F C D+ 29% 13% 58% C+ C- D- A+ A+ A+ F F+ F
0.95 58% 45% 13% -7 +1 0.88 25% 0.8 .19 16% .21 91% .19 1.14 77% 50% 35% +8 0 1.18 41% 0.5 .19 24% .46 77% .35
Feb
7		 Creighton C- B+ D A+ A- 43% 40% 17% D- B C+ A+ A- F B+ D- B- A A+ C D A- 29% 11% 60% C- B+ C- F F A+ C+ F C-
1.02 65% 32% 50% +4 -2 1.06 30% 1.3 .40 21% .27 64% .17 1.03 46% 40% 37% 0 +1 1.02 30% 1.4 .43 27% .25 83% .21
Feb
11		 Providence A F A+ C- B+ 40% 31% 29% D+ B C- A+ B A+ A+ B A+ C+ C+ F F F 24% 10% 67% B- F C A+ A- A+ C+ F D-
1.27 43% 75% 33% +5 -1 1.10 26% 1.3 .35 7% .39 76% .30 1.17 60% 75% 46% +17 0 1.36 35% 0.9 .31 26% .34 94% .32



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 1.0 3rd
4th 0.3 10.3 27.6 22.2 7.1 0.6 68.1 4th
5th 2.9 12.2 5.6 0.6 0.0 21.2 5th
6th 0.0 4.6 2.0 0.0 6.6 6th
7th 0.5 1.8 0.0 2.3 7th
8th 0.5 0.1 0.6 8th
9th 0.2 0.2 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 1.3 9.6 24.5 33.2 23.0 7.6 0.8 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.8% 87.7% 6.2% 81.5% 9.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 86.8%
12-8 7.6% 67.8% 4.7% 63.1% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.3 1.7 2.5 66.2%
11-9 23.0% 46.8% 3.8% 43.0% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.3 6.4 0.1 12.3 44.7%
10-10 33.2% 31.4% 2.9% 28.4% 10.8 0.0 0.2 2.1 8.0 0.1 22.8 29.3%
9-11 24.5% 12.6% 1.8% 10.8% 11.0 0.2 2.8 0.1 21.4 11.0%
8-12 9.6% 2.9% 1.1% 1.8% 11.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 9.3 1.8%
7-13 1.3% 1.6% 1.6% 11.0 0.0 1.3
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 30.5% 2.8% 27.6% 10.5 69.5 28.4%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.4% 92.3% 9.1 2.6 2.6 12.8 46.2 17.9 10.3
Lose Out 0.6%