Seton Hall
Big East
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.8#116
Expected Predictive Rating-1.9#195
Pace60.4#352
Improvement-0.6#227

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#256
First Shot-4.6#311
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#104
Layup/Dunks-0.9#208
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#124
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#236
Freethrows-2.5#316
Improvement+3.0#16

Defense
Total Defense+5.9#34
First Shot+3.4#77
After Offensive Rebounds+2.5#26
Layups/Dunks+2.4#87
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#218
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#250
Freethrows+2.7#31
Improvement-3.6#358
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.5 12.2 13.0
.500 or above 1.8% 3.3% 0.7%
.500 or above in Conference 3.5% 6.3% 1.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 52.0% 38.7% 61.4%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgetown (Home) - 41.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 61 - 11
Quad 24 - 75 - 17
Quad 32 - 37 - 20
Quad 43 - 210 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 210   St. Peter's W 57-53 78%     1 - 0 -1.3 -10.7 +9.9
  Nov 09, 2024 169   Fordham L 56-57 73%     1 - 1 -4.6 -13.3 +8.6
  Nov 13, 2024 151   Hofstra L 48-49 60%     1 - 2 -0.7 -12.1 +11.1
  Nov 16, 2024 309   Wagner W 54-28 90%     2 - 2 +14.8 -2.6 +25.5
  Nov 21, 2024 57   Virginia Commonwealth W 69-66 OT 26%     3 - 2 +12.5 -1.9 +14.1
  Nov 22, 2024 50   Vanderbilt L 60-76 24%     3 - 3 -5.7 -6.3 -0.3
  Nov 24, 2024 85   Florida Atlantic W 63-61 36%     4 - 3 +8.5 -5.2 +13.8
  Nov 30, 2024 272   Monmouth L 51-63 86%     4 - 4 -21.0 -17.8 -5.2
  Dec 04, 2024 352   NJIT W 67-56 95%     5 - 4 -4.5 +0.1 -2.8
  Dec 08, 2024 97   Oklahoma St. L 76-85 51%     5 - 5 -6.4 +6.6 -13.2
  Dec 14, 2024 64   @ Rutgers L 63-66 20%     5 - 6 +8.8 +0.7 +7.9
  Dec 17, 2024 44   @ Villanova L 67-79 15%     5 - 7 0 - 1 +1.7 +2.3 -1.5
  Dec 22, 2024 71   Georgetown L 62-64 41%    
  Dec 31, 2024 47   @ Xavier L 60-71 16%    
  Jan 08, 2025 103   DePaul W 64-63 53%    
  Jan 11, 2025 73   @ Providence L 56-64 23%    
  Jan 15, 2025 74   @ Butler L 60-68 24%    
  Jan 18, 2025 13   St. John's L 60-70 18%    
  Jan 21, 2025 18   Marquette L 61-70 20%    
  Jan 25, 2025 48   @ Creighton L 59-69 16%    
  Jan 28, 2025 73   Providence L 59-61 43%    
  Feb 02, 2025 103   @ DePaul L 61-66 32%    
  Feb 05, 2025 74   Butler L 63-65 43%    
  Feb 08, 2025 71   @ Georgetown L 59-67 23%    
  Feb 15, 2025 11   Connecticut L 59-70 16%    
  Feb 18, 2025 18   @ Marquette L 58-73 9%    
  Feb 23, 2025 47   Xavier L 63-68 33%    
  Feb 26, 2025 44   Villanova L 60-65 33%    
  Mar 01, 2025 13   @ St. John's L 57-73 7%    
  Mar 04, 2025 48   Creighton L 62-66 35%    
  Mar 08, 2025 11   @ Connecticut L 56-73 6%    
Projected Record 10 - 21 5 - 15





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 3rd
4th 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 4th
5th 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.8 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 1.5 0.8 0.1 0.0 3.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 2.7 1.2 0.2 0.0 5.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.2 2.4 0.4 0.0 9.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.5 6.1 3.7 0.6 0.0 14.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.8 6.9 8.5 4.6 0.9 0.1 24.3 10th
11th 1.2 4.4 9.0 11.7 9.1 3.7 0.7 0.0 39.7 11th
Total 1.2 4.4 9.5 14.6 16.7 16.0 13.6 10.2 6.7 3.7 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0%
14-6 10.0% 0.0    0.0
13-7 2.9% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 25.7% 1.4% 24.3% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 24.6%
12-8 0.4% 10.7% 4.8% 5.9% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 6.2%
11-9 1.0% 3.6% 2.4% 1.2% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.2%
10-10 2.0% 1.3% 1.3% 11.4 0.0 0.0 1.9
9-11 3.7% 0.4% 0.4% 12.3 0.0 0.0 3.7
8-12 6.7% 0.4% 0.4% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.7
7-13 10.2% 0.2% 0.2% 15.4 0.0 0.0 10.2
6-14 13.6% 0.1% 0.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 13.5
5-15 16.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 16.0
4-16 16.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 16.6
3-17 14.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.6
2-18 9.5% 9.5
1-19 4.4% 4.4
0-20 1.2% 1.2
Total 100% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.7 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.0%