Albany
America East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.1#270
Expected Predictive Rating-5.5#256
Pace68.4#175
Improvement+0.0#194

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#237
First Shot-4.7#304
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#47
Layup/Dunks+0.1#175
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#164
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#331
Freethrows+0.2#159
Improvement+0.0#188

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#278
First Shot-3.9#302
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#161
Layups/Dunks-5.9#355
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#93
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#48
Freethrows-2.4#329
Improvement+0.0#198
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.3% 39.5% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 26.1% 100.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four7.7% 29.7% 0.0%
First Round5.9% 22.6% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 33 - 43 - 5
Quad 412 - 1015 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 323   @ Army L 59-67 54%     0 - 1 -15.0 -14.9 -0.3
  Nov 13, 2024 180   @ Dartmouth W 87-73 23%     1 - 1 +15.6 +16.5 -1.2
  Nov 16, 2024 254   Siena W 70-60 57%     2 - 1 +2.2 -2.6 +5.3
  Nov 23, 2024 234   UMKC W 67-65 42%     3 - 1 -1.9 +1.1 -2.8
  Nov 24, 2024 249   American L 77-81 45%     3 - 2 -8.8 +1.3 -10.0
  Nov 30, 2024 81   @ Georgetown L 68-100 8%     3 - 3 -22.3 -4.4 -15.0
  Dec 04, 2024 291   Columbia W 88-73 66%     4 - 3 +4.8 +3.0 +1.0
  Dec 07, 2024 297   @ Boston University L 74-80 OT 46%     4 - 4 -11.0 +0.6 -11.6
  Dec 10, 2024 102   @ Syracuse L 85-102 11%     4 - 5 -9.9 +10.9 -20.2
  Dec 14, 2024 183   Drexel L 70-77 42%     4 - 6 -11.1 -0.1 -11.3
  Dec 18, 2024 266   @ Sacred Heart W 74-66 38%     5 - 6 +5.0 -3.2 +8.1
  Dec 21, 2024 238   @ Fordham L 83-87 33%     5 - 7 -5.4 +1.3 -6.3
  Dec 29, 2024 324   Stony Brook W 77-70 73%     6 - 7 -5.5 -0.3 -4.8
  Jan 04, 2025 237   Umass Lowell L 69-73 53%     6 - 8 0 - 1 -10.9 -6.2 -4.8
  Jan 09, 2025 353   @ New Hampshire W 61-57 68%     7 - 8 1 - 1 -6.8 -11.5 +5.0
  Jan 11, 2025 223   @ Maine L 66-87 30%     7 - 9 1 - 2 -21.6 -6.3 -14.9
  Jan 16, 2025 151   Bryant L 79-89 36%     7 - 10 1 - 3 -12.3 +2.7 -14.7
  Jan 18, 2025 308   @ Binghamton W 70-65 50%     8 - 10 2 - 3 -1.0 +2.6 -3.1
  Jan 23, 2025 303   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 87-92 OT 68%     8 - 11 2 - 4 -15.9 -6.6 -8.7
  Jan 25, 2025 352   NJIT W 68-62 83%     9 - 11 3 - 4 -10.1 -3.4 -6.0
  Feb 01, 2025 308   Binghamton L 61-65 70%     9 - 12 3 - 5 -15.5 -15.7 +0.0
  Feb 06, 2025 151   @ Bryant W 68-63 19%     10 - 12 4 - 5 +8.2 +0.3 +8.1
  Feb 08, 2025 213   Vermont L 62-68 49%     10 - 13 4 - 6 -11.7 -0.3 -12.5
  Feb 13, 2025 237   @ Umass Lowell W 90-88 OT 32%     11 - 13 5 - 6 +0.6 +5.8 -5.3
  Feb 20, 2025 223   Maine W 79-68 50%     12 - 13 6 - 6 +4.9 +5.7 -0.8
  Feb 22, 2025 353   New Hampshire L 60-71 83%     12 - 14 6 - 7 -27.4 -18.7 -8.8
  Feb 27, 2025 303   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 78-74 48%     13 - 14 7 - 7 -1.4 +3.2 -4.4
  Mar 01, 2025 352   @ NJIT W 86-59 67%     14 - 14 8 - 7 +16.4 +14.5 +3.2
  Mar 04, 2025 213   @ Vermont L 71-79 29%     14 - 15 8 - 8 -8.2 +9.5 -18.7
  Mar 08, 2025 308   Binghamton W 69-66 70%     15 - 15 -8.5 -3.3 -5.1
  Mar 11, 2025 151   @ Bryant L 74-83 19%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 100.0% 10.3% 10.3% 16.0 0.2 10.1 89.7
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 10.3% 10.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.2 10.1 89.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 10.3% 100.0% 16.0 1.7 98.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 15.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 73.9%