New Hampshire
America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -10.0 #323
Expected Predictive Rating -10.8 #330
Pace 68.7 #191
Improvement +2.0 #98

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #346 F D- D D- B-
Defense #249 C C D- D C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #132 0.99 #342 -2.3 #261
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #267 0.69 #277 -2.1 #290
Three Pointers 43% #138 0.91 #313 -1.2 #224
1st FG Attempt 0.91 #335 -5.6 #335
Freethrows 14.8 #302 70% #262 10.4 #312
Second Chance 26.5% #292 0.96 #288 0.25 #311
Turnovers 18.5% #302
Total Offense -7.6 #346

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% #36 1.15 #175 -3.6 #301
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #150 0.75 #161 -0.2 #195
Three Pointers 34% #345 0.97 #122 +4.3 #34
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #164 +0.5 #163
Freethrows 19.6 #298 74% #252 14.5 #308
Second Chance 30.7% #190 1.00 #122 0.31 #150
Turnovers 14.2% #312
Total Defense -2.4 #249

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.3% #95 0.7% #237
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -12.1% #347 -1.7% #154
Possession Length 17.7 #218 17.0 #126
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #207 0.15 #91
Improvement +2.3 #65 -0.3 #212

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.4% 7.3% 5.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 3.6% 5.7% 1.1%
.500 or above in Conference 49.6% 63.1% 33.4%
Conference Champion 1.8% 2.8% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 3.9% 1.7% 6.5%
First Four6.1% 6.8% 5.3%
First Round3.0% 3.4% 2.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Albany (Home) - 54.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 30 - 30 - 8
Quad 410 - 1010 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 32 @Clemson L 38 - 88 1% -26  0 - 1 -33 -24 F F D+ -9 C B+ F
 Sun, Nov 9 168 @Harvard L 75 - 86 13% +6  0 - 2 -9 +3 B D- F -12 F A+ F
 Sat, Nov 15 86 @George Mason L 44 - 61 4% -7  0 - 3 -7 -22 F B- F +14 A+ C A-
 Tue, Nov 18 65 @Providence L 66 - 98 3% -13  0 - 4 -21 -5 F A+ F -16 F A+ F
 Wed, Nov 26 264 Brown L 47 - 59 45% -5  0 - 5 -21 -23 F F F +1 D A- C+
 Sun, Nov 30 274 @Fairfield L 68 - 72 26% -0  0 - 6 -7 -3 F F A+ -5 F C B-
 Wed, Dec 3 221 @Dartmouth L 68 - 69 19% +2  0 - 7 -2 -5 F F C +3 C A+ B-
 Sat, Dec 6 285 Boston University W 88 - 82 OT 50% -6  1 - 7 -4 -1 C C- D -3 A+ F D+
 Wed, Dec 17 339 Stonehill W 59 - 58 66% +1  2 - 7 -13 -15 F F D- +2 C+ B+ A+
 Sun, Dec 21 28 @Saint Louis L 79 - 93 1% -3  2 - 8 +4 +11 A+ F A -6 A- B F
 Tue, Dec 30 14 @Nebraska L 55 - 86 1% -10  2 - 9 -10 -6 D+ C- F -4 A+ F B-
 Sat, Jan 3 204 Vermont L 61 - 80 34% -9  2 - 10 0 - 1 -25 -10 D D+ F -16 F F D-
 Thu, Jan 8 336 @NJIT L 76 - 80 43% +1  2 - 11 0 - 2 -12 -1 C F F -12 C F F
 Sat, Jan 10 275 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 74 - 75 26% +3  2 - 12 0 - 3 -4 +6 B B F -11 F A+ F
 Mon, Jan 19 341 @Maine W 65 - 48 44% +12  3 - 12 1 - 3 +8 -0 C F A- +10 A+ A+ D+
 Thu, Jan 22 362 Binghamton W 88 - 82 3OT 80% -6  4 - 12 2 - 3 -13 -8 F D- C -6 C- F D
 Sat, Jan 24 305 Albany W 70 - 69 54%
 Thu, Jan 29 309 Umass Lowell W 74 - 72 55%
 Sat, Jan 31 343 @Bryant L 66 - 67 45%
 Sat, Feb 7 204 @Vermont L 64 - 74 18%
 Thu, Feb 12 336 NJIT W 72 - 68 66%
 Sat, Feb 14 275 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 71 - 72 48%
 Thu, Feb 19 309 @Umass Lowell L 71 - 75 35%
 Sat, Feb 21 341 Maine W 65 - 60 66%
 Thu, Feb 26 362 @Binghamton W 70 - 67 61%
 Sat, Feb 28 305 @Albany L 67 - 72 33%
 Tue, Mar 3 343 Bryant W 69 - 64 67%
Totals 9 - 18 7 - 9 -10 -8 F D- D -2 C C D-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.3 0.8 0.6 0.2 1.8 1st
2nd 0.0 1.2 4.3 2.4 0.4 0.0 8.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.7 7.2 4.1 0.4 0.0 13.5 3rd
4th 0.9 7.9 6.0 0.5 15.3 4th
5th 0.5 6.6 8.7 0.8 16.6 5th
6th 0.4 4.1 9.4 2.0 0.0 15.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 3.3 7.9 3.2 0.1 14.8 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 3.2 5.5 2.9 0.2 12.6 8th
9th 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.3 9th
Total 0.2 1.1 4.1 9.3 15.4 20.3 20.4 15.2 9.2 3.6 1.0 0.2 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 96.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1
12-4 56.1% 0.6    0.2 0.2 0.1
11-5 21.5% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0
10-6 3.4% 0.3    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.8% 1.8 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.2% 19.4% 19.4% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-4 1.0% 16.3% 16.3% 15.9 0.0 0.2 0.8
11-5 3.6% 15.7% 15.7% 16.0 0.0 0.6 3.1
10-6 9.2% 13.1% 13.1% 16.0 1.2 8.0
9-7 15.2% 8.7% 8.7% 16.0 1.3 13.9
8-8 20.4% 6.6% 6.6% 16.0 1.4 19.1
7-9 20.3% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.9 19.4
6-10 15.4% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.6 14.8
5-11 9.3% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.2 9.1
4-12 4.1% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 4.0
3-13 1.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.1
2-14 0.2% 0.2
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 6.4% 6.4% 0.0% 16.0 93.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%