Clemson
Atlantic Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+12.3#34
Expected Predictive Rating+12.9#41
Pace64.6#292
Improvement-0.7#235

Offense
Total Offense+6.3#41
First Shot+4.9#55
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#112
Layup/Dunks+0.0#178
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#120
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#59
Freethrows+0.0#182
Improvement-0.5#225

Defense
Total Defense+6.0#33
First Shot+4.3#59
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#61
Layups/Dunks+2.9#78
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#300
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#163
Freethrows+2.5#41
Improvement-0.2#198
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 1.0% 1.2% 0.2%
Top 4 Seed 5.6% 6.5% 2.0%
Top 6 Seed 15.1% 17.2% 6.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 64.2% 67.8% 49.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 61.0% 64.8% 46.8%
Average Seed 8.1 8.0 8.8
.500 or above 99.1% 99.6% 97.5%
.500 or above in Conference 94.5% 96.4% 87.1%
Conference Champion 9.2% 10.7% 3.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four8.6% 8.4% 9.7%
First Round60.0% 63.8% 45.2%
Second Round33.8% 36.7% 22.8%
Sweet Sixteen12.0% 13.3% 7.3%
Elite Eight4.9% 5.4% 2.8%
Final Four1.7% 2.0% 0.9%
Championship Game0.6% 0.7% 0.3%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Next Game: Wake Forest (Home) - 79.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 22 - 2
Quad 1b3 - 35 - 6
Quad 26 - 311 - 9
Quad 37 - 118 - 10
Quad 45 - 023 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 302   Charleston Southern W 91-64 97%     1 - 0 +16.4 +12.6 +3.7
  Nov 08, 2024 336   St. Francis (PA) W 88-62 98%     2 - 0 +11.9 +6.2 +5.1
  Nov 12, 2024 219   Eastern Kentucky W 75-62 94%     3 - 0 +7.2 +3.7 +4.5
  Nov 17, 2024 57   @ Boise St. L 71-84 49%     3 - 1 -0.5 +3.8 -4.2
  Nov 21, 2024 203   Radford W 79-51 94%     4 - 1 +23.0 +9.5 +16.1
  Nov 25, 2024 59   San Francisco W 70-55 61%     5 - 1 +24.3 +13.9 +12.5
  Nov 26, 2024 30   Penn St. W 75-67 48%     6 - 1 +20.7 +9.1 +11.6
  Nov 29, 2024 357   Florida A&M W 86-58 99%     7 - 1 +11.8 +12.6 +0.8
  Dec 03, 2024 9   Kentucky W 70-66 42%     8 - 1 +18.2 +3.7 +14.7
  Dec 07, 2024 93   @ Miami (FL) W 65-55 62%     9 - 1 1 - 0 +19.0 +3.8 +17.1
  Dec 14, 2024 37   Memphis L 82-87 OT 62%     9 - 2 +4.2 +7.1 -2.6
  Dec 17, 2024 69   @ South Carolina L 88-91 OT 54%     9 - 3 +8.2 +14.1 -5.6
  Dec 21, 2024 86   Wake Forest W 71-62 80%    
  Jan 01, 2025 94   Stanford W 76-67 81%    
  Jan 04, 2025 118   California W 81-68 88%    
  Jan 07, 2025 51   @ Louisville L 72-73 47%    
  Jan 11, 2025 64   Florida St. W 75-69 73%    
  Jan 14, 2025 111   @ Georgia Tech W 74-68 70%    
  Jan 18, 2025 31   @ Pittsburgh L 69-72 39%    
  Jan 22, 2025 95   Syracuse W 79-69 81%    
  Jan 25, 2025 125   @ Virginia Tech W 71-64 74%    
  Feb 01, 2025 80   @ North Carolina St. W 69-67 58%    
  Feb 04, 2025 111   Georgia Tech W 77-65 86%    
  Feb 08, 2025 2   Duke L 65-71 30%    
  Feb 10, 2025 22   North Carolina W 77-76 54%    
  Feb 15, 2025 64   @ Florida St. W 73-72 52%    
  Feb 22, 2025 48   @ SMU L 73-74 46%    
  Feb 26, 2025 82   Notre Dame W 72-63 78%    
  Mar 01, 2025 91   @ Virginia W 61-58 61%    
  Mar 05, 2025 154   @ Boston College W 74-65 79%    
  Mar 08, 2025 125   Virginia Tech W 74-61 88%    
Projected Record 22 - 9 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.7 3.0 2.6 1.1 0.2 9.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.2 7.1 7.9 4.1 1.0 0.0 23.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.4 7.3 5.7 1.9 0.2 0.0 18.9 3rd
4th 0.1 2.1 5.9 4.4 1.1 0.1 0.0 13.7 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 4.3 3.8 0.8 0.0 0.0 10.0 5th
6th 0.3 2.5 3.4 0.9 0.1 7.2 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 2.9 1.2 0.1 5.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.8 1.7 0.2 3.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 1.7 0.3 0.0 2.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.6 0.0 1.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.1 0.0 1.3 11th
12th 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 15th
16th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 16th
17th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 17th
18th 0.0 0.0 0.0 18th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.5 3.0 5.5 8.5 11.6 14.7 15.8 14.5 11.6 7.3 3.6 1.2 0.2 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 95.9% 1.1    0.9 0.2
18-2 72.8% 2.6    1.6 1.0 0.0
17-3 40.5% 3.0    1.4 1.4 0.2 0.0
16-4 14.8% 1.7    0.5 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.0
15-5 3.7% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 9.2% 9.2 4.6 3.6 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 100.0% 39.2% 60.8% 2.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
19-1 1.2% 100.0% 25.9% 74.1% 3.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 3.6% 99.8% 20.1% 79.7% 4.3 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
17-3 7.3% 98.8% 15.8% 83.1% 5.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.5 1.8 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.1 98.6%
16-4 11.6% 95.9% 12.9% 83.0% 7.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.9 2.8 2.4 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.5 95.3%
15-5 14.5% 89.0% 10.5% 78.6% 8.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.1 3.2 3.4 2.2 0.6 0.0 1.6 87.8%
14-6 15.8% 76.4% 8.1% 68.3% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.1 3.3 3.6 1.9 0.0 3.7 74.3%
13-7 14.7% 57.7% 5.5% 52.1% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 3.1 2.6 0.1 6.2 55.2%
12-8 11.6% 40.3% 3.8% 36.5% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 2.1 0.2 6.9 37.9%
11-9 8.5% 22.9% 2.1% 20.9% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.1 6.6 21.3%
10-10 5.5% 12.8% 1.3% 11.4% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 4.8 11.6%
9-11 3.0% 1.9% 0.7% 1.2% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.2%
8-12 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.4% 11.0 0.0 1.5 0.4%
7-13 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 12.0 0.0 0.7
6-14 0.2% 0.2
5-15 0.1% 0.1
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 64.2% 8.1% 56.1% 8.1 0.3 0.7 1.7 2.9 4.1 5.5 7.5 9.4 11.0 11.9 8.8 0.5 35.8 61.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 1.7 44.7 39.5 15.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 100.0% 2.1 20.8 54.2 16.7 8.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0% 100.0% 2.8 8.3 25.0 50.0 16.7