Clemson
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +14.0 38
Expected Predictive Rating +16.1 29
Pace 62.2 338
Improvement +0.6 162

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B #72 B+ C B B B
Defense A- #16 A- A- B- C+ B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 97 64% 60 +4.4 42
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% 320 46% 22 -1.6 265
Three Pointers 45% 107 36% 105 +3.2 76
1st FG Attempt 1.14 40 +5.9 40
Second Chance 29.3% 214 1.07 110 0.31 166
Turnovers 14.8% 52
Freethrows 0.35 52 73% 152 0.26 56
Total Offense +4.8 72

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 309 52% 44 +4.9 39
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 60 33% 27 -0.3 215
Three Pointers 42% 155 30% 30 +2.3 87
1st FG Attempt 0.88 15 +6.9 15
Second Chance 22.5% 5 0.98 106 0.22 12
Turnovers 18.9% 71
Freethrows 0.28 103 75% 319 0.21 146
Total Defense +9.2 16

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +1.1 45 -0.9 50
Shot Type Accuracy +4.6 51 -6.0 16
Possession Length 17.0 137 19.4 364
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 252 0.10 14
Improvement -2.0 #296 +2.5 #53

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 2% 7% 1%
Top 6 Seed 20% 42% 18%
NCAA Tourney Bid 95% 99% 95%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 95% 99% 95%
Average Seed 7.7 6.7 7.8
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 4% 27% 1%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four2% 0% 2%
First Round95% 99% 94%
Second Round51% 62% 50%
Sweet Sixteen13% 20% 12%
Elite Eight4% 6% 3%
Final Four1% 1% 1%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Duke (Away) - 11.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b5 - 26 - 6
Quad 26 - 212 - 8
Quad 35 - 017 - 9
Quad 47 - 024 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 327 New Hampshire W 88 - 38 99% +26  98% 1 - 0 A+ +37 B+ +9 B+ D- A+ A+ +28 A+ A C
 Fri, Nov 7 363 Gardner-Webb W 97 - 59 100% +21  99% 2 - 0 A- +16 A +11 D+ A A+ B +5 C+ B B
 Tue, Nov 11 292 Morehead St. W 83 - 56 98% +17  99% 3 - 0 A- +16 A+ +15 B B A+ B+ +6 A+ F C
 Sat, Nov 15 76 @Georgetown L 74 - 79 63% -1  39% 3 - 1 B- +6 B- +4 B- C- B+ C+ +2 C+ A D
 Mon, Nov 17 344 North Alabama W 81 - 61 99% +14  94% 4 - 1 B- +5 B +6 D+ A+ F C+ +1 B C- F
 Fri, Nov 21 56 West Virginia W 70 - 67 65% -2  23% 5 - 1 B+ +13 B +6 A F C B+ +7 A+ B- F+
 Sun, Nov 23 36 Georgia W 97 - 94 OT 49% -0  43% 6 - 1 A- +17 A +12 A A A B +5 C A+ A-
 Fri, Nov 28 305 Alabama A&M W 92 - 56 98% +25  96% 7 - 1 A+ +25 A +11 B+ B+ C+ A+ +13 C+ A+ D+
 Wed, Dec 3 17 @Alabama L 84 - 90 25% -9  3% 7 - 2 A- +15 A +13 A F+ A B- +3 C+ B- C
 Tue, Dec 9 21 BYU L 64 - 67 36% +5  61% 7 - 3 A- +15 C+ +3 C+ C+ D A +11 A+ F C+
 Sat, Dec 13 171 Mercer W 70 - 63 94% -0  40% 8 - 3 C+ +3 C- -1 B F A- B +5 C- A+ D
 Tue, Dec 16 90 South Carolina W 68 - 61 86% +6  81% 9 - 3 B +9 D+ -2 C+ C+ A- A +12 A+ B- A+
 Sun, Dec 21 45 Cincinnati W 68 - 65 59% +13  97% 10 - 3 A- +15 B +6 A+ D B- A- +8 A- C- B-
 Wed, Dec 31 67 @Syracuse W 64 - 61 61% +4  86% 11 - 3 1 - 0 B+ +14 D+ -3 A- F+ B- A+ +18 A+ A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 99 @Pittsburgh W 73 - 68 71% +2  65% 12 - 3 2 - 0 B+ +13 B- +4 A+ D- D- A- +9 B+ A- C
 Wed, Jan 7 37 SMU W 74 - 70 61% +7  97% 13 - 3 3 - 0 A- +15 B +6 B- C+ A A +10 A+ D A
 Sat, Jan 10 82 @Notre Dame W 76 - 61 66% +6  90% 14 - 3 4 - 0 A+ +25 A +12 B- A- A+ A+ +14 C+ B+ A
 Tue, Jan 13 129 Boston College W 74 - 50 91% +11  77% 15 - 3 5 - 0 A+ +23 B+ +8 A- A- C A+ +17 D+ A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 17 41 Miami (FL) W 69 - 59 65% +9  97% 16 - 3 6 - 0 A +20 B- +4 A+ F+ C+ A+ +17 A+ A A+
 Tue, Jan 20 27 North Carolina St. L 76 - 80 OT 56% -3  18% 16 - 4 6 - 1 B +8 C+ +3 B B- B+ B +5 B+ A+ D
 Sat, Jan 24 131 @Georgia Tech W 77 - 63 81% +6  75% 17 - 4 7 - 1 A +19 B+ +9 A+ F C+ A +10 A A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 31 99 Pittsburgh W 63 - 52 86% +10  91% 18 - 4 8 - 1 B+ +13 B- +4 C A+ D A +12 A B A+
 Wed, Feb 4 74 @Stanford W 66 - 64 63% +1  59% 19 - 4 9 - 1 B+ +13 B- +5 B C+ C A- +8 A- A+ F+
 Sat, Feb 7 73 @California W 77 - 55 63% +13  77% 20 - 4 10 - 1 A+ +33 A +13 A+ B C+ A+ +21 A A+ A+
 Wed, Feb 11 55 Virginia Tech L 66 - 76 75% -4  16% 20 - 5 10 - 2 C- -3 C- -0 C+ C+ A C- -3 D- B- A
 Sat, Feb 14 3 @Duke L 60 - 73 12%
 Wed, Feb 18 63 @Wake Forest W 72 - 69 58%
 Sat, Feb 21 93 Florida St. W 78 - 66 87%
 Sat, Feb 28 11 Louisville L 71 - 74 40%
 Tue, Mar 3 26 @North Carolina L 69 - 73 34%
 Sat, Mar 7 131 Georgia Tech W 78 - 63 92%
Totals 23 - 8 13 - 5 +14 B +5 B+ C B A- +9 A- A- B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B B A- B- B 42% 14% 45% B B+ C- C+ C B B C+ B A- B B+ B+ A- 34% 25% 42% B A- A C+ A- B- B- D C+
1.15 64% 46% 36% +5 +1 1.14 29% 1.1 .31 15% .35 73% .26 0.96 52% 33% 30% -6 -1 0.88 22% 1.0 .22 19% .28 75% .26
Nov
3		 New Hampshire B+ A F+ C B 46% 15% 39% B B+ F+ C D- A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 35% 17% 48% B A+ A A A C A+ A+ A+
1.27 71% 29% 33% +4 +1 1.13 24% 1.0 .24 9% .65 73% .47 0.55 39% 11% 16% -24 0 0.54 17% 0.8 .13 19% .16 44% .07
Nov
7		 Gardner-Webb A A+ D+ F D 41% 5% 55% A- D+ A C+ A A+ C+ F+ C- B A+ F C+ B 48% 9% 43% F C+ A- D+ B B F B F
1.39 81% 33% 26% +2 +2 1.11 46% 1.1 .51 4% .30 65% .19 0.84 38% 50% 32% -10 +2 0.86 18% 1.0 .18 23% .48 65% .32
Nov
11		 Morehead St. A+ B- A+ B- B 37% 14% 49% C B B- B- B A+ C A B- B+ A+ C+ A+ A+ 27% 31% 42% B+ A+ F D F C A- C A-
1.39 61% 57% 38% +7 +1 1.16 41% 1.0 .41 8% .33 78% .26 0.94 33% 36% 21% -15 -2 0.67 43% 1.0 .43 18% .23 73% .16
Nov
15		 Georgetown B- B- F B- C+ 32% 21% 47% B- B- C- C+ C- B+ B+ D+ B- C+ C+ D C C- 37% 33% 31% A- C+ A+ F A D F D+ F
1.06 59% 27% 36% 0 0 1.00 28% 1.0 .28 14% .33 70% .23 1.13 56% 44% 33% +1 -2 1.00 19% 1.3 .26 11% .52 78% .40
Nov
17		 North Alabama B C+ A D D 39% 4% 57% B+ D+ A+ D+ A+ F A+ B A+ C+ B+ A+ B+ B+ 35% 13% 52% C- B D B- C- F B- C+ B-
1.29 61% 50% 31% -1 +2 1.04 54% 1.1 .60 19% .39 80% .31 0.97 47% 17% 28% -11 +1 0.81 33% 1.0 .33 13% .27 67% .18
Nov
21		 West Virginia B A+ A- C+ A+ 36% 21% 43% C A D F F C A+ A- A+ B+ F A+ B+ A 22% 38% 40% A+ A+ A F B- F+ C B C+
1.06 71% 40% 35% +6 0 1.13 20% 0.3 .07 18% .35 79% .28 1.01 73% 21% 30% -6 -3 0.84 23% 1.4 .33 12% .33 63% .21
Nov
23		 Georgia A B- B A+ A+ 37% 30% 33% D- A B- A+ A A A+ A- A+ B F C+ B- D+ 28% 25% 48% A+ C A+ F A+ A- D D- F+
1.17 57% 41% 42% +5 -1 1.09 36% 1.2 .43 16% .41 76% .31 1.13 82% 40% 31% +5 -1 1.10 21% 1.3 .26 18% .38 81% .31
Nov
28		 Alabama A&M A A- A+ B- B+ 47% 8% 45% A- B+ C+ A B+ C+ A+ B A+ A+ F+ F A+ C- 22% 37% 41% A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ D+ B B- B
1.30 70% 50% 36% +8 +2 1.22 33% 1.2 .40 16% .54 75% .40 0.79 64% 47% 19% -4 -3 0.86 8% 0.7 .05 16% .29 71% .20
Dec
3		 Alabama A C A+ F B+ 57% 16% 27% A+ A A+ F F+ A A+ A+ A+ B- B F C- C 31% 14% 55% B C+ C B B- C F A- F
1.17 53% 78% 27% +1 +2 1.07 41% 0.3 .14 10% .43 79% .34 1.25 56% 71% 36% +6 0 1.14 34% 1.1 .37 12% .49 71% .35
Dec
9		 BYU C+ D+ B- D C- 34% 11% 55% A+ C+ A+ F C+ D B+ A+ A+ A B- A A+ A+ 36% 28% 36% B- A+ D- F+ F C+ B+ F C+
1.05 53% 40% 29% -5 +1 0.93 46% 0.7 .32 20% .31 87% .27 1.10 59% 31% 18% -11 -1 0.79 43% 1.4 .59 15% .27 86% .23
Dec
13		 Mercer C- A A+ D B- 40% 10% 50% B+ B D- F F A- B C+ B B F F A D 27% 31% 42% A C- A+ F A+ D A+ A+ A+
1.10 70% 60% 32% +6 +1 1.16 26% 0.3 .06 14% .29 75% .22 0.99 71% 50% 27% +3 -2 1.04 10% 1.3 .13 14% .18 50% .09
Dec
16		 South Carolina D+ B- C- F C 48% 25% 27% B- C+ F A+ C+ A- A+ F A+ A B- F+ A+ A+ 35% 13% 52% D+ A+ B C+ B- A+ F D+ F
1.03 62% 36% 25% -2 0 0.98 14% 2.0 .29 12% .53 61% .33 0.92 56% 50% 17% -13 +1 0.78 26% 1.0 .26 21% .44 83% .36
Dec
21		 Cincinnati B D B- A+ A+ 45% 15% 40% A- A+ F A+ D B- C B C+ A- A+ B F A 38% 18% 44% D+ A- B F+ C- B- C D- C-
1.02 48% 43% 47% +4 +1 1.13 7% 2.5 .18 18% .26 71% .18 0.97 32% 33% 41% -6 0 0.90 29% 1.2 .34 18% .27 73% .20
Dec
31		 Syracuse D+ B B- D- B+ 56% 16% 28% A- A- F+ D F+ B- F+ F F A+ B+ A+ C- A+ 40% 26% 33% B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F F F
0.96 61% 38% 29% -1 +2 1.04 22% 1.0 .22 18% .22 50% .11 0.92 53% 27% 36% -4 -1 0.93 17% 0.4 .07 23% .47 83% .39
Jan
3		 Pittsburgh B- A+ A+ B A+ 39% 15% 46% B- A+ F B- D- D- A+ D A+ A- C+ A+ B- B+ 44% 23% 33% C+ B+ A+ F A- C F F+ F
1.09 75% 50% 37% +10 +1 1.24 16% 1.0 .16 21% .47 72% .34 1.01 57% 27% 31% -4 0 0.94 20% 1.3 .27 16% .39 73% .28
Jan
7		 SMU B B+ F D- C 38% 2% 60% A+ B- C+ B- C+ A A+ C+ A+ A A A+ A- A+ 34% 27% 39% B- A+ B- F D A F F F
1.13 67% 0% 29% -2 +2 1.02 31% 1.0 .31 14% .42 71% .30 1.07 50% 27% 31% -7 -1 0.85 35% 1.3 .44 20% .55 90% .49
Jan
10		 Notre Dame A A+ A+ F B 27% 25% 47% D+ B- C+ A+ A- A+ B- A+ A- A+ C+ A+ F C 24% 26% 50% A- C+ A+ F B+ A D B- D+
1.19 71% 54% 25% +1 -1 1.02 26% 1.4 .35 9% .31 83% .26 0.95 60% 27% 43% +4 -2 1.07 21% 1.2 .24 22% .36 67% .24
Jan
13		 Boston College B+ F A A+ A- 38% 23% 40% C A- C+ A+ A- C A+ B+ A+ A+ C- B+ F+ D 38% 30% 33% B- D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ A+
1.13 44% 45% 42% +2 0 1.04 29% 1.2 .35 15% .41 70% .29 0.76 60% 33% 38% +2 -1 1.03 19% 0.7 .13 29% .28 38% .11
Jan
17		 Miami (FL) B- C- A+ A+ A+ 51% 15% 34% A+ A+ F D+ F+ C+ F+ B- D- A+ B- A+ A- A+ 36% 19% 45% B+ A+ A- B+ A A+ B+ F C+
1.07 54% 57% 50% +9 +2 1.23 15% 1.0 .15 19% .19 70% .13 0.91 59% 22% 29% -6 0 0.89 31% 0.9 .29 25% .29 79% .23
Jan
20		 North Carolina St. C+ A- F C+ B 36% 9% 55% B B C+ B+ B- B+ A+ D- B+ B C A+ C- A- 40% 17% 42% C+ B+ A+ A+ A+ D F+ F F
1.06 65% 25% 35% +2 +1 1.09 27% 1.1 .30 18% .41 63% .26 1.12 62% 22% 36% 0 +1 1.04 17% 0.7 .11 10% .39 88% .34
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Georgia Tech B+ A- B- A+ A+ 32% 19% 49% C+ A+ C F F C+ D- A- D+ A A+ B- D- B+ 22% 37% 41% A+ A A A A+ F+ C+ C- C
1.16 65% 40% 42% +9 0 1.19 28% 0.4 .13 15% .23 77% .18 0.95 36% 33% 40% -3 -3 0.90 24% 0.9 .22 14% .30 71% .21
Jan
31		 Pittsburgh B- D+ F C+ D+ 41% 5% 54% A C D+ A+ A+ D A+ A+ A+ A F+ A A+ A+ 36% 16% 48% C A F A+ B A+ B- B- B-
1.12 53% 0% 35% -3 +2 1.00 23% 2.2 .50 20% .44 85% .37 0.92 69% 29% 19% -8 0 0.86 44% 0.7 .31 25% .26 64% .17
Feb
4		 Stanford B- C- F A+ B- 44% 15% 41% A- B D+ A C+ C A+ B- A+ A- B- C- B+ B+ 32% 19% 49% A+ A- A+ A+ A+ F+ A+ D A+
1.07 56% 17% 41% 0 +1 1.05 23% 1.3 .31 19% .44 77% .34 1.03 53% 40% 31% -4 0 0.94 26% 0.7 .18 11% .16 78% .13
Feb
7		 California A A A+ A+ A+ 33% 15% 52% C A+ F A+ B C+ B+ F C+ A+ B+ B- B- A 37% 37% 26% A A A+ A+ A+ A+ B F C+
1.19 67% 57% 42% +12 0 1.26 15% 2.3 .33 15% .35 58% .20 0.85 53% 35% 33% -3 -2 0.91 14% 0.0 .00 22% .30 87% .26
Feb
11		 Virginia Tech C- D- C- C+ C 51% 17% 32% A- C+ D- A+ C+ A A F B- C- B A+ F D 50% 11% 39% F D- A+ F B- A A- F C-
1.02 50% 38% 33% -4 +1 0.96 24% 1.4 .33 14% .32 61% .20 1.17 57% 20% 50% +7 +2 1.20 17% 2.0 .35 20% .25 100% .25



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.3 1.2 4.1 1st
2nd 0.0 5.4 17.5 7.2 30.1 2nd
3rd 2.4 21.0 10.9 0.1 34.4 3rd
4th 0.1 8.6 8.8 0.1 17.5 4th
5th 1.1 8.0 0.7 9.8 5th
6th 0.0 1.8 1.2 3.1 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 0.0 1.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.0 0.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 0.3 3.8 20.3 35.9 29.0 9.6 1.2 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 1.2    0.7 0.5
15-3 24.3% 2.3    0.3 1.3 0.7 0.0
14-4 1.8% 0.5    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 0.0% 0.0    0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total 4.1% 4.1 1.1 1.8 1.0 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 1.2% 100.0% 11.8% 88.2% 4.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-3 9.6% 100.0% 9.6% 90.4% 6.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.1 3.6 2.6 0.5 0.0 100.0%
14-4 29.0% 99.2% 6.3% 93.0% 7.0 0.0 0.3 2.3 6.8 10.1 6.8 2.3 0.3 0.2 99.2%
13-5 35.9% 96.6% 4.0% 92.6% 8.0 0.0 0.3 2.8 8.4 12.2 7.9 2.8 0.3 1.2 96.5%
12-6 20.3% 89.4% 2.6% 86.8% 8.8 0.1 0.3 1.6 4.8 6.2 4.2 1.0 2.2 89.1%
11-7 3.8% 76.4% 0.5% 75.9% 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.1 0.6 0.9 76.3%
10-8 0.3% 66.7% 3.7% 63.0% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 65.4%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 95.4% 4.9% 90.5% 7.7 4.6 95.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3% 100.0% 4.7 15.4 19.2 42.3 23.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3% 100.0% 4.8 6.9 37.9 27.6 24.1 3.4