Gardner-Webb
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.4#360
Expected Predictive Rating-13.2#342
Pace76.8#36
Improvement-1.4#285

Offense
Total Offense-7.8#353
First Shot-7.3#350
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#203
Layup/Dunks-2.8#274
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#332
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#159
Freethrows-2.3#304
Improvement-0.4#217

Defense
Total Defense-6.7#353
First Shot-6.4#353
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#202
Layups/Dunks-4.4#323
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#165
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.2#346
Freethrows+3.6#16
Improvement-1.0#277
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.6% 0.8% 0.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 76.5% 71.2% 78.1%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia Southern (Home) - 23.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 50 - 8
Quad 30 - 60 - 14
Quad 43 - 103 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 95 @Minnesota L 60-87 3%     0 - 1 -18.9 -10.6 -7.5
  Fri, Nov 7 33 @Clemson L 59-97 1%     0 - 2 -21.7 -6.6 -15.2
  Sat, Nov 15 223 @Elon L 84-95 11%     0 - 3 -11.7 +0.1 -11.0
  Tue, Nov 18 121 @DePaul L 62-93 4%     0 - 4 -25.0 -14.6 -6.8
  Sat, Nov 22 104 @Richmond L 67-102 3%     0 - 5 -27.5 -7.0 -18.2
  Wed, Nov 26 198 Navy L 51-84 13%     0 - 6 -35.4 -19.6 -17.5
  Fri, Nov 28 248 SE Louisiana L 68-76 18%     0 - 7 -12.8 -5.6 -7.0
  Sat, Nov 29 109 @UNC Wilmington L 62-88 3%     0 - 8 -18.9 -8.0 -11.1
  Wed, Dec 3 199 @Queens L 74-107 9%     0 - 9 -32.4 -6.2 -24.7
  Sat, Dec 6 226 Georgia Southern L 77-84 24%    
  Mon, Dec 15 208 Wofford L 74-82 22%    
  Sun, Dec 21 16 @Tennessee L 59-94 0.1%   
  Sat, Jan 3 107 @Winthrop L 71-93 2%    
  Wed, Jan 7 93 @High Point L 71-94 2%    
  Wed, Jan 14 290 Radford L 80-84 34%    
  Sat, Jan 17 257 Presbyterian L 65-71 29%    
  Wed, Jan 21 289 @Longwood L 73-83 17%    
  Sat, Jan 24 278 South Carolina Upstate L 75-80 33%    
  Thu, Jan 29 210 @UNC Asheville L 71-85 10%    
  Wed, Feb 4 289 Longwood L 76-80 34%    
  Sat, Feb 7 257 @Presbyterian L 62-74 14%    
  Thu, Feb 12 107 Winthrop L 74-90 8%    
  Sat, Feb 14 93 @High Point L 71-94 2%    
  Thu, Feb 19 290 @Radford L 77-87 18%    
  Thu, Feb 26 210 UNC Asheville L 74-82 22%    
  Sat, Feb 28 278 @South Carolina Upstate L 72-83 17%    
Projected Record 3 - 23 2 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.7 4th
5th 0.2 0.8 0.5 0.1 1.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 1.8 1.5 0.1 3.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 3.9 3.2 0.5 0.0 9.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 4.9 8.9 6.4 1.1 0.0 22.3 8th
9th 10.7 20.5 19.4 9.7 1.9 0.0 62.2 9th
Total 10.8 21.5 24.3 19.8 12.6 6.4 2.9 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0% 0.0
9-7 0.2% 7.1% 7.1% 16.0 0.0 0.2
8-8 0.4% 0.4
7-9 1.0% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 1.0
6-10 2.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.9
5-11 6.4% 6.4
4-12 12.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.6
3-13 19.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 19.8
2-14 24.3% 24.3
1-15 21.5% 21.5
0-16 10.8% 10.8
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 6.3%