Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.8#234
Expected Predictive Rating+0.4#162
Pace77.9#17
Improvement+0.2#166

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#251
First Shot-6.0#337
After Offensive Rebound+3.2#27
Layup/Dunks+1.5#131
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#346
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#176
Freethrows-4.0#356
Improvement-0.2#189

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#198
First Shot+0.8#143
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#313
Layups/Dunks+0.6#146
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#72
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#151
Freethrows-2.3#322
Improvement+0.4#152
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.4% 3.6% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.3 14.6
.500 or above 55.3% 74.6% 49.6%
.500 or above in Conference 53.5% 73.3% 47.7%
Conference Champion 2.5% 5.7% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 4.2% 1.3% 5.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round2.4% 3.6% 2.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas St. (Away) - 22.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 33 - 53 - 10
Quad 412 - 516 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 346   Northern Illinois W 80-65 85%     1 - 0 +0.0 -3.5 +2.6
  Nov 08, 2024 134   @ UNC Wilmington L 84-92 22%     1 - 1 -3.5 +3.9 -6.7
  Nov 15, 2024 276   NC Central W 80-75 60%     2 - 1 -1.2 -3.9 +2.2
  Nov 16, 2024 187   @ Winthrop W 89-87 30%     3 - 1 +3.7 -0.4 +3.8
  Nov 17, 2024 222   William & Mary L 87-102 47%     3 - 2 -18.0 -2.6 -13.4
  Nov 23, 2024 341   West Georgia W 64-54 84%     4 - 2 -4.4 -17.0 +12.5
  Nov 30, 2024 67   @ Drake L 47-61 8%     4 - 3 -2.5 -14.5 +10.7
  Dec 04, 2024 57   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 54-89 7%     4 - 4 -22.5 -8.7 -14.8
  Dec 07, 2024 188   North Florida W 93-91 OT 52%     5 - 4 -2.3 -1.5 -1.1
  Dec 13, 2024 101   @ Louisiana Tech L 63-77 14%     5 - 5 -5.9 -0.6 -6.5
  Dec 17, 2024 238   Gardner-Webb W 86-81 63%     6 - 5 -2.3 +2.4 -5.0
  Dec 21, 2024 139   @ Texas St. L 70-78 23%    
  Jan 02, 2025 329   Louisiana Monroe W 78-69 80%    
  Jan 04, 2025 202   South Alabama W 73-72 54%    
  Jan 08, 2025 263   @ Georgia St. L 77-78 45%    
  Jan 11, 2025 190   @ Marshall L 76-81 31%    
  Jan 16, 2025 268   @ Coastal Carolina L 70-71 46%    
  Jan 18, 2025 315   @ Old Dominion W 79-77 57%    
  Jan 22, 2025 268   Coastal Carolina W 73-68 68%    
  Jan 25, 2025 190   Marshall W 79-78 52%    
  Jan 30, 2025 125   @ Troy L 71-80 21%    
  Feb 01, 2025 283   @ Southern Miss L 75-76 50%    
  Feb 05, 2025 291   Louisiana W 80-74 71%    
  Feb 13, 2025 115   James Madison L 74-78 36%    
  Feb 15, 2025 315   Old Dominion W 82-74 76%    
  Feb 20, 2025 173   @ Appalachian St. L 67-73 30%    
  Feb 22, 2025 115   @ James Madison L 71-81 18%    
  Feb 25, 2025 173   Appalachian St. W 71-70 50%    
  Feb 28, 2025 263   Georgia St. W 80-75 66%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.2 1.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 4.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 3.0 1.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 6.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.5 4.1 2.5 0.4 0.0 8.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 4.5 3.6 0.6 0.0 9.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.9 5.1 1.0 0.0 10.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.7 6.0 2.0 0.1 11.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.6 5.9 3.2 0.2 0.0 11.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 4.4 4.0 0.5 0.0 9.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.6 4.3 1.1 0.0 8.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.7 1.7 0.1 7.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.5 1.5 0.2 0.0 5.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 1.2 0.2 0.0 3.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.0 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.3 5.8 8.8 12.3 14.3 14.6 13.5 10.5 7.4 4.2 2.2 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
16-2 92.7% 0.2    0.2 0.0 0.0
15-3 70.6% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
14-4 41.0% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0
13-5 12.6% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.7% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.5% 2.5 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 21.4% 21.4% 12.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 17.9% 17.9% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.9% 13.4% 13.4% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8
14-4 2.2% 11.7% 11.7% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.9
13-5 4.2% 8.0% 8.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.9
12-6 7.4% 6.3% 6.3% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 6.9
11-7 10.5% 4.0% 4.0% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 10.0
10-8 13.5% 2.5% 2.5% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 13.1
9-9 14.6% 1.3% 1.3% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.4
8-10 14.3% 0.8% 0.8% 15.5 0.1 0.1 14.2
7-11 12.3% 0.6% 0.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 12.2
6-12 8.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.8
5-13 5.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.8
4-14 3.3% 3.3
3-15 1.4% 1.4
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.3 97.6 0.0%