Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.0#226
Expected Predictive Rating-3.3#216
Pace75.7#42
Improvement+0.4#161

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#213
First Shot+0.3#169
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#296
Layup/Dunks-1.7#241
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#256
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#60
Freethrows-0.8#223
Improvement-2.0#331

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#245
First Shot-0.2#178
After Offensive Rebounds-2.1#302
Layups/Dunks-2.0#251
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#90
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#118
Freethrows-1.4#273
Improvement+2.4#21
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.5% 5.0% 3.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.8 15.0
.500 or above 55.7% 61.7% 36.3%
.500 or above in Conference 63.4% 66.1% 54.5%
Conference Champion 6.1% 6.7% 4.2%
Last Place in Conference 2.1% 1.7% 3.5%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round4.4% 4.9% 2.9%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Gardner-Webb (Away) - 76.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 33 - 63 - 8
Quad 412 - 715 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 245 @East Carolina L 89-92 41%     0 - 1 -4.7 +5.6 -9.9
  Sat, Nov 8 210 UNC Asheville W 93-90 58%     1 - 1 -3.0 +3.9 -7.3
  Tue, Nov 11 177 @Florida Gulf Coast W 95-94 29%     2 - 1 +2.7 +17.2 -14.6
  Tue, Nov 18 134 @Georgia Tech L 66-68 20%     2 - 2 +2.8 -5.6 +8.5
  Fri, Nov 21 100 @Florida St. L 72-98 13%     2 - 3 -18.0 -7.2 -6.7
  Mon, Nov 24 178 Youngstown St. L 61-67 40%     2 - 4 -7.4 -9.3 +1.7
  Tue, Nov 25 269 Texas San Antonio L 64-77 58%     2 - 5 -19.0 -13.2 -5.2
  Sat, Nov 29 282 Houston Christian W 80-62 71%     3 - 5 +8.4 +5.2 +4.0
  Wed, Dec 3 188 Louisiana Tech W 77-69 54%     4 - 5 +3.0 +8.0 -4.6
  Sat, Dec 6 360 @Gardner-Webb W 84-77 76%    
  Sat, Dec 13 285 @West Georgia L 76-77 50%    
  Thu, Dec 18 334 Georgia St. W 81-71 81%    
  Sat, Dec 20 169 James Madison W 78-77 51%    
  Thu, Jan 1 260 @Coastal Carolina L 76-77 45%    
  Sat, Jan 3 220 @Old Dominion L 76-79 37%    
  Sat, Jan 10 165 @South Alabama L 71-77 29%    
  Thu, Jan 15 220 Old Dominion W 79-76 60%    
  Sat, Jan 17 260 Coastal Carolina W 79-74 66%    
  Thu, Jan 22 155 Arkansas St. L 82-83 47%    
  Sat, Jan 24 146 Troy L 75-77 44%    
  Thu, Jan 29 357 @Louisiana Monroe W 81-74 74%    
  Sat, Jan 31 318 @Louisiana W 71-69 58%    
  Wed, Feb 4 232 Texas St. W 74-71 62%    
  Wed, Feb 11 283 Appalachian St. W 73-67 69%    
  Sat, Feb 14 170 Marshall W 80-79 50%    
  Thu, Feb 19 334 @Georgia St. W 78-74 63%    
  Sat, Feb 21 283 @Appalachian St. L 70-71 50%    
  Wed, Feb 25 169 @James Madison L 74-80 30%    
  Fri, Feb 27 170 @Marshall L 77-83 29%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.2 2.1 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 6.1 1st
2nd 0.3 2.1 3.3 1.6 0.3 0.0 7.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.1 4.1 1.9 0.3 0.0 8.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 4.2 2.6 0.3 0.0 8.4 4th
5th 0.5 4.3 4.1 0.6 9.6 5th
6th 0.3 2.9 5.3 1.3 0.0 9.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 5.2 2.5 0.1 9.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 4.2 4.2 0.4 9.6 8th
9th 0.5 3.2 4.3 1.1 0.0 9.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.0 1.6 0.1 7.6 10th
11th 0.2 1.2 2.9 1.7 0.2 6.1 11th
12th 0.1 0.8 2.0 1.3 0.2 0.0 4.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.9 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.3 4.3 6.6 9.9 12.0 14.0 13.8 12.2 9.8 6.7 4.0 1.8 0.7 0.3 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 95.0% 0.7    0.6 0.1
15-3 81.2% 1.5    1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0
14-4 51.8% 2.1    0.8 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0
13-5 18.2% 1.2    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.6% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.1% 6.1 2.9 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 43.2% 43.2% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-2 0.7% 29.5% 29.5% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5
15-3 1.8% 26.5% 26.5% 14.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.3
14-4 4.0% 20.8% 20.8% 14.6 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 3.2
13-5 6.7% 14.7% 14.7% 14.8 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.1 5.7
12-6 9.8% 9.0% 9.0% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 8.9
11-7 12.2% 4.3% 4.3% 15.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 11.7
10-8 13.8% 2.3% 2.3% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 13.5
9-9 14.0% 0.7% 0.7% 15.8 0.0 0.1 13.9
8-10 12.0% 0.4% 0.4% 15.6 0.0 0.0 12.0
7-11 9.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.9
6-12 6.6% 6.6
5-13 4.3% 4.3
4-14 2.3% 2.3
3-15 1.0% 1.0
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.1 0.9 95.5 0.0%