James Madison
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.0#169
Expected Predictive Rating-0.3#181
Pace65.1#299
Improvement+0.9#112

Offense
Total Offense+2.3#114
First Shot+3.5#82
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#248
Layup/Dunks-1.3#225
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#331
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.4#15
Freethrows+0.5#144
Improvement+1.0#100

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#277
First Shot-3.7#304
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#156
Layups/Dunks-0.6#197
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#129
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#230
Freethrows-2.9#326
Improvement-0.1#203
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.4% 13.4% 9.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.2 14.5
.500 or above 81.4% 86.4% 68.2%
.500 or above in Conference 82.2% 84.4% 76.4%
Conference Champion 15.1% 16.4% 11.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.4% 0.5%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.3%
First Round12.3% 13.4% 9.6%
Second Round0.6% 0.7% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Norfolk St. (Home) - 72.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 34 - 55 - 8
Quad 413 - 518 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 54 @Akron L 71-85 11%     0 - 1 -1.4 -2.0 +1.0
  Sun, Nov 9 364 Coppin St. W 84-70 95%     1 - 1 -6.0 +3.0 -9.0
  Wed, Nov 12 289 @Longwood L 72-82 61%     1 - 2 -13.9 -2.9 -11.0
  Sat, Nov 15 230 @LIU Brooklyn L 79-88 50%     1 - 3 -10.0 +0.1 -9.4
  Tue, Nov 18 129 Towson W 81-75 48%     2 - 3 +5.4 +19.2 -13.0
  Mon, Nov 24 207 @Florida International W 80-72 46%     3 - 3 +8.0 +11.1 -2.7
  Tue, Nov 25 252 Nebraska Omaha W 88-77 66%     4 - 3 +5.8 +17.5 -10.8
  Sat, Nov 29 66 @George Mason L 66-82 12%     4 - 4 -4.4 +1.9 -7.2
  Wed, Dec 3 336 NC Central W 67-62 88%     5 - 4 -9.0 -5.1 -3.4
  Sat, Dec 6 231 Norfolk St. W 72-66 72%    
  Wed, Dec 17 220 @Old Dominion L 74-75 49%    
  Sat, Dec 20 226 @Georgia Southern L 77-78 49%    
  Sun, Dec 28 22 @Arkansas L 67-86 4%    
  Sun, Jan 4 155 @Arkansas St. L 76-80 36%    
  Wed, Jan 7 170 Marshall W 78-75 61%    
  Sat, Jan 10 220 Old Dominion W 77-71 69%    
  Thu, Jan 15 283 @Appalachian St. W 69-66 59%    
  Sat, Jan 17 170 @Marshall L 75-78 39%    
  Thu, Jan 22 165 South Alabama W 72-69 60%    
  Sat, Jan 24 232 Texas St. W 73-67 72%    
  Thu, Jan 29 146 @Troy L 71-76 33%    
  Sat, Jan 31 219 @Southern Miss L 74-75 49%    
  Wed, Feb 4 318 Louisiana W 73-62 83%    
  Thu, Feb 12 334 Georgia St. W 79-66 87%    
  Sat, Feb 14 283 Appalachian St. W 72-63 78%    
  Wed, Feb 18 260 @Coastal Carolina W 74-72 55%    
  Sat, Feb 21 334 @Georgia St. W 76-69 71%    
  Wed, Feb 25 226 Georgia Southern W 80-74 70%    
  Fri, Feb 27 260 Coastal Carolina W 77-69 75%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.3 4.8 4.1 2.5 0.8 0.1 15.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 3.1 5.7 3.5 0.9 0.1 13.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.6 5.5 3.4 0.6 0.0 12.2 3rd
4th 0.0 1.3 5.9 3.8 0.6 0.0 11.6 4th
5th 0.4 4.2 4.6 0.8 0.0 10.0 5th
6th 0.2 2.3 4.9 1.3 0.0 8.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.1 2.3 0.1 7.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.7 3.0 0.4 6.4 8th
9th 0.2 1.4 2.7 0.8 0.0 5.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 2.1 1.1 0.1 4.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.0 0.1 2.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.2 1.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 2.9 5.0 7.7 10.8 13.2 14.9 13.8 12.0 8.9 5.1 2.6 0.8 0.1 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8 0.0
16-2 95.1% 2.5    2.2 0.3
15-3 81.4% 4.1    2.8 1.2 0.1
14-4 53.7% 4.8    2.1 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-5 19.5% 2.3    0.5 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.0
12-6 3.6% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 15.1% 15.1 8.4 4.6 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 34.4% 34.4% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.8% 40.9% 40.9% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.5
16-2 2.6% 38.6% 38.6% 13.4 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.0 1.6
15-3 5.1% 35.4% 35.4% 13.8 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.3 0.0 3.3
14-4 8.9% 29.1% 29.1% 14.1 0.0 0.5 1.3 0.7 0.0 6.3
13-5 12.0% 23.0% 23.0% 14.4 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.1 0.1 9.3
12-6 13.8% 13.8% 13.8% 14.6 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.1 11.9
11-7 14.9% 7.4% 7.4% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.2 13.8
10-8 13.2% 3.3% 3.3% 15.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 12.7
9-9 10.8% 2.6% 2.6% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 10.5
8-10 7.7% 1.5% 1.5% 15.7 0.0 0.1 7.5
7-11 5.0% 0.8% 0.8% 15.8 0.0 0.0 4.9
6-12 2.9% 2.9
5-13 1.4% 1.4
4-14 0.7% 0.7
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 12.4% 12.4% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.9 4.2 0.8 87.6 0.0%