Florida International
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.9#243
Expected Predictive Rating-8.5#306
Pace73.5#57
Improvement+0.7#157

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#320
First Shot-4.4#303
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#253
Layup/Dunks+4.4#38
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#245
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.6#358
Freethrows+0.0#174
Improvement+1.9#81

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#153
First Shot+1.1#142
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#238
Layups/Dunks-1.7#243
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#75
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#59
Freethrows-1.6#285
Improvement-1.2#256
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 79.0% 62.3% 93.8%
First Four0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
First Round0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Sam Houston St. (Home) - 47.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 40 - 4
Quad 32 - 133 - 17
Quad 45 - 58 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 192   @ Rice L 70-77 29%     0 - 1 -6.0 -7.8 +2.3
  Nov 09, 2024 268   @ Southern Utah L 75-80 45%     0 - 2 -8.5 -8.8 +1.0
  Nov 18, 2024 310   Howard L 70-75 72%     0 - 3 -16.1 -13.9 -2.0
  Nov 22, 2024 206   Northeastern L 58-60 40%     0 - 4 -4.2 -10.6 +6.2
  Nov 23, 2024 258   Cal St. Bakersfield W 76-73 OT 53%     1 - 4 -2.6 -3.0 +0.4
  Nov 24, 2024 164   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 59-60 24%     1 - 5 +1.6 -7.6 +9.1
  Dec 04, 2024 106   Florida Atlantic L 77-88 26%     1 - 6 -9.3 -0.7 -8.1
  Dec 14, 2024 334   @ Stetson W 81-72 65%     2 - 6 +0.3 +1.3 -1.1
  Dec 17, 2024 150   @ East Carolina L 64-75 22%     2 - 7 -7.7 -7.5 -0.2
  Dec 21, 2024 330   IU Indianapolis W 75-69 78%     3 - 7 -7.1 -6.1 -0.8
  Dec 30, 2024 292   Utah Tech W 80-66 68%     4 - 7 +4.4 -4.0 +7.4
  Jan 02, 2025 120   Middle Tennessee L 69-73 32%     4 - 8 0 - 1 -4.2 -5.9 +1.9
  Jan 04, 2025 115   Western Kentucky W 85-66 30%     5 - 8 1 - 1 +19.4 +3.4 +13.5
  Jan 09, 2025 113   @ Louisiana Tech L 64-81 16%     5 - 9 1 - 2 -11.3 +0.0 -12.9
  Jan 11, 2025 181   @ Sam Houston St. L 74-81 27%     5 - 10 1 - 3 -5.6 -2.0 -3.3
  Jan 16, 2025 166   New Mexico St. L 52-59 41%     5 - 11 1 - 4 -9.5 -13.8 +3.4
  Jan 18, 2025 143   UTEP L 73-81 36%     5 - 12 1 - 5 -9.3 +3.1 -12.7
  Jan 25, 2025 90   Liberty L 59-82 21%     5 - 13 1 - 6 -19.3 -7.1 -13.5
  Jan 30, 2025 130   @ Jacksonville St. L 67-71 19%     5 - 14 1 - 7 +0.3 -1.8 +1.9
  Feb 01, 2025 170   @ Kennesaw St. L 67-73 25%     5 - 15 1 - 8 -3.7 -6.8 +3.4
  Feb 06, 2025 181   Sam Houston St. L 73-74 47%    
  Feb 08, 2025 113   Louisiana Tech L 66-72 32%    
  Feb 13, 2025 143   @ UTEP L 67-76 21%    
  Feb 15, 2025 166   @ New Mexico St. L 65-72 23%    
  Feb 22, 2025 90   @ Liberty L 61-75 9%    
  Feb 27, 2025 170   Kennesaw St. L 75-77 43%    
  Mar 01, 2025 130   Jacksonville St. L 68-72 37%    
  Mar 06, 2025 115   @ Western Kentucky L 71-81 16%    
  Mar 08, 2025 120   @ Middle Tennessee L 67-77 18%    
Projected Record 7 - 22 3 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.2 6th
7th 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.6 7th
8th 0.3 1.1 0.9 0.1 2.4 8th
9th 0.8 5.7 10.9 9.9 4.8 0.6 0.0 32.7 9th
10th 7.2 18.5 21.9 12.5 3.6 0.4 64.1 10th
Total 7.2 19.4 27.6 23.4 13.7 6.4 1.9 0.4 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0% 0.0
8-10 0.4% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 0.4
7-11 1.9% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 1.9
6-12 6.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 6.3
5-13 13.7% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 13.6
4-14 23.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 23.4
3-15 27.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 27.6
2-16 19.4% 19.4
1-17 7.2% 7.2
0-18
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.3 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 7.2%