Jacksonville
Atlantic Sun
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.0#205
Expected Predictive Rating+1.4#145
Pace70.0#152
Improvement-0.4#210

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#283
First Shot-5.6#330
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#82
Layup/Dunks-2.9#291
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#254
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#101
Freethrows-3.8#352
Improvement-2.6#342

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#121
First Shot+0.3#163
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#68
Layups/Dunks-4.8#338
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#100
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#67
Freethrows+1.2#106
Improvement+2.2#32
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.8% 13.2% 9.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 13.8 14.5
.500 or above 68.3% 87.3% 65.4%
.500 or above in Conference 83.3% 90.0% 82.3%
Conference Champion 11.1% 16.2% 10.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.2% 0.6%
First Four0.4% 0.1% 0.4%
First Round9.6% 13.2% 9.1%
Second Round0.4% 0.7% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Central Florida (Away) - 13.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 21 - 5
Quad 33 - 44 - 9
Quad 412 - 416 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2024 7   @ Florida L 60-81 3%     0 - 1 +0.1 -1.9 +1.1
  Nov 11, 2024 128   @ Furman L 69-78 25%     0 - 2 -3.9 -3.6 +0.2
  Nov 14, 2024 247   South Carolina St. W 71-62 71%     1 - 2 +1.2 -5.9 +7.0
  Nov 20, 2024 126   @ Virginia Tech W 74-64 24%     2 - 2 +15.3 +5.4 +10.0
  Nov 25, 2024 239   Mercer L 89-90 OT 59%     2 - 3 -5.3 +4.1 -9.2
  Nov 26, 2024 305   Siena W 75-64 71%     3 - 3 +3.2 +0.8 +2.6
  Nov 30, 2024 32   @ Georgia L 56-102 6%     3 - 4 -30.5 -8.1 -22.4
  Dec 10, 2024 85   @ Florida Atlantic L 63-85 14%     3 - 5 -12.5 -12.5 +1.7
  Dec 14, 2024 132   East Tennessee St. W 60-52 47%     4 - 5 +6.7 -12.4 +19.3
  Dec 21, 2024 84   @ Central Florida L 64-76 13%    
  Jan 02, 2025 107   Lipscomb L 68-71 38%    
  Jan 04, 2025 273   Austin Peay W 67-60 74%    
  Jan 09, 2025 343   @ Bellarmine W 75-68 73%    
  Jan 11, 2025 220   @ Eastern Kentucky L 72-74 42%    
  Jan 16, 2025 182   North Alabama W 72-70 58%    
  Jan 18, 2025 339   Central Arkansas W 75-63 87%    
  Jan 23, 2025 341   @ West Georgia W 73-67 72%    
  Jan 25, 2025 270   @ Queens W 74-73 52%    
  Jan 29, 2025 192   Florida Gulf Coast W 68-66 59%    
  Feb 01, 2025 188   North Florida W 79-77 58%    
  Feb 06, 2025 344   @ Stetson W 76-69 73%    
  Feb 08, 2025 343   Bellarmine W 78-65 87%    
  Feb 13, 2025 339   @ Central Arkansas W 72-66 71%    
  Feb 15, 2025 182   @ North Alabama L 69-73 36%    
  Feb 18, 2025 192   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 65-69 37%    
  Feb 20, 2025 188   @ North Florida L 76-80 37%    
  Feb 24, 2025 220   Eastern Kentucky W 75-71 63%    
  Feb 26, 2025 344   Stetson W 79-66 87%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.1 3.5 2.2 0.8 0.1 11.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.5 5.7 4.8 1.9 0.3 0.0 15.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 3.1 6.8 4.5 1.0 0.1 15.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.0 6.6 4.4 0.7 0.0 14.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.7 4.1 0.7 0.0 13.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 4.8 3.6 0.7 0.0 11.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 3.5 2.9 0.5 0.0 8.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 2.1 1.8 0.4 0.0 5.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 1.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.4 4.7 7.6 10.7 13.2 14.9 14.6 12.1 9.0 5.4 2.5 0.9 0.1 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 97.9% 0.8    0.8 0.1
16-2 88.2% 2.2    1.7 0.5 0.0
15-3 64.6% 3.5    2.0 1.4 0.2
14-4 34.5% 3.1    1.0 1.5 0.5 0.1
13-5 9.5% 1.1    0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0
12-6 1.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 11.1% 11.1 5.8 3.9 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 41.3% 41.3% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.9% 43.6% 43.6% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.5
16-2 2.5% 29.7% 29.7% 13.3 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 1.8
15-3 5.4% 23.1% 23.1% 13.6 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 4.2
14-4 9.0% 19.8% 19.8% 14.1 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.5 0.0 7.2
13-5 12.1% 13.9% 13.9% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.7 0.1 10.4
12-6 14.6% 10.0% 10.0% 14.8 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.2 13.1
11-7 14.9% 7.6% 7.6% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.2 13.8
10-8 13.2% 5.5% 5.5% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.3 12.5
9-9 10.7% 3.1% 3.1% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 10.3
8-10 7.6% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 7.5
7-11 4.7% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 4.6
6-12 2.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.4
5-13 1.3% 1.3
4-14 0.5% 0.5
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 9.8% 9.8% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.2 3.5 1.1 90.2 0.0%