Pacific
West Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.5#139
Expected Predictive Rating+3.7#120
Pace66.4#264
Improvement+1.4#83

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#148
First Shot+3.0#101
After Offensive Rebound-2.4#315
Layup/Dunks+0.8#155
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#46
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#192
Freethrows-0.4#206
Improvement+0.8#116

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#136
First Shot+0.3#158
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#138
Layups/Dunks+1.9#111
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#329
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#69
Freethrows-2.3#309
Improvement+0.6#132
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.9% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.7 11.5 11.9
.500 or above 76.3% 90.5% 73.1%
.500 or above in Conference 61.8% 71.8% 59.5%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 0.8% 1.9%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.4% 0.9% 0.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: California (Away) - 18.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 41 - 8
Quad 34 - 46 - 12
Quad 411 - 117 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 105 @Nevada L 77-78 29%     0 - 1 +6.3 +10.7 -4.4
  Wed, Nov 12 286 Long Beach St. W 69-66 85%     1 - 1 -6.8 -7.4 +0.7
  Sat, Nov 15 303 @Cal St. Fullerton W 85-73 73%     2 - 1 +7.1 +0.6 +5.3
  Thu, Nov 20 126 @Florida Atlantic L 59-82 34%     2 - 2 -17.3 -8.4 -10.7
  Mon, Nov 24 222 Stony Brook W 86-58 69%     3 - 2 +24.4 +14.9 +10.8
  Tue, Nov 25 275 Jacksonville W 68-53 77%     4 - 2 +8.8 +4.1 +6.9
  Sat, Nov 29 274 Sacramento St. W 68-54 84%     5 - 2 +4.8 -9.3 +13.9
  Wed, Dec 3 332 @Air Force W 80-65 79%     6 - 2 +7.9 +17.0 -6.8
  Sat, Dec 6 69 @California L 69-78 18%    
  Tue, Dec 16 8 @BYU L 62-83 3%    
  Sun, Dec 21 265 Nicholls St. W 76-66 83%    
  Sun, Dec 28 262 @San Diego W 78-74 65%    
  Tue, Dec 30 143 @Loyola Marymount L 67-70 40%    
  Fri, Jan 2 163 Oregon St. W 71-66 68%    
  Sun, Jan 4 298 Pepperdine W 76-64 87%    
  Thu, Jan 8 270 @Portland W 76-71 66%    
  Sat, Jan 10 262 San Diego W 81-71 83%    
  Wed, Jan 14 55 @Santa Clara L 68-79 16%    
  Sat, Jan 17 163 @Oregon St. L 68-69 47%    
  Sat, Jan 24 114 Seattle W 70-69 54%    
  Wed, Jan 28 270 Portland W 79-68 83%    
  Sat, Jan 31 99 @San Francisco L 68-74 28%    
  Wed, Feb 4 55 Santa Clara L 71-76 33%    
  Sat, Feb 7 298 @Pepperdine W 73-67 71%    
  Wed, Feb 11 143 Loyola Marymount W 70-67 62%    
  Sat, Feb 14 42 St. Mary's L 65-72 26%    
  Wed, Feb 18 158 @Washington St. L 75-76 45%    
  Sat, Feb 21 4 @Gonzaga L 63-86 2%    
  Sat, Feb 28 99 San Francisco L 70-71 48%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 1.9 1.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 5.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.4 3.0 1.0 0.1 11.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.2 6.6 3.5 0.6 0.0 15.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 4.5 7.1 3.1 0.4 15.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 4.1 7.2 3.1 0.4 15.3 6th
7th 0.2 3.6 6.2 2.7 0.2 13.0 7th
8th 0.2 2.1 4.6 2.1 0.2 9.2 8th
9th 0.1 1.4 3.5 1.8 0.2 7.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 2.0 1.1 0.1 3.9 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.1 2.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 12th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.8 4.2 6.9 10.8 13.2 15.3 14.9 12.8 9.1 5.5 2.7 1.2 0.3 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 61.5% 0.0    0.0
16-2 35.4% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
15-3 9.3% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 1.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.1% 0.0    0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.3% 5.1% 2.5% 2.5% 11.0 0.0 0.3 2.6%
15-3 1.2% 3.8% 3.3% 0.5% 11.3 0.0 0.0 1.2 0.6%
14-4 2.7% 2.6% 2.4% 0.3% 11.2 0.1 0.0 2.6 0.3%
13-5 5.5% 1.6% 1.6% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.4
12-6 9.1% 0.7% 0.7% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0
11-7 12.8% 0.4% 0.4% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.7
10-8 14.9% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 14.9
9-9 15.3% 0.1% 0.1% 12.7 0.0 0.0 15.3
8-10 13.2% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 13.2
7-11 10.8% 10.8
6-12 6.9% 6.9
5-13 4.2% 4.2
4-14 1.8% 1.8
3-15 0.9% 0.9
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 11.7 0.2 0.2 0.1 99.6 0.0%