Pacific
West Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +1.7 #132
Expected Predictive Rating +1.6 #134
Pace 64.9 #284
Improvement -0.7 #223

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #126 B- C F C C
Defense #161 B- B- D+ D+ A+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #149 1.13 #208 +0.0 #176
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #131 0.87 #43 +2.1 #78
Three Pointers 38% #248 1.14 #34 +0.8 #150
1st FG Attempt 1.08 #98 +2.9 #97
Freethrows 16.9 #210 77% #39 13.1 #149
Second Chance 35.6% #51 0.94 #315 0.33 #140
Turnovers 19.4% #336
Total Offense +1.5 #126

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 30% #347 1.16 #180 +4.9 #40
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% #17 0.77 #196 -3.2 #352
Three Pointers 41% #165 0.97 #124 +0.6 #151
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #102 +2.4 #102
Freethrows 18.9 #268 73% #192 13.8 #272
Second Chance 26.3% #43 1.07 #223 0.28 #91
Turnovers 14.9% #278
Total Defense +0.2 #161

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.4% #217 -3.2% #15
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 6.0% #86 -1.4% #156
Possession Length 19.0 #331 17.2 #170
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 #309 0.16 #155
Improvement +2.1 #75 -2.7 #322

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.1 12.0 12.2
.500 or above 76.7% 87.4% 61.9%
.500 or above in Conference 48.6% 62.2% 30.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.2% 1.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Seattle (Home) - 57.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 21 - 41 - 9
Quad 34 - 55 - 14
Quad 411 - 116 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 80 @Nevada L 77 - 78 20% -2  0 - 1 +9 +11 A+ F A+ -2 B C C
 Wed, Nov 12 250 Long Beach St. W 69 - 66 82% -3  1 - 1 -5 -6 F A F +1 A+ F B
 Sat, Nov 15 229 @Cal St. Fullerton W 85 - 73 60% +14  2 - 1 +11 +4 A+ F F +6 A+ A- F
 Thu, Nov 20 95 @Florida Atlantic L 59 - 82 26% -11  2 - 2 -14 -5 C D F -12 F A+ B+
 Mon, Nov 24 242 Stony Brook W 86 - 58 72% +17  3 - 2 +24 +15 A+ F F +10 A+ A- C+
 Tue, Nov 25 292 Jacksonville W 68 - 53 81% +7  4 - 2 +7 +3 F B D+ +7 A+ A+ F
 Sat, Nov 29 290 Sacramento St. W 68 - 54 87% +6  5 - 2 +4 -11 D D F +15 A+ A+ C
 Wed, Dec 3 340 @Air Force W 80 - 65 83% +9  6 - 2 +7 +18 B- A+ A+ -10 D+ F D
 Sat, Dec 6 75 @California L 61 - 67 20% -9  6 - 3 +5 +3 C B F +1 C+ B- C
 Tue, Dec 16 12 @BYU L 57 - 93 4% -18  6 - 4 -14 -7 D+ B+ F -6 B+ C D+
 Sun, Dec 21 232 Nicholls St. W 95 - 82 79% +7  7 - 4 +6 +15 A+ A+ F -10 F A+ A+
 Sun, Dec 28 209 @San Diego L 54 - 66 57% -9  7 - 5 0 - 1 -12 -14 F F F +1 A+ D- F
 Tue, Dec 30 155 @Loyola Marymount L 71 - 80 44% +1  7 - 6 0 - 2 -6 +3 D- B- D- -9 F A+ F
 Fri, Jan 2 195 Oregon St. W 84 - 53 75% +17  8 - 6 1 - 2 +26 +18 A+ B- D+ +11 A+ C B-
 Sun, Jan 4 279 Pepperdine W 74 - 69 85% +3  9 - 6 2 - 2 -5 +3 B+ A+ F -7 C- B+ D-
 Thu, Jan 8 210 @Portland L 89 - 90 OT 57% -4  9 - 7 2 - 3 -1 +13 C+ C+ A -14 D- F C
 Sat, Jan 10 209 San Diego W 77 - 70 77% -6  10 - 7 3 - 3 +1 +1 F D A- +0 B A- C-
 Wed, Jan 14 54 @Santa Clara L 69 - 85 14% -4  10 - 8 3 - 4 -3 +7 A+ B F -10 C C F
 Sat, Jan 17 195 @Oregon St. W 81 - 64 54% +6  11 - 8 4 - 4 +18 +18 A+ C A +1 B+ C F
 Sat, Jan 24 121 Seattle W 69 - 67 58%
 Wed, Jan 28 210 Portland W 77 - 69 77%
 Sat, Jan 31 101 @San Francisco L 68 - 74 28%
 Wed, Feb 4 54 Santa Clara L 72 - 78 29%
 Sat, Feb 7 279 @Pepperdine W 72 - 67 69%
 Wed, Feb 11 155 Loyola Marymount W 71 - 67 67%
 Sat, Feb 14 42 St. Mary's L 66 - 73 24%
 Wed, Feb 18 141 @Washington St. L 73 - 75 42%
 Sat, Feb 21 6 @Gonzaga L 65 - 87 2%
 Sat, Feb 28 101 San Francisco W 71 - 70 50%
Totals 15 - 14 8 - 10 +2 +2 B- C F +0 B- B- D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.9 0.2 2.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 7.1 12.0 6.4 1.2 0.0 27.2 4th
5th 0.1 5.8 11.3 3.2 0.2 20.6 5th
6th 0.0 2.4 11.4 4.2 0.2 18.2 6th
7th 0.4 7.4 5.4 0.4 13.6 7th
8th 0.0 2.6 5.9 0.7 0.0 9.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 3.7 0.9 0.0 5.0 9th
10th 0.0 1.1 1.3 0.1 2.5 10th
11th 0.2 0.8 0.1 1.1 11th
12th 0.1 0.0 0.1 12th
Total 0.3 2.3 8.1 16.7 24.0 23.0 15.6 7.6 2.2 0.3 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.3% 1.6% 1.6% 11.0 0.0 0.3
12-6 2.2% 0.9% 0.9% 11.8 0.0 0.0 2.2
11-7 7.6% 0.4% 0.4% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.6
10-8 15.6% 0.3% 0.3% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.5
9-9 23.0% 0.2% 0.2% 12.3 0.0 0.0 22.9
8-10 24.0% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 24.0
7-11 16.7% 16.7
6-12 8.1% 8.1
5-13 2.3% 2.3
4-14 0.3% 0.3
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 12.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%