Pacific
West Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.0#291
Expected Predictive Rating-9.8#319
Pace70.2#148
Improvement-2.3#310

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#296
First Shot-3.6#279
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#234
Layup/Dunks+0.2#172
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#215
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#293
Freethrows+0.7#128
Improvement+0.6#123

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#257
First Shot-4.2#311
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#67
Layups/Dunks-1.0#206
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#250
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#253
Freethrows-0.9#248
Improvement-2.9#346
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 1.7% 3.2% 0.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 28.3% 12.8% 41.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Diego (Away) - 45.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 6
Quad 20 - 60 - 12
Quad 32 - 52 - 18
Quad 45 - 67 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 151   San Jose St. W 80-67 24%     1 - 0 +13.2 +2.6 +10.2
  Nov 11, 2024 166   @ Hawaii L 66-76 18%     1 - 1 -7.4 -3.1 -4.6
  Nov 14, 2024 263   Northern Arizona L 57-60 56%     1 - 2 -11.5 -18.4 +6.7
  Nov 18, 2024 30   @ Arkansas L 72-91 3%     1 - 3 -2.9 +2.2 -3.7
  Nov 22, 2024 52   @ Missouri L 56-91 4%     1 - 4 -22.0 -9.1 -15.1
  Nov 27, 2024 363   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 83-71 89%     2 - 4 -8.4 -2.2 -6.0
  Nov 30, 2024 272   Cal St. Fullerton W 64-55 59%     3 - 4 -0.2 -6.8 +7.3
  Dec 02, 2024 76   @ Colorado L 66-75 6%     3 - 5 +1.5 -1.0 +2.6
  Dec 07, 2024 153   @ Illinois St. L 61-72 17%     3 - 6 -7.8 -5.7 -3.3
  Dec 14, 2024 106   @ UNLV L 65-72 10%     3 - 7 +0.3 -1.7 +1.6
  Dec 18, 2024 254   Portland St. L 75-81 54%     3 - 8 -13.9 -5.9 -7.7
  Dec 21, 2024 257   Idaho L 72-95 55%     3 - 9 -31.3 -4.0 -28.6
  Dec 28, 2024 56   @ St. Mary's L 60-70 4%     3 - 10 0 - 1 +2.6 +0.4 +1.0
  Dec 30, 2024 319   @ San Diego L 71-72 45%    
  Jan 02, 2025 62   San Francisco L 63-76 12%    
  Jan 04, 2025 198   Pepperdine L 72-74 42%    
  Jan 09, 2025 74   @ Washington St. L 66-84 5%    
  Jan 11, 2025 69   Oregon St. L 63-75 13%    
  Jan 16, 2025 320   @ Portland L 73-74 45%    
  Jan 22, 2025 162   Loyola Marymount L 68-72 37%    
  Jan 25, 2025 198   @ Pepperdine L 69-77 22%    
  Jan 30, 2025 74   Washington St. L 69-81 14%    
  Feb 01, 2025 77   @ Santa Clara L 66-84 5%    
  Feb 06, 2025 319   San Diego W 74-69 66%    
  Feb 08, 2025 6   Gonzaga L 65-88 2%    
  Feb 12, 2025 162   @ Loyola Marymount L 65-75 19%    
  Feb 15, 2025 69   @ Oregon St. L 60-78 5%    
  Feb 20, 2025 62   @ San Francisco L 60-79 4%    
  Feb 22, 2025 320   Portland W 76-71 67%    
  Mar 01, 2025 77   Santa Clara L 69-81 15%    
Projected Record 7 - 23 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 4th
5th 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.5 0.1 1.8 6th
7th 0.4 2.3 3.2 1.8 0.4 0.0 8.1 7th
8th 0.0 1.4 6.2 6.8 2.9 0.3 0.0 17.7 8th
9th 0.1 4.3 12.8 10.1 2.7 0.3 0.0 30.3 9th
10th 0.4 5.6 12.1 5.8 1.0 0.1 25.0 10th
11th 1.3 5.1 7.0 2.7 0.3 0.0 16.4 11th
Total 1.3 5.5 12.7 19.1 20.4 17.7 11.8 6.8 3.1 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.0% 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.1
10-8 0.4% 0.4
9-9 1.1% 1.1
8-10 3.1% 3.1
7-11 6.8% 6.8
6-12 11.8% 11.8
5-13 17.7% 17.7
4-14 20.4% 20.4
3-15 19.1% 19.1
2-16 12.7% 12.7
1-17 5.5% 5.5
0-18 1.3% 1.3
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.3%