Pacific
West Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.0#302
Expected Predictive Rating-8.8#310
Pace67.1#214
Improvement-2.3#286

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#274
First Shot-3.1#267
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#236
Layup/Dunks+0.4#166
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#202
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#292
Freethrows+0.6#133
Improvement+1.1#123

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#298
First Shot-5.6#337
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#74
Layups/Dunks-0.8#202
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#258
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#292
Freethrows-1.3#276
Improvement-3.4#336
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 33.4% 10.1% 74.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Diego (Home) - 63.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 6
Quad 21 - 61 - 12
Quad 32 - 43 - 17
Quad 43 - 77 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 146   San Jose St. W 80-67 19%     1 - 0 +14.1 +3.6 +10.1
  Nov 11, 2024 180   @ Hawaii L 66-76 18%     1 - 1 -8.4 -4.1 -4.5
  Nov 14, 2024 250   Northern Arizona L 57-60 49%     1 - 2 -10.7 -16.6 +5.7
  Nov 18, 2024 43   @ Arkansas L 72-91 3%     1 - 3 -4.9 +2.1 -5.6
  Nov 22, 2024 23   @ Missouri L 56-91 2%     1 - 4 -17.5 -6.4 -13.2
  Nov 27, 2024 363   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 83-71 89%     2 - 4 -9.3 -2.3 -6.9
  Nov 30, 2024 317   Cal St. Fullerton W 64-55 64%     3 - 4 -2.7 -7.5 +5.7
  Dec 02, 2024 98   @ Colorado L 66-75 8%     3 - 5 -1.6 -2.8 +1.3
  Dec 07, 2024 135   @ Illinois St. L 61-72 13%     3 - 6 -7.0 -6.5 -1.7
  Dec 14, 2024 101   @ UNLV L 65-72 9%     3 - 7 +0.1 -1.2 +0.9
  Dec 18, 2024 215   Portland St. L 75-81 40%     3 - 8 -11.5 -3.8 -7.4
  Dec 21, 2024 249   Idaho L 72-95 49%     3 - 9 -30.7 -4.2 -27.9
  Dec 28, 2024 31   @ St. Mary's L 60-70 2%     3 - 10 0 - 1 +6.6 +3.0 +2.4
  Dec 30, 2024 311   @ San Diego L 65-75 43%     3 - 11 0 - 2 -16.1 -8.6 -7.6
  Jan 02, 2025 72   San Francisco L 81-89 11%     3 - 12 0 - 3 -2.9 +18.8 -22.5
  Jan 04, 2025 217   Pepperdine L 70-87 41%     3 - 13 0 - 4 -22.6 -6.8 -15.5
  Jan 09, 2025 103   @ Washington St. W 95-94 OT 9%     4 - 13 1 - 4 +8.0 +11.7 -3.9
  Jan 11, 2025 76   Oregon St. L 55-91 12%     4 - 14 1 - 5 -31.0 -13.4 -20.3
  Jan 16, 2025 299   @ Portland L 81-84 OT 39%     4 - 15 1 - 6 -8.2 +1.8 -10.0
  Jan 23, 2025 136   Loyola Marymount L 68-73 25%     4 - 16 1 - 7 -6.0 +2.5 -9.0
  Jan 25, 2025 217   @ Pepperdine L 44-60 24%     4 - 17 1 - 8 -16.7 -28.9 +12.3
  Jan 30, 2025 103   Washington St. W 70-68 17%     5 - 17 2 - 8 +4.0 +6.5 -2.2
  Feb 01, 2025 64   @ Santa Clara L 49-83 5%     5 - 18 2 - 9 -23.0 -15.9 -9.8
  Feb 06, 2025 311   San Diego W 75-72 64%    
  Feb 08, 2025 11   Gonzaga L 66-89 2%    
  Feb 12, 2025 136   @ Loyola Marymount L 63-75 12%    
  Feb 15, 2025 76   @ Oregon St. L 62-80 4%    
  Feb 20, 2025 72   @ San Francisco L 62-80 4%    
  Feb 22, 2025 299   Portland W 75-73 60%    
  Mar 01, 2025 64   Santa Clara L 67-81 10%    
Projected Record 7 - 23 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 2.1 3.7 1.5 0.1 7.4 8th
9th 2.4 21.5 6.6 0.6 0.0 31.0 9th
10th 2.6 29.9 14.7 0.9 48.1 10th
11th 8.6 4.8 0.1 13.5 11th
Total 11.2 37.0 38.4 11.2 2.0 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 0.0% 0.0
7-11 0.1% 0.1
6-12 2.0% 2.0
5-13 11.2% 11.2
4-14 38.4% 38.4
3-15 37.0% 37.0
2-16 11.2% 11.2
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 11.2%