West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
11 Gonzaga 100.0%   4   28 - 3 16 - 2 +19.0      +9.1 26 +9.9 15 73.0 60 +21.5 6 +17.1 2
31 St. Mary's 97.5%   7   26 - 4 16 - 2 +14.6      +6.4 55 +8.2 20 64.1 299 +16.7 23 +18.7 1
43 Santa Clara 65.3%   11   23 - 7 15 - 3 +12.5      +8.6 34 +3.9 73 73.6 52 +12.5 45 +15.7 3
117 Seattle 0.0%   17 - 12 8 - 10 +3.0      -4.6 294 +7.6 26 69.3 154 +3.3 115 +1.1 6
122 San Francisco 0.3%   15 - 15 8 - 10 +2.8      +2.5 106 +0.3 159 65.3 264 +3.0 120 +2.3 5
127 Pacific 0.0%   15 - 14 8 - 10 +2.5      +0.3 156 +2.3 114 63.4 317 +1.3 138 +0.1 7
128 Washington St. 0.1%   11 - 19 7 - 11 +2.2      +3.3 96 -1.1 211 69.5 147 -0.7 170 -0.2 8
156 Loyola Marymount 0.0%   14 - 16 6 - 12 +0.2      -1.7 216 +1.9 123 68.1 187 -0.7 171 -1.9 10
160 Oregon St. 0.1%   16 - 15 9 - 9 0.0      0.0 165 -0.1 172 64.0 301 +1.6 133 +3.1 4
216 Portland 0.0%   11 - 18 6 - 12 -3.1      -2.4 236 -0.7 201 70.3 127 -1.5 187 -1.3 9
238 San Diego 0.0%   9 - 20 5 - 13 -4.4      -0.7 180 -3.7 283 71.0 110 -5.0 244 -3.9 11
270 Pepperdine 0.0%   7 - 22 4 - 14 -6.1      -2.8 246 -3.3 272 70.4 124 -6.5 267 -4.9 12


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Feb 28 11 Gonzaga 59 31 St. Mary's 70   
Sat, Feb 28 156 Loyola Marymount 66 117 Seattle 71   
Sat, Feb 28 127 Pacific 61 122 San Francisco 72   
Sat, Feb 28 160 Oregon St. 72 43 Santa Clara 93   
Sat, Feb 28 216 Portland 87 238 San Diego 74   
Sat, Feb 28 270 Pepperdine 88 128 Washington St. 79   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Thu, Mar 5 156 Loyola Marymount 77 238 San Diego 73 67%   
Thu, Mar 5 270 Pepperdine 74 216 Portland 77 61%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
St. Mary's 1.0 100.0
Gonzaga 1.0 100.0
Santa Clara 3.0 100.0
Oregon St. 4.0 100.0
Seattle 5.0 100.0
San Francisco 5.0 100.0
Pacific 5.0 100.0
Washington St. 8.0 100.0
Loyola Marymount 9.0 100.0
Portland 9.0 100.0
San Diego 11.0 100.0
Pepperdine 12.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
St. Mary's 16 - 2 26 - 4 100.0
Gonzaga 16 - 2 28 - 3 100.0
Santa Clara 15 - 3 23 - 7 100.0
Oregon St. 9 - 9 16 - 15 100.0
Seattle 8 - 10 17 - 12 100.0
San Francisco 8 - 10 15 - 15 100.0
Pacific 8 - 10 15 - 14 100.0
Washington St. 7 - 11 11 - 19 100.0
Loyola Marymount 6 - 12 15 - 16 100.0
Portland 6 - 12 12 - 18 100.0
San Diego 5 - 13 9 - 21 100.0
Pepperdine 4 - 14 7 - 23 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
St. Mary's 100.0% 100.0
Gonzaga 100.0% 100.0
Santa Clara
Oregon St.
Seattle
San Francisco
Pacific
Washington St.
Loyola Marymount
Portland
San Diego
Pepperdine


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Gonzaga 100.0% 67.1% 32.9% 4   0.5 9.1 24.8 37.9 23.1 4.3 0.3 0.0 100.0%
St. Mary's 97.5% 22.3% 75.2% 7   0.2 0.9 4.2 14.5 22.1 24.5 19.6 9.9 1.6 2.6 96.7%
Santa Clara 65.3% 10.0% 55.3% 11   0.0 0.5 1.3 4.1 8.1 21.4 29.4 0.5 34.7 61.5%
Seattle 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
San Francisco 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1 0.2 0.0 99.7 0.0%
Pacific 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Washington St. 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%
Loyola Marymount 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Oregon St. 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.0 99.9 0.0%
Portland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
San Diego 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Pepperdine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 2.6 0.6 35.7 63.5 0.3
1st Round 100.0% 2.5 1.0 49.8 49.0 0.2
2nd Round 98.0% 1.7 2.0 37.3 51.2 9.4
Sweet Sixteen 63.7% 0.7 36.3 54.7 8.8 0.2
Elite Eight 25.5% 0.3 74.5 24.6 1.0 0.0
Final Four 9.8% 0.1 90.2 9.7 0.1
Final Game 3.3% 0.0 96.7 3.3
Champion 1.2% 0.0 98.8 1.2

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Gonzaga 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 93.9% 56.3% 21.3% 8.6% 3.0% 1.1%
St. Mary's 97.5% 1.6% 96.8% 54.4% 12.8% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Santa Clara 65.3% 29.9% 50.9% 19.6% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Seattle 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
San Francisco 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Pacific 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Washington St. 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Marymount 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oregon St. 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Portland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
San Diego 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Pepperdine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%