San Francisco
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.0#99
Expected Predictive Rating+1.4#155
Pace67.6#232
Improvement-2.9#340

Offense
Total Offense+2.7#107
First Shot+1.1#149
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#91
Layup/Dunks-4.5#314
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#233
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.1#26
Freethrows+0.6#143
Improvement-2.0#332

Defense
Total Defense+2.3#103
First Shot+7.8#14
After Offensive Rebounds-5.4#362
Layups/Dunks+1.7#114
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#160
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#146
Freethrows+4.2#10
Improvement-0.9#269
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.9% 2.8% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Average Seed 11.1 10.9 11.4
.500 or above 73.3% 85.3% 64.6%
.500 or above in Conference 71.8% 77.2% 67.9%
Conference Champion 0.6% 0.9% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.3% 0.8%
First Four0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
First Round1.8% 2.5% 1.2%
Second Round0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi St. (Neutral) - 41.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 6
Quad 22 - 43 - 10
Quad 36 - 39 - 13
Quad 48 - 217 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 75 @Memphis L 70-76 30%     0 - 1 +4.6 -0.4 +5.3
  Wed, Nov 12 156 Portland St. W 80-70 78%     1 - 1 +7.0 +9.8 -2.6
  Sat, Nov 15 124 Bradley W 75-64 69%     2 - 1 +10.9 +5.3 +5.9
  Tue, Nov 18 302 Northwestern St. W 84-64 92%     3 - 1 +9.2 +14.9 -3.2
  Sat, Nov 22 95 Minnesota W 77-65 49%     4 - 1 +17.1 +15.0 +3.4
  Thu, Nov 27 64 Colorado L 69-79 36%     4 - 2 -1.2 -0.4 -1.1
  Fri, Nov 28 105 Nevada L 65-81 53%     4 - 3 -11.7 +0.0 -13.1
  Wed, Dec 3 200 North Alabama L 63-65 84%     4 - 4 -7.4 -7.5 -0.1
  Sun, Dec 7 81 Mississippi St. L 73-75 42%    
  Sat, Dec 13 46 @Saint Louis L 72-81 20%    
  Wed, Dec 17 259 Loyola Chicago W 78-64 90%    
  Sun, Dec 21 359 Morgan St. W 86-64 98%    
  Sun, Dec 28 114 @Seattle L 69-71 44%    
  Tue, Dec 30 163 @Oregon St. W 71-68 59%    
  Fri, Jan 2 262 San Diego W 84-70 90%    
  Sun, Jan 4 270 Portland W 81-67 90%    
  Thu, Jan 8 143 @Loyola Marymount W 70-69 53%    
  Sat, Jan 10 298 @Pepperdine W 76-66 81%    
  Tue, Jan 13 42 St. Mary's L 67-71 36%    
  Sun, Jan 18 158 Washington St. W 80-72 77%    
  Sat, Jan 24 4 @Gonzaga L 66-86 4%    
  Wed, Jan 28 55 @Santa Clara L 71-79 25%    
  Sat, Jan 31 139 Pacific W 74-68 72%    
  Tue, Feb 3 143 Loyola Marymount W 73-66 73%    
  Sat, Feb 7 42 @St. Mary's L 64-74 19%    
  Thu, Feb 12 163 Oregon St. W 74-65 78%    
  Sun, Feb 15 262 @San Diego W 81-73 75%    
  Wed, Feb 18 4 Gonzaga L 69-83 11%    
  Sat, Feb 21 55 Santa Clara L 74-76 44%    
  Sat, Feb 28 139 @Pacific W 71-70 52%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.2 1.1 2.8 2.6 1.4 0.2 8.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.1 6.2 3.9 0.8 0.0 14.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 5.0 7.9 3.8 0.6 0.0 18.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 5.1 7.6 3.6 0.4 0.0 17.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.7 7.2 3.2 0.3 0.0 15.0 6th
7th 0.3 2.5 5.5 2.5 0.3 0.0 11.1 7th
8th 0.2 1.7 3.4 1.7 0.2 7.2 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 2.1 1.3 0.1 0.0 4.5 9th
10th 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.7 0.0 0.0 2.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.3 4.9 7.8 11.9 15.7 16.6 15.0 11.5 7.3 3.5 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
16-2 44.1% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
15-3 15.9% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1
14-4 3.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.1% 0.0    0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.4% 34.2% 10.8% 23.4% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 26.3%
15-3 1.7% 17.5% 9.5% 8.0% 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.4 8.8%
14-4 3.5% 9.5% 6.9% 2.6% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 3.2 2.7%
13-5 7.3% 5.4% 5.0% 0.4% 11.3 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 6.9 0.4%
12-6 11.5% 2.6% 2.5% 0.1% 11.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.2 0.1%
11-7 15.0% 1.2% 1.2% 11.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 14.9
10-8 16.6% 1.0% 1.0% 11.7 0.0 0.1 16.5
9-9 15.7% 0.4% 0.4% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.7
8-10 11.9% 0.2% 0.2% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.8
7-11 7.8% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 7.8
6-12 4.9% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 4.8
5-13 2.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.3
4-14 1.0% 1.0
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 1.9% 1.6% 0.4% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.1 0.4%