Colorado
Big 12
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.9#98
Expected Predictive Rating+3.6#116
Pace68.9#163
Improvement-4.3#334

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#132
First Shot+0.6#157
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#127
Layup/Dunks+3.4#69
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#328
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#203
Freethrows+0.8#124
Improvement-1.3#268

Defense
Total Defense+3.4#86
First Shot+1.9#113
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#68
Layups/Dunks+0.5#150
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#225
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#219
Freethrows+2.2#48
Improvement-3.0#324
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.2% 0.6% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 96.3% 91.8% 98.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Utah (Away) - 31.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 62 - 12
Quad 21 - 73 - 19
Quad 33 - 16 - 20
Quad 45 - 011 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 252   Eastern Washington W 76-56 88%     1 - 0 +12.2 -0.6 +12.7
  Nov 08, 2024 154   Northern Colorado W 90-88 2OT 74%     2 - 0 +0.2 -3.9 +3.7
  Nov 13, 2024 317   Cal St. Fullerton W 83-53 93%     3 - 0 +18.3 +9.6 +10.1
  Nov 17, 2024 241   Harvard W 88-66 87%     4 - 0 +14.9 +13.9 +1.2
  Nov 25, 2024 15   Michigan St. L 56-72 13%     4 - 1 +0.9 -6.8 +7.4
  Nov 26, 2024 24   Connecticut W 73-72 17%     5 - 1 +16.0 +14.0 +2.1
  Nov 27, 2024 8   Iowa St. L 71-99 11%     5 - 2 -10.0 +5.0 -13.8
  Dec 02, 2024 302   Pacific W 75-66 92%     6 - 2 -1.5 -4.0 +2.4
  Dec 07, 2024 77   Colorado St. W 72-55 50%     7 - 2 +22.0 +1.6 +20.2
  Dec 13, 2024 114   South Dakota St. W 81-70 66%     8 - 2 +11.5 +14.7 -2.3
  Dec 21, 2024 356   Bellarmine W 79-55 96%     9 - 2 +8.0 -6.6 +14.2
  Dec 30, 2024 8   Iowa St. L 69-79 16%     9 - 3 0 - 1 +5.5 +6.8 -1.6
  Jan 04, 2025 61   @ Arizona St. L 61-81 26%     9 - 4 0 - 2 -8.5 -5.5 -2.6
  Jan 08, 2025 62   @ Central Florida L 74-75 26%     9 - 5 0 - 3 +10.4 +2.9 +7.5
  Jan 12, 2025 39   West Virginia L 70-78 33%     9 - 6 0 - 4 +1.4 +6.7 -5.5
  Jan 15, 2025 59   Cincinnati L 62-68 41%     9 - 7 0 - 5 +1.2 -4.1 +5.3
  Jan 18, 2025 102   @ Oklahoma St. L 73-83 41%     9 - 8 0 - 6 -2.9 +2.5 -5.1
  Jan 21, 2025 33   BYU L 67-83 27%     9 - 9 0 - 7 -4.8 +1.7 -7.5
  Jan 25, 2025 10   @ Arizona L 63-78 8%     9 - 10 0 - 8 +5.3 +2.9 +1.6
  Jan 28, 2025 61   Arizona St. L 68-70 44%     9 - 11 0 - 9 +4.5 +0.4 +4.1
  Feb 02, 2025 68   @ TCU L 57-68 30%     9 - 12 0 - 10 -0.6 -0.5 -1.6
  Feb 05, 2025 84   @ Utah L 71-76 31%    
  Feb 08, 2025 3   Houston L 58-73 8%    
  Feb 11, 2025 7   @ Kansas L 63-80 5%    
  Feb 15, 2025 62   Central Florida L 75-77 46%    
  Feb 18, 2025 8   @ Iowa St. L 64-80 7%    
  Feb 22, 2025 20   Baylor L 68-76 23%    
  Feb 24, 2025 7   Kansas L 66-78 15%    
  Mar 02, 2025 55   @ Kansas St. L 67-75 23%    
  Mar 05, 2025 12   @ Texas Tech L 64-79 7%    
  Mar 08, 2025 68   TCU L 67-68 49%    
Projected Record 11 - 20 2 - 18




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.5 1.2 0.2 1.8 14th
15th 0.1 2.3 4.2 1.5 0.1 8.3 15th
16th 9.2 23.6 30.5 19.7 5.4 0.5 88.8 16th
Total 9.2 23.6 30.6 22.0 10.1 3.5 0.9 0.1 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 0.0% 0.0
7-13 0.1% 0.1
6-14 0.9% 0.9
5-15 3.5% 3.5
4-16 10.1% 10.1
3-17 22.0% 22.0
2-18 30.6% 30.6
1-19 23.6% 23.6
0-20 9.2% 9.2
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 9.2%