Colorado
Big 12
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.5#75
Expected Predictive Rating+14.9#31
Pace68.9#181
Improvement+0.4#149

Offense
Total Offense+3.1#95
First Shot+1.1#147
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#70
Layup/Dunks+1.6#127
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#304
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#149
Freethrows+0.9#122
Improvement+0.9#100

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#67
First Shot+2.1#106
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#39
Layups/Dunks+3.0#77
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#273
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#281
Freethrows+2.6#37
Improvement-0.5#220
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 3.0% 3.0% 0.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid 23.7% 24.0% 11.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 23.5% 23.7% 11.5%
Average Seed 8.9 8.9 9.3
.500 or above 57.6% 58.2% 27.6%
.500 or above in Conference 19.7% 19.8% 11.7%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 17.1% 16.9% 29.2%
First Four5.5% 5.5% 4.1%
First Round20.7% 20.9% 9.4%
Second Round8.8% 8.9% 3.2%
Sweet Sixteen2.1% 2.1% 0.6%
Elite Eight0.6% 0.7% 0.2%
Final Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bellarmine (Home) - 98.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 82 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 44 - 12
Quad 24 - 37 - 15
Quad 33 - 011 - 16
Quad 46 - 017 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 253   Eastern Washington W 76-56 92%     1 - 0 +11.9 -4.0 +15.9
  Nov 08, 2024 197   Northern Colorado W 90-88 2OT 87%     2 - 0 -2.6 -4.3 +1.3
  Nov 13, 2024 275   Cal St. Fullerton W 83-53 93%     3 - 0 +20.8 +11.2 +11.0
  Nov 17, 2024 234   Harvard W 88-66 90%     4 - 0 +15.2 +14.6 +0.8
  Nov 25, 2024 15   Michigan St. L 56-72 23%     4 - 1 -0.8 -7.8 +6.8
  Nov 26, 2024 11   Connecticut W 73-72 19%     5 - 1 +18.0 +14.3 +3.8
  Nov 27, 2024 5   Iowa St. L 71-99 13%     5 - 2 -8.6 +3.4 -10.7
  Dec 02, 2024 276   Pacific W 75-66 93%     6 - 2 -0.3 -1.5 +1.1
  Dec 07, 2024 105   Colorado St. W 72-55 72%     7 - 2 +18.3 +0.2 +17.9
  Dec 13, 2024 123   South Dakota St. W 81-70 78%     8 - 2 +10.5 +14.4 -3.0
  Dec 21, 2024 343   Bellarmine W 84-62 98%    
  Dec 30, 2024 5   Iowa St. L 70-79 20%    
  Jan 04, 2025 63   @ Arizona St. L 70-74 34%    
  Jan 08, 2025 83   @ Central Florida L 71-73 42%    
  Jan 12, 2025 39   West Virginia L 69-70 46%    
  Jan 15, 2025 26   Cincinnati L 68-71 40%    
  Jan 18, 2025 96   @ Oklahoma St. L 74-75 47%    
  Jan 21, 2025 40   BYU L 74-75 48%    
  Jan 25, 2025 16   @ Arizona L 71-82 16%    
  Jan 28, 2025 63   Arizona St. W 73-71 56%    
  Feb 02, 2025 88   @ TCU L 68-70 43%    
  Feb 05, 2025 67   @ Utah L 72-76 36%    
  Feb 08, 2025 6   Houston L 61-70 22%    
  Feb 11, 2025 10   @ Kansas L 66-79 13%    
  Feb 15, 2025 83   Central Florida W 74-70 63%    
  Feb 18, 2025 5   @ Iowa St. L 67-82 9%    
  Feb 22, 2025 13   Baylor L 70-76 31%    
  Feb 24, 2025 10   Kansas L 69-76 28%    
  Mar 02, 2025 68   @ Kansas St. L 69-73 37%    
  Mar 05, 2025 24   @ Texas Tech L 67-76 20%    
  Mar 08, 2025 88   TCU W 71-67 64%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.6 4th
5th 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.4 0.0 2.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 1.8 0.9 0.1 3.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.2 1.9 0.3 0.0 4.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.3 3.1 0.7 0.0 6.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.8 4.0 1.7 0.1 7.7 9th
10th 0.0 1.1 4.2 2.9 0.3 0.0 8.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 3.8 4.2 0.9 0.0 9.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 3.1 5.3 1.8 0.1 10.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.2 3.0 0.3 10.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.8 3.6 0.6 0.0 10.9 14th
15th 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.3 3.7 1.0 0.0 11.2 15th
16th 0.2 0.9 2.3 3.3 2.6 0.7 0.1 10.0 16th
Total 0.2 0.9 2.7 5.3 8.7 11.6 13.6 14.0 12.6 10.8 8.0 5.4 3.3 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-3 87.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 51.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 24.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 1.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.1% 100.0% 6.7% 93.3% 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 0.3% 100.0% 5.3% 94.7% 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 0.8% 100.0% 3.2% 96.8% 5.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-7 1.6% 98.8% 3.4% 95.4% 6.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 98.7%
12-8 3.3% 96.8% 1.7% 95.1% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.1 96.7%
11-9 5.4% 90.3% 0.7% 89.6% 8.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 1.5 1.0 0.2 0.5 90.2%
10-10 8.0% 76.3% 0.5% 75.8% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.8 1.9 1.0 0.0 1.9 76.2%
9-11 10.8% 43.6% 0.5% 43.1% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.5 0.3 6.1 43.3%
8-12 12.6% 13.5% 0.1% 13.4% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.1 0.3 0.0 10.9 13.4%
7-13 14.0% 1.6% 0.1% 1.5% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 13.8 1.5%
6-14 13.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.6 0.0%
5-15 11.6% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 11.6
4-16 8.7% 8.7
3-17 5.3% 5.3
2-18 2.7% 2.7
1-19 0.9% 0.9
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 23.7% 0.3% 23.4% 8.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.5 2.4 3.7 4.6 4.4 5.1 0.7 0.0 76.3 23.5%