Colorado
Big 12
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.8#64
Expected Predictive Rating+16.8#23
Pace70.1#170
Improvement+2.6#30

Offense
Total Offense+6.9#48
First Shot+7.8#19
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#230
Layup/Dunks+6.1#23
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#203
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#292
Freethrows+6.0#3
Improvement-0.6#232

Defense
Total Defense+1.9#117
First Shot+2.9#85
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#254
Layups/Dunks-2.6#275
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#186
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#93
Freethrows+2.7#40
Improvement+3.2#8
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.0% 1.6% 0.5%
Top 6 Seed 4.2% 6.5% 2.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 35.1% 45.2% 27.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 34.8% 44.9% 27.2%
Average Seed 8.9 8.7 9.2
.500 or above 89.0% 95.3% 84.3%
.500 or above in Conference 33.7% 39.9% 29.0%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.7% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 7.9% 5.8% 9.5%
First Four9.2% 10.4% 8.3%
First Round30.1% 39.6% 22.9%
Second Round13.0% 17.6% 9.5%
Sweet Sixteen3.1% 4.4% 2.1%
Elite Eight0.9% 1.4% 0.6%
Final Four0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Colorado St. (Away) - 43.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 8
Quad 26 - 49 - 12
Quad 36 - 114 - 13
Quad 45 - 020 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 152 Montana St. W 84-78 86%     1 - 0 +3.1 +11.5 -8.2
  Sat, Nov 8 251 Eastern Washington W 102-97 OT 93%     2 - 0 -3.0 +11.9 -15.5
  Fri, Nov 14 72 Providence W 97-88 65%     3 - 0 +13.7 +12.9 -0.2
  Mon, Nov 17 268 Alabama St. W 94-66 94%     4 - 0 +19.0 +14.6 +4.1
  Fri, Nov 21 168 UC Davis W 95-79 88%     5 - 0 +12.1 +22.5 -10.4
  Thu, Nov 27 99 San Francisco W 79-69 64%     6 - 0 +15.0 +10.3 +4.9
  Fri, Nov 28 57 Washington W 81-68 48%     7 - 0 +22.4 +13.1 +9.5
  Mon, Dec 1 130 California Baptist W 78-70 82%     8 - 0 +7.1 +8.3 -1.0
  Sat, Dec 6 74 @Colorado St. L 74-76 43%    
  Sat, Dec 13 269 Texas San Antonio W 86-68 95%    
  Wed, Dec 17 156 Portland St. W 82-70 86%    
  Sat, Dec 20 84 Stanford W 80-78 58%    
  Sun, Dec 28 151 Northern Colorado W 83-71 86%    
  Sat, Jan 3 82 @Arizona St. L 79-80 45%    
  Wed, Jan 7 117 Utah W 83-74 78%    
  Sat, Jan 10 30 Texas Tech L 75-77 43%    
  Wed, Jan 14 68 @Cincinnati L 74-77 41%    
  Sat, Jan 17 65 @West Virginia L 69-72 40%    
  Tue, Jan 20 18 Kansas L 73-77 35%    
  Sat, Jan 24 63 Central Florida W 84-81 60%    
  Thu, Jan 29 6 @Iowa St. L 71-86 9%    
  Sun, Feb 1 48 TCU W 76-75 54%    
  Wed, Feb 4 28 @Baylor L 77-85 24%    
  Sat, Feb 7 82 Arizona St. W 82-77 66%    
  Wed, Feb 11 30 @Texas Tech L 72-80 24%    
  Sat, Feb 14 8 @BYU L 71-85 11%    
  Sat, Feb 21 47 Oklahoma St. W 85-84 53%    
  Wed, Feb 25 71 Kansas St. W 85-81 64%    
  Sat, Feb 28 7 @Houston L 63-77 11%    
  Tue, Mar 3 117 @Utah W 80-77 59%    
  Sat, Mar 7 9 Arizona L 76-84 26%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.5 0.4 0.0 3.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 2.4 1.1 0.1 0.0 5.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 3.3 1.6 0.2 6.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.3 2.9 0.3 8.4 7th
8th 0.2 3.3 4.3 1.0 0.0 8.9 8th
9th 0.1 1.9 5.5 2.0 0.1 9.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 4.9 3.9 0.4 0.0 9.9 10th
11th 0.2 3.3 5.2 1.0 0.0 9.6 11th
12th 0.1 1.5 5.4 2.1 0.1 9.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.9 4.2 3.5 0.4 0.0 8.9 13th
14th 0.3 2.5 3.4 0.7 0.0 6.9 14th
15th 0.0 0.4 2.0 2.9 1.0 0.0 6.3 15th
16th 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.5 0.7 0.1 3.9 16th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.6 3.8 7.0 10.3 13.6 14.7 14.8 12.5 9.1 5.9 3.6 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 93.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 65.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 21.0% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 2.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.3% 100.0% 12.5% 87.5% 3.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.8% 100.0% 6.7% 93.3% 4.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 1.5% 100.0% 3.8% 96.2% 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-6 3.6% 99.8% 2.6% 97.2% 7.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.8%
11-7 5.9% 93.9% 0.8% 93.1% 8.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.5 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.4 93.8%
10-8 9.1% 84.3% 0.5% 83.8% 9.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 2.2 2.1 1.0 0.0 1.4 84.2%
9-9 12.5% 64.5% 0.3% 64.2% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.8 3.1 2.0 0.0 4.4 64.4%
8-10 14.8% 35.8% 0.4% 35.4% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.7 2.8 0.2 9.5 35.6%
7-11 14.7% 13.2% 0.1% 13.1% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.4 0.1 12.8 13.1%
6-12 13.6% 2.6% 0.0% 2.6% 11.1 0.0 0.3 0.1 13.2 2.6%
5-13 10.3% 0.3% 0.3% 11.0 0.0 10.3 0.3%
4-14 7.0% 7.0
3-15 3.8% 3.8
2-16 1.6% 1.6
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 35.1% 0.5% 34.6% 8.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 2.1 3.5 5.0 6.4 8.1 7.7 0.4 64.9 34.8%