Colorado
Big 12
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.0#94
Expected Predictive Rating+6.0#94
Pace69.2#165
Improvement-3.2#324

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#126
First Shot+1.0#146
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#124
Layup/Dunks+3.5#61
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#327
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#200
Freethrows+0.9#118
Improvement-0.5#207

Defense
Total Defense+4.1#71
First Shot+2.6#97
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#63
Layups/Dunks+0.8#141
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#219
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#211
Freethrows+2.2#45
Improvement-2.7#316
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 1.2% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.7% 1.2% 0.3%
Average Seed 10.4 10.3 10.7
.500 or above 9.0% 16.1% 4.1%
.500 or above in Conference 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 60.1% 44.8% 70.5%
First Four0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
First Round0.5% 0.8% 0.2%
Second Round0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: BYU (Home) - 40.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 81 - 8
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 12
Quad 22 - 64 - 18
Quad 33 - 18 - 18
Quad 45 - 013 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 257   Eastern Washington W 76-56 90%     1 - 0 +11.9 -2.6 +14.4
  Nov 08, 2024 166   Northern Colorado W 90-88 2OT 80%     2 - 0 -0.9 -4.9 +3.6
  Nov 13, 2024 309   Cal St. Fullerton W 83-53 94%     3 - 0 +18.8 +9.6 +10.6
  Nov 17, 2024 215   Harvard W 88-66 86%     4 - 0 +16.3 +14.7 +1.8
  Nov 25, 2024 12   Michigan St. L 56-72 15%     4 - 1 +1.1 -7.2 +8.0
  Nov 26, 2024 24   Connecticut W 73-72 20%     5 - 1 +16.0 +13.6 +2.6
  Nov 27, 2024 4   Iowa St. L 71-99 9%     5 - 2 -7.5 +5.8 -12.1
  Dec 02, 2024 302   Pacific W 75-66 93%     6 - 2 -1.6 -5.0 +3.3
  Dec 07, 2024 76   Colorado St. W 72-55 56%     7 - 2 +21.5 +1.9 +19.5
  Dec 13, 2024 114   South Dakota St. W 81-70 71%     8 - 2 +11.2 +14.0 -1.9
  Dec 21, 2024 353   Bellarmine W 79-55 97%     9 - 2 +7.8 -6.4 +13.8
  Dec 30, 2024 4   Iowa St. L 69-79 14%     9 - 3 0 - 1 +7.7 +7.5 +0.0
  Jan 04, 2025 64   @ Arizona St. L 61-81 30%     9 - 4 0 - 2 -8.7 -6.3 -1.9
  Jan 08, 2025 71   @ Central Florida L 74-75 33%     9 - 5 0 - 3 +9.5 +2.8 +6.8
  Jan 12, 2025 32   West Virginia L 70-78 34%     9 - 6 0 - 4 +2.2 +6.3 -4.4
  Jan 15, 2025 39   Cincinnati L 62-68 38%     9 - 7 0 - 5 +3.1 -2.7 +5.9
  Jan 18, 2025 101   @ Oklahoma St. L 73-83 45%     9 - 8 0 - 6 -2.7 +2.7 -5.0
  Jan 21, 2025 44   BYU L 72-75 41%    
  Jan 25, 2025 13   @ Arizona L 69-83 9%    
  Jan 28, 2025 64   Arizona St. W 72-71 52%    
  Feb 02, 2025 62   @ TCU L 66-71 30%    
  Feb 05, 2025 69   @ Utah L 71-76 32%    
  Feb 08, 2025 3   Houston L 58-71 12%    
  Feb 11, 2025 6   @ Kansas L 63-79 7%    
  Feb 15, 2025 71   Central Florida W 76-75 54%    
  Feb 18, 2025 4   @ Iowa St. L 64-81 5%    
  Feb 22, 2025 22   Baylor L 68-74 28%    
  Feb 24, 2025 6   Kansas L 66-77 17%    
  Mar 02, 2025 89   @ Kansas St. L 70-73 37%    
  Mar 05, 2025 17   @ Texas Tech L 65-78 11%    
  Mar 08, 2025 62   TCU W 69-68 52%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 4 - 16




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 7th
8th 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.1 1.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.9 0.5 2.9 11th
12th 0.3 2.5 1.8 0.2 4.9 12th
13th 0.2 3.2 4.4 0.9 0.0 8.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.5 4.1 7.3 2.5 0.1 14.4 14th
15th 0.0 1.3 6.6 10.8 4.8 0.5 24.0 15th
16th 1.5 7.2 13.4 13.9 5.8 0.7 42.5 16th
Total 1.5 7.2 14.7 21.0 20.9 16.2 10.5 5.4 1.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0% 0.0
11-9 0.0% 0.0
10-10 0.2% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-11 0.6% 32.2% 32.2% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 32.2%
8-12 1.9% 11.3% 11.3% 11.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.7 11.3%
7-13 5.4% 1.5% 1.5% 11.1 0.1 0.0 5.4 1.5%
6-14 10.5% 0.2% 0.2% 11.0 0.0 10.5 0.2%
5-15 16.2% 16.2
4-16 20.9% 20.9
3-17 21.0% 21.0
2-18 14.7% 14.7
1-19 7.2% 7.2
0-20 1.5% 1.5
Total 100% 0.7% 0.0% 0.7% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.0 99.4 0.7%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.5%