Arizona St.
Big 12
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.5#73
Expected Predictive Rating+8.8#67
Pace70.6#112
Improvement-5.9#351

Offense
Total Offense+3.9#77
First Shot+3.2#93
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#133
Layup/Dunks-2.7#283
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#79
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#77
Freethrows+0.9#121
Improvement-0.5#215

Defense
Total Defense+3.6#80
First Shot+1.3#130
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#31
Layups/Dunks+2.5#83
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#335
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#223
Freethrows+1.8#65
Improvement-5.4#356
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 101 - 10
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 13
Quad 23 - 36 - 16
Quad 33 - 29 - 18
Quad 44 - 013 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 214   Idaho St. W 55-48 89%     1 - 0 +1.3 -18.6 +20.2
  Nov 08, 2024 56   Santa Clara W 81-74 40%     2 - 0 +17.1 +11.9 +5.1
  Nov 10, 2024 9   @ Gonzaga L 80-88 10%     2 - 1 +13.6 +13.5 +0.2
  Nov 14, 2024 94   Grand Canyon W 87-76 59%     3 - 1 +16.3 +14.3 +1.4
  Nov 17, 2024 132   St. Thomas W 81-66 79%     4 - 1 +14.0 +5.8 +8.5
  Nov 20, 2024 194   Cal Poly W 93-89 87%     5 - 1 -0.6 +6.4 -7.4
  Nov 28, 2024 41   New Mexico W 85-82 31%     6 - 1 +15.6 +16.7 -1.2
  Nov 29, 2024 26   St. Mary's W 68-64 24%     7 - 1 +18.8 +7.0 +12.0
  Dec 03, 2024 312   San Diego W 90-53 95%     8 - 1 +25.2 +6.1 +16.7
  Dec 14, 2024 3   Florida L 66-83 8%     8 - 2 +6.5 -1.7 +9.4
  Dec 21, 2024 190   Massachusetts W 78-62 81%     9 - 2 +14.5 +4.4 +9.7
  Dec 31, 2024 20   @ BYU L 56-76 14%     9 - 3 0 - 1 -0.8 -5.9 +3.5
  Jan 04, 2025 85   Colorado W 81-61 64%     10 - 3 1 - 1 +23.9 +10.4 +13.1
  Jan 08, 2025 18   @ Kansas L 55-74 13%     10 - 4 1 - 2 +0.6 -3.7 +3.4
  Jan 11, 2025 27   Baylor L 66-72 OT 33%     10 - 5 1 - 3 +6.0 -1.9 +7.8
  Jan 14, 2025 78   Central Florida L 89-95 61%     10 - 6 1 - 4 -1.4 +11.8 -12.8
  Jan 18, 2025 45   @ Cincinnati L 60-67 26%     10 - 7 1 - 5 +7.3 +0.3 +6.5
  Jan 21, 2025 43   @ West Virginia W 65-57 25%     11 - 7 2 - 5 +22.5 +10.5 +12.9
  Jan 25, 2025 10   Iowa St. L 61-76 21%     11 - 8 2 - 6 +0.9 -1.6 +2.4
  Jan 28, 2025 85   @ Colorado W 70-68 43%     12 - 8 3 - 6 +11.4 +4.0 +7.4
  Feb 01, 2025 12   Arizona L 72-81 23%     12 - 9 3 - 7 +6.2 +0.4 +6.4
  Feb 04, 2025 59   Kansas St. L 70-71 52%     12 - 10 3 - 8 +6.0 +8.6 -2.7
  Feb 09, 2025 91   @ Oklahoma St. L 73-86 47%     12 - 11 3 - 9 -4.6 -0.8 -2.6
  Feb 12, 2025 7   @ Texas Tech L 106-111 2OT 9%     12 - 12 3 - 10 +17.5 +22.1 -3.7
  Feb 15, 2025 77   TCU L 70-74 61%     12 - 13 3 - 11 +0.6 -2.1 +3.0
  Feb 18, 2025 4   Houston L 65-80 12%     12 - 14 3 - 12 +5.1 +10.9 -7.8
  Feb 23, 2025 59   @ Kansas St. W 66-54 31%     13 - 14 4 - 12 +24.5 +5.5 +19.7
  Feb 26, 2025 20   BYU L 81-91 28%     13 - 15 4 - 13 +3.7 +7.2 -2.9
  Mar 01, 2025 64   @ Utah L 73-99 35%     13 - 16 4 - 14 -14.5 +5.2 -19.6
  Mar 04, 2025 12   @ Arizona L 100-113 11%     13 - 17 4 - 15 +7.7 +31.1 -22.8
  Mar 08, 2025 7   Texas Tech L 57-85 19%     13 - 18 4 - 16 -11.0 -3.9 -9.9
  Mar 11, 2025 59   Kansas St. L 71-73 41%    
Projected Record 13 - 19 4 - 16




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 100.0 100.0 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16 100.0% 100.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%