Oklahoma
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +9.9 #57
Expected Predictive Rating +8.1 #77
Pace 68.7 #187
Improvement -1.9 #263

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #44 B- A+ A C- C+
Defense #102 B- C+ C- C B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #189 1.19 #136 +0.4 #165
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #269 0.84 #69 -0.9 #221
Three Pointers 46% #91 1.03 #162 +2.7 #95
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #115 +2.2 #114
Freethrows 16.3 #242 73% #182 11.9 #219
Second Chance 35.2% #57 1.30 #5 0.46 #12
Turnovers 12.9% #18
Total Offense +7.3 #44

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #276 1.04 #41 +4.1 #56
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #58 0.68 #71 -0.7 #235
Three Pointers 40% #211 1.09 #284 -1.1 #230
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #105 +2.4 #103
Freethrows 16.5 #141 73% #217 12.1 #155
Second Chance 30.8% #198 0.97 #84 0.30 #126
Turnovers 15.8% #220
Total Defense +2.6 #102

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.0% #124 -1.5% #60
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 3.3% #124 -3.0% #126
Possession Length 16.4 #90 17.8 #259
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #201 0.09 #8
Improvement -3.6 #345 +1.7 #76

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.4% 19.9% 6.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 11.2% 19.5% 6.7%
Average Seed 9.6 9.5 9.9
.500 or above 42.8% 62.0% 32.3%
.500 or above in Conference 4.5% 9.3% 1.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 37.9% 21.7% 46.8%
First Four4.3% 6.5% 3.1%
First Round9.3% 16.5% 5.3%
Second Round3.9% 6.8% 2.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.7% 1.2% 0.5%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Missouri (Away) - 35.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 81 - 8
Quad 1b3 - 54 - 13
Quad 24 - 47 - 16
Quad 31 - 08 - 16
Quad 47 - 016 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 358 St. Francis (PA) W 102 - 66 99% +11  1 - 0 +18 +15 B- A+ A +1 C+ C C+
 Sat, Nov 8 6 @Gonzaga L 68 - 83 11% -13  1 - 1 +9 +3 C C D+ +7 A A+ F
 Tue, Nov 11 334 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 95 - 69 98% +10  2 - 1 +12 +16 C+ A+ A- -3 B C B+
 Sat, Nov 15 14 Nebraska L 99 - 105 22% +3  2 - 2 +12 +33 A+ A+ A+ -21 F A+ F
 Thu, Nov 20 321 Oral Roberts W 95 - 71 97% +19  3 - 2 +11 +16 C A+ A+ -5 B F A+
 Sun, Nov 23 347 Alcorn St. W 72 - 53 98% +5  4 - 2 +4 -6 F F A+ +10 C- A+ A+
 Fri, Nov 28 102 Marquette W 75 - 74 69% -4  5 - 2 +6 +13 B+ A+ A+ -7 D+ A+ F
 Tue, Dec 2 63 @Wake Forest W 86 - 68 43% +4  6 - 2 +30 +17 A+ A+ A+ +12 A+ A+ B-
 Sat, Dec 6 88 Arizona St. L 70 - 86 63% -16  6 - 3 -10 -4 F B- B -5 C- F B-
 Sat, Dec 13 61 Oklahoma St. W 85 - 76 53% +4  7 - 3 +18 +13 B B A+ +5 A+ A+ F
 Tue, Dec 16 353 UMKC W 89 - 67 98% +19  8 - 3 +6 +9 D- A+ A+ -3 C- D+ A-
 Mon, Dec 22 332 Stetson W 107 - 54 98% +25  9 - 3 +39 +30 A+ A+ A- +11 A+ D+ B+
 Mon, Dec 29 365 Mississippi Valley W 93 - 69 100% +9  10 - 3 -3 +24 A+ A+ A -24 F F D-
 Sat, Jan 3 62 Mississippi W 86 - 70 65% +5  11 - 3 1 - 0 +22 +20 A+ A+ A+ +3 A B+ D+
 Wed, Jan 7 76 @Mississippi St. L 53 - 72 47% -5  11 - 4 1 - 1 -8 -10 F D+ F +1 A+ F C
 Sat, Jan 10 34 @Texas A&M L 76 - 83 25% -1  11 - 5 1 - 2 +10 +11 C A+ F -1 B+ A+ F
 Tue, Jan 13 10 Florida L 79 - 96 24% -16  11 - 6 1 - 3 +0 +14 A+ A+ C -13 C F F
 Sat, Jan 17 17 Alabama L 81 - 83 32% +2  11 - 7 1 - 4 +13 +6 D+ A+ A- +7 A+ B B
 Tue, Jan 20 69 @South Carolina L 76 - 85 45% -8  11 - 8 1 - 5 +2 +7 C A+ C- -5 C C+ B-
 Sat, Jan 24 50 @Missouri L 75 - 79 36%
 Tue, Jan 27 20 Arkansas L 81 - 85 35%
 Sat, Jan 31 38 Texas L 79 - 80 49%
 Wed, Feb 4 25 @Kentucky L 73 - 82 20%
 Sat, Feb 7 21 @Vanderbilt L 76 - 86 17%
 Sat, Feb 14 24 Georgia L 83 - 86 39%
 Wed, Feb 18 22 @Tennessee L 69 - 79 19%
 Sat, Feb 21 34 Texas A&M L 81 - 82 47%
 Tue, Feb 24 27 Auburn L 78 - 80 43%
 Sat, Feb 28 43 @LSU L 75 - 80 32%
 Tue, Mar 3 50 Missouri W 78 - 76 58%
 Sat, Mar 7 38 @Texas L 76 - 82 28%
Totals 15 - 16 5 - 13 +10 +7 B- A+ A +3 B- C+ C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.8 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 0.2 1.3 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 1.2 0.1 2.3 8th
9th 0.4 2.3 0.5 0.0 3.3 9th
10th 0.1 2.4 2.5 0.1 5.0 10th
11th 0.0 1.3 4.7 0.9 0.0 7.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 5.0 3.8 0.1 9.4 12th
13th 0.2 4.0 7.4 1.1 0.0 12.7 13th
14th 0.1 3.1 8.9 3.8 0.1 16.0 14th
15th 0.3 3.3 9.2 6.5 0.7 20.0 15th
16th 1.1 4.8 8.4 6.1 1.2 0.1 21.6 16th
Total 1.1 5.1 11.8 18.6 21.1 18.3 12.5 7.0 3.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 100.0% 8.2% 91.8% 6.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
10-8 1.1% 97.3% 2.2% 95.1% 7.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 97.3%
9-9 3.1% 88.9% 2.1% 86.8% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.0 0.3 88.7%
8-10 7.0% 57.5% 0.8% 56.7% 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.5 1.5 0.0 3.0 57.2%
7-11 12.5% 22.5% 0.2% 22.3% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.0 0.1 9.7 22.3%
6-12 18.3% 2.7% 0.1% 2.5% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 17.8 2.5%
5-13 21.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 10.5 0.0 0.0 21.1 0.0%
4-14 18.6% 18.6
3-15 11.8% 11.8
2-16 5.1% 5.1
1-17 1.1% 1.1
0-18
Total 100% 11.4% 0.2% 11.2% 9.6 88.6 11.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.1%