Oklahoma
Southeastern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+12.6#40
Expected Predictive Rating+14.1#36
Pace70.1#119
Improvement-0.2#203

Offense
Total Offense+8.2#23
First Shot+7.2#30
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#122
Layup/Dunks+3.7#56
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#274
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#140
Freethrows+4.1#14
Improvement-0.6#221

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#67
First Shot+4.1#63
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#151
Layups/Dunks-1.2#224
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#126
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#125
Freethrows+3.1#17
Improvement+0.5#167
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 70.4% 84.7% 58.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 70.4% 84.7% 58.7%
Average Seed 10.4 10.0 10.8
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four32.9% 22.4% 41.4%
First Round54.9% 74.1% 39.1%
Second Round21.6% 30.1% 14.6%
Sweet Sixteen5.4% 6.9% 4.2%
Elite Eight1.7% 2.2% 1.3%
Final Four0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 103 - 10
Quad 1b4 - 17 - 11
Quad 23 - 110 - 12
Quad 33 - 113 - 13
Quad 47 - 020 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 332   Lindenwood W 93-60 98%     1 - 0 +19.5 +12.5 +5.5
  Nov 11, 2024 244   Northwestern St. W 73-57 96%     2 - 0 +8.7 -0.5 +9.6
  Nov 16, 2024 350   Stetson W 85-64 99%     3 - 0 +5.2 +2.5 +2.7
  Nov 21, 2024 335   Texas A&M - Commerce W 84-56 98%     4 - 0 +13.9 +6.9 +7.3
  Nov 27, 2024 87   Providence W 79-77 74%     5 - 0 +7.9 +7.9 +0.0
  Nov 28, 2024 12   Arizona W 82-77 30%     6 - 0 +23.0 +17.3 +5.7
  Nov 29, 2024 23   Louisville W 69-64 37%     7 - 0 +20.9 +12.1 +9.4
  Dec 03, 2024 95   Georgia Tech W 76-61 83%     8 - 0 +17.4 +12.2 +6.5
  Dec 07, 2024 327   Alcorn St. W 94-78 98%     9 - 0 +3.4 +13.1 -10.2
  Dec 14, 2024 91   Oklahoma St. W 80-65 75%     10 - 0 +20.6 +10.7 +9.7
  Dec 18, 2024 30   Michigan W 87-86 44%     11 - 0 +15.2 +22.3 -7.1
  Dec 22, 2024 344   Central Arkansas W 89-66 99%     12 - 0 +8.0 +5.2 +1.8
  Dec 29, 2024 358   Prairie View W 89-67 99%     13 - 0 +3.3 +11.8 -7.3
  Jan 04, 2025 5   @ Alabama L 79-107 15%     13 - 1 0 - 1 -4.2 +7.0 -8.5
  Jan 08, 2025 22   Texas A&M L 78-80 46%     13 - 2 0 - 2 +11.6 +21.2 -9.9
  Jan 11, 2025 31   @ Georgia L 62-72 35%     13 - 3 0 - 3 +6.7 +0.0 +6.5
  Jan 15, 2025 44   Texas L 73-77 65%     13 - 4 0 - 4 +4.8 +0.1 +4.9
  Jan 18, 2025 68   South Carolina W 82-62 76%     14 - 4 1 - 4 +25.2 +16.2 +9.8
  Jan 25, 2025 38   @ Arkansas W 65-62 38%     15 - 4 2 - 4 +18.8 +7.5 +11.5
  Jan 28, 2025 22   @ Texas A&M L 68-75 27%     15 - 5 2 - 5 +12.1 +12.7 -1.3
  Feb 01, 2025 48   Vanderbilt W 97-67 66%     16 - 5 3 - 5 +38.4 +20.2 +16.3
  Feb 04, 2025 2   @ Auburn L 70-98 10%     16 - 6 3 - 6 -1.0 +4.0 -3.6
  Feb 08, 2025 6   Tennessee L 52-70 32%     16 - 7 3 - 7 -0.5 -5.7 +3.7
  Feb 12, 2025 19   @ Missouri L 58-82 26%     16 - 8 3 - 8 -4.5 -13.0 +9.7
  Feb 15, 2025 80   LSU L 79-82 79%     16 - 9 3 - 9 +1.3 +6.2 -4.8
  Feb 18, 2025 3   @ Florida L 63-85 11%     16 - 10 3 - 10 +4.2 +2.4 +1.5
  Feb 22, 2025 33   Mississippi St. W 93-87 57%     17 - 10 4 - 10 +16.9 +17.5 -1.1
  Feb 26, 2025 14   Kentucky L 82-83 41%     17 - 11 4 - 11 +13.9 +8.2 +5.8
  Mar 01, 2025 29   @ Mississippi L 84-87 34%     17 - 12 4 - 12 +14.0 +17.9 -3.8
  Mar 05, 2025 19   Missouri W 96-84 45%     18 - 12 5 - 12 +25.9 +26.3 -0.2
  Mar 08, 2025 44   @ Texas W 76-72 43%     19 - 12 6 - 12 +18.3 +11.3 +7.1
  Mar 12, 2025 31   Georgia L 73-74 45%    
Projected Record 19 - 13 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 100.0 100.0 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 70.4% 0.1% 70.3% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.5 8.1 23.6 35.5 1.5 29.6 70.4%
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 70.4% 0.1% 70.3% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.5 8.1 23.6 35.5 1.5 29.6 70.4%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.4% 100.0% 8.0 8.3 16.7 38.9 36.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.3% 98.3% 8.8 0.4 3.0 27.7 47.2 19.9
Lose Out 55.0% 58.7% 10.8 0.0 1.3 12.4 42.5 2.4