Texas A&M
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +14.6 31
Expected Predictive Rating +13.8 42
Pace 76.0 26
Improvement +5.0 20

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense A- #27 A- C+ B B A-
Defense B #47 C+ B B B- C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 95 62% 83 +3.6 66
2 Pt. Jumpers 8% 357 47% 15 -4.0 347
Three Pointers 50% 24 38% 28 +7.8 13
1st FG Attempt 1.17 19 +7.5 19
Second Chance 33.7% 89 0.98 248 0.33 129
Turnovers 14.8% 55
Freethrows 0.33 108 76% 49 0.25 70
Total Offense +9.2 27

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 279 54% 86 +3.1 79
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 155 38% 165 -0.2 202
Three Pointers 44% 96 34% 200 -1.6 259
1st FG Attempt 0.99 130 +1.4 130
Second Chance 29.0% 112 0.89 30 0.26 56
Turnovers 19.8% 40
Freethrows 0.28 106 72% 169 0.20 109
Total Defense +5.5 47

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +1.8 13 -0.3 114
Shot Type Accuracy +5.3 37 -1.1 139
Possession Length 14.8 12 17.9 288
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 91 0.15 110
Improvement +4.2 #13 +0.8 #136

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 1% 2% 0%
Top 6 Seed 8% 18% 4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 84% 94% 80%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 83% 94% 80%
Average Seed 8.6 7.8 8.9
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 95% 100% 93%
Conference Champion 1% 2% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four8% 3% 10%
First Round80% 93% 76%
Second Round43% 56% 38%
Sweet Sixteen10% 16% 8%
Elite Eight4% 6% 3%
Final Four1% 2% 1%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Vanderbilt (Away) - 24.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 53 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 35 - 8
Quad 25 - 310 - 11
Quad 34 - 014 - 11
Quad 48 - 021 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 280 Northwestern St. W 98 - 68 98% +19  99% 1 - 0 A +20 A- +11 C B+ B- B+ +7 B- B- A-
 Thu, Nov 6 309 Texas Southern W 104 - 70 98% +12  72% 2 - 0 A +22 A +13 A C A+ B +6 F+ C- A+
 Sun, Nov 9 59 @Oklahoma St. L 63 - 87 60% -14  4% 2 - 1 D- -12 F -10 F D- F+ C -1 C C+ D
 Fri, Nov 14 52 Central Florida L 74 - 86 75% +2  59% 2 - 2 C- -4 D -5 F A D+ C+ +1 F A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 18 170 Montana W 86 - 81 95% +10  97% 3 - 2 C +1 A- +10 A+ F B- D- -9 F A- C
 Fri, Nov 21 323 Manhattan W 109 - 68 99% +21  96% 4 - 2 A+ +28 A+ +18 A+ D A B+ +8 D- A A
 Tue, Nov 25 365 Mississippi Valley W 120 - 84 100% +20  97% 5 - 2 B +9 A- +11 B C B- D- -9 F D A+
 Fri, Nov 28 93 Florida St. W 95 - 59 81% +22  97% 6 - 2 A+ +41 A+ +16 A+ A C- A+ +23 A+ B+ A+
 Tue, Dec 2 99 @Pittsburgh W 81 - 73 73% +4  89% 7 - 2 A- +16 A+ +16 B- A A- C+ +1 C+ F C+
 Sun, Dec 7 37 SMU L 80 - 93 OT 52% -5  14% 7 - 3 C +1 D -6 C- C- C A- +9 A+ D D+
 Sun, Dec 14 308 Jacksonville W 112 - 75 98% +24  97% 8 - 3 A+ +25 A+ +22 A+ A+ C- C -0 F A A+
 Sun, Dec 21 300 East Texas A&M W 118 - 77 98% +22  96% 9 - 3 A+ +30 A+ +21 A+ A+ C+ B- +2 A- C C+
 Mon, Dec 29 336 Prairie View W 111 - 82 99% +22  97% 10 - 3 A- +15 B+ +8 B C B C+ +1 B- F B-
 Sat, Jan 3 57 LSU W 75 - 72 77% +4  78% 11 - 3 1 - 0 B +10 C- -1 B+ D+ F A +11 B+ A- A+
 Tue, Jan 6 28 @Auburn W 90 - 88 37% -0  51% 12 - 3 2 - 0 A +20 A+ +16 A+ A+ C B- +4 A- F A-
 Sat, Jan 10 54 Oklahoma W 83 - 76 76% +1  59% 13 - 3 3 - 0 B+ +14 B+ +8 B F A B+ +6 B D A+
 Tue, Jan 13 18 @Tennessee L 82 - 87 2OT 27% +3  72% 13 - 4 3 - 1 A- +16 B- +5 B+ F+ B A +12 A+ B A
 Sat, Jan 17 30 @Texas W 74 - 70 38% +3  70% 14 - 4 4 - 1 A +22 A +13 A B- A+ A- +10 A- A+ D
 Wed, Jan 21 79 Mississippi St. W 88 - 68 84% +10  81% 15 - 4 5 - 1 A+ +24 A+ +16 B C A+ A- +8 C- A+ B+
 Sat, Jan 24 90 South Carolina W 92 - 69 87% +15  83% 16 - 4 6 - 1 A+ +25 A+ +18 A+ A- B+ B+ +7 A- A+ C
 Sat, Jan 31 36 @Georgia W 92 - 77 40% +11  99% 17 - 4 7 - 1 A+ +32 A+ +16 A A- B- A+ +15 A+ A D+
 Wed, Feb 4 17 @Alabama L 97 - 100 26% -0  43% 17 - 5 7 - 2 A +18 A+ +18 A+ C A+ C+ +1 B- A F
 Sat, Feb 7 4 Florida L 67 - 86 29% -15  0% 17 - 6 7 - 3 C +1 C +1 C- B A- C +0 C+ A+ D
 Wed, Feb 11 48 Missouri L 85 - 86 73% +1  55% 17 - 7 7 - 4 B- +7 A+ +17 A+ F A- F+ -10 D+ C+ F+
 Sat, Feb 14 14 @Vanderbilt L 81 - 88 25%
 Wed, Feb 18 65 Mississippi W 81 - 72 81%
 Sat, Feb 21 54 @Oklahoma W 84 - 82 57%
 Wed, Feb 25 19 @Arkansas L 84 - 90 27%
 Sat, Feb 28 30 Texas W 85 - 82 61%
 Tue, Mar 3 24 Kentucky W 81 - 80 55%
 Sat, Mar 7 57 @LSU W 82 - 80 55%
Totals 21 - 10 11 - 7 +15 A- +9 A- C+ B B +5 C+ B B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A- B- A B+ B+ 42% 8% 50% A- A- B- C- C+ B B- B B B B- C C C+ 35% 21% 44% C+ C+ C+ B+ B B B- C B-
1.22 62% 47% 38% +5 +2 1.17 34% 1.0 .33 15% .33 76% .25 1.01 54% 38% 34% -1 0 0.99 29% 0.9 .26 20% .28 72% .24
Nov
3		 Northwestern St. A- B- F C C- 43% 7% 50% B+ C A D+ B+ B- C+ C+ C+ B+ A+ D- D+ B- 39% 27% 35% C- B- D+ A+ B- A- D B- D+
1.30 64% 25% 34% +2 +2 1.10 44% 1.1 .46 16% .36 74% .27 0.90 37% 46% 35% -5 -1 0.90 27% 0.9 .24 21% .35 71% .25
Nov
6		 Texas Southern A A A B+ A 39% 7% 54% B- A F A+ C A+ A+ C- A+ B D+ F D F 35% 33% 33% B+ F+ D C+ C- A+ F A+ F+
1.35 73% 50% 39% +10 +2 1.26 23% 1.7 .39 10% .53 70% .38 0.91 60% 50% 36% +5 -2 1.09 30% 1.0 .30 30% .46 60% .28
Nov
9		 Oklahoma St. F F+ F F F 37% 4% 60% A- F B- F D- F+ B- A+ A- C D D B+ C+ 50% 9% 41% D+ C C- B C+ D C C+ C
0.87 47% 0% 26% -13 +2 0.81 32% 0.6 .20 22% .30 82% .25 1.20 64% 40% 30% +1 +2 1.09 32% 0.9 .30 12% .35 73% .25
Nov
14		 Central Florida D F A F+ F 42% 8% 50% A F B- A+ A D+ A+ B+ A+ C+ D+ A+ F F 33% 18% 49% C F A+ C+ A+ A+ C F F+
0.99 38% 50% 28% -12 +2 0.82 27% 1.4 .38 19% .49 77% .38 1.15 65% 22% 52% +13 0 1.27 21% 1.2 .25 21% .29 94% .27
Nov
18		 Montana A- A+ A+ C+ A+ 43% 14% 43% B+ A+ D- F F B- A+ B- A+ D- C F F F 30% 12% 58% C F A+ F A- C A- A+ A+
1.23 81% 71% 33% +14 +1 1.33 23% 0.0 .00 14% .48 72% .35 1.16 60% 67% 52% +20 0 1.42 12% 1.3 .15 20% .23 54% .13
Nov
21		 Manhattan A+ A+ D- A+ A+ 44% 5% 52% A A+ F A+ D A C+ B- C+ B+ C- B+ F F+ 37% 24% 39% C+ D- A A+ A A D+ A+ B+
1.46 74% 33% 47% +17 +2 1.40 25% 1.4 .36 11% .26 76% .20 0.91 56% 33% 42% +3 -1 1.06 19% 0.7 .14 21% .32 58% .19
Nov
25		 Mississippi Valley A- D- A A+ B- 39% 4% 58% A- B C C+ C B- A+ A A+ D- F+ F F F 35% 25% 40% F F F A D A+ F+ D+ F+
1.39 55% 50% 45% +9 +2 1.25 37% 1.2 .46 15% .68 84% .57 0.97 65% 50% 53% +17 -1 1.33 40% 0.7 .27 36% .34 74% .25
Nov
28		 Florida St. A+ D F A+ A+ 41% 7% 52% A A+ A+ D- A C- A+ A A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 30% 14% 56% B A+ C- A+ B+ A+ C+ A+ A
1.26 52% 0% 52% +9 +2 1.23 52% 0.8 .43 21% .42 80% .34 0.78 41% 13% 22% -19 0 0.65 34% 0.9 .31 21% .29 47% .13
Dec
2		 Pittsburgh A+ C+ A+ D+ C 51% 9% 40% A B- A+ C A A- A+ A+ A+ C+ D B C+ C+ 33% 18% 49% B- C+ C+ F F C+ A B- A-
1.25 58% 50% 32% 0 +2 1.06 41% 0.9 .38 14% .39 91% .36 1.13 65% 33% 32% 0 0 1.02 35% 1.3 .47 17% .20 64% .13
Dec
7		 SMU D B+ B- F C- 27% 18% 55% C+ C- B+ F C- C A+ D- A+ A- C- C- A+ A+ 34% 31% 34% B+ A+ A+ F D D+ F F F
0.94 67% 40% 27% -3 0 0.95 36% 0.7 .24 19% .49 65% .32 1.10 65% 44% 25% 0 -2 0.98 24% 1.9 .44 13% .38 93% .35
Dec
14		 Jacksonville A+ B- A+ A+ A+ 43% 17% 41% C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C- C- C C- C B- F F+ F 39% 12% 49% D- F B- A+ A A+ C- F D-
1.46 65% 67% 50% +18 +1 1.39 52% 1.2 .64 16% .36 70% .25 0.98 53% 67% 38% +4 +1 1.12 26% 0.7 .18 25% .30 82% .24
Dec
21		 East Texas A&M A+ A+ B- A+ A+ 47% 16% 38% C+ A+ C A+ A+ C+ F F F B- B- B A+ A 35% 19% 46% C+ A- F A C C+ F F F
1.41 87% 40% 46% +20 +1 1.45 32% 1.8 .58 17% .22 53% .11 0.92 53% 30% 24% -10 0 0.81 31% 0.7 .21 19% .47 75% .35
Dec
29		 Prairie View B+ B+ D- A- B 45% 10% 45% B+ B D+ B C B A D B+ C+ A C- C+ C+ 31% 36% 33% B- B- B- F F B- F D+ F
1.29 67% 33% 41% +8 +2 1.22 34% 1.1 .39 16% .48 69% .33 0.95 44% 38% 32% -5 -3 0.86 20% 1.7 .33 17% .44 77% .34
Jan
3		 LSU C- A+ F D+ B+ 40% 16% 44% B B+ A F D+ F A- B+ A A F A+ C+ B 33% 29% 38% A+ B+ A+ F A- A+ C D C-
1.04 80% 13% 32% +3 +1 1.10 39% 0.5 .21 21% .37 71% .26 1.00 75% 21% 33% +1 -1 1.00 23% 1.4 .33 22% .36 80% .28
Jan
6		 Auburn A+ C- A+ A+ A+ 37% 12% 52% B+ A+ A- A+ A+ C B+ F C+ B- A+ F B+ A 41% 12% 47% C- A- F+ F F A- F C+ F
1.23 53% 83% 44% +11 +1 1.27 36% 1.3 .48 19% .34 65% .22 1.20 45% 83% 30% -2 +1 1.00 46% 1.3 .59 18% .52 74% .38
Jan
10		 Oklahoma B+ C+ A+ C B 36% 15% 49% B+ B C F F A A+ A+ A+ B+ A B D B 30% 16% 54% B- B F A- D A+ C+ F+ C-
1.18 58% 50% 35% +2 +1 1.08 31% 0.6 .18 11% .40 84% .34 1.08 47% 38% 37% -1 0 1.00 44% 1.1 .50 24% .30 81% .24
Jan
13		 Tennessee B- D F B- B 32% 2% 67% A B+ D+ F F+ B A+ C A+ A B+ A- A+ A+ 34% 26% 40% A A+ D+ A- B A F D F
0.99 50% 0% 34% -3 +2 1.00 22% 0.5 .11 16% .46 66% .30 1.05 53% 31% 25% -9 -1 0.82 49% 0.9 .43 23% .66 74% .48
Jan
17		 Texas A C- A+ B+ B 55% 6% 38% A+ A D A+ B- A+ C+ F D+ A- C- B- B A- 30% 28% 43% A A- A A+ A+ D F C- F
1.19 54% 67% 39% +2 +3 1.13 19% 1.5 .28 10% .34 63% .21 1.13 64% 38% 30% 0 -2 0.98 31% 0.6 .20 13% .48 77% .37
Jan
21		 Mississippi St. A+ D F A- C+ 45% 14% 41% A+ B B- D+ C A+ A A+ A+ A- C F B C- 36% 24% 40% C C- B- A+ A+ B+ B- B- B-
1.25 50% 25% 38% -3 +1 0.98 28% 0.9 .26 4% .36 96% .34 0.97 61% 58% 30% +4 -1 1.08 30% 0.5 .14 19% .26 67% .17
Jan
24		 South Carolina A+ C- A+ A+ A+ 28% 7% 65% B+ A+ A- B+ A- B+ F A+ D- B+ A+ B D A- 41% 20% 39% C- A- A+ A+ A+ C A+ F A-
1.32 56% 75% 43% +11 +1 1.26 36% 1.1 .39 13% .16 90% .15 0.99 43% 36% 36% -5 0 0.93 19% 0.7 .14 14% .20 100% .20
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Georgia A+ C A+ B+ A 45% 4% 51% A+ A B+ B+ A- B- A- A+ A+ A+ A C A- A+ 41% 19% 40% B A+ B A+ A D+ A+ D- A+
1.20 54% 100% 37% +3 +3 1.13 38% 1.1 .41 18% .32 95% .30 1.00 50% 42% 28% -6 0 0.90 33% 0.8 .27 13% .15 80% .12
Feb
4		 Alabama A+ A- D- A+ A+ 36% 16% 48% B+ A+ F A+ C A+ A+ B+ A+ C+ F F B C+ 22% 8% 70% B B- B+ A A F F A D-
1.24 64% 30% 41% +6 0 1.15 14% 1.8 .25 8% .39 71% .28 1.28 85% 60% 31% +5 0 1.12 30% 1.0 .30 8% .44 69% .30
Feb
7		 Florida C F+ A+ F D- 44% 7% 49% A+ C- A+ D B A- B B B+ C C C- B- B- 50% 13% 37% C C+ B- A+ A+ D C- F+ D
0.94 42% 50% 26% -12 +2 0.82 37% 0.6 .21 13% .31 74% .23 1.21 63% 43% 30% +1 +2 1.07 41% 0.8 .32 13% .37 78% .29
Feb
11		 Missouri A+ B A+ A+ A+ 39% 4% 57% A+ A+ C- F F A- C- A- C F+ F A+ D- D+ 49% 17% 34% D+ D+ F A+ C+ F+ A A A+
1.30 60% 50% 52% +16 +2 1.39 26% 0.3 .06 14% .26 80% .21 1.31 77% 11% 39% +7 +1 1.19 47% 0.9 .41 14% .26 60% .16



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.3 0.3 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 1.3 3.7 0.7 5.7 2nd
3rd 0.5 7.0 2.6 0.0 10.2 3rd
4th 0.0 4.6 7.5 0.3 12.4 4th
5th 1.1 11.8 2.3 15.2 5th
6th 0.1 6.0 8.9 0.1 15.0 6th
7th 1.6 11.3 2.0 14.9 7th
8th 0.2 5.7 6.0 0.1 11.9 8th
9th 0.0 1.2 5.7 1.0 7.9 9th
10th 0.1 2.0 1.9 0.1 4.1 10th
11th 0.5 1.4 0.2 2.0 11th
12th 0.1 0.0 0.1 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 0.7 4.8 15.2 25.4 27.8 18.3 6.9 1.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 26.0% 0.3    0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 4.3% 0.3    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 1.0% 100.0% 10.4% 89.6% 5.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 6.9% 99.4% 7.2% 92.2% 6.5 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.9 2.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.4%
12-6 18.3% 97.5% 5.1% 92.4% 7.6 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.8 5.4 6.2 3.0 0.7 0.0 0.5 97.4%
11-7 27.8% 92.3% 3.1% 89.2% 8.5 0.2 0.8 3.5 8.0 7.8 4.4 0.9 2.1 92.1%
10-8 25.4% 82.5% 1.3% 81.2% 9.3 0.1 1.1 3.4 6.7 6.8 2.9 0.0 4.5 82.3%
9-9 15.2% 64.2% 0.9% 63.3% 10.1 0.1 0.5 1.8 3.8 3.5 0.0 5.4 63.9%
8-10 4.8% 33.4% 0.2% 33.2% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 0.1 3.2 33.3%
7-11 0.7% 9.7% 9.7% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.7 9.7%
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 83.7% 2.9% 80.8% 8.6 16.3 83.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2% 100.0% 4.9 5.0 25.0 40.0 30.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3% 100.0% 5.4 10.0 46.7 40.0 3.3
Lose Out 0.2% 4.2% 11.0 4.2