Texas A&M
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+16.3#22
Expected Predictive Rating+17.8#10
Pace65.7#242
Improvement+0.7#168

Offense
Total Offense+6.6#44
First Shot-0.5#185
After Offensive Rebound+7.0#1
Layup/Dunks+1.9#109
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#329
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#232
Freethrows+2.2#63
Improvement+1.0#146

Defense
Total Defense+9.8#10
First Shot+9.3#9
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#138
Layups/Dunks+6.6#17
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#34
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#193
Freethrows+0.4#154
Improvement-0.3#204
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 4.7% 6.5% 0.4%
Top 4 Seed 72.9% 82.9% 49.8%
Top 6 Seed 99.3% 99.9% 97.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Average Seed 3.9 3.7 4.5
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Second Round87.5% 88.7% 84.5%
Sweet Sixteen47.6% 49.0% 44.1%
Elite Eight16.1% 16.7% 14.5%
Final Four6.1% 6.2% 5.9%
Championship Game1.9% 2.0% 1.8%
National Champion0.6% 0.7% 0.5%

Projected Seeding 4 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a5 - 65 - 6
Quad 1b3 - 28 - 8
Quad 29 - 217 - 10
Quad 31 - 018 - 10
Quad 45 - 023 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 78   @ Central Florida L 61-64 73%     0 - 1 +7.1 -5.5 +12.4
  Nov 08, 2024 335   Texas A&M - Commerce W 87-55 99%     1 - 1 +17.9 +12.5 +6.7
  Nov 11, 2024 181   Lamar W 97-71 96%     2 - 1 +22.0 +22.0 -0.7
  Nov 15, 2024 37   Ohio St. W 78-64 71%     3 - 1 +24.5 +12.6 +12.6
  Nov 20, 2024 231   Southern W 71-54 97%     4 - 1 +10.4 +3.1 +8.5
  Nov 26, 2024 34   Oregon L 70-80 60%     4 - 2 +3.6 +5.2 -1.8
  Nov 27, 2024 32   Creighton W 77-73 59%     5 - 2 +17.9 +9.4 +8.4
  Nov 30, 2024 65   Rutgers W 81-77 77%     6 - 2 +12.6 +3.3 +9.0
  Dec 03, 2024 61   Wake Forest W 57-44 82%     7 - 2 +19.5 -3.9 +24.9
  Dec 08, 2024 7   Texas Tech W 72-67 37%     8 - 2 +24.7 +11.1 +14.0
  Dec 14, 2024 16   Purdue W 70-66 46%     9 - 2 +21.3 +6.9 +14.6
  Dec 20, 2024 285   Houston Christian W 77-45 98%     10 - 2 +22.1 +10.8 +15.6
  Dec 28, 2024 210   Abilene Christian W 92-54 97%     11 - 2 +32.4 +21.8 +11.0
  Jan 04, 2025 44   Texas W 80-60 76%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +28.8 +13.0 +16.3
  Jan 08, 2025 40   @ Oklahoma W 80-78 54%     13 - 2 2 - 0 +17.4 +20.8 -3.2
  Jan 11, 2025 5   Alabama L 88-94 42%     13 - 3 2 - 1 +12.3 +10.9 +2.1
  Jan 14, 2025 14   @ Kentucky L 69-81 35%     13 - 4 2 - 2 +8.4 +0.9 +7.8
  Jan 18, 2025 80   LSU W 68-57 87%     14 - 4 3 - 2 +15.3 +2.0 +13.8
  Jan 22, 2025 29   @ Mississippi W 63-62 47%     15 - 4 4 - 2 +18.0 -4.5 +22.4
  Jan 25, 2025 44   @ Texas L 69-70 58%     15 - 5 4 - 3 +13.3 +12.4 +0.8
  Jan 28, 2025 40   Oklahoma W 75-68 73%     16 - 5 5 - 3 +16.9 +12.2 +5.3
  Feb 01, 2025 68   @ South Carolina W 76-72 71%     17 - 5 6 - 3 +14.7 +15.8 -0.7
  Feb 08, 2025 19   @ Missouri W 67-64 38%     18 - 5 7 - 3 +22.5 +3.5 +19.1
  Feb 11, 2025 31   Georgia W 69-53 69%     19 - 5 8 - 3 +27.2 +10.4 +18.6
  Feb 15, 2025 38   Arkansas W 69-61 72%     20 - 5 9 - 3 +18.3 +8.0 +10.8
  Feb 18, 2025 33   @ Mississippi St. L 54-70 50%     20 - 6 9 - 4 +0.4 -9.6 +9.2
  Feb 22, 2025 6   Tennessee L 69-77 46%     20 - 7 9 - 5 +9.5 +11.0 -2.1
  Feb 26, 2025 48   Vanderbilt L 84-86 78%     20 - 8 9 - 6 +6.4 +8.8 -2.3
  Mar 01, 2025 3   @ Florida L 70-89 18%     20 - 9 9 - 7 +7.2 +6.5 +1.3
  Mar 04, 2025 2   Auburn W 83-72 31%     21 - 9 10 - 7 +32.5 +27.8 +6.0
  Mar 08, 2025 80   @ LSU W 66-52 73%     22 - 9 11 - 7 +23.8 +6.6 +18.7
Projected Record 22 - 9 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0% 2.1% 97.9% 3.9 0.3 4.4 31.1 37.2 20.1 6.3 0.7 100.0%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 2.1% 97.9% 3.9 0.3 4.4 31.1 37.2 20.1 6.3 0.7 100.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.1% 100.0% 2.5 4.3 42.3 48.1 5.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 4.6% 100.0% 3.0 0.9 19.2 57.7 20.7 1.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 17.6% 100.0% 3.3 0.6 9.2 52.8 31.9 5.2 0.3
Lose Out 30.2% 100.0% 4.5 0.4 14.7 34.7 33.1 15.1 2.1