IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Texas Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.0	#305
Expected Predictive Rating	-8.1	#301

Pace	72.3	#88
Improvement	-3.0	#329

Offense
Total Offense	-4.9	#311

First Shot	-4.1	#297
After Offensive Rebound	-0.8	#239

Layup/Dunks	-7.2	#354
2 Pt Jumpshots	+6.1	#7
3 Pt Jumpshots	-2.2	#242
Freethrows	-0.8	#228

Improvement	-1.5	#298

Defense
Total Defense	-3.1	#272

First Shot	-0.8	#198
After Offensive Rebounds	-2.2	#327

Layups/Dunks	+5.6	#35
2 Pt Jumpshots	-0.1	#204
3 Pt Jumpshots	-6.3	#352
Freethrows	-0.1	#200

Improvement	-1.4	#294

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	9.9%	12.7%	9.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.9	16.0

.500 or above	17.0%	32.0%	13.3%
.500 or above in Conference	81.0%	87.2%	79.4%
Conference Champion	12.3%	16.2%	11.3%
Last Place in Conference	0.6%	0.3%	0.7%

First Four	8.3%	9.3%	8.1%
First Round	5.6%	8.1%	5.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Abilene Christian (Away) - 20.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 3	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 7
Quad 3	0 - 3	0 - 10
Quad 4	11 - 7	12 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	47	@ Xavier	L	69-78	3%	0 - 1			+4.4	-0.2	+5.0
Nov 10, 2024	33	@ Georgia	L	64-92	3%	0 - 2			-12.6	-2.1	-9.6
Nov 12, 2024	111	@ Georgia Tech	L	62-81	9%	0 - 3			-12.5	-10.3	-1.1
Nov 17, 2024	113	@ Samford	L	82-97	10%	0 - 4			-8.6	+2.7	-10.2
Nov 24, 2024	70	@ New Mexico	L	68-99	5%	0 - 5			-19.8	-6.9	-9.7
Dec 01, 2024	140	Texas St.	L	59-72	28%	0 - 6			-14.9	-10.9	-4.9
Dec 07, 2024	128	@ Sam Houston St.	L	71-87	12%	0 - 7			-11.0	+2.2	-14.0
Dec 14, 2024	52	@ Nevada	L	73-105	4%	0 - 8			-19.0	+3.5	-21.4
Dec 17, 2024	57	@ Boise St.	L	51-82	4%	0 - 9			-18.5	-18.1	+1.2
Dec 21, 2024	205	@ Abilene Christian	L	68-77	20%
Jan 04, 2025	221	Southern	L	70-72	42%
Jan 06, 2025	310	Grambling St.	W	71-68	62%
Jan 11, 2025	362	@ Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	84-78	72%
Jan 13, 2025	364	@ Mississippi Valley	W	72-62	82%
Jan 18, 2025	339	Alcorn St.	W	75-69	72%
Jan 20, 2025	307	Jackson St.	W	74-71	62%
Jan 25, 2025	361	@ Alabama A&M	W	78-74	64%
Jan 27, 2025	284	@ Alabama St.	L	73-77	35%
Feb 01, 2025	338	Prairie View	W	85-79	71%
Feb 08, 2025	357	Florida A&M	W	75-67	77%
Feb 10, 2025	264	Bethune-Cookman	W	73-72	52%
Feb 15, 2025	310	@ Grambling St.	L	68-71	41%
Feb 17, 2025	221	@ Southern	L	67-75	24%
Feb 22, 2025	364	Mississippi Valley	W	75-59	93%
Feb 24, 2025	362	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	87-75	87%
Mar 01, 2025	307	@ Jackson St.	L	71-74	40%
Mar 03, 2025	339	@ Alcorn St.	W	73-72	51%
Mar 08, 2025	338	@ Prairie View	W	83-82	51%
Projected Record						11 - 17	11 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	1.8	3.8	3.6	1.9	0.7	0.1		12.3	1st
2nd											0.0	0.6	3.4	5.8	3.6	1.0	0.1				14.4	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.5	3.8	6.4	3.2	0.5	0.0					14.4	3rd
4th									0.0	0.3	3.0	6.9	3.4	0.4	0.0						14.0	4th
5th								0.0	0.1	2.1	5.9	3.5	0.4	0.0							12.0	5th
6th								0.1	1.5	5.0	3.8	0.5	0.0								10.8	6th
7th						0.0	0.1	0.9	3.6	3.4	0.6	0.0									8.6	7th
8th					0.0	0.0	0.6	2.3	2.7	0.6	0.0										6.2	8th
9th					0.0	0.3	1.4	1.6	0.5	0.0											3.9	9th
10th				0.0	0.2	0.6	0.9	0.4	0.0												2.1	10th
11th			0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0													1.0	11th
12th	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0														0.2	12th

Total	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.4	3.0	5.2	8.5	11.4	13.7	15.4	14.0	11.3	7.8	4.6	2.0	0.7	0.1			Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	100.0%	0.7		0.7	0.0
16-2	95.9%	1.9		1.6	0.3	0.0
15-3	78.9%	3.6		2.4	1.1	0.1
14-4	48.0%	3.8		1.5	1.7	0.5	0.0
13-5	16.4%	1.8		0.3	0.8	0.5	0.2	0.0
12-6	2.1%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	12.3%	12.3		6.7	4.1	1.2	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		40.6%	40.6%		14.1													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
17-1	0.7%		36.9%	36.9%		15.0														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.4
16-2	2.0%		30.7%	30.7%		15.7														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	1.4
15-3	4.6%		23.9%	23.9%		15.9															0.0	0.1	1.0	3.5
14-4	7.8%		19.7%	19.7%		16.0																0.0	1.5	6.3
13-5	11.3%		15.0%	15.0%		16.0																0.0	1.7	9.6
12-6	14.0%		11.8%	11.8%		16.0																	1.7	12.3
11-7	15.4%		8.1%	8.1%		16.0																	1.2	14.1
10-8	13.7%		6.8%	6.8%		16.0																	0.9	12.8
9-9	11.4%		4.4%	4.4%		16.0																	0.5	10.9
8-10	8.5%		2.8%	2.8%		16.0																	0.2	8.3
7-11	5.2%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.0	5.2
6-12	3.0%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	3.0
5-13	1.4%																							1.4
4-14	0.6%																							0.6
3-15	0.2%																							0.2
2-16	0.1%																							0.1
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		9.9%	9.9%	0.0%	15.9													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	9.3	90.1		0.0%