Texas Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -8.3 301
Results Rating -10.1 320
Consistency 0.16 248
Pace 71.7 97
Improvement +4.7 35

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 286 D+ D+ C- C- D+
Defense D+ 290 D+ D D+ D- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 148 C- 56% 220 -0.1 187
2 Pt. Jumpers 52% 42 C 38% 171 +2.3 63
Three Pointers 34% 321 D+ 32% 264 -4.5 327
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.7 278 C- -1.6 237
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.97 250
Second Chance D 25.8% 308 C 1.03 184 D+ 0.26 281
Opponents' Steals C- 9.8% 226
Other Turnovers C- 7.9% 260
Turnovers C- 17.7% 243
Freethrows C- 0.29 234 C- 71% 246 C- 0.20 234
Total Offense D+ -4.4 286

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots F+ 35% 343 C 10.7% 164
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 20% 241 B+ 2.5% 25
Three Pointers F 69% 361 B+ 0.2% 26
Total F 40% 362 B- 5.0% 105


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 189 D+ 61% 268 +1.1 216
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% 355 D 41% 296 -2.0 31
Three Pointers 47% 27 C 34% 205 +3.6 332
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.8 328 D+ +1.8 258
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.08 270
Second Chance D+ 33.1% 294 D+ 1.10 286 D 0.37 309
Turnovers from Steals C- 9.0% 207
Other Turnovers D+ 6.6% 271
Turnovers D+ 15.6% 246
Freethrows D- 0.37 340 B- 71% 104 D- 0.26 323
Total Defense D+ -3.9 290

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 53% 281 C 10.6% 186
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 195 B 7.8% 44
Three Pointers C+ 82% 123 D 0.1% 344
Total D+ 60% 282 C- 5.2% 198

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.3 156 16.5 44
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 82 0.20 280
Consistency 0.12 143 0.12 161
Improvement +1.4 119 +3.3 37

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 315 301 281
Results Rating Rank 336 315 259
Conference Record 10 - 8 11 - 7 11 - 7
Conference Finish 4 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 16
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12% 13% 10%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four12% 13% 10%
First Round6% 6% 5%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Prairie View (Home) - 68.8% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 00 - 5
Quad 30 - 20 - 7
Quad 412 - 1012 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 11 @Gonzaga L 43 - 98 1% -20  12% 0 - 1 F -33 F -22 F C D- F+ -9 C F A-
 Thu, Nov 6 33 @Texas A&M L 70 - 104 2% -12  19% 0 - 2 F+ -17 D -5 B+ B- F F+ -9 D- D F+
 Wed, Nov 12 191 Samford L 90 - 93 OT 37% +1  47% 0 - 3 D+ -8 C+ +2 A- F A+ F -10 C F C-
 Sat, Nov 15 232 @Texas St. L 67 - 77 24% -12  0% 0 - 4 D -11 D- -8 D D F C- -3 D+ F A
 Thu, Nov 20 17 @Vanderbilt L 74 - 109 1% -24  2% 0 - 5 D- -14 C+ +3 A+ F C+ F -14 D- F C-
 Sat, Dec 6 108 Sam Houston St. L 70 - 82 19% -6  27% 0 - 6 D -11 F -15 F C- D B +5 A+ B- C+
 Sun, Dec 14 57 @Minnesota L 53 - 89 4% -20  1% 0 - 7 F -23 F -16 F F+ F D- -7 F C+ C
 Wed, Dec 17 34 @North Carolina St. L 72 - 108 2% -24  0% 0 - 8 F -19 C +2 F+ A B F -20 F+ F D
 Mon, Dec 22 235 Abilene Christian L 68 - 75 46% +2  65% 0 - 9 D- -14 D- -7 D C- B D- -7 D D- C+
 Sat, Jan 3 277 @Southern L 73 - 84 32% -8  2% 0 - 10 0 - 1 D- -14 F -12 F D D- C- -2 F C C-
 Mon, Jan 5 309 @Grambling St. L 67 - 84 41% -9  7% 0 - 11 0 - 2 F -23 D- -7 F A+ F+ F -16 F F F+
 Sat, Jan 10 332 Arkansas Pine Bluff L 66 - 74 73% -8  10% 0 - 12 0 - 3 F -23 F -17 F F C D -6 F B- F+
 Mon, Jan 12 365 Mississippi Valley W 84 - 51 93% +18  98% 1 - 12 1 - 3 B- +8 C +2 A- D F A- +7 A F A-
 Sat, Jan 17 350 @Alcorn St. W 72 - 71 59% +1  54% 2 - 12 2 - 3 D -10 D+ -2 D- D- A D- -7 C C- D+
 Mon, Jan 19 345 @Jackson St. L 89 - 94 56% -5  1% 2 - 13 2 - 4 F+ -15 B- +5 B D- C+ F -19 F C F
 Sat, Jan 24 304 Alabama A&M W 89 - 74 62% -1  46% 3 - 13 3 - 4 C+ +3 A- +10 B+ C- A D -6 F C C+
 Tue, Jan 27 313 Alabama St. W 96 - 64 66% +16  99% 4 - 13 4 - 4 A +20 A +12 A+ C B+ B+ +6 A D F+
 Sat, Jan 31 322 @Prairie View L 78 - 85 47% -2  30% 4 - 14 4 - 5 D- -14 D -5 D A C+ F+ -9 D D+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 315 @Florida A&M W 62 - 57 43% +4  78% 5 - 14 5 - 5 C -2 D- -8 C F F B+ +7 B- A A-
 Mon, Feb 9 236 @Bethune-Cookman L 69 - 79 OT 25% +2  55% 5 - 15 5 - 6 D -11 F+ -9 F D- C C- -2 A- F C-
 Sat, Feb 14 309 Grambling St. W 82 - 79 64% +2  57% 6 - 15 6 - 6 D -9 B- +4 A+ B D F -13 F A D
 Mon, Feb 16 277 Southern W 74 - 73 54% -6  9% 7 - 15 7 - 6 D -8 F+ -8 C- F F+ C -0 D+ B C
 Thu, Feb 19 332 @Arkansas Pine Bluff W 83 - 64 51% +2  59% 8 - 15 8 - 6 B +10 B- +4 B- C- A- B+ +6 C- A+ C-
 Sat, Feb 21 365 @Mississippi Valley L 71 - 72 85% -1  40% 8 - 16 8 - 7 F -20 F+ -9 F F C+ F -11 F+ D- D
 Thu, Feb 26 350 Alcorn St. W 92 - 87 OT 78% -4  14% 9 - 16 9 - 7 D- -12 C- -2 D+ F A+ F -10 C+ F F+
 Sat, Feb 28 345 Jackson St. W 82 - 57 77% +9  85% 10 - 16 10 - 7 B +9 D+ -3 B B+ F A+ +12 A+ D D-
 Thu, Mar 5 322 Prairie View W 82 - 77 69%
Totals 11 - 16 11 - 7 -8 D+ -4 D- C- D+ D+ -4 D+ C- C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C- C D+ C- 40% 52% 34% D+ D+ D C D+ C- C- C- C- D+ D+ D C D+ 38% 14% 47% D D+ D+ D+ D D+ D- B- D-
1.02 56% 38% 32% -2 -1 0.97 26% 1.0 .26 18% .29 71% .20 1.14 61% 41% 34% +2 +1 1.08 33% 1.1 .37 16% .37 71% .21
Nov
3		 Gonzaga F F F F F 30% 34% 36% D+ F C+ C- C D- B- F C- F+ C- F B+ B 52% 13% 36% F C F C- F A- F+ F F
0.59 40% 12% 17% -24 -2 0.50 24% 0.8 .20 23% .31 59% .18 1.35 66% 57% 30% +4 +2 1.14 56% 1.2 .68 18% .35 81% .29
Nov
6		 Texas A&M D B- A+ B- A 35% 33% 33% D- B+ C+ B B- F A+ F A F+ F F D F+ 39% 7% 54% C D- A+ F D F+ F B+ F
0.91 60% 50% 36% +5 -2 1.09 30% 1.0 .30 30% .46 60% .28 1.35 73% 50% 39% +10 +2 1.26 23% 1.7 .39 10% .53 70% .38
Nov
12		 Samford C+ C F+ A+ A 39% 36% 25% D+ A- F D- F A+ C F D+ F A F C+ C+ 37% 8% 55% F C B F F C- F C F
1.16 58% 32% 67% +10 -2 1.18 16% 1.0 .16 8% .29 67% .20 1.20 47% 75% 32% -3 +2 1.00 20% 2.0 .40 13% .65 68% .44
Nov
15		 Texas St. D- C- A F D 47% 29% 24% D- D C F D F A+ F A+ C- D C+ B- D+ 43% 22% 35% F+ D+ C F F A F C+ F
0.94 57% 46% 27% -1 0 1.00 29% 0.7 .21 23% .53 62% .33 1.08 63% 38% 31% 0 0 1.03 32% 1.9 .60 24% .59 75% .44
Nov
20		 Vanderbilt C+ A B+ A+ A+ 20% 50% 30% F A+ D F F C+ A+ F A- F F F C- D- 35% 10% 55% D D- F C F C- C- C+ C
0.99 67% 43% 50% +12 -5 1.15 21% 0.3 .06 19% .48 66% .31 1.46 77% 67% 35% +11 +1 1.26 49% 1.2 .57 12% .34 77% .26
Dec
6		 Sam Houston St. F F+ F F F 41% 19% 41% B- F C D+ C- D A+ B A+ B B- A+ A+ A+ 55% 11% 34% F A+ C+ B B- C+ F C F
0.88 50% 18% 21% -15 0 0.73 29% 1.0 .29 19% .44 75% .33 1.03 55% 17% 22% -10 +2 0.87 35% 0.9 .33 18% .49 72% .35
Dec
14		 Minnesota F C- C+ F F 33% 31% 37% D+ F D- F F+ F C+ A+ A D- F A+ F F 29% 8% 63% C F C B- C+ C F D+ F
0.76 56% 40% 17% -10 -2 0.80 20% 0.6 .11 24% .25 92% .23 1.28 79% 25% 43% +14 +1 1.31 29% 1.0 .29 16% .43 72% .31
Dec
17		 North Carolina St. C D+ C+ F F 43% 15% 43% B- F+ A- B+ A B B A- B+ F B F F F 30% 11% 58% C+ F+ F C F D F F F
1.01 52% 38% 22% -10 +1 0.83 35% 1.1 .40 18% .34 75% .26 1.52 56% 67% 45% +12 +1 1.28 49% 1.2 .60 10% .42 85% .36
Dec
22		 Abilene Christian D- A F F D- 57% 20% 24% B- D F A+ C- B F D F D- F A+ A- D 41% 20% 39% D+ D B F D- C+ F F F
0.98 73% 11% 27% +1 +1 1.07 15% 1.8 .26 20% .34 68% .23 1.08 74% 22% 28% 0 0 1.02 29% 1.3 .36 22% .50 81% .40
Jan
3		 Southern F A D- F F 30% 34% 36% F F F A+ D D- A+ B- A+ C- F F D+ F 37% 29% 33% C+ F A+ F C C- F A- F
0.93 71% 31% 24% -4 -2 0.89 18% 1.8 .32 22% .52 78% .41 1.07 68% 47% 35% +7 -1 1.14 16% 1.8 .29 15% .51 62% .31
Jan
5		 Grambling St. D- F D+ F F 34% 30% 36% F F D+ A+ A+ F+ F A+ D- F F A F F 25% 18% 57% B- F F D F F+ F A- F
0.96 41% 33% 28% -11 -2 0.78 30% 2.1 .63 23% .22 92% .20 1.20 73% 25% 44% +10 -1 1.20 43% 1.1 .46 17% .47 67% .31
Jan
10		 Arkansas Pine Bluff F D- D+ F F 52% 21% 27% C F F D- F C B- F+ C- D F A+ D F 44% 18% 38% F F B- C+ B- F+ B A- B+
0.95 52% 36% 14% -12 +1 0.81 27% 1.0 .27 16% .39 70% .27 1.07 73% 22% 37% +5 +1 1.14 23% 0.9 .19 14% .27 69% .19
Jan
12		 Mississippi Valley C D F A+ A- 31% 10% 60% C+ A- D- B- D F F C F A- A A+ C+ A+ 47% 31% 22% F A F F F A- D A+ A
1.23 56% 0% 52% +12 +1 1.27 31% 1.3 .41 22% .23 75% .17 0.75 43% 14% 30% -16 -1 0.69 31% 1.3 .38 25% .31 38% .12
Jan
17		 Alcorn St. D+ F+ A F+ F+ 62% 22% 16% C D- F+ C D- A A+ F A+ D- D A A+ B- 46% 9% 46% F C D C+ C- D+ F F F
1.11 54% 50% 29% -1 +1 1.02 30% 1.2 .36 14% .59 64% .38 1.10 62% 25% 24% -6 +2 0.93 28% 0.9 .25 17% .43 91% .39
Jan
19		 Jackson St. B- A+ B F B- 41% 9% 50% B B C+ F D- C+ B D B- F F F D- F 38% 24% 38% D F C C C F F F F
1.22 83% 40% 29% +6 +2 1.18 38% 0.8 .31 15% .39 71% .27 1.29 74% 58% 37% +12 0 1.26 27% 1.0 .27 14% .45 86% .38
Jan
24		 Alabama A&M A- B+ F A+ A 37% 24% 39% D B+ D B C- A A- B- A D C+ F F F 42% 24% 33% D F B- D- C C+ D+ A C+
1.32 68% 17% 55% +11 0 1.24 27% 1.1 .30 10% .40 75% .30 1.10 53% 55% 47% +8 0 1.18 22% 1.1 .25 18% .36 65% .23
Jan
27		 Alabama St. A C- A+ A+ A+ 37% 16% 47% C A+ A- F C B+ B+ A+ A+ B+ A- F A+ A+ 43% 4% 53% F A D+ D D F+ F A+ F
1.31 58% 75% 46% +14 +1 1.31 41% 0.9 .37 15% .42 85% .35 0.88 45% 50% 19% -17 +2 0.73 33% 1.0 .33 14% .46 59% .27
Jan
31		 Prairie View D F B- A- D 42% 28% 30% D- D C A+ A C+ A- F C F+ F+ B+ B D+ 35% 23% 42% F+ D C F+ D+ F D+ D- D-
1.05 48% 43% 40% 0 -1 1.00 37% 1.5 .53 17% .44 63% .28 1.14 65% 31% 29% -2 -1 0.96 24% 1.2 .29 9% .37 80% .30
Feb
7		 Florida A&M D- F A+ A+ C 46% 26% 28% D+ C C- F F F F B F B+ A C C+ B- 30% 26% 44% B- B- F A+ A A- F C F
0.97 38% 67% 46% +3 0 1.09 30% 0.6 .17 23% .20 80% .16 0.89 46% 36% 32% -6 -1 0.88 41% 0.3 .12 25% .44 67% .29
Feb
9		 Bethune-Cookman F+ F B F F 31% 27% 42% F F D- C- D- C A+ B+ A+ C- A- A+ F B+ 31% 35% 33% A+ A- F F+ F C- F B- F
0.93 44% 43% 18% -13 -1 0.73 27% 1.1 .29 15% .46 76% .35 1.06 50% 17% 41% -7 -2 0.84 40% 1.2 .47 18% .57 66% .38
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
14		 Grambling St. B- A D+ A+ A+ 46% 13% 41% B- A+ F A+ B D A+ F+ A+ F F F C F 37% 10% 53% F F B+ A+ A D F B- F+
1.17 71% 33% 47% +14 +1 1.33 23% 1.8 .42 21% .49 67% .33 1.12 68% 60% 33% +5 +1 1.16 23% 0.7 .16 18% .40 70% .28
Feb
16		 Southern F+ C+ C+ D+ D+ 45% 20% 35% C+ C- D- F+ F F+ F B- F C A+ F F C- 38% 21% 40% D- D+ B- B+ B C C C C
1.02 61% 40% 33% +1 +1 1.06 26% 1.0 .26 22% .25 79% .19 1.00 35% 45% 43% -2 0 0.98 26% 0.9 .24 16% .31 68% .21
Feb
19		 Arkansas Pine Bluff B- C+ A+ B- B+ 33% 22% 45% D- B- F A+ C- A- F A+ F B+ B+ D+ D+ C- 26% 21% 53% C+ C- C- A+ A+ C- F A+ D
1.21 61% 58% 36% +7 -1 1.15 23% 1.7 .39 12% .15 89% .13 0.94 50% 40% 36% 0 -1 1.00 27% 0.4 .10 18% .43 63% .27
Feb
21		 Mississippi Valley F+ D- B+ F F+ 37% 33% 30% F F F C F C+ A F+ B F F D- A F 25% 42% 33% B- F+ F B- D- D F B+ D-
1.04 53% 47% 29% -2 -2 0.96 23% 1.3 .30 16% .49 68% .33 1.05 75% 45% 25% +3 -4 1.00 33% 0.8 .27 19% .36 65% .23
Feb
26		 Alcorn St. C- B+ F F D+ 60% 19% 21% C+ D+ D F F A+ C+ A- B- F C B A B- 44% 18% 39% F+ C+ D- F F F+ F D F
1.16 70% 25% 23% +1 +2 1.08 33% 0.7 .23 13% .34 79% .27 1.09 56% 30% 27% -6 +1 0.91 29% 1.5 .44 15% .40 74% .30
Feb
28		 Jackson St. D+ A- B B B+ 45% 21% 34% C- B A- C+ B+ F C- A C+ A+ A+ A- A+ A+ 25% 18% 56% D A+ F+ C D D- F A+ D+
1.15 71% 40% 38% +8 0 1.19 45% 1.1 .48 27% .33 82% .27 0.80 14% 30% 23% -22 -1 0.56 33% 1.0 .33 15% .35 67% .23



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 68.8 68.8 2nd
3rd 18.3 18.3 3rd
4th 12.9 12.9 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 31.2 68.8 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 68.8% 12.7% 12.7% 16.0 8.7 60.1
10-8 31.2% 10.2% 10.2% 16.0 3.2 28.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 11.9% 11.9% 0.0% 16.0 88.1 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 8.7% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 10.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 18.6%
Lose Out 13.9%