Florida A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -9.2 #313
Expected Predictive Rating -6.1 #261
Pace 69.7 #163
Improvement +4.5 #24

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #324 D D- F D+ D+
Defense #272 D C- C F D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #264 1.19 #134 -1.1 #223
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #105 0.70 #261 +0.6 #146
Three Pointers 41% #189 0.87 #338 -3.3 #292
1st FG Attempt 0.94 #282 -3.7 #281
Freethrows 16.5 #231 67% #328 11.1 #271
Second Chance 27.4% #273 0.89 #346 0.24 #327
Turnovers 20.2% #351
Total Offense -6.1 #324

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #67 1.23 #271 -4.0 #311
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #283 0.79 #237 +0.9 #124
Three Pointers 40% #220 1.05 #221 +0.0 #181
1st FG Attempt 1.08 #277 -3.1 #278
Freethrows 20.1 #314 77% #345 15.6 #335
Second Chance 31.3% #212 1.07 #226 0.33 #226
Turnovers 16.8% #159
Total Defense -3.1 #272

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.3% #273 1.5% #306
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -6.0% #274 4.6% #265
Possession Length 17.8 #224 16.5 #55
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #223 0.23 #335
Improvement +2.6 #51 +1.9 #66

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.9% 9.0% 5.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 24.2% 29.8% 10.4%
.500 or above in Conference 80.0% 87.1% 62.3%
Conference Champion 15.9% 19.7% 6.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four6.4% 7.2% 4.5%
First Round4.3% 5.0% 2.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alcorn St. (Home) - 71.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 20 - 7
Quad 412 - 912 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 74 @South Florida L 67 - 102 4% -15  0 - 1 -24 -9 F B+ F -11 F C A-
 Sat, Nov 8 150 Kennesaw St. L 72 - 92 26% -9  0 - 2 -22 -12 F D C -8 F A+ B-
 Tue, Nov 11 53 @Central Florida L 60 - 97 3% -22  0 - 3 -23 -11 C- F F -10 F F A+
 Mon, Nov 17 24 @Georgia L 57 - 87 1% -20  0 - 4 -11 -12 C F F +3 A+ F A
 Tue, Dec 2 292 @Jacksonville L 82 - 85 OT 33% +0  0 - 5 -8 +4 A+ F F -11 D- D F
 Wed, Dec 17 292 Jacksonville W 72 - 65 55% +9  1 - 5 -4 +1 C F B+ -4 F A+ B
 Fri, Dec 19 189 @Tarleton St. L 54 - 78 17% -14  1 - 6 -23 -23 F F F +3 B- F A+
 Sun, Dec 21 45 @TCU L 56 - 80 3% -5  1 - 7 -10 -4 B F A+ -8 C C C
 Sun, Dec 28 113 @Georgia Tech L 65 - 89 8% -17  1 - 8 -18 -6 D+ F C+ -10 F F A+
 Sat, Jan 3 269 @Bethune-Cookman L 83 - 87 28% -4  1 - 9 0 - 1 -7 +7 C C+ C- -14 F C F
 Sat, Jan 10 246 Southern W 67 - 59 44% +4  2 - 9 1 - 1 +0 -4 F D+ F +5 C A+ A
 Mon, Jan 12 287 Grambling St. W 91 - 84 54% +3  3 - 9 2 - 1 -3 +12 A A D -16 F F F
 Sat, Jan 17 334 @Arkansas Pine Bluff W 71 - 67 45% +1  4 - 9 3 - 1 -4 -1 C+ C F -3 C+ F C+
 Mon, Jan 19 365 @Mississippi Valley W 62 - 48 87% +14  5 - 9 4 - 1 -7 -12 F D F +6 A+ A+ D+
 Sat, Jan 24 347 Alcorn St. W 77 - 71 71%
 Mon, Jan 26 325 Jackson St. W 79 - 75 65%
 Sat, Jan 31 301 @Alabama A&M L 68 - 72 35%
 Mon, Feb 2 311 @Alabama St. L 73 - 77 37%
 Sat, Feb 7 335 Texas Southern W 78 - 73 68%
 Mon, Feb 9 317 Prairie View W 78 - 75 63%
 Sat, Feb 14 325 @Jackson St. L 76 - 78 44%
 Mon, Feb 16 347 @Alcorn St. W 74 - 73 51%
 Thu, Feb 19 301 Alabama A&M W 71 - 69 57%
 Thu, Feb 19 311 Alabama St. W 76 - 74 60%
 Thu, Feb 26 246 @Southern L 70 - 78 25%
 Thu, Feb 26 287 @Grambling St. L 69 - 74 33%
 Thu, Mar 5 269 Bethune-Cookman L 74 - 75 50%
Totals 12 - 15 10 - 7 -9 -6 D D- F -3 D C- C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.9 4.4 6.0 3.3 1.1 0.2 15.9 1st
2nd 0.5 5.6 7.4 2.4 0.3 0.0 16.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 3.9 8.3 2.3 0.2 14.7 3rd
4th 1.1 7.9 2.9 0.1 12.1 4th
5th 0.1 4.7 5.1 0.2 10.2 5th
6th 1.4 6.9 0.8 0.0 9.1 6th
7th 0.2 4.0 2.9 0.0 7.1 7th
8th 0.0 1.3 4.2 0.3 5.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.6 1.4 0.0 4.3 9th
10th 0.2 1.1 1.7 0.2 3.2 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.3 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.1 0.6 2.2 5.9 11.2 16.0 18.3 17.9 14.2 8.6 3.6 1.1 0.2 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.2    0.2
15-3 99.5% 1.1    1.0 0.0
14-4 91.2% 3.3    2.6 0.6 0.1
13-5 69.9% 6.0    3.2 2.4 0.4 0.0
12-6 30.9% 4.4    0.9 2.0 1.2 0.3 0.0
11-7 5.3% 0.9    0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 15.9% 15.9 7.9 5.1 2.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.2% 46.9% 46.9% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
15-3 1.1% 24.6% 24.6% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8
14-4 3.6% 18.4% 18.4% 15.8 0.1 0.6 3.0
13-5 8.6% 14.7% 14.7% 16.0 0.1 1.2 7.4
12-6 14.2% 11.1% 11.1% 16.0 0.0 1.5 12.7
11-7 17.9% 9.6% 9.6% 16.0 0.0 1.7 16.2
10-8 18.3% 7.0% 7.0% 16.0 1.3 17.1
9-9 16.0% 5.7% 5.7% 16.0 0.9 15.1
8-10 11.2% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 11.1
7-11 5.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.9
6-12 2.2% 2.2
5-13 0.6% 0.6
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 7.9% 7.9% 0.0% 15.9 92.1 0.0%