Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
236 Bethune-Cookman 28.9%   16   9 - 11 7 - 1 -4.2      -3.3 261 -0.9 202 71.4 112 -3.9 227 -0.8 1
266 Southern 17.3%   5 - 13 4 - 4 -6.0      -4.5 289 -1.5 233 73.7 57 -9.5 319 -10.4 7
287 Grambling St. 13.1%   7 - 10 3 - 3 -7.2      -5.8 320 -1.5 232 67.9 213 -5.9 257 -8.6 6
293 Alabama A&M 12.2%   9 - 9 5 - 3 -7.6      -4.4 283 -3.2 279 65.3 267 -6.8 275 -8.6 5
309 Texas Southern 5.3%   4 - 14 4 - 5 -8.9      -3.9 274 -5.0 319 73.2 68 -13.6 346 -11.5 9
317 Florida A&M 6.2%   6 - 11 5 - 3 -9.6      -6.7 337 -2.9 263 68.1 201 -8.4 299 -6.9 4
322 Alabama St. 2.5%   5 - 15 3 - 5 -9.9      -5.5 312 -4.4 305 72.5 84 -11.6 336 -13.7 11
331 Arkansas Pine Bluff 5.0%   6 - 13 5 - 3 -10.5      -5.1 306 -5.4 324 76.4 25 -6.4 264 -6.8 3
337 Jackson St. 4.0%   6 - 15 5 - 3 -11.3      -5.9 324 -5.4 325 73.6 63 -8.1 292 -5.8 2
339 Prairie View 3.0%   5 - 13 4 - 5 -11.4      -6.9 342 -4.6 309 78.1 15 -11.9 338 -12.0 10
348 Alcorn St. 2.5%   4 - 16 3 - 5 -11.9      -6.4 332 -5.5 326 70.3 142 -10.0 328 -10.8 8
365 Mississippi Valley 0.0%   0 - 21 0 - 8 -23.6      -15.6 365 -8.0 358 68.0 205 -26.4 365 -25.4 12


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Jan 31 348 Alcorn St. 78 266 Southern 73   
Sat, Jan 31 287 Grambling St. 69 337 Jackson St. 66   
Sat, Jan 31 339 Prairie View 85 309 Texas Southern 78   
Sat, Jan 31 322 Alabama St. 54 236 Bethune-Cookman 69   
Sat, Jan 31 293 Alabama A&M 72 317 Florida A&M 65   
Sat, Jan 31 331 Arkansas Pine Bluff 78 365 Mississippi Valley 70   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Mon, Feb 2 293 Alabama A&M 71 236 Bethune-Cookman 72 52%   
Mon, Feb 2 322 Alabama St. 75 317 Florida A&M 72 60%   
Mon, Feb 2 337 Jackson St. 76 266 Southern 79 59%   
Mon, Feb 2 348 Alcorn St. 71 287 Grambling St. 73 56%   
Wed, Feb 4 331 Arkansas Pine Bluff 72 287 Grambling St. 79 73%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Bethune-Cookman 1.6 69.2 16.0 7.4 3.8 1.8 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Southern 4.4 11.2 17.6 15.3 13.1 11.1 9.7 7.1 5.6 4.2 3.0 2.1
Grambling St. 4.6 12.5 17.4 14.1 11.8 10.4 8.9 7.5 6.1 4.7 3.7 2.9
Alabama A&M 3.8 15.2 20.2 16.9 13.6 10.4 8.9 5.9 4.6 2.3 1.3 0.6
Texas Southern 7.1 0.8 3.2 5.5 8.0 10.1 11.7 12.4 14.5 13.2 11.6 8.9
Florida A&M 4.9 8.4 14.1 14.4 13.2 11.7 10.4 8.2 7.2 5.4 3.9 3.1
Alabama St. 8.4 0.2 1.3 2.9 3.8 5.9 7.5 9.3 12.7 14.4 19.3 22.7 0.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 5.1 4.6 12.4 14.7 14.0 13.5 12.4 9.8 8.0 5.5 3.6 1.6
Jackson St. 4.4 10.0 16.5 17.5 14.0 11.7 10.1 7.3 5.5 4.2 2.3 0.8
Prairie View 7.8 0.3 1.6 3.4 5.3 7.7 10.2 11.6 15.6 15.8 15.9 12.7 0.0
Alcorn St. 7.3 0.9 3.4 6.0 7.7 9.2 10.4 11.7 13.2 13.2 12.6 11.5 0.0
Mississippi Valley 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 99.8

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Bethune-Cookman 13 - 4 16 - 14 0.0 0.3 1.6 5.9 13.5 21.7 24.2 20.4 9.9 2.5
Southern 10 - 8 11 - 17 0.1 0.4 1.8 5.4 11.6 18.3 22.2 19.9 13.5 5.6 1.3
Grambling St. 10 - 8 14 - 15 0.1 0.6 2.3 6.3 12.4 18.0 19.9 18.1 13.1 6.7 2.0 0.4
Alabama A&M 10 - 8 14 - 14 0.0 0.6 2.9 8.6 16.5 22.8 23.2 15.4 7.5 2.1 0.4
Texas Southern 8 - 9 9 - 18 0.6 2.8 8.7 19.1 25.6 23.0 14.1 5.2 0.9
Florida A&M 10 - 8 11 - 16 0.5 2.5 7.0 14.4 20.2 22.0 17.1 10.3 4.6 1.1 0.2
Alabama St. 7 - 10 10 - 20 0.2 1.8 9.1 18.2 24.3 22.9 15.1 6.5 1.6 0.3
Arkansas Pine Bluff 10 - 7 11 - 18 0.1 1.6 6.3 16.1 24.1 24.1 17.0 8.1 2.4 0.3
Jackson St. 10 - 8 11 - 20 0.0 0.9 4.6 11.2 19.6 23.9 21.0 12.0 4.9 1.5 0.3
Prairie View 8 - 9 9 - 18 0.3 4.1 12.4 24.7 26.8 20.0 9.1 2.3 0.3
Alcorn St. 8 - 10 9 - 21 0.1 0.9 4.0 10.8 19.0 23.4 21.3 13.4 5.5 1.5 0.2
Mississippi Valley 1 - 16 1 - 30 43.2 36.0 15.9 3.9 0.8 0.1 0.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Bethune-Cookman 69.2% 50.1 13.8 3.8 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0
Southern 11.2% 4.1 4.3 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.0
Grambling St. 12.5% 5.2 4.5 1.9 0.8 0.2
Alabama A&M 15.2% 7.0 5.3 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
Texas Southern 0.8% 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
Florida A&M 8.4% 3.3 3.2 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Alabama St. 0.2% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 4.6% 1.2 2.0 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Jackson St. 10.0% 3.7 3.9 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Prairie View 0.3% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Alcorn St. 0.9% 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
Mississippi Valley


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Bethune-Cookman 28.9% 28.9% 0.0% 16   0.1 0.7 4.4 23.8 71.1 0.0%
Southern 17.3% 17.3% 0.0% 0.1 0.7 16.5 82.7 0.0%
Grambling St. 13.1% 13.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.8 12.2 86.9 0.0%
Alabama A&M 12.2% 12.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 11.8 87.8 0.0%
Texas Southern 5.3% 5.3% 0.0% 0.1 5.1 94.7 0.0%
Florida A&M 6.2% 6.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 6.1 93.9 0.0%
Alabama St. 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0 2.5 97.5 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 5.0% 5.0% 0.0% 0.1 4.9 95.0 0.0%
Jackson St. 4.0% 4.0% 0.0% 4.0 96.0 0.0%
Prairie View 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0 2.9 97.0 0.0%
Alcorn St. 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 2.5 97.5 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 62.7% 0.6 37.3 62.7
2nd Round 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Bethune-Cookman 28.9% 15.2% 22.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern 17.3% 14.8% 11.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grambling St. 13.1% 9.2% 8.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama A&M 12.2% 9.9% 7.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas Southern 5.3% 5.0% 2.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida A&M 6.2% 5.6% 3.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama St. 2.5% 2.4% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 5.0% 4.6% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jackson St. 4.0% 4.0% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Prairie View 3.0% 2.9% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alcorn St. 2.5% 2.5% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%