Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
240 Bethune-Cookman 31.2%   16   14 - 13 12 - 3 -4.3      -3.9 275 -0.4 182 71.4 101 -4.6 243 -3.6 1
258 Southern 23.3%   10 - 14 9 - 5 -5.6      -3.4 257 -2.1 239 73.7 51 -6.7 270 -6.6 2
296 Grambling St. 6.1%   9 - 15 5 - 8 -7.9      -7.8 346 -0.1 175 67.2 224 -8.6 307 -11.7 9
305 Texas Southern 10.3%   8 - 16 8 - 7 -8.5      -4.5 290 -4.0 298 71.9 92 -10.5 325 -9.0 6
310 Alabama A&M 10.5%   13 - 12 9 - 6 -8.8      -4.7 295 -4.1 300 64.5 289 -6.9 275 -7.5 3
312 Alabama St. 1.3%   8 - 19 6 - 9 -9.3      -6.7 334 -2.6 252 72.2 83 -11.7 336 -12.9 11
328 Florida A&M 4.0%   9 - 15 8 - 7 -10.7      -7.9 349 -2.8 257 69.6 143 -10.3 324 -9.8 7
329 Arkansas Pine Bluff 5.7%   10 - 16 9 - 6 -10.9      -4.5 289 -6.4 336 72.7 71 -7.2 279 -7.8 4
331 Prairie View 1.8%   7 - 17 6 - 9 -11.2      -6.2 324 -5.0 313 79.3 7 -12.5 342 -12.8 10
337 Jackson St. 4.1%   9 - 18 8 - 6 -11.9      -5.2 307 -6.7 344 73.8 49 -9.2 313 -8.2 5
345 Alcorn St. 1.6%   7 - 19 6 - 8 -12.6      -6.4 327 -6.2 333 68.7 174 -10.8 327 -11.6 8
365 Mississippi Valley 0.0%   1 - 26 1 - 13 -23.2      -14.3 365 -8.9 361 67.7 203 -25.8 365 -24.7 12


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Thu, Feb 19 310 Alabama A&M 63 328 Florida A&M 61   
Thu, Feb 19 329 Arkansas Pine Bluff 64 305 Texas Southern 83   
Thu, Feb 19 365 Mississippi Valley 62 331 Prairie View 72   
Thu, Feb 19 312 Alabama St. 71 240 Bethune-Cookman 82   
Sat, Feb 21 329 Arkansas Pine Bluff 84 331 Prairie View 82   
Sat, Feb 21 365 Mississippi Valley 72 305 Texas Southern 71   
Sat, Feb 21 312 Alabama St. 63 328 Florida A&M 76   
Sat, Feb 21 345 Alcorn St. 83 337 Jackson St. 65   
Sat, Feb 21 310 Alabama A&M 76 240 Bethune-Cookman 85   
Sat, Feb 21 296 Grambling St. 73 258 Southern 87   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Mon, Feb 23 296 Grambling St. 76 365 Mississippi Valley 58 95%   
Thu, Feb 26 240 Bethune-Cookman 70 296 Grambling St. 69 52%   
Thu, Feb 26 337 Jackson St. 81 331 Prairie View 85 64%   
Thu, Feb 26 328 Florida A&M 70 258 Southern 78 78%   
Thu, Feb 26 345 Alcorn St. 72 305 Texas Southern 79 75%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Bethune-Cookman 1.0 97.4 2.6
Southern 2.5 13.9 52.4 15.6 9.3 5.8 2.0 1.0 0.1
Grambling St. 8.1 0.1 0.7 2.7 4.5 10.4 20.0 19.8 16.9 13.8 11.1
Texas Southern 4.2 12.4 25.7 22.6 19.0 13.2 4.8 1.6 0.7 0.1 0.0
Alabama A&M 3.3 2.2 34.8 23.4 18.9 13.4 5.4 1.8 0.1
Alabama St. 9.2 0.0 1.0 4.2 10.0 18.2 19.1 23.8 23.8
Florida A&M 6.6 1.4 2.8 6.6 9.7 20.1 33.3 18.6 7.1 0.5 0.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 3.2 1.5 31.8 32.3 17.9 12.2 3.7 0.5 0.0
Prairie View 8.8 0.1 1.6 6.6 11.2 22.6 20.4 22.7 14.9
Jackson St. 4.3 0.5 14.9 20.7 17.8 19.0 20.0 6.0 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
Alcorn St. 8.1 0.0 0.8 2.4 3.3 9.2 17.9 25.7 18.8 14.9 6.9
Mississippi Valley 12.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Bethune-Cookman 14 - 4 16 - 14 11.0 35.3 38.6 15.1
Southern 11 - 7 12 - 16 2.7 16.5 34.2 33.3 13.4
Grambling St. 8 - 10 12 - 17 0.3 6.7 24.7 36.4 25.2 6.8
Texas Southern 10 - 8 10 - 17 2.6 16.6 41.3 39.5
Alabama A&M 11 - 7 15 - 13 8.6 31.1 40.8 19.6
Alabama St. 7 - 11 9 - 21 15.9 39.0 34.4 10.8
Florida A&M 9 - 9 10 - 17 35.6 42.9 18.5 3.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 11 - 7 12 - 17 2.7 33.0 45.9 18.5
Prairie View 8 - 10 9 - 18 9.6 35.2 42.1 13.1
Jackson St. 10 - 8 11 - 20 2.1 22.5 42.0 27.0 6.4
Alcorn St. 8 - 10 9 - 21 2.6 25.2 43.0 24.2 4.9
Mississippi Valley 1 - 17 1 - 30 73.0 23.6 3.1 0.2 0.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Bethune-Cookman 97.4% 84.2 11.1 1.9 0.2
Southern 13.9% 2.6 9.5 1.6 0.2
Grambling St.
Texas Southern
Alabama A&M 2.2% 0.9 1.0 0.2
Alabama St.
Florida A&M
Arkansas Pine Bluff 1.5% 0.5 0.9 0.2
Prairie View
Jackson St. 0.5% 0.2 0.3 0.1
Alcorn St.
Mississippi Valley


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Bethune-Cookman 31.2% 31.2% 0.0% 16   0.1 2.2 29.0 68.8 0.0%
Southern 23.3% 23.3% 0.0% 0.0 1.0 22.3 76.7 0.0%
Grambling St. 6.1% 6.1% 0.0% 0.1 6.0 93.9 0.0%
Texas Southern 10.3% 10.3% 0.0% 10.3 89.7 0.0%
Alabama A&M 10.5% 10.5% 0.0% 0.1 10.4 89.5 0.0%
Alabama St. 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 1.3 98.7 0.0%
Florida A&M 4.0% 4.0% 0.0% 4.0 96.0 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 5.7% 5.7% 0.0% 5.7 94.3 0.0%
Prairie View 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 1.8 98.2 0.0%
Jackson St. 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 4.1 95.9 0.0%
Alcorn St. 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 1.6 98.4 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 56.0% 0.6 44.0 56.0
2nd Round 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Bethune-Cookman 31.2% 22.8% 20.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern 23.3% 19.7% 14.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grambling St. 6.1% 5.5% 3.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas Southern 10.3% 10.3% 5.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama A&M 10.5% 9.5% 5.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama St. 1.3% 1.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida A&M 4.0% 3.9% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 5.7% 5.6% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Prairie View 1.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jackson St. 4.1% 4.1% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alcorn St. 1.6% 1.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%