Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
227 Bethune-Cookman 33.0%   16   12 - 11 10 - 1 -3.6      -3.6 269 +0.1 166 71.4 109 -2.4 209 +1.7 1
264 Southern 19.3%   8 - 13 7 - 4 -5.8      -3.5 264 -2.3 246 72.7 73 -7.1 275 -7.1 3
285 Grambling St. 11.8%   9 - 12 5 - 5 -7.0      -7.4 345 +0.3 157 66.8 236 -7.2 278 -10.0 7
305 Alabama A&M 9.3%   10 - 11 6 - 5 -8.4      -5.3 312 -3.1 273 65.6 261 -7.3 282 -8.5 4
309 Texas Southern 6.0%   5 - 15 5 - 6 -8.9      -4.8 300 -4.1 299 72.2 85 -12.1 341 -10.2 8
313 Arkansas Pine Bluff 8.9%   9 - 13 8 - 3 -9.1      -4.0 279 -5.0 314 74.4 47 -4.6 235 -4.4 2
316 Alabama St. 2.1%   6 - 17 4 - 7 -9.5      -6.3 327 -3.2 279 71.8 93 -11.5 335 -13.2 11
328 Florida A&M 4.2%   7 - 13 6 - 5 -10.7      -7.5 348 -3.1 274 69.6 153 -10.0 321 -9.3 6
336 Prairie View 1.9%   5 - 15 4 - 7 -11.4      -6.3 329 -5.0 315 80.5 8 -12.7 345 -13.1 10
343 Jackson St. 2.6%   7 - 17 6 - 5 -12.1      -5.1 305 -7.0 343 73.2 62 -9.5 316 -8.5 5
351 Alcorn St. 0.9%   5 - 18 4 - 7 -13.1      -5.9 322 -7.2 350 68.6 185 -11.4 334 -12.5 9
365 Mississippi Valley 0.0%   0 - 23 0 - 10 -23.9      -14.4 365 -9.5 363 67.8 207 -28.3 365 -27.0 12


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Mon, Feb 9 227 Bethune-Cookman 79 309 Texas Southern 69   
Mon, Feb 9 316 Alabama St. 68 264 Southern 69   
Mon, Feb 9 305 Alabama A&M 66 285 Grambling St. 58   
Mon, Feb 9 313 Arkansas Pine Bluff 84 343 Jackson St. 63   
Mon, Feb 9 328 Florida A&M 100 336 Prairie View 96   
Mon, Feb 9 351 Alcorn St. 74 365 Mississippi Valley 66   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Feb 14 316 Alabama St. 79 313 Arkansas Pine Bluff 77 60%   
Sat, Feb 14 285 Grambling St. 70 309 Texas Southern 71 54%   
Sat, Feb 14 328 Florida A&M 75 343 Jackson St. 77 56%   
Sat, Feb 14 336 Prairie View 80 264 Southern 82 60%   
Sat, Feb 14 351 Alcorn St. 71 227 Bethune-Cookman 78 74%   
Sat, Feb 14 305 Alabama A&M 78 365 Mississippi Valley 59 95%   
Mon, Feb 16 305 Alabama A&M 76 313 Arkansas Pine Bluff 73 64%   
Mon, Feb 16 264 Southern 78 309 Texas Southern 77 50%   
Mon, Feb 16 285 Grambling St. 75 336 Prairie View 73 55%   
Mon, Feb 16 351 Alcorn St. 74 328 Florida A&M 73 52%   
Mon, Feb 16 227 Bethune-Cookman 80 343 Jackson St. 74 70%   
Mon, Feb 16 316 Alabama St. 80 365 Mississippi Valley 63 94%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Bethune-Cookman 1.1 91.4 6.4 1.6 0.4 0.2 0.0
Southern 3.1 11.3 34.5 24.0 13.7 7.4 4.6 2.4 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0
Grambling St. 5.2 1.8 10.2 14.3 17.4 15.5 13.1 10.7 8.0 5.3 3.0 1.0
Alabama A&M 4.2 3.4 17.7 18.7 20.6 15.6 11.0 6.6 3.9 1.9 0.7 0.1
Texas Southern 6.4 0.1 2.9 6.9 11.1 14.3 16.0 16.0 14.0 9.2 6.2 3.5
Arkansas Pine Bluff 2.7 10.4 45.2 24.9 10.4 5.5 2.6 0.8 0.2 0.1
Alabama St. 8.6 0.1 0.9 2.6 5.3 7.3 11.0 14.7 19.3 22.5 16.2
Florida A&M 6.1 0.7 4.8 8.6 13.1 14.3 14.7 14.5 13.0 8.3 5.3 2.7
Prairie View 8.5 0.1 0.7 2.5 5.8 8.2 12.8 15.3 19.1 18.4 17.0
Jackson St. 5.2 1.3 8.0 12.8 17.3 18.5 15.4 10.8 8.3 4.9 2.2 0.6
Alcorn St. 8.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 2.8 5.2 7.7 10.6 14.4 17.6 18.8 21.6
Mississippi Valley 12.0 0.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Bethune-Cookman 14 - 3 17 - 13 0.4 2.9 10.9 23.0 32.2 22.7 7.8
Southern 11 - 7 12 - 16 0.3 3.0 10.0 21.2 27.1 23.1 12.3 3.1
Grambling St. 9 - 9 13 - 16 0.1 1.2 7.3 17.4 25.1 24.7 16.7 6.3 1.3
Alabama A&M 10 - 8 14 - 14 0.1 1.9 9.9 22.0 29.7 23.9 10.7 1.9
Texas Southern 9 - 8 9 - 18 0.6 3.8 14.3 27.0 30.5 18.5 5.4
Arkansas Pine Bluff 11 - 6 13 - 16 0.2 5.5 18.5 29.7 28.9 13.6 3.6
Alabama St. 7 - 10 10 - 20 0.3 5.4 19.7 30.9 27.4 13.4 2.9
Florida A&M 9 - 9 10 - 17 3.2 13.1 25.0 27.7 19.4 9.0 2.4 0.3
Prairie View 7 - 10 9 - 18 0.4 4.6 17.7 30.5 29.4 14.6 2.8
Jackson St. 9 - 9 10 - 21 0.5 6.1 18.7 28.5 26.8 14.5 4.3 0.7
Alcorn St. 7 - 11 8 - 22 0.8 7.1 19.8 29.7 25.1 13.2 3.7 0.7
Mississippi Valley 0 - 17 1 - 30 66.0 27.1 6.0 0.8 0.1 0.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Bethune-Cookman 91.4% 76.8 11.4 2.6 0.6 0.1 0.0
Southern 11.3% 3.6 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.1 0.0
Grambling St. 1.8% 0.2 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
Alabama A&M 3.4% 0.7 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0
Texas Southern 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 10.4% 2.5 5.4 1.9 0.5 0.1
Alabama St.
Florida A&M 0.7% 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Prairie View
Jackson St. 1.3% 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
Alcorn St. 0.0% 0.0
Mississippi Valley


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Bethune-Cookman 33.0% 33.0% 0.0% 16   0.1 1.3 6.6 24.9 67.0 0.0%
Southern 19.3% 19.3% 0.0% 0.1 1.1 18.1 80.7 0.0%
Grambling St. 11.8% 11.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.6 11.1 88.2 0.0%
Alabama A&M 9.3% 9.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 9.1 90.7 0.0%
Texas Southern 6.0% 6.0% 0.0% 0.0 6.0 94.0 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 8.9% 8.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 8.5 91.1 0.0%
Alabama St. 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 2.1 97.9 0.0%
Florida A&M 4.2% 4.2% 0.0% 0.0 4.2 95.8 0.0%
Prairie View 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 1.9 98.1 0.0%
Jackson St. 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 2.6 97.4 0.0%
Alcorn St. 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.9 99.1 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 63.4% 0.6 36.6 63.4
2nd Round 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Bethune-Cookman 33.0% 14.3% 26.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern 19.3% 15.5% 12.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grambling St. 11.8% 9.1% 7.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama A&M 9.3% 7.9% 4.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas Southern 6.0% 5.9% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 8.9% 7.4% 4.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama St. 2.1% 2.1% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida A&M 4.2% 4.1% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Prairie View 1.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jackson St. 2.6% 2.6% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alcorn St. 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%