Mississippi Valley
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-22.1#365
Expected Predictive Rating-18.5#359
Pace70.3#166
Improvement-0.4#224

Offense
Total Offense-13.2#365
First Shot-7.7#356
After Offensive Rebound-5.6#362
Layup/Dunks-7.9#357
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.4#7
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.5#341
Freethrows+0.5#155
Improvement-1.5#295

Defense
Total Defense-8.9#364
First Shot-7.5#360
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#277
Layups/Dunks-0.6#196
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#46
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.9#356
Freethrows-2.1#301
Improvement+1.1#89
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 84.6% 52.0% 84.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kansas St. (Away) - 0.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 30 - 40 - 11
Quad 42 - 182 - 29


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 112 @UAB L 55-106 1%     0 - 1 -44.3 -24.0 -11.3
  Fri, Nov 7 113 @Murray St. L 60-108 1%     0 - 2 -41.3 -16.9 -19.8
  Wed, Nov 12 108 @Hawaii L 56-88 1%     0 - 3 -24.7 -6.9 -19.5
  Fri, Nov 14 254 Utah Tech L 75-81 2OT 7%     0 - 4 -11.3 -3.8 -7.1
  Sat, Nov 15 310 Manhattan L 73-80 10%     0 - 5 -15.2 -0.8 -15.1
  Sat, Nov 22 280 @Cal St. Bakersfield L 70-86 5%     0 - 6 -19.5 -8.3 -10.2
  Tue, Nov 25 38 @Texas A&M L 84-120 0.3%    0 - 7 -20.9 +1.3 -15.4
  Wed, Dec 3 357 @Louisiana Monroe L 52-66 15%     0 - 8 -25.1 -21.5 -4.7
  Mon, Dec 8 71 @Kansas St. L 62-95 0.1%   
  Tue, Dec 16 202 Tarleton St. L 64-81 6%    
  Fri, Dec 19 100 @Florida St. L 62-92 0.3%   
  Mon, Dec 22 65 @West Virginia L 49-83 0.0%   
  Mon, Dec 29 41 @Oklahoma L 57-94 0.0%   
  Sat, Jan 3 268 Alabama St. L 66-79 11%    
  Mon, Jan 5 266 Alabama A&M L 62-75 11%    
  Sat, Jan 10 322 @Prairie View L 65-81 7%    
  Mon, Jan 12 296 @Texas Southern L 64-82 6%    
  Sat, Jan 17 218 Bethune-Cookman L 64-80 8%    
  Mon, Jan 19 345 Florida A&M L 68-76 24%    
  Sat, Jan 24 284 @Grambling St. L 59-77 5%    
  Mon, Jan 26 201 @Southern L 63-86 2%    
  Sat, Jan 31 358 Arkansas Pine Bluff L 72-77 33%    
  Sat, Feb 7 312 Jackson St. L 64-75 17%    
  Mon, Feb 9 333 Alcorn St. L 68-77 22%    
  Sat, Feb 14 266 @Alabama A&M L 59-78 4%    
  Mon, Feb 16 268 @Alabama St. L 63-82 5%    
  Thu, Feb 19 322 @Prairie View L 65-81 8%    
  Sat, Feb 21 296 Texas Southern L 67-79 16%    
  Sat, Feb 28 358 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 69-80 17%    
  Tue, Mar 3 333 @Alcorn St. L 65-80 10%    
  Thu, Mar 5 312 @Jackson St. L 61-78 7%    
Projected Record 2 - 29 2 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.2 2.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 2.1 2.0 0.5 0.1 5.7 10th
11th 0.8 4.1 6.2 4.4 1.2 0.2 0.0 16.8 11th
12th 17.7 25.3 19.8 9.1 2.1 0.3 0.0 74.2 12th
Total 17.7 26.1 24.0 16.2 8.8 4.3 1.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0% 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0
9-9 0.1% 0.1
8-10 0.3% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.3
7-11 0.7% 0.7
6-12 1.8% 1.8
5-13 4.3% 4.3
4-14 8.8% 8.8
3-15 16.2% 16.2
2-16 24.0% 24.0
1-17 26.1% 26.1
0-18 17.7% 17.7
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 15.3%