Alcorn St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.5#333
Expected Predictive Rating-8.3#291
Pace72.4#111
Improvement+0.8#113

Offense
Total Offense-5.9#330
First Shot-0.6#195
After Offensive Rebound-5.3#361
Layup/Dunks-0.1#180
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#32
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#198
Freethrows-3.3#331
Improvement+0.3#152

Defense
Total Defense-4.6#326
First Shot+0.4#156
After Offensive Rebounds-4.9#357
Layups/Dunks-1.6#236
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#48
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#152
Freethrows-1.0#250
Improvement+0.5#139
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.7% 6.9% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 3.0% 14.4% 2.9%
.500 or above in Conference 52.4% 75.6% 52.3%
Conference Champion 5.0% 13.8% 4.9%
Last Place in Conference 2.0% 0.0% 2.0%
First Four2.5% 5.6% 2.5%
First Round1.4% 3.1% 1.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Baylor (Away) - 0.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 30 - 8
Quad 31 - 41 - 12
Quad 49 - 1010 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 100 @Florida St. L 76-108 5%     0 - 1 -24.0 +2.3 -23.8
  Thu, Nov 6 165 @South Alabama L 70-76 12%     0 - 2 -3.7 -4.0 +0.5
  Sat, Nov 8 95 @Minnesota L 50-95 5%     0 - 3 -36.9 -18.8 -18.2
  Tue, Nov 11 86 @Maryland L 64-84 4%     0 - 4 -10.9 -5.2 -5.1
  Thu, Nov 13 315 @Howard L 64-72 31%     0 - 5 -13.5 -7.6 -6.2
  Tue, Nov 18 29 @LSU L 81-107 1%     0 - 6 -9.2 +12.9 -21.1
  Sun, Nov 23 41 @Oklahoma L 53-72 2%     0 - 7 -4.2 -14.8 +10.2
  Fri, Nov 28 196 Indiana St. W 81-74 22%     1 - 7 +4.6 -0.7 +4.5
  Sat, Nov 29 188 @Louisiana Tech L 58-83 14%     1 - 8 -24.0 -5.4 -21.4
  Wed, Dec 3 6 @Iowa St. L 68-132 1%     1 - 9 -40.6 -2.1 -30.3
  Fri, Dec 19 28 @Baylor L 66-93 1%    
  Mon, Dec 29 58 @Mississippi L 62-85 1%    
  Wed, Dec 31 201 Southern L 75-80 32%    
  Sat, Jan 3 312 @Jackson St. L 70-75 32%    
  Sat, Jan 10 266 @Alabama A&M L 67-75 24%    
  Mon, Jan 12 268 @Alabama St. L 71-79 24%    
  Sat, Jan 17 296 Texas Southern W 76-75 50%    
  Mon, Jan 19 322 Prairie View W 77-75 57%    
  Sat, Jan 24 345 @Florida A&M L 74-76 42%    
  Mon, Jan 26 218 @Bethune-Cookman L 69-79 19%    
  Sat, Jan 31 201 Southern L 75-80 33%    
  Mon, Feb 2 284 Grambling St. L 70-71 47%    
  Sat, Feb 7 358 @Arkansas Pine Bluff W 78-77 53%    
  Mon, Feb 9 365 @Mississippi Valley W 77-68 78%    
  Sat, Feb 14 218 Bethune-Cookman L 72-76 37%    
  Mon, Feb 16 345 Florida A&M W 77-73 63%    
  Sat, Feb 21 312 Jackson St. W 73-72 53%    
  Thu, Feb 26 296 @Texas Southern L 73-79 30%    
  Sat, Feb 28 322 @Prairie View L 74-78 35%    
  Tue, Mar 3 365 Mississippi Valley W 80-65 90%    
  Thu, Mar 5 358 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 81-74 72%    
Projected Record 10 - 21 9 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 2.3 2.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 6.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 3.7 3.2 0.8 0.1 0.0 8.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.9 3.9 1.0 0.1 9.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.3 5.2 1.4 0.1 10.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.6 6.0 2.3 0.1 11.2 6th
7th 0.1 2.0 5.8 3.2 0.3 0.0 11.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.4 5.2 4.0 0.5 0.0 11.4 8th
9th 0.2 1.1 4.3 3.9 0.8 0.0 10.2 9th
10th 0.2 1.2 3.6 2.9 0.8 0.0 8.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.1 1.8 0.6 0.0 6.0 11th
12th 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.9 12th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.7 3.7 6.7 9.3 12.2 13.5 13.8 12.8 9.9 7.0 4.7 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 94.8% 0.4    0.4 0.0
15-3 85.4% 1.0    0.7 0.3 0.0
14-4 57.2% 1.5    0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 28.7% 1.3    0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0
12-6 7.0% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.9% 4.9 2.6 1.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 29.3% 29.3% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 14.9% 14.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.4
15-3 1.2% 18.6% 18.6% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.0
14-4 2.6% 11.3% 11.3% 16.0 0.0 0.3 2.3
13-5 4.7% 7.8% 7.8% 16.0 0.0 0.4 4.3
12-6 7.0% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.3 6.6
11-7 9.9% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.4 9.4
10-8 12.8% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.4 12.3
9-9 13.8% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.3 13.4
8-10 13.5% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 13.3
7-11 12.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 12.1
6-12 9.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.3
5-13 6.7% 6.7
4-14 3.7% 3.7
3-15 1.7% 1.7
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 2.6 97.3 0.0%