Alcorn St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -12.2 #347
Expected Predictive Rating -10.0 #326
Pace 71.6 #104
Improvement +0.1 #183

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #334 D+ F F F D
Defense #329 F F C D+ F

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #191 1.10 #251 -1.4 #237
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% #45 0.59 #348 +0.6 #148
Three Pointers 34% #316 1.11 #61 -2.1 #259
1st FG Attempt 0.96 #259 -2.9 #260
Freethrows 14.0 #334 68% #310 9.6 #336
Second Chance 27.1% #281 0.80 #362 0.22 #352
Turnovers 19.8% #345
Total Offense -6.7 #334

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% #33 1.35 #355 -8.0 #363
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% #349 0.74 #148 +2.9 #8
Three Pointers 41% #169 1.08 #268 -1.5 #248
1st FG Attempt 1.16 #351 -6.6 #347
Freethrows 18.8 #259 74% #256 13.9 #280
Second Chance 37.4% #354 1.18 #327 0.44 #358
Turnovers 17.0% #142
Total Defense -5.5 #329

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.0% #306 2.6% #358
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -3.8% #235 10.5% #338
Possession Length 17.4 #174 15.9 #16
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 #154 0.29 #365
Improvement -0.6 #218 +0.7 #138

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.4% 3.8% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.2% 0.7% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 38.0% 59.3% 29.4%
Conference Champion 2.0% 5.0% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.1% 0.5%
First Four2.4% 3.8% 1.9%
First Round1.0% 1.6% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida A&M (Away) - 28.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 20 - 30 - 8
Quad 31 - 21 - 10
Quad 49 - 119 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 111 @Florida St. L 76 - 108 5% -17  0 - 1 -25 -0 A+ C- F -23 F F F
 Thu, Nov 6 191 @South Alabama L 70 - 76 11% +3  0 - 2 -5 -3 A+ F F -2 F F A+
 Sat, Nov 8 71 @Minnesota L 50 - 95 3% -30  0 - 3 -34 -17 F C- F -17 C+ F B-
 Tue, Nov 11 100 @Maryland L 64 - 84 4% -12  0 - 4 -12 -6 C+ D- F -5 F D- A+
 Thu, Nov 13 265 @Howard L 64 - 72 19% -5  0 - 5 -11 -4 C F B- -7 F F A+
 Tue, Nov 18 43 @LSU L 81 - 107 1% -7  0 - 6 -11 +11 A A+ D- -21 B- F C
 Sun, Nov 23 57 @Oklahoma L 53 - 72 2% -5  0 - 7 -6 -15 C+ F F +8 A+ A+ F
 Fri, Nov 28 188 Indiana St. W 81 - 74 16% +11  1 - 7 +5 -2 A+ F F +7 A+ F A
 Sat, Nov 29 228 @Louisiana Tech L 58 - 83 14% -10  1 - 8 -26 -5 D+ F D- -24 F F F
 Wed, Dec 3 8 @Iowa St. L 68 - 132 0% -36  1 - 9 -41 -1 A+ D F -31 F F A-
 Fri, Dec 19 41 @Baylor L 56 - 113 1% -29  1 - 10 -42 -18 F F D+ -18 F C+ A+
 Mon, Dec 29 62 @Mississippi L 43 - 79 2% -14  1 - 11 -24 -22 F F B- -4 F D+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 325 @Jackson St. L 86 - 89 32% -7  1 - 12 0 - 1 -10 +9 C C- B -19 F C+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 301 @Alabama A&M W 64 - 62 24% -4  2 - 12 1 - 1 -3 -5 F F B+ +2 C D- B
 Mon, Jan 12 311 @Alabama St. L 66 - 81 26% -6  2 - 13 1 - 2 -21 -11 F C+ D+ -9 F F A+
 Sat, Jan 17 335 Texas Southern L 71 - 72 57% -1  2 - 14 1 - 3 -15 -3 F F D- -12 D- F F
 Mon, Jan 19 317 Prairie View W 76 - 75 52% +3  3 - 14 2 - 3 -12 -2 F C C -10 F A+ C-
 Sat, Jan 24 313 @Florida A&M L 71 - 77 29%
 Mon, Jan 26 269 @Bethune-Cookman L 72 - 81 20%
 Sat, Jan 31 246 Southern L 73 - 78 33%
 Mon, Feb 2 287 Grambling St. L 72 - 74 43%
 Sat, Feb 7 334 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 77 - 81 34%
 Mon, Feb 9 365 @Mississippi Valley W 75 - 66 80%
 Sat, Feb 14 269 Bethune-Cookman L 75 - 78 39%
 Mon, Feb 16 313 Florida A&M L 73 - 74 49%
 Sat, Feb 21 325 Jackson St. W 79 - 78 53%
 Thu, Feb 26 335 @Texas Southern L 75 - 79 35%
 Sat, Feb 28 317 @Prairie View L 75 - 81 30%
 Tue, Mar 3 365 Mississippi Valley W 78 - 63 92%
 Thu, Mar 5 334 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 80 - 78 56%
Totals 9 - 21 8 - 10 -12 -7 D+ F F -6 F F C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.0 1st
2nd 0.3 1.8 1.3 0.1 0.0 3.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.5 2.8 0.3 0.0 5.7 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 4.9 1.0 0.0 7.1 4th
5th 0.2 5.1 3.2 0.1 8.5 5th
6th 0.0 2.1 6.6 0.6 9.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 6.7 3.5 0.0 10.7 7th
8th 0.2 3.9 7.9 0.5 12.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.5 8.3 2.6 0.0 13.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.1 6.8 4.9 0.2 14.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 2.5 4.9 3.9 0.7 12.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.8 7.2 13.4 18.2 19.7 16.9 11.6 6.1 2.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 94.6% 0.2    0.1 0.0
13-5 83.3% 0.6    0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 33.7% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0
11-7 6.2% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.0% 2.0 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.2% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.7% 14.6% 14.6% 16.0 0.1 0.6
12-6 2.6% 9.4% 9.4% 16.0 0.2 2.3
11-7 6.1% 7.0% 7.0% 16.0 0.4 5.7
10-8 11.6% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.6 11.0
9-9 16.9% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.6 16.3
8-10 19.7% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.4 19.3
7-11 18.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 18.1
6-12 13.4% 13.4
5-13 7.2% 7.2
4-14 2.8% 2.8
3-15 0.7% 0.7
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 16.0 97.6 0.0%