Texas
Southeastern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.1#30
Expected Predictive Rating+14.1#39
Pace67.8#196
Improvement+4.7#21

Offense
Total Offense+7.3#32
First Shot+9.4#9
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#295
Layup/Dunks+2.5#94
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#58
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#53
Freethrows+0.2#164
Improvement+2.9#39

Defense
Total Defense+6.8#33
First Shot+4.9#46
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#50
Layups/Dunks+3.0#75
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#241
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#207
Freethrows+2.6#35
Improvement+1.7#94
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.8% 1.1% 0.2%
Top 4 Seed 9.4% 12.0% 3.5%
Top 6 Seed 32.6% 38.8% 18.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 87.2% 91.7% 77.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 87.0% 91.6% 77.0%
Average Seed 7.2 6.9 8.0
.500 or above 99.9% 100.0% 99.6%
.500 or above in Conference 64.5% 74.8% 41.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four6.1% 4.8% 8.9%
First Round84.4% 89.4% 73.2%
Second Round52.4% 57.4% 41.2%
Sweet Sixteen20.0% 22.5% 14.1%
Elite Eight7.5% 8.3% 5.6%
Final Four2.6% 2.9% 1.8%
Championship Game0.8% 0.9% 0.6%
National Champion0.3% 0.4% 0.2%

Next Game: Arkansas (Home) - 69.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 82 - 8
Quad 1b4 - 26 - 10
Quad 25 - 111 - 12
Quad 32 - 013 - 12
Quad 48 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 25   Ohio St. L 72-80 48%     0 - 1 +6.6 +5.9 +0.8
  Nov 08, 2024 290   Houston Christian W 90-59 98%     1 - 1 +21.4 +15.6 +7.2
  Nov 12, 2024 359   Chicago St. W 105-58 99%     2 - 1 +30.3 +17.8 +8.1
  Nov 16, 2024 364   Mississippi Valley W 89-43 99.9%    3 - 1 +18.4 +12.5 +10.1
  Nov 21, 2024 104   Syracuse W 70-66 82%     4 - 1 +8.4 +1.8 +6.7
  Nov 22, 2024 86   Saint Joseph's W 67-58 76%     5 - 1 +15.7 +0.6 +15.4
  Nov 29, 2024 314   Delaware St. W 90-68 98%     6 - 1 +10.7 +6.5 +2.8
  Dec 04, 2024 91   @ North Carolina St. W 63-59 70%     7 - 1 +12.6 +6.5 +6.9
  Dec 08, 2024 24   Connecticut L 65-76 56%     7 - 2 +1.5 +1.6 -1.3
  Dec 12, 2024 166   New Mexico St. W 91-67 93%     8 - 2 +21.5 +19.3 +2.3
  Dec 15, 2024 363   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 121-57 99.6%    9 - 2 +42.7 +25.1 +12.3
  Dec 19, 2024 351   New Orleans W 98-62 99%     10 - 2 +20.7 +17.5 +3.4
  Dec 29, 2024 293   Northwestern St. W 77-53 98%     11 - 2 +14.4 +16.1 +2.9
  Jan 04, 2025 19   @ Texas A&M L 60-80 34%     11 - 3 0 - 1 -1.6 -1.5 -0.5
  Jan 07, 2025 1   Auburn L 82-87 26%     11 - 4 0 - 2 +15.7 +14.5 +1.3
  Jan 11, 2025 6   Tennessee L 70-74 39%     11 - 5 0 - 3 +13.1 +18.9 -6.3
  Jan 15, 2025 34   @ Oklahoma W 77-73 44%     12 - 5 1 - 3 +19.7 +6.2 +13.3
  Jan 18, 2025 4   @ Florida L 60-84 22%     12 - 6 1 - 4 -1.6 -2.5 +0.7
  Jan 21, 2025 23   Missouri W 61-53 56%     13 - 6 2 - 4 +20.6 +1.0 +20.7
  Jan 25, 2025 19   Texas A&M W 70-69 53%     14 - 6 3 - 4 +14.5 +14.3 +0.3
  Jan 29, 2025 26   @ Mississippi L 69-72 39%     14 - 7 3 - 5 +14.1 +9.3 +4.7
  Feb 01, 2025 71   @ LSU W 89-58 65%     15 - 7 4 - 5 +41.3 +26.1 +16.5
  Feb 05, 2025 43   Arkansas W 75-70 69%    
  Feb 08, 2025 57   @ Vanderbilt W 77-75 55%    
  Feb 11, 2025 5   Alabama L 81-84 40%    
  Feb 15, 2025 22   Kentucky W 81-80 56%    
  Feb 22, 2025 79   @ South Carolina W 70-66 64%    
  Feb 26, 2025 43   @ Arkansas L 72-73 48%    
  Mar 01, 2025 37   Georgia W 72-67 70%    
  Mar 04, 2025 35   @ Mississippi St. L 72-74 43%    
  Mar 08, 2025 34   Oklahoma W 75-72 65%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 2.3 0.4 3.6 3rd
4th 0.4 3.5 2.0 0.1 6.1 4th
5th 0.1 3.0 5.3 0.8 9.2 5th
6th 0.0 1.3 7.7 3.3 0.0 12.4 6th
7th 0.3 6.6 7.4 0.7 15.0 7th
8th 0.0 2.4 10.1 2.3 0.0 14.8 8th
9th 0.3 7.3 4.5 0.2 12.2 9th
10th 0.0 2.2 6.8 0.7 0.0 9.6 10th
11th 0.3 4.5 1.9 0.1 6.7 11th
12th 0.0 1.2 2.9 0.3 4.4 12th
13th 0.3 2.0 0.9 0.0 3.1 13th
14th 0.1 0.8 0.9 0.1 1.9 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 15th
16th 16th
Total 0.1 1.2 4.4 10.9 18.9 23.4 21.0 13.7 5.6 0.8 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.8% 100.0% 3.8% 96.3% 3.2 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
12-6 5.6% 100.0% 4.6% 95.4% 4.1 0.1 0.3 1.3 1.9 1.4 0.7 0.1 100.0%
11-7 13.7% 99.9% 2.8% 97.1% 5.3 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.4 4.1 3.7 1.9 0.5 0.0 0.0 99.8%
10-8 21.0% 99.6% 1.9% 97.7% 6.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 3.1 5.2 6.6 3.5 1.0 0.2 0.1 99.6%
9-9 23.4% 97.0% 1.0% 96.1% 7.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.3 3.2 5.5 6.5 4.5 1.4 0.2 0.7 97.0%
8-10 18.9% 86.0% 0.7% 85.3% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 3.2 4.8 4.8 1.7 0.0 2.7 85.9%
7-11 10.9% 55.3% 55.3% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.8 3.0 0.2 4.9 55.3%
6-12 4.4% 26.7% 26.7% 10.9 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.1 3.2 26.7%
5-13 1.2% 3.4% 3.4% 11.3 0.0 0.0 1.1 3.4%
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 87.2% 1.4% 85.8% 7.2 0.2 0.6 3.0 5.7 10.0 13.2 15.5 13.9 11.0 8.2 5.7 0.3 12.8 87.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3% 100.0% 3.2 21.4 50.0 17.9 10.7