Texas
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +13.1 #38
Expected Predictive Rating +9.5 #61
Pace 68.2 #206
Improvement +1.4 #114

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #15 B A+ A- A+ C+
Defense #93 B A D+ D+ B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #113 1.31 #33 +4.7 #42
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #208 0.85 #62 +0.2 #167
Three Pointers 40% #196 1.00 #205 -0.8 #205
1st FG Attempt 1.10 #65 +4.1 #65
Freethrows 22.8 #5 75% #98 17.2 #4
Second Chance 39.6% #10 1.19 #35 0.47 #8
Turnovers 13.7% #36
Total Offense +10.1 #15

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #195 1.04 #53 +2.2 #101
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% #21 0.65 #42 -1.4 #289
Three Pointers 34% #350 1.10 #291 +2.3 #98
1st FG Attempt 0.96 #78 +3.2 #77
Freethrows 19.2 #282 74% #225 14.1 #291
Second Chance 25.2% #23 0.90 #30 0.23 #14
Turnovers 14.8% #279
Total Defense +3.0 #93

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.8% #133 -1.9% #47
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 7.2% #72 -4.4% #95
Possession Length 16.8 #123 18.3 #314
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.28 #10 0.13 #56
Improvement +1.1 #124 +0.3 #163

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.6% 0.9% 0.2%
Top 6 Seed 5.9% 9.1% 2.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 47.3% 60.0% 34.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 46.4% 59.1% 33.2%
Average Seed 8.7 8.4 9.1
.500 or above 70.6% 82.7% 58.0%
.500 or above in Conference 38.9% 52.8% 24.4%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 4.5% 1.7% 7.5%
First Four9.7% 10.2% 9.2%
First Round43.1% 55.7% 29.9%
Second Round23.1% 30.3% 15.5%
Sweet Sixteen6.3% 8.4% 4.1%
Elite Eight2.3% 3.0% 1.6%
Final Four0.8% 1.0% 0.5%
Championship Game0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia (Home) - 51.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 83 - 8
Quad 1b3 - 36 - 11
Quad 23 - 39 - 14
Quad 31 - 110 - 15
Quad 47 - 017 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 3 Duke L 60 - 75 19% -5  0 - 1 +7 +1 F A+ F +5 A+ A+ D+
 Sat, Nov 8 314 Lafayette W 97 - 60 98% +18  1 - 1 +25 +20 C+ A+ C+ +5 A- D A+
 Wed, Nov 12 348 Fairleigh Dickinson W 93 - 58 99% +17  2 - 1 +20 +9 B- A- B+ +9 A A+ F
 Sat, Nov 15 353 UMKC W 71 - 55 99% +11  3 - 1 -0 -1 F C A+ +3 A+ B+ F
 Tue, Nov 18 354 Rider W 99 - 65 99% +18  4 - 1 +18 +14 A+ F A+ +2 B- A+ D
 Mon, Nov 24 88 Arizona St. L 86 - 87 74% +2  4 - 2 +5 +9 A+ A+ F -3 C- B- C
 Wed, Nov 26 26 North Carolina St. W 102 - 97 42% +4  5 - 2 +20 +33 A+ A+ A+ -13 C+ F F
 Wed, Dec 3 16 Virginia L 69 - 88 43% -6  5 - 3 -4 +8 C A+ A+ -13 C A+ D-
 Mon, Dec 8 246 Southern W 95 - 69 96% +17  6 - 3 +18 +19 A+ A+ C -1 D- A+ A-
 Fri, Dec 12 7 @Connecticut L 63 - 71 17% -6  6 - 4 +15 +7 C- A+ B- +8 D+ A+ A+
 Tue, Dec 16 278 Le Moyne W 95 - 53 97% +18  7 - 4 +32 +12 B A+ F +18 A+ A D+
 Mon, Dec 22 330 Maryland Eastern Shore W 94 - 71 98% +11  8 - 4 +9 +16 A+ D- A -7 D- C D-
 Sat, Jan 3 76 Mississippi St. L 98 - 101 OT 79% -1  8 - 5 0 - 1 +2 +13 A- A+ B- -11 C F C-
 Tue, Jan 6 22 @Tennessee L 71 - 85 27% -11  8 - 6 0 - 2 +6 +12 B- A+ F -7 F C B
 Sat, Jan 10 17 @Alabama W 92 - 88 23% +5  9 - 6 1 - 2 +25 +24 A A+ A+ +1 B+ A+ D
 Wed, Jan 14 21 Vanderbilt W 80 - 64 46% +6  10 - 6 2 - 2 +30 +17 A+ A+ F +14 A+ A+ B+
 Sat, Jan 17 34 Texas A&M L 70 - 74 59% -3  10 - 7 2 - 3 +7 +11 C- D- A+ -4 C B+ F
 Wed, Jan 21 25 @Kentucky L 80 - 85 29% -3  10 - 8 2 - 4 +14 +17 C A+ A+ -3 B+ A+ D-
 Sat, Jan 24 24 Georgia W 86 - 85 51%
 Wed, Jan 28 27 @Auburn L 78 - 83 32%
 Sat, Jan 31 57 @Oklahoma W 80 - 79 51%
 Tue, Feb 3 69 South Carolina W 79 - 71 78%
 Sat, Feb 7 62 Mississippi W 79 - 72 75%
 Sat, Feb 14 50 @Missouri L 78 - 79 47%
 Tue, Feb 17 43 LSU W 81 - 77 65%
 Sat, Feb 21 24 @Georgia L 83 - 89 29%
 Wed, Feb 25 10 Florida L 78 - 82 35%
 Sat, Feb 28 34 @Texas A&M L 80 - 84 36%
 Wed, Mar 4 20 @Arkansas L 81 - 88 25%
 Sat, Mar 7 57 Oklahoma W 82 - 76 72%
Totals 16 - 14 8 - 10 +13 +10 B A+ A- +3 B A D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 0.9 0.1 1.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.0 0.6 0.0 3.1 4th
5th 0.1 2.2 2.2 0.1 4.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 4.4 0.9 6.3 6th
7th 0.2 4.4 3.6 0.1 8.3 7th
8th 0.0 2.1 6.8 1.4 10.3 8th
9th 0.7 6.5 4.4 0.2 11.7 9th
10th 0.1 3.8 7.8 1.0 12.7 10th
11th 0.0 1.4 7.4 3.3 0.1 12.3 11th
12th 0.2 4.2 5.4 0.5 10.4 12th
13th 0.0 1.5 4.9 1.1 0.0 7.5 13th
14th 0.0 0.4 2.7 1.9 0.1 5.1 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 1.1 1.7 0.2 3.2 15th
16th 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.6 16th
Total 0.1 0.6 2.3 6.4 12.8 18.5 20.4 17.7 12.2 6.2 2.1 0.5 0.1 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 84.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 19.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.5% 100.0% 14.6% 85.4% 4.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
12-6 2.1% 100.0% 8.7% 91.3% 5.9 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.1 100.0%
11-7 6.2% 99.2% 5.7% 93.5% 6.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 2.4 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.1 99.2%
10-8 12.2% 95.9% 3.0% 92.9% 7.9 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.8 4.4 2.4 0.8 0.1 0.5 95.7%
9-9 17.7% 84.4% 1.7% 82.7% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.5 4.4 4.8 2.0 0.0 2.8 84.2%
8-10 20.4% 47.0% 1.0% 46.0% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.5 5.2 0.2 10.8 46.5%
7-11 18.5% 10.3% 0.5% 9.8% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 0.1 16.6 9.8%
6-12 12.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.9% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 12.6 0.9%
5-13 6.4% 6.4
4-14 2.3% 2.3
3-15 0.6% 0.6
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 47.3% 1.7% 45.6% 8.7 52.7 46.4%