Texas
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+10.7#50
Expected Predictive Rating+6.9#85
Pace68.8#205
Improvement-1.3#284

Offense
Total Offense+7.9#32
First Shot+4.2#65
After Offensive Rebound+3.7#28
Layup/Dunks+4.3#49
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#280
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#269
Freethrows+4.6#11
Improvement+1.1#91

Defense
Total Defense+2.7#91
First Shot-0.4#184
After Offensive Rebounds+3.1#28
Layups/Dunks+2.2#99
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#263
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#139
Freethrows-2.8#323
Improvement-2.4#339
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 1.4% 1.5% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 5.9% 6.2% 1.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 28.9% 30.0% 12.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 28.0% 29.1% 12.2%
Average Seed 8.2 8.2 8.8
.500 or above 52.6% 54.4% 24.7%
.500 or above in Conference 31.0% 31.8% 18.5%
Conference Champion 1.0% 1.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 9.4% 9.1% 14.8%
First Four5.0% 5.2% 3.2%
First Round26.4% 27.4% 11.1%
Second Round14.2% 14.7% 6.0%
Sweet Sixteen4.0% 4.1% 1.7%
Elite Eight1.5% 1.6% 0.5%
Final Four0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern (Home) - 93.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 92 - 9
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 12
Quad 23 - 37 - 15
Quad 32 - 19 - 15
Quad 47 - 016 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 3 Duke L 60-75 15%     0 - 1 +6.9 +1.0 +5.1
  Sat, Nov 8 331 Lafayette W 97-60 98%     1 - 1 +24.1 +20.3 +4.3
  Wed, Nov 12 362 Fairleigh Dickinson W 93-58 99%     2 - 1 +17.1 +6.0 +9.7
  Sat, Nov 15 339 UMKC W 71-55 98%     3 - 1 +1.9 +0.6 +3.1
  Tue, Nov 18 335 Rider W 99-65 98%     4 - 1 +20.5 +14.4 +3.9
  Mon, Nov 24 82 Arizona St. L 86-87 64%     4 - 2 +6.0 +9.1 -3.0
  Wed, Nov 26 35 North Carolina St. W 102-97 41%     5 - 2 +18.0 +29.5 -11.6
  Wed, Dec 3 26 Virginia L 69-88 47%     5 - 3 -7.6 +4.1 -13.0
  Mon, Dec 8 201 Southern W 86-70 94%    
  Fri, Dec 12 5 @Connecticut L 66-79 11%    
  Tue, Dec 16 321 Le Moyne W 92-69 98%    
  Mon, Dec 22 341 Maryland Eastern Shore W 80-55 99%    
  Sat, Jan 3 81 Mississippi St. W 81-74 72%    
  Tue, Jan 6 16 @Tennessee L 70-80 19%    
  Sat, Jan 10 11 @Alabama L 81-92 15%    
  Wed, Jan 14 12 Vanderbilt L 78-83 32%    
  Sat, Jan 17 38 Texas A&M W 81-79 56%    
  Wed, Jan 21 23 @Kentucky L 75-82 25%    
  Sat, Jan 24 19 Georgia L 84-86 43%    
  Wed, Jan 28 20 @Auburn L 75-83 24%    
  Sat, Jan 31 41 @Oklahoma L 77-81 36%    
  Tue, Feb 3 89 South Carolina W 78-70 76%    
  Sat, Feb 7 58 Mississippi W 77-73 65%    
  Sat, Feb 14 37 @Missouri L 76-81 32%    
  Tue, Feb 17 29 LSU L 77-78 50%    
  Sat, Feb 21 19 @Georgia L 81-89 24%    
  Wed, Feb 25 15 Florida L 76-80 36%    
  Sat, Feb 28 38 @Texas A&M L 78-82 35%    
  Wed, Mar 4 22 @Arkansas L 75-82 26%    
  Sat, Mar 7 41 Oklahoma W 80-78 56%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 1.3 0.5 0.1 2.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.7 0.9 0.2 3.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.5 1.9 0.3 3.8 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 3.1 1.0 0.1 5.2 6th
7th 0.3 2.8 2.4 0.3 5.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.7 3.8 0.9 0.0 6.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.9 2.5 0.1 7.3 9th
10th 0.2 3.0 4.9 0.8 0.0 8.8 10th
11th 0.1 1.7 5.6 2.4 0.1 9.8 11th
12th 0.0 1.0 4.8 4.0 0.4 10.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.6 3.6 5.1 1.3 0.0 10.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.7 2.9 4.6 2.1 0.1 10.4 14th
15th 0.1 0.7 2.2 3.4 1.7 0.2 8.2 15th
16th 0.1 0.6 1.6 1.7 0.7 0.2 4.8 16th
Total 0.1 0.6 2.3 4.6 7.7 11.0 14.0 14.9 13.6 11.1 8.5 5.5 3.2 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 82.4% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 50.4% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 15.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 100.0% 9.1% 90.9% 2.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.2% 100.0% 100.0% 3.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.8% 100.0% 16.8% 83.2% 4.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 1.5% 99.6% 13.2% 86.3% 5.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 99.5%
12-6 3.2% 99.5% 7.9% 91.6% 6.3 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.4%
11-7 5.5% 97.0% 3.5% 93.6% 7.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.5 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 96.9%
10-8 8.5% 86.2% 1.5% 84.8% 8.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.1 1.8 1.3 0.4 1.2 86.0%
9-9 11.1% 61.2% 1.0% 60.2% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.4 2.2 1.9 0.0 4.3 60.8%
8-10 13.6% 21.7% 0.8% 20.9% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 0.1 10.7 21.1%
7-11 14.9% 3.9% 0.4% 3.5% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.0 14.4 3.5%
6-12 14.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 11.2 0.0 0.0 14.0 0.2%
5-13 11.0% 11.0
4-14 7.7% 7.7
3-15 4.6% 4.6
2-16 2.3% 2.3
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 28.9% 1.2% 27.7% 8.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.7 2.7 4.4 5.2 4.3 4.6 4.3 0.2 71.1 28.0%