Rider
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.9#299
Expected Predictive Rating-6.5#277
Pace63.9#294
Improvement+3.4#49

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#249
First Shot-8.1#354
After Offensive Rebound+5.2#6
Layup/Dunks-5.6#343
2 Pt Jumpshots+7.1#4
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.0#360
Freethrows-0.7#233
Improvement+3.6#31

Defense
Total Defense-5.0#315
First Shot-3.8#299
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#288
Layups/Dunks-2.0#263
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#168
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#332
Freethrows+2.4#45
Improvement-0.2#202
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 12.3% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four3.5% 12.1% 0.0%
First Round1.7% 6.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 33 - 23 - 6
Quad 412 - 1314 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 24   @ UCLA L 50-85 2%     0 - 1 -16.7 -8.6 -11.1
  Nov 06, 2024 312   @ San Diego W 68-67 44%     1 - 1 -5.3 -8.0 +2.7
  Nov 09, 2024 362   @ Coppin St. W 64-53 73%     2 - 1 -3.4 -9.9 +6.7
  Nov 12, 2024 265   @ Navy W 90-79 31%     3 - 1 +8.0 +17.0 -8.8
  Nov 19, 2024 63   @ Iowa L 58-83 4%     3 - 2 -13.1 -14.8 +2.5
  Nov 23, 2024 224   @ Bucknell W 57-53 24%     4 - 2 +3.4 -7.2 +11.2
  Nov 27, 2024 46   @ Villanova L 48-72 3%     4 - 3 -9.8 -11.7 -2.5
  Nov 30, 2024 228   Delaware L 66-72 44%     4 - 4 -12.4 -6.1 -7.0
  Dec 04, 2024 325   @ Fairfield L 75-78 47%     4 - 5 0 - 1 -10.0 +3.5 -13.7
  Dec 06, 2024 204   Quinnipiac L 67-72 39%     4 - 6 0 - 2 -10.2 +0.7 -11.4
  Dec 14, 2024 324   Stony Brook L 55-72 67%     4 - 7 -29.5 -15.8 -16.9
  Dec 20, 2024 281   @ Penn L 66-79 35%     4 - 8 -17.0 -2.4 -16.3
  Dec 22, 2024 106   @ North Carolina St. L 63-89 9%     4 - 9 -19.4 -2.7 -17.9
  Jan 05, 2025 235   Manhattan L 79-80 46%     4 - 10 0 - 3 -7.8 +2.1 -9.9
  Jan 10, 2025 356   @ Canisius L 67-85 65%     4 - 11 0 - 4 -29.9 -5.9 -26.1
  Jan 12, 2025 311   @ Niagara W 68-65 44%     5 - 11 1 - 4 -3.3 -1.0 -1.9
  Jan 16, 2025 259   Mount St. Mary's W 66-60 51%     6 - 11 2 - 4 -2.1 -12.6 +10.2
  Jan 18, 2025 267   @ Marist W 64-57 32%     7 - 11 3 - 4 +3.9 -1.4 +5.9
  Jan 23, 2025 255   Iona L 67-73 50%     7 - 12 3 - 5 -13.8 -4.4 -9.6
  Jan 25, 2025 204   @ Quinnipiac L 64-75 22%     7 - 13 3 - 6 -10.7 -3.6 -7.4
  Jan 31, 2025 287   St. Peter's W 67-64 58%     8 - 13 4 - 6 -7.0 +5.1 -11.6
  Feb 02, 2025 192   Merrimack L 64-66 37%     8 - 14 4 - 7 -6.4 -1.4 -5.2
  Feb 06, 2025 266   @ Sacred Heart L 77-89 32%     8 - 15 4 - 8 -15.0 -1.0 -13.7
  Feb 08, 2025 254   Siena W 61-59 49%     9 - 15 5 - 8 -5.8 -7.0 +1.5
  Feb 14, 2025 255   @ Iona W 74-71 29%     10 - 15 6 - 8 +0.7 +5.3 -4.5
  Feb 16, 2025 287   @ St. Peter's L 65-66 37%     10 - 16 6 - 9 -5.5 +4.2 -9.9
  Feb 21, 2025 325   Fairfield L 49-69 67%     10 - 17 6 - 10 -32.5 -23.9 -11.1
  Feb 23, 2025 259   @ Mount St. Mary's L 72-79 30%     10 - 18 6 - 11 -9.6 -2.9 -6.5
  Feb 28, 2025 192   @ Merrimack W 83-78 20%     11 - 18 7 - 11 +6.1 +20.5 -14.0
  Mar 06, 2025 356   Canisius W 78-50 81%     12 - 18 8 - 11 +10.6 -1.9 +13.9
  Mar 08, 2025 311   Niagara W 77-76 65%     13 - 18 9 - 11 -10.8 +2.7 -13.4
  Mar 11, 2025 254   Siena W 78-76 39%     14 - 18 -3.0 +11.4 -14.3
  Mar 12, 2025 204   Quinnipiac L 70-76 30%    
Projected Record 14 - 19 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 100.0% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 3.6 96.4
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 16.0 3.6 96.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 3.6% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 6.7%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 18.7%
Lose Out 71.0%