Rider
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.8#344
Expected Predictive Rating-24.6#365
Pace64.8#306
Improvement+1.9#70

Offense
Total Offense-9.5#360
First Shot-9.9#364
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#160
Layup/Dunks-4.9#331
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#17
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.5#358
Freethrows-1.2#256
Improvement+0.5#134

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#242
First Shot-1.9#233
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#225
Layups/Dunks-6.4#354
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#93
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#173
Freethrows+2.8#33
Improvement+1.4#90
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 6.0% 9.8% 2.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 29.0% 18.6% 39.2%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Manhattan (Home) - 49.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 31 - 61 - 11
Quad 45 - 126 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 26 @Virginia L 53-87 1%     0 - 1 -15.9 -8.7 -10.4
  Wed, Nov 5 147 @Rutgers L 53-81 8%     0 - 2 -24.1 -14.2 -11.3
  Tue, Nov 18 41 @Texas L 65-99 1%     0 - 3 -18.8 -6.5 -10.1
  Thu, Nov 20 8 @Houston L 45-91 0.4%    0 - 4 -22.7 -14.2 -10.4
  Tue, Nov 25 364 Coppin St. L 65-68 83%     0 - 5 -25.2 -18.5 -6.7
  Thu, Dec 4 263 @Merrimack L 66-68 19%     0 - 6 0 - 1 -4.7 +0.6 -5.5
  Sun, Dec 7 160 @Quinnipiac L 58-72 9%     0 - 7 0 - 2 -11.0 -10.8 -0.6
  Tue, Dec 9 308 Bucknell L 38-51 48%     0 - 8 -24.4 -33.2 +6.8
  Tue, Dec 16 284 @Delaware L 57-65 22%     0 - 9 -11.6 -9.9 -2.7
  Mon, Dec 22 47 @Virginia Commonwealth L 79-100 2%     0 - 10 -6.9 +10.6 -16.9
  Mon, Dec 29 313 Manhattan L 71-72 50%    
  Sun, Jan 4 179 Siena L 61-68 24%    
  Fri, Jan 9 277 @Fairfield L 63-72 21%    
  Sun, Jan 11 157 Marist L 58-67 20%    
  Wed, Jan 14 165 Iona L 67-75 22%    
  Sat, Jan 17 297 @St. Peter's L 59-67 24%    
  Mon, Jan 19 250 Sacred Heart L 68-72 37%    
  Sat, Jan 24 300 @Mount St. Mary's L 63-70 25%    
  Fri, Jan 30 313 @Manhattan L 68-74 29%    
  Sun, Feb 1 297 St. Peter's L 62-64 44%    
  Thu, Feb 5 157 @Marist L 55-70 9%    
  Sat, Feb 7 263 Merrimack L 62-65 39%    
  Fri, Feb 13 300 Mount St. Mary's L 66-67 45%    
  Sun, Feb 15 250 @Sacred Heart L 65-75 19%    
  Fri, Feb 20 347 Canisius W 64-61 62%    
  Sun, Feb 22 352 Niagara W 66-62 65%    
  Fri, Feb 27 165 @Iona L 64-78 10%    
  Sun, Mar 1 179 @Siena L 58-71 11%    
Projected Record 6 - 22 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.5 5th
6th 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.6 0.1 2.7 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 2.1 1.1 0.1 0.0 4.4 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 3.2 2.0 0.3 0.0 6.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 4.0 3.4 0.8 0.0 9.3 9th
10th 0.1 1.5 5.2 5.2 1.4 0.1 13.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.9 7.2 7.0 2.1 0.1 0.0 19.9 11th
12th 0.1 1.4 4.5 8.0 6.4 2.0 0.2 22.6 12th
13th 0.6 2.4 4.9 5.9 3.5 1.1 0.1 0.0 18.4 13th
Total 0.6 2.5 6.3 10.9 14.6 16.3 15.5 12.5 9.2 5.7 3.2 1.6 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 50.0% 0.0    0.0
15-5 20.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-6 5.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-7 1.4% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.0% 0.0
14-6 0.1% 5.7% 5.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1
13-7 0.2% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2
12-8 0.8% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 0.7
11-9 1.6% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 1.6
10-10 3.2% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 3.2
9-11 5.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.7
8-12 9.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 9.1
7-13 12.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.5
6-14 15.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 15.5
5-15 16.3% 16.3
4-16 14.6% 14.6
3-17 10.9% 10.9
2-18 6.3% 6.3
1-19 2.5% 2.5
0-20 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%