Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
173 Merrimack 23.5%   16   21 - 10 17 - 3 -1.0      -1.2 193 +0.2 162 61.3 346 +1.0 145 +3.9 1
201 Marist 15.3%   17 - 11 12 - 8 -2.2      -6.6 334 +4.3 63 65.4 262 -3.3 225 -4.1 4
208 Siena 18.8%   20 - 11 13 - 7 -2.5      -1.2 195 -1.3 213 63.5 313 -2.4 205 -3.0 3
215 Quinnipiac 12.2%   18 - 12 12 - 8 -3.1      -3.8 272 +0.8 144 74.2 40 -2.0 195 -4.3 5
229 St. Peter's 14.2%   16 - 11 14 - 6 -3.8      -3.6 264 -0.2 175 64.1 298 -2.6 210 -0.9 2
241 Iona 4.4%   18 - 13 10 - 10 -4.5      -3.8 270 -0.7 200 72.2 84 -3.3 223 -7.2 8
264 Fairfield 4.4%   18 - 12 11 - 9 -5.8      -2.1 229 -3.8 285 67.6 203 -3.6 231 -5.2 6
272 Mount St. Mary's 5.5%   14 - 16 11 - 9 -6.2      -6.4 330 +0.2 161 68.8 171 -5.9 256 -5.5 7
287 Sacred Heart 1.4%   12 - 18 9 - 11 -7.2      -1.2 196 -6.0 329 71.2 107 -8.0 295 -8.0 9
323 Manhattan 0.4%   11 - 19 8 - 12 -10.5      -2.6 240 -7.9 355 69.5 148 -9.4 315 -9.2 10
333 Niagara 0.0%   7 - 22 5 - 15 -11.6      -6.1 323 -5.5 322 58.7 365 -13.2 345 -12.8 12
338 Canisius 0.0%   9 - 21 5 - 15 -12.2      -9.1 353 -3.2 267 62.1 336 -11.1 333 -12.7 11
356 Rider 0.0%   3 - 25 3 - 17 -15.2      -8.4 348 -6.8 345 64.7 280 -18.7 359 -16.0 13


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sun, Mar 1 201 Marist 56 229 St. Peter's 63   
Sun, Mar 1 338 Canisius 63 215 Quinnipiac 67   
Sun, Mar 1 241 Iona 69 323 Manhattan 65   
Sun, Mar 1 173 Merrimack 73 333 Niagara 66   
Sun, Mar 1 356 Rider 61 208 Siena 76   
Sun, Mar 1 264 Fairfield 47 272 Mount St. Mary's 69   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Thu, Mar 5 241 Iona 80 287 Sacred Heart 77 60%   
Thu, Mar 5 264 Fairfield 80 323 Manhattan 75 68%   
Sat, Mar 7 201 Marist 68 215 Quinnipiac 67 53%   
Sat, Mar 7 272 Mount St. Mary's 67 208 Siena 70 64%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th
Merrimack 1.0 100.0
St. Peter's 2.0 100.0
Siena 3.0 100.0
Marist 4.0 100.0
Quinnipiac 4.0 100.0
Fairfield 6.0 100.0
Mount St. Mary's 6.0 100.0
Iona 8.0 100.0
Sacred Heart 9.0 100.0
Manhattan 10.0 100.0
Canisius 11.0 100.0
Niagara 11.0 100.0
Rider 13.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Merrimack 17 - 3 21 - 10 100.0
St. Peter's 14 - 6 16 - 11 100.0
Siena 13 - 7 21 - 11 100.0
Marist 12 - 8 18 - 11 100.0
Quinnipiac 12 - 8 18 - 13 100.0
Fairfield 11 - 9 19 - 12 100.0
Mount St. Mary's 11 - 9 14 - 17 100.0
Iona 10 - 10 19 - 13 100.0
Sacred Heart 9 - 11 12 - 19 100.0
Manhattan 8 - 12 11 - 20 100.0
Canisius 5 - 15 9 - 21 100.0
Niagara 5 - 15 7 - 22 100.0
Rider 3 - 17 3 - 25 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Merrimack 100.0% 100.0
St. Peter's
Siena
Marist
Quinnipiac
Fairfield
Mount St. Mary's
Iona
Sacred Heart
Manhattan
Canisius
Niagara
Rider


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Merrimack 23.5% 23.5% 0.0% 16   0.5 7.1 13.4 2.6 76.5 0.0%
Marist 15.3% 15.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 3.2 9.8 2.2 84.7 0.0%
Siena 18.8% 18.8% 0.0% 0.1 3.7 11.6 3.4 81.2 0.0%
Quinnipiac 12.2% 12.2% 0.0% 0.1 1.7 7.0 3.5 87.8 0.0%
St. Peter's 14.2% 14.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.6 6.1 7.4 85.8 0.0%
Iona 4.4% 4.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 2.1 2.1 95.6 0.0%
Fairfield 4.4% 4.4% 0.0% 0.1 1.5 2.8 95.6 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 5.5% 5.5% 0.0% 0.1 5.4 94.5 0.0%
Sacred Heart 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 1.4 98.6 0.0%
Manhattan 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.4 99.7 0.0%
Niagara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Canisius 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Rider 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 94.6% 0.9 5.4 94.6
2nd Round 1.0% 0.0 99.0 1.0
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Merrimack 23.5% 0.2% 23.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marist 15.3% 0.2% 15.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Siena 18.8% 0.3% 18.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Quinnipiac 12.2% 0.6% 11.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Peter's 14.2% 2.1% 13.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Iona 4.4% 0.5% 4.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairfield 4.4% 1.0% 3.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 5.5% 4.4% 3.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacred Heart 1.4% 1.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Manhattan 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Niagara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Canisius 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rider 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%