Canisius
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-13.0#352
Expected Predictive Rating-17.5#359
Pace65.2#263
Improvement+1.1#140

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#290
First Shot+1.4#132
After Offensive Rebound-5.6#364
Layup/Dunks-2.9#286
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#84
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#49
Freethrows-2.1#301
Improvement-0.8#231

Defense
Total Defense-8.8#360
First Shot-8.8#360
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#195
Layups/Dunks-3.5#308
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#175
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#336
Freethrows-1.0#259
Improvement+1.9#85
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 83.8% 67.4% 85.2%
First Four0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Quinnipiac (Away) - 8.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 70 - 10
Quad 44 - 174 - 27


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 10   @ Arizona L 64-93 1%     0 - 1 -8.7 -1.2 -6.7
  Nov 09, 2024 95   St. Bonaventure L 78-87 8%     0 - 2 -6.2 +15.5 -22.8
  Nov 13, 2024 353   @ Mercyhurst L 52-62 41%     0 - 3 -20.6 -17.9 -4.1
  Nov 16, 2024 266   SIU Edwardsville L 58-76 25%     0 - 4 -24.0 -13.1 -11.6
  Nov 17, 2024 306   @ Western Michigan L 69-92 25%     0 - 5 -28.9 -5.3 -24.0
  Nov 19, 2024 16   @ Maryland L 37-108 1%     0 - 6 -51.8 -29.4 -16.6
  Nov 23, 2024 214   Brown L 76-83 23%     0 - 7 -12.4 +9.2 -22.4
  Nov 27, 2024 194   @ Robert Morris L 64-72 10%     0 - 8 -7.1 -5.4 -2.0
  Dec 06, 2024 198   Merrimack L 52-60 20%     0 - 9 0 - 1 -12.2 -16.1 +3.4
  Dec 08, 2024 246   Siena L 53-66 30%     0 - 10 0 - 2 -20.6 -12.8 -10.2
  Dec 14, 2024 199   Maine L 79-84 20%     0 - 11 -9.2 +13.7 -23.4
  Dec 18, 2024 128   @ Loyola Chicago L 60-72 6%     0 - 12 -7.6 -4.2 -4.4
  Dec 21, 2024 94   @ Bradley L 59-92 3%     0 - 13 -24.7 +0.2 -30.2
  Jan 05, 2025 288   @ Sacred Heart L 82-99 21%     0 - 14 0 - 3 -21.5 +4.4 -25.6
  Jan 10, 2025 303   Rider W 85-67 40%     1 - 14 1 - 3 +7.5 +16.9 -7.3
  Jan 12, 2025 272   St. Peter's L 49-62 34%     1 - 15 1 - 4 -21.7 -18.8 -4.2
  Jan 16, 2025 256   @ Iona L 61-82 17%     1 - 16 1 - 5 -24.0 -5.2 -20.5
  Jan 18, 2025 326   @ Fairfield W 78-67 30%     2 - 16 2 - 5 +3.3 +6.8 -2.4
  Jan 23, 2025 288   Sacred Heart L 84-93 36%     2 - 17 2 - 6 -18.4 +3.2 -21.4
  Jan 25, 2025 211   Marist L 47-70 23%     2 - 18 2 - 7 -28.1 -18.1 -13.3
  Jan 31, 2025 316   Niagara L 63-64 44%     2 - 19 2 - 8 -12.6 -10.3 -2.4
  Feb 06, 2025 187   @ Quinnipiac L 67-81 8%    
  Feb 08, 2025 198   @ Merrimack L 60-74 9%    
  Feb 12, 2025 316   @ Niagara L 67-73 26%    
  Feb 16, 2025 260   Mount St. Mary's L 69-74 34%    
  Feb 21, 2025 211   @ Marist L 60-73 11%    
  Feb 23, 2025 246   @ Siena L 66-76 15%    
  Feb 28, 2025 271   Manhattan L 74-78 36%    
  Mar 02, 2025 256   Iona L 69-74 35%    
  Mar 06, 2025 303   @ Rider L 67-74 23%    
  Mar 08, 2025 272   @ St. Peter's L 60-69 19%    
Projected Record 4 - 27 4 - 16




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.1 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 7th
8th 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 0.5 1.4 9th
10th 0.2 1.4 1.8 0.2 3.6 10th
11th 0.1 2.0 4.5 1.0 0.0 7.6 11th
12th 0.4 4.3 9.1 4.1 0.3 18.3 12th
13th 10.9 23.7 23.5 9.3 0.9 0.0 68.4 13th
Total 10.9 24.1 28.0 20.6 11.0 4.0 1.2 0.3 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0% 0.0
9-11 0.3% 0.3
8-12 1.2% 1.2
7-13 4.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 3.9
6-14 11.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.0
5-15 20.6% 20.6
4-16 28.0% 28.0
3-17 24.1% 24.1
2-18 10.9% 10.9
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 10.9%