Niagara
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.0#311
Expected Predictive Rating-10.3#323
Pace63.4#307
Improvement+1.0#157

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#273
First Shot+0.5#156
After Offensive Rebound-4.3#356
Layup/Dunks-2.0#255
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#260
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.0#43
Freethrows-1.1#254
Improvement-0.6#219

Defense
Total Defense-5.3#322
First Shot-7.8#357
After Offensive Rebounds+2.5#21
Layups/Dunks-0.3#176
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#125
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.7#362
Freethrows+0.4#158
Improvement+1.6#102
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 21 - 5
Quad 49 - 1510 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2024 8   @ Michigan St. L 60-96 1%     0 - 1 -13.8 -0.4 -13.0
  Nov 10, 2024 337   @ Detroit Mercy L 78-84 OT 49%     0 - 2 -14.8 -2.7 -11.7
  Nov 19, 2024 283   @ Bowling Green L 68-76 32%     0 - 3 -12.4 +2.8 -16.1
  Nov 21, 2024 133   @ Kent St. L 73-76 11%     0 - 4 +1.5 +8.5 -7.2
  Nov 29, 2024 308   Binghamton W 65-62 49%     1 - 4 -5.8 -2.4 -3.0
  Nov 30, 2024 286   @ Lafayette L 47-59 33%     1 - 5 -16.5 -22.6 +5.3
  Dec 01, 2024 301   LIU Brooklyn W 60-52 46%     2 - 5 -0.1 -3.2 +4.3
  Dec 06, 2024 254   Siena W 69-68 45%     3 - 5 1 - 0 -6.8 +4.6 -11.2
  Dec 08, 2024 192   Merrimack L 62-80 33%     3 - 6 1 - 1 -22.4 +6.0 -32.9
  Dec 14, 2024 326   St. Francis (PA) W 69-66 64%     4 - 6 -9.6 -3.1 -6.2
  Dec 21, 2024 110   @ St. Bonaventure L 52-71 8%     4 - 7 -12.6 -10.9 -3.4
  Dec 29, 2024 355   Le Moyne W 88-69 78%     5 - 7 +2.0 +1.3 +0.2
  Jan 05, 2025 259   @ Mount St. Mary's L 62-68 27%     5 - 8 1 - 2 -8.6 -12.4 +3.9
  Jan 10, 2025 287   St. Peter's W 70-60 54%     6 - 8 2 - 2 +0.0 +2.4 -1.5
  Jan 12, 2025 299   Rider L 65-68 56%     6 - 9 2 - 3 -13.7 -6.8 -7.2
  Jan 16, 2025 325   @ Fairfield L 66-70 42%     6 - 10 2 - 4 -11.0 -3.0 -8.5
  Jan 18, 2025 235   @ Manhattan L 65-72 23%     6 - 11 2 - 5 -8.3 -0.4 -9.1
  Jan 23, 2025 267   Marist L 65-67 OT 48%     6 - 12 2 - 6 -10.6 -4.1 -6.7
  Jan 25, 2025 266   Sacred Heart L 77-86 48%     6 - 13 2 - 7 -17.5 +3.3 -21.5
  Jan 31, 2025 356   @ Canisius W 64-63 61%     7 - 13 3 - 7 -10.9 -11.1 +0.3
  Feb 06, 2025 192   @ Merrimack L 59-64 17%     7 - 14 3 - 8 -3.9 -7.3 +3.2
  Feb 08, 2025 204   @ Quinnipiac W 76-75 19%     8 - 14 4 - 8 +1.3 +9.6 -8.2
  Feb 12, 2025 356   Canisius W 71-60 79%     9 - 14 5 - 8 -6.4 -6.4 +1.0
  Feb 14, 2025 259   Mount St. Mary's L 83-84 46%     9 - 15 5 - 9 -9.1 +7.6 -16.7
  Feb 21, 2025 254   @ Siena L 60-94 26%     9 - 16 5 - 10 -36.3 -11.2 -26.5
  Feb 23, 2025 267   @ Marist L 61-64 28%     9 - 17 5 - 11 -6.1 -8.1 +1.9
  Feb 28, 2025 255   Iona L 63-65 45%     9 - 18 5 - 12 -9.8 -9.6 -0.2
  Mar 02, 2025 235   Manhattan L 70-85 41%     9 - 19 5 - 13 -21.8 +1.7 -25.9
  Mar 06, 2025 287   @ St. Peter's W 78-68 OT 33%     10 - 19 6 - 13 +5.5 +3.1 +1.9
  Mar 08, 2025 299   @ Rider L 76-77 35%     10 - 20 6 - 14 -6.2 +4.7 -10.9
Projected Record 10 - 20 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14 100.0% 100.0
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%