IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Niagara
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.9	#320
Expected Predictive Rating	-17.2	#351

Pace	67.9	#223
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.4	#302

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.6	#324

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.0%	3.4%	1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.8	15.7	15.8

.500 or above	17.6%	31.2%	12.2%
.500 or above in Conference	28.7%	38.9%	24.7%
Conference Champion	1.7%	3.2%	1.1%
Last Place in Conference	18.7%	12.0%	21.3%

First Four	1.3%	1.9%	1.1%
First Round	1.4%	2.6%	1.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Bowling Green (Away) - 28.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 6	1 - 9
Quad 4	10 - 11	11 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2024	27	@ Michigan St.	L	60-96	2%	0 - 1			-20.3	-3.5	-16.5
Nov 10, 2024	341	@ Detroit Mercy	L	78-84 OT	46%	0 - 2			-14.0	-5.1	-8.4
Nov 19, 2024	270	@ Bowling Green	L	70-76	28%
Nov 21, 2024	122	@ Kent St.	L	62-77	8%
Nov 29, 2024	330	Binghamton	W	70-69	52%
Nov 30, 2024	216	@ Lafayette	L	62-71	21%
Dec 01, 2024	339	LIU Brooklyn	W	75-70	67%
Dec 06, 2024	308	Siena	W	70-68	56%
Dec 08, 2024	206	Merrimack	L	64-67	38%
Dec 14, 2024	350	St. Francis (PA)	W	76-69	73%
Dec 21, 2024	113	@ St. Bonaventure	L	62-78	8%
Dec 29, 2024	337	Le Moyne	W	74-69	67%
Jan 05, 2025	256	@ Mount St. Mary's	L	68-75	27%
Jan 10, 2025	187	St. Peter's	L	62-67	34%
Jan 12, 2025	227	Rider	L	70-73	40%
Jan 16, 2025	258	@ Fairfield	L	66-73	28%
Jan 18, 2025	334	@ Manhattan	L	70-72	44%
Jan 23, 2025	226	Marist	L	66-69	41%
Jan 25, 2025	335	Sacred Heart	W	78-74	65%
Jan 31, 2025	318	@ Canisius	L	69-72	39%
Feb 06, 2025	206	@ Merrimack	L	61-70	21%
Feb 08, 2025	247	@ Quinnipiac	L	71-79	25%
Feb 12, 2025	318	Canisius	W	72-69	59%
Feb 14, 2025	256	Mount St. Mary's	L	71-72	47%
Feb 21, 2025	308	@ Siena	L	67-71	35%
Feb 23, 2025	226	@ Marist	L	63-72	23%
Feb 28, 2025	221	Iona	L	69-72	41%
Mar 02, 2025	334	Manhattan	W	73-69	64%
Mar 06, 2025	187	@ St. Peter's	L	59-70	18%
Mar 08, 2025	227	@ Rider	L	67-76	23%
Projected Record						11 - 19	8 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.1	0.3	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		1.7	1st
2nd												0.0	0.2	0.7	1.0	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0				2.6	2nd
3rd												0.2	1.1	1.5	0.8	0.1	0.0						3.8	3rd
4th											0.1	1.2	2.0	0.9	0.2	0.0							4.5	4th
5th										0.1	1.1	2.7	1.5	0.2	0.0								5.7	5th
6th									0.1	0.9	3.2	2.1	0.3	0.0									6.6	6th
7th								0.0	0.7	3.0	3.0	0.6	0.0										7.3	7th
8th							0.0	0.6	3.0	3.9	1.1	0.0											8.7	8th
9th						0.0	0.6	2.8	4.8	1.9	0.2	0.0											10.2	9th
10th					0.1	0.6	3.0	5.0	2.4	0.3													11.4	10th
11th				0.1	0.9	3.3	4.7	2.8	0.4	0.0													12.3	11th
12th		0.0	0.4	1.6	3.7	4.2	2.4	0.4	0.0														12.9	12th
13th	0.2	1.3	2.8	3.4	2.9	1.5	0.3	0.0															12.4	13th

Total	0.2	1.3	3.2	5.1	7.6	9.6	11.0	11.7	11.4	10.0	8.8	6.9	5.1	3.5	2.2	1.2	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0			Total

Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	97.1%	0.1		0.1	0.0
17-3	88.8%	0.2		0.2	0.0
16-4	72.6%	0.5		0.3	0.1	0.0
15-5	39.9%	0.5		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
14-6	12.1%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-7	2.6%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	1.7%	1.7		0.9	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%																		0.0
19-1	0.0%																		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
18-2	0.1%		35.3%	35.3%		14.1														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
17-3	0.3%		32.5%	32.5%		14.9														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
16-4	0.6%		17.7%	17.7%		15.3															0.0	0.1	0.0	0.5
15-5	1.2%		15.2%	15.2%		15.7															0.0	0.0	0.1	1.0
14-6	2.2%		8.8%	8.8%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.2	2.0
13-7	3.5%		9.0%	9.0%		15.9																0.0	0.3	3.2
12-8	5.1%		7.6%	7.6%		16.0																0.0	0.4	4.7
11-9	6.9%		4.1%	4.1%		16.0																0.0	0.3	6.6
10-10	8.8%		1.7%	1.7%		16.0																	0.1	8.6
9-11	10.0%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.1	9.9
8-12	11.4%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	11.4
7-13	11.7%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.1	11.7
6-14	11.0%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	11.0
5-15	9.6%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.6
4-16	7.6%																							7.6
3-17	5.1%																							5.1
2-18	3.2%																							3.2
1-19	1.3%																							1.3
0-20	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		2.0%	2.0%	0.0%	15.8													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	1.7	98.0		0.0%