Bucknell
Patriot League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.6#264
Expected Predictive Rating-6.6#278
Pace68.3#200
Improvement-3.1#335

Offense
Total Offense-6.0#336
First Shot-4.3#304
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#278
Layup/Dunks+0.4#165
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#334
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#230
Freethrows+0.2#166
Improvement-2.6#341

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#155
First Shot+1.0#137
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#239
Layups/Dunks+1.2#120
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#309
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#231
Freethrows+2.4#46
Improvement-0.5#218
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.8% 18.0% 9.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.4 15.8
.500 or above 27.3% 57.1% 27.2%
.500 or above in Conference 60.4% 77.8% 60.3%
Conference Champion 12.2% 20.1% 12.2%
Last Place in Conference 9.1% 2.6% 9.1%
First Four5.8% 2.6% 5.8%
First Round7.1% 16.4% 7.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Gonzaga (Away) - 0.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 32 - 42 - 8
Quad 412 - 1014 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 219   @ Delaware W 85-73 28%     1 - 0 +12.4 +1.5 +9.6
  Nov 07, 2024 282   @ Southern Indiana W 75-69 OT 43%     2 - 0 +2.3 -2.3 +4.4
  Nov 09, 2024 9   @ Kentucky L 72-100 2%     2 - 1 -7.7 -1.6 -3.1
  Nov 13, 2024 253   Mount St. Mary's L 89-93 2OT 60%     2 - 2 -12.1 -3.1 -8.3
  Nov 16, 2024 216   Richmond W 80-76 2OT 50%     3 - 2 -1.6 -9.3 +7.1
  Nov 21, 2024 352   NJIT W 81-64 82%     4 - 2 +1.5 +3.5 -1.9
  Nov 23, 2024 300   Rider L 53-57 68%     4 - 3 -14.4 -17.5 +2.5
  Nov 27, 2024 19   @ Maryland L 67-91 2%     4 - 4 -5.9 -0.5 -3.9
  Nov 30, 2024 305   Siena L 58-71 59%     4 - 5 -20.8 -9.8 -12.7
  Dec 04, 2024 89   St. Bonaventure L 47-64 20%     4 - 6 -13.6 -18.5 +3.4
  Dec 08, 2024 204   @ Radford L 70-74 OT 26%     4 - 7 -3.0 -6.9 +4.0
  Dec 21, 2024 4   @ Gonzaga L 59-88 0.4%   
  Dec 28, 2024 95   @ Syracuse L 66-80 9%    
  Jan 02, 2025 244   @ Lehigh L 70-74 36%    
  Jan 05, 2025 223   Colgate W 67-66 52%    
  Jan 08, 2025 246   Lafayette W 66-64 58%    
  Jan 11, 2025 242   @ American L 63-67 35%    
  Jan 15, 2025 310   Holy Cross W 72-66 70%    
  Jan 18, 2025 302   Navy W 72-67 68%    
  Jan 20, 2025 223   @ Colgate L 64-69 31%    
  Jan 25, 2025 256   @ Boston University L 63-66 37%    
  Jan 29, 2025 313   Loyola Maryland W 70-64 70%    
  Feb 01, 2025 302   @ Navy L 69-70 46%    
  Feb 05, 2025 242   American W 66-64 57%    
  Feb 08, 2025 299   @ Army L 67-68 45%    
  Feb 12, 2025 256   Boston University W 66-63 60%    
  Feb 15, 2025 246   @ Lafayette L 63-67 36%    
  Feb 17, 2025 244   Lehigh W 73-71 57%    
  Feb 23, 2025 299   Army W 70-65 66%    
  Feb 26, 2025 313   @ Loyola Maryland L 66-67 50%    
  Mar 01, 2025 310   @ Holy Cross L 68-69 49%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 2.2 3.6 3.2 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 12.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 3.8 4.5 2.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 12.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 4.3 5.3 1.8 0.2 0.0 12.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 3.6 5.7 1.9 0.2 0.0 11.7 4th
5th 0.1 2.2 6.3 2.5 0.2 11.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 5.6 3.1 0.2 0.0 10.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 4.4 3.8 0.3 0.0 9.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.2 3.7 0.7 8.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.7 2.7 0.8 0.0 7.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.6 1.3 0.5 0.0 4.9 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.6 4.9 7.5 10.4 12.5 13.9 13.4 11.7 8.7 6.2 3.8 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
16-2 99.4% 0.6    0.6 0.0
15-3 95.9% 1.8    1.6 0.1 0.0
14-4 85.3% 3.2    2.5 0.7 0.0
13-5 58.1% 3.6    1.9 1.4 0.3 0.0
12-6 25.3% 2.2    0.6 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0
11-7 5.1% 0.6    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 12.2% 12.2 7.4 3.4 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 47.5% 47.5% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.6% 31.5% 31.5% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
15-3 1.8% 24.8% 24.8% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 1.4
14-4 3.8% 24.4% 24.4% 15.4 0.0 0.4 0.5 2.9
13-5 6.2% 20.9% 20.9% 15.7 0.0 0.3 1.0 4.9
12-6 8.7% 17.0% 17.0% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.3 7.2
11-7 11.7% 13.9% 13.9% 15.9 0.1 1.5 10.1
10-8 13.4% 11.1% 11.1% 16.0 0.0 1.5 11.9
9-9 13.9% 8.1% 8.1% 16.0 1.1 12.7
8-10 12.5% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.6 11.9
7-11 10.4% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.3 10.1
6-12 7.5% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 7.3
5-13 4.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 4.9
4-14 2.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 2.6
3-15 1.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.2
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.8% 9.8% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.5 8.0 90.2 0.0%