Bowling Green
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.1#283
Expected Predictive Rating-7.5#288
Pace70.6#111
Improvement+3.0#66

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#315
First Shot-1.3#214
After Offensive Rebound-4.2#355
Layup/Dunks-1.2#222
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#122
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#195
Freethrows-0.6#213
Improvement-2.4#291

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#222
First Shot-2.9#273
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#78
Layups/Dunks-2.2#270
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#236
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#212
Freethrows+0.0#182
Improvement+5.4#8
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 8.7% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.2% 8.5% 0.0%
First Round0.5% 3.8% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 72 - 10
Quad 411 - 812 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 293   @ Southern Miss L 68-77 41%     0 - 1 -13.9 -8.5 -4.8
  Nov 08, 2024 140   Davidson L 85-91 30%     0 - 2 -7.7 +3.3 -10.5
  Nov 16, 2024 8   @ Michigan St. L 72-86 1%     0 - 3 +8.2 +11.2 -2.8
  Nov 19, 2024 311   Niagara W 76-68 68%     1 - 3 -3.8 +5.4 -8.3
  Nov 23, 2024 340   @ Bellarmine L 68-80 58%     1 - 4 -21.3 -11.2 -10.4
  Nov 29, 2024 284   Weber St. L 70-73 50%     1 - 5 -10.2 -6.0 -4.2
  Nov 30, 2024 125   New Mexico St. W 61-60 19%     2 - 5 +3.1 -4.6 +7.8
  Dec 07, 2024 333   Morgan St. W 102-81 74%     3 - 5 +7.2 +11.4 -6.0
  Dec 14, 2024 234   @ UMKC L 77-85 28%     3 - 6 -9.2 +9.8 -19.4
  Dec 21, 2024 132   St. Thomas L 68-93 28%     3 - 7 -26.0 -16.3 -6.9
  Jan 03, 2025 112   Akron L 68-71 22%     3 - 8 0 - 1 -2.2 -9.2 +7.2
  Jan 07, 2025 296   @ Western Michigan W 83-79 42%     4 - 8 1 - 1 -1.0 +8.8 -9.7
  Jan 11, 2025 271   @ Ball St. L 69-91 36%     4 - 9 1 - 2 -25.4 -9.7 -14.7
  Jan 14, 2025 346   Buffalo W 79-61 78%     5 - 9 2 - 2 +2.9 +0.6 +2.4
  Jan 18, 2025 274   Eastern Michigan L 62-68 58%     5 - 10 2 - 3 -15.1 -15.3 +0.0
  Jan 21, 2025 160   @ Miami (OH) L 76-84 18%     5 - 11 2 - 4 -5.2 +1.3 -6.2
  Jan 24, 2025 248   Toledo L 71-84 52%     5 - 12 2 - 5 -20.5 -11.5 -8.9
  Jan 28, 2025 133   @ Kent St. L 57-75 14%     5 - 13 2 - 6 -13.5 -7.9 -7.2
  Feb 01, 2025 219   @ Central Michigan L 71-90 26%     5 - 14 2 - 7 -19.4 +3.4 -24.2
  Feb 04, 2025 347   Northern Illinois W 84-77 78%     6 - 14 3 - 7 -8.2 +4.8 -13.1
  Feb 08, 2025 317   Coastal Carolina W 67-53 69%     7 - 14 +1.9 -11.8 +13.9
  Feb 11, 2025 186   Ohio L 81-86 39%     7 - 15 3 - 8 -9.1 -1.5 -7.2
  Feb 15, 2025 346   @ Buffalo W 63-59 60%     8 - 15 4 - 8 -5.6 -11.3 +5.8
  Feb 18, 2025 133   Kent St. L 84-91 28%     8 - 16 4 - 9 -8.0 +9.0 -16.8
  Feb 21, 2025 248   @ Toledo W 69-68 31%     9 - 16 5 - 9 -1.0 -8.4 +7.5
  Feb 25, 2025 274   @ Eastern Michigan W 65-60 37%     10 - 16 6 - 9 +1.4 -7.7 +9.3
  Mar 01, 2025 271   Ball St. W 61-52 57%     11 - 16 7 - 9 +0.1 -11.7 +12.7
  Mar 04, 2025 347   @ Northern Illinois W 71-58 60%     12 - 16 8 - 9 +3.3 -2.8 +6.4
  Mar 07, 2025 296   Western Michigan L 63-64 63%     12 - 17 8 - 10 -11.5 -7.6 -4.0
  Mar 13, 2025 112   Akron L 72-83 16%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 1.2 98.8
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 16.0 1.2 98.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.2% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 9.2%
Lose Out 86.2%