Bowling Green
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.7#267
Expected Predictive Rating-8.7#311
Pace71.7#101
Improvement+0.4#150

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#222
First Shot+2.4#101
After Offensive Rebound-4.1#354
Layup/Dunks+0.6#157
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#104
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#146
Freethrows-0.4#202
Improvement+1.4#79

Defense
Total Defense-4.0#298
First Shot-4.5#321
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#138
Layups/Dunks-2.8#287
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#266
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#198
Freethrows-0.6#231
Improvement-1.0#255
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.1% 4.2% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 24.7% 38.0% 17.0%
.500 or above in Conference 53.2% 60.7% 48.9%
Conference Champion 3.1% 4.5% 2.4%
Last Place in Conference 5.4% 3.7% 6.3%
First Four1.1% 1.1% 1.1%
First Round2.5% 3.7% 1.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Thomas (Home) - 36.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 32 - 62 - 8
Quad 410 - 812 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 283   @ Southern Miss L 68-77 42%     0 - 1 -12.7 -8.6 -3.5
  Nov 08, 2024 122   Davidson L 85-91 31%     0 - 2 -6.5 +3.5 -9.5
  Nov 16, 2024 15   @ Michigan St. L 72-86 2%     0 - 3 +4.3 +7.8 -3.4
  Nov 19, 2024 320   Niagara W 76-68 72%     1 - 3 -3.9 +4.9 -7.8
  Nov 23, 2024 343   @ Bellarmine L 68-80 61%     1 - 4 -20.7 -10.5 -10.6
  Nov 29, 2024 208   Weber St. L 70-73 37%     1 - 5 -5.2 -4.7 -0.6
  Nov 30, 2024 201   New Mexico St. W 61-60 35%     2 - 5 -0.8 -9.0 +8.2
  Dec 07, 2024 348   Morgan St. W 102-81 81%     3 - 5 +5.8 +11.5 -7.4
  Dec 14, 2024 240   @ UMKC L 77-85 34%     3 - 6 -9.3 +8.3 -18.1
  Dec 21, 2024 142   St. Thomas L 75-78 37%    
  Jan 03, 2025 163   Akron L 79-81 41%    
  Jan 07, 2025 296   @ Western Michigan L 75-76 44%    
  Jan 11, 2025 288   @ Ball St. L 73-75 43%    
  Jan 14, 2025 330   Buffalo W 80-73 75%    
  Jan 18, 2025 317   Eastern Michigan W 78-72 71%    
  Jan 21, 2025 209   @ Miami (OH) L 71-77 28%    
  Jan 24, 2025 211   Toledo L 81-82 49%    
  Jan 28, 2025 113   @ Kent St. L 63-75 13%    
  Feb 01, 2025 225   @ Central Michigan L 72-77 32%    
  Feb 04, 2025 346   Northern Illinois W 79-70 80%    
  Feb 11, 2025 149   Ohio L 78-81 39%    
  Feb 15, 2025 330   @ Buffalo W 77-76 55%    
  Feb 18, 2025 113   Kent St. L 66-72 29%    
  Feb 22, 2025 211   @ Toledo L 78-84 29%    
  Feb 25, 2025 317   @ Eastern Michigan W 76-75 50%    
  Mar 01, 2025 288   Ball St. W 76-72 64%    
  Mar 04, 2025 346   @ Northern Illinois W 76-73 62%    
  Mar 07, 2025 296   Western Michigan W 78-73 66%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.4 1.1 0.2 0.0 6.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.8 3.5 1.2 0.1 0.0 8.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.3 4.4 1.8 0.2 0.0 10.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.2 5.5 2.3 0.2 11.7 5th
6th 0.2 2.7 6.1 3.1 0.4 0.0 12.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 2.1 5.9 3.8 0.5 0.0 12.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 5.1 3.8 0.7 0.0 11.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 4.0 3.8 0.8 0.0 9.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 2.8 2.9 0.8 0.0 7.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 1.8 0.6 0.0 4.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.9 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.7 3.4 5.9 9.3 12.0 13.6 14.3 13.0 10.3 7.5 4.5 2.3 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 95.9% 0.4    0.3 0.0 0.0
15-3 77.7% 0.7    0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-4 45.9% 1.0    0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 16.8% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.1% 3.1 1.5 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 17.1% 17.1% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 22.6% 22.6% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
15-3 0.9% 17.9% 17.9% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8
14-4 2.3% 14.2% 14.2% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.9
13-5 4.5% 11.1% 11.1% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 4.0
12-6 7.5% 6.9% 6.9% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 7.0
11-7 10.3% 4.8% 4.8% 15.8 0.1 0.4 9.8
10-8 13.0% 3.8% 3.8% 15.9 0.0 0.5 12.5
9-9 14.3% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.3 14.0
8-10 13.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 13.5
7-11 12.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.0
6-12 9.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.3
5-13 5.9% 5.9
4-14 3.4% 3.4
3-15 1.7% 1.7
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.0 96.9 0.0%