Kent St.
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +0.8 #148
Expected Predictive Rating +3.2 #115
Pace 77.4 #20
Improvement -2.1 #280

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #97 C+ B+ D A+ C+
Defense #251 D+ C C- C- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #183 1.19 #142 +0.4 #161
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #263 0.63 #335 -2.6 #307
Three Pointers 45% #98 1.07 #105 +3.4 #76
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #140 +1.2 #140
Freethrows 21.3 #18 77% #61 16.3 #13
Second Chance 34.7% #67 1.13 #72 0.39 #55
Turnovers 18.3% #294
Total Offense +3.2 #97

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #174 1.16 #185 -0.4 #192
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #259 0.76 #183 +0.8 #133
Three Pointers 43% #122 1.12 #308 -3.1 #303
1st FG Attempt 1.07 #265 -2.7 #267
Freethrows 18.6 #252 72% #146 13.4 #237
Second Chance 28.8% #106 1.14 #292 0.33 #208
Turnovers 15.4% #245
Total Defense -2.4 #251

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.0% #122 0.7% #236
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 1.3% #159 4.4% #263
Possession Length 16.2 #71 16.5 #54
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #205 0.20 #270
Improvement -0.7 #220 -1.4 #273

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.3% 7.2% 5.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.1 12.9 13.3
.500 or above 99.3% 99.9% 98.7%
.500 or above in Conference 95.5% 98.9% 91.9%
Conference Champion 1.3% 2.3% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round6.3% 7.2% 5.3%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Michigan (Away) - 51.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 38 - 48 - 8
Quad 412 - 320 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 112 Troy L 97 - 103 OT 51% -8  0 - 1 -6 +6 D- A+ C -11 F C D-
 Fri, Nov 7 187 Cornell W 110 - 102 70% +8  1 - 1 +3 +16 A+ A+ C+ -14 F F A+
 Mon, Nov 10 125 UNC Wilmington W 86 - 77 56% +8  2 - 1 +8 +11 A+ B- D+ -3 A+ D F
 Sat, Nov 15 316 Cleveland St. W 102 - 95 83% +2  3 - 1 -2 +13 C- A+ C -16 F F B-
 Sun, Nov 16 154 Wright St. W 76 - 72 OT 52% -2  4 - 1 +4 -2 F A+ F +6 B+ B D
 Tue, Nov 18 254 Eastern Kentucky W 93 - 78 80% +16  5 - 1 +7 +0 C B- F +5 B+ C- A+
 Sat, Nov 22 316 Cleveland St. W 91 - 71 89% +14  6 - 1 +8 -1 A- D F +6 B B A+
 Wed, Dec 3 171 Austin Peay W 96 - 84 68% +3  7 - 1 +8 +19 A+ A+ A- -11 F A+ C
 Sun, Dec 14 210 @Portland L 78 - 88 54% -0  7 - 2 -10 -5 F B+ F -4 F A C
 Sat, Dec 20 176 @Massachusetts W 69 - 59 46% +5  8 - 2 1 - 0 +12 -3 D C D- +14 A+ A+ C+
 Mon, Dec 29 5 @Purdue L 60 - 101 3% -24  8 - 3 -17 -8 F F F -6 F A+ D+
 Sat, Jan 3 318 Northern Illinois W 77 - 73 89% +9  9 - 3 2 - 0 -9 -4 F D- D+ -5 F C A+
 Tue, Jan 6 129 Bowling Green W 96 - 93 57% +2  10 - 3 3 - 0 +2 +23 A+ A+ A+ -21 D- F D-
 Sat, Jan 10 322 @Central Michigan L 85 - 87 77% -1  10 - 4 3 - 1 -9 +6 F A+ F -15 C+ F F
 Tue, Jan 13 201 @Buffalo W 87 - 81 51% +7  11 - 4 4 - 1 +6 +11 B A- C -5 C B F
 Fri, Jan 16 166 Toledo W 87 - 84 66% -0  12 - 4 5 - 1 -1 +7 C B- A+ -8 C F C+
 Tue, Jan 20 89 Miami (OH) L 101 - 107 OT 40% -6  12 - 5 5 - 2 -3 +12 B- A+ D- -14 F A+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 198 @Eastern Michigan W 79 - 78 51%
 Tue, Jan 27 196 Ohio W 88 - 82 71%
 Fri, Jan 30 64 @Akron L 84 - 95 16%
 Tue, Feb 3 166 @Toledo L 84 - 86 44%
 Sat, Feb 7 244 @Southern Miss W 81 - 79 59%
 Wed, Feb 11 198 Eastern Michigan W 81 - 75 73%
 Sat, Feb 14 296 @Ball St. W 80 - 75 69%
 Tue, Feb 17 129 @Bowling Green L 80 - 84 35%
 Tue, Feb 24 322 Central Michigan W 87 - 73 90%
 Sat, Feb 28 64 Akron L 87 - 92 33%
 Tue, Mar 3 318 @Northern Illinois W 84 - 77 75%
 Fri, Mar 6 260 Western Michigan W 88 - 79 80%
Totals 19 - 10 11 - 7 +1 +3 C+ B+ D -2 D+ C C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.1 1.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.2 3.2 1.3 0.1 7.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 7.0 14.7 12.6 3.6 0.2 38.8 3rd
4th 0.5 6.3 12.8 6.7 1.2 0.1 27.5 4th
5th 0.1 2.7 7.3 2.8 0.2 13.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.8 1.8 0.1 6.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 1.5 0.1 3.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.2 1.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.6 9th
10th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 12th
13th 13th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.9 3.4 8.7 16.2 22.8 22.2 16.0 7.2 2.1 0.2 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 62.2% 0.1    0.1 0.1
15-3 32.5% 0.7    0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-4 5.7% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0
13-5 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.2% 13.3% 13.3% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 2.1% 14.3% 14.3% 12.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.8
14-4 7.2% 12.2% 12.2% 12.6 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.0 6.4
13-5 16.0% 8.7% 8.7% 12.7 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.1 14.6
12-6 22.2% 6.9% 6.9% 13.1 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.0 20.6
11-7 22.8% 5.9% 5.9% 13.5 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 21.4
10-8 16.2% 3.2% 3.2% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 15.7
9-9 8.7% 2.8% 2.8% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 8.5
8-10 3.4% 1.9% 1.9% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.4
7-11 0.9% 0.9
6-12 0.2% 0.2
5-13 0.0% 0.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 6.3% 6.3% 0.0% 13.1 93.7 0.0%