Kent St.
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +0.8 147
Expected Predictive Rating +3.5 105
Pace 74.5 40
Improvement -3.0 305

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ #127 C- B D+ A- C+
Defense C #199 C C+ C- C- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 225 56% 232 -1.8 246
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 230 34% 309 -1.8 270
Three Pointers 45% 94 33% 201 +1.8 113
1st FG Attempt 0.98 225 -1.8 227
Second Chance 35.0% 62 1.08 94 0.38 57
Turnovers 18.8% 298
Freethrows 0.38 10 75% 105 0.28 11
Total Offense +1.5 127

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 195 58% 176 +0.2 172
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 241 36% 95 +1.2 100
Three Pointers 43% 107 35% 224 -1.7 271
1st FG Attempt 1.02 184 -0.3 188
Second Chance 30.7% 191 0.97 100 0.30 142
Turnovers 15.7% 247
Freethrows 0.32 219 72% 173 0.23 220
Total Defense -0.8 199

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.2 160 +0.3 217
Shot Type Accuracy -2.0 242 +0.0 182
Possession Length 16.4 88 16.7 83
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 231 0.20 273
Improvement -3.2 #327 +0.2 #181

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8% 8% 6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 13.3 13.2 13.5
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 1% 1% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round8% 8% 6%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Ball St. (Away) - 73.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 39 - 410 - 8
Quad 411 - 221 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 135 Troy L 97 - 103 OT 58% -8  9% 0 - 1 D+ -7 C+ +2 D- A C+ D- -9 F C- D
 Fri, Nov 7 159 Cornell W 110 - 102 65% +8  98% 1 - 1 C+ +5 A +13 A+ A- C+ F+ -9 F D- B+
 Mon, Nov 10 113 UNC Wilmington W 86 - 77 52% +8  95% 2 - 1 B +9 B+ +8 A+ B- D+ C+ +1 A+ D+ F
 Sat, Nov 15 299 Cleveland St. W 102 - 95 79% +2  72% 3 - 1 C -1 A- +10 D+ A C+ F -12 F+ F C+
 Sun, Nov 16 150 Wright St. W 76 - 72 OT 51% -2  19% 4 - 1 C+ +5 D -4 F A F A- +9 B- B- D+
 Tue, Nov 18 267 Eastern Kentucky W 93 - 78 82% +16  98% 5 - 1 B- +6 D+ -3 C- B- F B+ +7 B C+ A+
 Sat, Nov 22 299 Cleveland St. W 91 - 71 86% +14  96% 6 - 1 B +9 D+ -4 B D+ F A +11 B+ B A-
 Wed, Dec 3 152 Austin Peay W 96 - 84 64% +3  82% 7 - 1 B +9 A+ +16 A+ A+ B- D -7 F A+ D+
 Sun, Dec 14 206 @Portland L 78 - 88 52% -0  40% 7 - 2 D -10 D- -7 F+ B+ F C -1 F+ A- C
 Sat, Dec 20 183 @Massachusetts W 69 - 59 47% +5  84% 8 - 2 1 - 0 B+ +12 D- -7 D- C C- A+ +18 A+ A+ C+
 Mon, Dec 29 9 @Purdue L 60 - 101 3% -24  0% 8 - 3 F+ -17 F -11 D- F+ D+ C- -3 D- A D
 Sat, Jan 3 314 Northern Illinois W 77 - 73 88% +9  99% 9 - 3 2 - 0 D -8 D -5 F+ D+ D+ C- -3 F C- A+
 Tue, Jan 6 158 Bowling Green W 96 - 93 65% +2  60% 10 - 3 3 - 0 C -0 A+ +21 A+ A+ A F -21 D- F F+
 Sat, Jan 10 296 @Central Michigan L 85 - 87 70% -1  27% 10 - 4 3 - 1 D+ -7 C+ +3 F A+ F F+ -10 B- F F
 Tue, Jan 13 202 @Buffalo W 87 - 81 51% +7  91% 11 - 4 4 - 1 B- +6 B+ +9 B- B+ C C- -2 B- C+ F
 Fri, Jan 16 165 Toledo W 87 - 84 66% -0  42% 12 - 4 5 - 1 C -0 B- +5 C+ B- A+ D -6 C+ F C-
 Tue, Jan 20 87 Miami (OH) L 101 - 107 OT 40% -6  16% 12 - 5 5 - 2 C- -3 A- +9 B- A+ D+ F -11 F A F
 Sat, Jan 24 231 @Eastern Michigan W 76 - 75 2OT 56% +3  76% 13 - 5 6 - 2 C +0 D- -6 C F F B+ +6 A+ C+ F
 Tue, Jan 27 199 Ohio W 72 - 57 73% +4  79% 14 - 5 7 - 2 B +9 F+ -9 F A F A+ +18 A+ B+ D
 Fri, Jan 30 72 @Akron L 52 - 69 17% -11  0% 14 - 6 7 - 3 D+ -6 F -19 F C- D- A +12 B- A+ B+
 Tue, Feb 3 165 @Toledo W 75 - 72 43% -6  6% 15 - 6 8 - 3 B- +6 C +1 F A- C+ B +5 C+ B+ C-
 Sat, Feb 7 241 @Southern Miss L 65 - 66 59% -0  33% 15 - 7 C- -3 D -4 F C+ B+ C+ +2 B+ C- D+
 Wed, Feb 11 231 Eastern Michigan W 95 - 91 77% -2  35% 16 - 7 9 - 3 C- -3 A+ +18 A- A+ A- F -21 F D+ C+
 Sat, Feb 14 310 @Ball St. W 76 - 69 74%
 Tue, Feb 17 158 @Bowling Green L 76 - 78 43%
 Tue, Feb 24 296 Central Michigan W 84 - 73 86%
 Sat, Feb 28 72 Akron L 83 - 87 36%
 Tue, Mar 3 314 @Northern Illinois W 80 - 73 73%
 Fri, Mar 6 295 Western Michigan W 87 - 76 86%
Totals 20 - 9 13 - 5 +1 C+ +2 C- B D+ C -1 C C+ C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ C- D C C- 37% 18% 45% C+ C- B B- B D+ A- B- A- C C B- C- C 38% 18% 43% C- C C B- C+ C- C- C C-
1.11 56% 34% 33% -2 0 0.98 35% 1.1 .38 19% .38 75% .28 1.10 58% 36% 35% 0 0 1.02 31% 1.0 .30 16% .32 72% .27
Nov
3		 Troy C+ F F A+ F+ 35% 23% 42% C- D- A+ C A C+ A+ B+ A+ D- C- C- F F 50% 9% 41% D- F A+ F C- D F D+ F
1.13 36% 29% 42% -5 0 0.92 44% 1.0 .46 16% .46 76% .35 1.20 59% 40% 46% +8 +2 1.22 21% 1.7 .34 14% .45 76% .34
Nov
7		 Cornell A A- C+ A+ A+ 31% 9% 59% C+ A+ B+ B- A- C+ A+ D A+ F+ D+ F F F 26% 6% 69% C+ F F B- D- B+ D- D+ F+
1.39 71% 40% 50% +18 +1 1.41 38% 1.3 .48 14% .48 67% .32 1.29 64% 67% 46% +16 +1 1.35 39% 1.1 .42 22% .35 77% .27
Nov
10		 UNC Wilmington B+ A+ F A+ A+ 23% 15% 63% B- A+ D+ A+ B- D+ A+ D A+ C+ A+ F+ A+ A+ 51% 15% 34% F A+ C- D D+ F A C- B+
1.19 82% 29% 43% +13 0 1.27 23% 1.4 .33 15% .39 71% .28 1.07 42% 44% 19% -15 +2 0.75 35% 1.2 .42 10% .28 72% .20
Nov
15		 Cleveland St. A- B+ F+ F+ D 46% 12% 42% B+ D+ B- A+ A C+ A+ D A+ F D- B- F F 22% 12% 66% C+ F+ F D+ F C+ F D F
1.34 70% 33% 29% +1 +2 1.08 40% 1.4 .54 14% .71 74% .52 1.25 64% 33% 42% +9 0 1.20 47% 1.1 .50 20% .49 80% .39
Nov
16		 Wright St. D D+ D+ F F 46% 15% 38% B F A C+ A F A+ A+ A+ A- F C- A+ C+ 37% 28% 35% B+ B- A F B- D+ C+ A+ B
1.03 54% 38% 20% -10 +1 0.85 43% 1.1 .45 24% .47 81% .38 0.98 70% 40% 21% -2 -1 0.96 24% 1.3 .32 15% .30 63% .19
Nov
18		 Eastern Kentucky D+ B- F C- D 48% 12% 40% A- C- C- A- B- F A+ D A+ B+ C+ D A- A- 23% 13% 64% D- B C C+ C+ A+ F A+ F+
1.14 64% 33% 33% +2 +2 1.10 32% 1.2 .38 20% .56 70% .40 0.96 54% 43% 28% -6 0 0.89 33% 1.1 .35 23% .38 63% .24
Nov
22		 Cleveland St. D+ D+ F A+ B 30% 7% 63% B- B B- F D+ F D D D- A A F C A 48% 14% 39% F+ B+ A+ F B A- F B- F
1.16 59% 25% 44% +9 +1 1.23 40% 0.9 .34 24% .25 73% .19 0.91 43% 50% 35% -5 +2 0.95 13% 1.8 .22 23% .50 73% .37
Dec
3		 Austin Peay A+ B+ C+ A+ A+ 40% 10% 50% B A+ F+ A+ A+ B- A+ B A+ D B- C- F F 41% 9% 50% F F D+ A+ A+ D+ B B B
1.31 68% 40% 54% +20 +1 1.44 23% 1.7 .38 18% .53 72% .38 1.14 52% 40% 46% +7 +2 1.20 30% 0.5 .16 15% .26 69% .18
Dec
14		 Portland D- C F F F 45% 18% 37% B- F+ B+ C+ B+ F A+ A+ A+ C D- F+ C- F 47% 18% 35% D+ F+ A C+ A- C D+ A C
0.96 59% 22% 22% -9 +1 0.86 39% 1.1 .42 29% .49 86% .42 1.08 68% 45% 33% +6 +1 1.15 23% 1.1 .26 20% .32 67% .21
Dec
20		 Massachusetts D- F+ A+ F D- 33% 18% 49% D+ D- D A C C- F B+ D- A+ B A+ F A+ 40% 32% 28% B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ F D F
0.98 50% 67% 25% -4 0 0.94 23% 1.3 .29 18% .29 76% .23 0.83 53% 0% 46% -9 -1 0.81 22% 0.8 .17 20% .42 71% .30
Dec
29		 Purdue F A F F+ D 18% 36% 46% F+ D- F+ F F+ D+ B- A+ B+ C- D F D- F 25% 26% 49% B+ D- A+ F A D C+ F D
0.79 70% 25% 27% -7 -3 0.80 15% 0.8 .13 20% .23 79% .18 1.33 71% 73% 39% +17 -2 1.32 21% 1.5 .32 11% .28 89% .25
Jan
3		 Northern Illinois D B- A+ F F+ 38% 18% 44% D+ F+ B- F D+ D+ A+ B+ A+ C- D+ A- F F 29% 17% 55% A- F F B+ C- A+ F A- F
1.05 65% 50% 20% -5 0 0.93 35% 0.8 .30 19% .68 78% .52 1.00 58% 29% 43% +6 0 1.14 40% 0.7 .29 30% .59 60% .35
Jan
6		 Bowling Green A+ A- B A+ A+ 42% 13% 45% B- A+ B+ A+ A+ A C A+ B+ F C+ A+ F D- 53% 9% 38% F+ D- F F F F+ F F F
1.36 68% 43% 42% +10 +1 1.25 34% 1.5 .52 14% .31 89% .28 1.32 56% 25% 44% +4 +3 1.15 44% 1.2 .52 13% .51 87% .44
Jan
10		 Central Michigan C+ D- F D F 38% 15% 47% C F A+ A- A+ F D- C D F+ C+ C- A- B- 34% 29% 37% B- B- F F F F F+ C F+
1.17 52% 13% 31% -8 +1 0.87 50% 1.4 .68 21% .30 71% .21 1.20 55% 41% 27% -4 -1 0.92 39% 1.4 .52 10% .35 70% .24
Jan
13		 Buffalo B+ B+ F A+ B- 44% 16% 40% C+ B- B- A- B+ C B B B+ C- C A+ F+ C+ 38% 22% 40% B- B- A+ F C+ F F+ B D
1.24 68% 13% 45% +7 +1 1.18 36% 1.2 .42 17% .31 78% .24 1.15 57% 25% 41% +1 0 1.04 15% 1.7 .26 7% .41 70% .29
Jan
16		 Toledo B- B+ C C- C 45% 11% 45% B C+ B C- B- A+ A+ C A+ D B A+ F B 53% 13% 35% F C+ C- F F C- F A- F
1.21 67% 40% 33% +4 +2 1.13 41% 0.9 .38 13% .57 72% .41 1.17 52% 29% 42% 0 +2 1.05 29% 1.4 .41 15% .48 69% .33
Jan
20		 Miami (OH) A- B B- D+ C+ 43% 13% 45% A- B- A+ B+ A+ D+ A+ B+ A+ F F F B F 40% 15% 45% D+ F C A+ A F F A+ D
1.23 67% 43% 32% +3 +1 1.11 44% 1.0 .44 19% .47 81% .38 1.30 84% 67% 32% +13 +1 1.31 24% 0.7 .16 7% .44 65% .29
Jan
24		 Eastern Michigan D- C+ D+ B C+ 32% 26% 42% D- C C F F F A+ B A+ B+ F A+ A+ A+ 33% 35% 32% A- A+ D+ B+ C+ F C+ F D
0.97 59% 36% 36% +1 -1 1.02 30% 0.4 .11 23% .47 79% .37 0.96 71% 5% 25% -11 -2 0.75 31% 0.8 .25 12% .25 88% .22
Jan
27		 Ohio F+ F A+ F F 52% 7% 40% A F A+ C+ A F A+ C A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 42% 9% 49% F A+ B A- B+ D B C B-
1.00 41% 67% 24% -13 +3 0.81 46% 1.1 .49 28% .68 74% .50 0.79 36% 20% 23% -19 +2 0.68 24% 0.8 .20 14% .27 71% .19
Jan
30		 Akron F F+ F F F 42% 22% 36% C F A F C- D- A+ F B A B+ F B- B- 29% 17% 54% B+ B- A A+ A+ B+ B- A B+
0.76 48% 27% 0% -25 0 0.52 45% 0.7 .30 22% .39 62% .24 1.01 53% 67% 32% +2 0 1.06 26% 0.8 .21 19% .22 67% .14
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
3		 Toledo C F F+ C- F 31% 24% 44% F+ F B+ B A- C+ A+ C A+ B B- F B B 49% 21% 30% F+ C+ D A+ B+ C- B- D C+
1.10 41% 31% 33% -7 -1 0.85 42% 1.1 .44 18% .37 71% .27 1.06 54% 55% 31% 0 +1 1.04 32% 0.7 .22 15% .26 80% .21
Feb
7		 Southern Miss D F A+ F F 34% 16% 50% C F C+ C- C+ B+ C- F F C+ A+ B- B- A- 38% 32% 30% C- B+ F A- C- D+ F D F
1.00 41% 63% 28% -6 0 0.90 30% 1.0 .30 14% .32 44% .14 1.02 44% 33% 29% -9 -1 0.81 38% 0.9 .33 17% .44 79% .35
Feb
11		 Eastern Michigan A+ F A+ A+ A 28% 26% 47% F+ A- B A+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ F F F D F 33% 33% 33% B+ F F A D+ C+ A F B+
1.35 38% 58% 45% +8 -1 1.15 33% 1.5 .50 13% .54 88% .47 1.30 95% 47% 37% +17 -2 1.32 41% 0.7 .30 19% .17 80% .14



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 0.8 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 3.2 3.6 7.5 2nd
3rd 0.3 5.9 22.3 33.8 22.6 2.9 87.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 2.1 0.5 3.3 4th
5th 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.4 5th
6th 0.1 0.1 0.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 0.1 1.4 8.1 22.9 34.5 25.9 7.2 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 9.6% 0.7    0.0 0.3 0.3
14-4 0.3% 0.1    0.0 0.1
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.0 0.4 0.4



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 7.2% 11.6% 11.6% 12.3 0.0 0.5 0.3 0.0 6.3
14-4 25.9% 9.9% 9.9% 13.0 0.0 0.6 1.4 0.6 0.0 23.4
13-5 34.5% 7.3% 7.3% 13.5 0.2 1.1 1.1 0.1 32.0
12-6 22.9% 6.2% 6.2% 13.7 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.1 21.5
11-7 8.1% 5.2% 5.2% 14.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 7.6
10-8 1.4% 2.2% 2.2% 15.0 0.0 1.4
9-9 0.1% 0.1
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 7.8% 7.8% 0.0% 13.3 92.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.8% 100.0% 12.3 3.6 65.1 30.1 1.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.9%