Eastern Kentucky
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.4#258
Expected Predictive Rating-14.7#348
Pace72.3#113
Improvement-1.0#261

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#179
First Shot-3.7#284
After Offensive Rebound+3.3#34
Layup/Dunks-10.6#365
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#77
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.7#13
Freethrows-3.0#328
Improvement+0.3#154

Defense
Total Defense-4.9#333
First Shot-5.2#336
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#172
Layups/Dunks-2.2#258
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#300
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#213
Freethrows-0.1#187
Improvement-1.3#302
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.5% 6.5% 4.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.9
.500 or above 10.5% 15.3% 5.1%
.500 or above in Conference 50.4% 56.7% 43.3%
Conference Champion 4.7% 5.9% 3.2%
Last Place in Conference 5.8% 4.3% 7.6%
First Four3.2% 3.3% 3.1%
First Round4.1% 5.1% 2.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Illinois (Away) - 53.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 82 - 12
Quad 49 - 811 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 10 123 Western Kentucky L 79-87 30%     0 - 1 -8.1 +1.0 -8.5
  Wed, Nov 12 12 @Vanderbilt L 62-92 1%     0 - 2 -8.3 -5.3 -1.8
  Tue, Nov 18 122 @Kent St. L 78-93 14%     0 - 3 -9.0 -5.6 -1.3
  Sat, Nov 22 191 Mercer L 83-95 49%     0 - 4 -17.1 +4.8 -21.7
  Mon, Nov 24 181 @Northern Kentucky L 71-82 26%     0 - 5 -9.5 -2.5 -6.9
  Sat, Nov 29 208 Wofford L 77-83 52%     0 - 6 -12.0 -1.5 -10.3
  Wed, Dec 3 101 @Illinois St. L 78-89 11%     0 - 7 -3.2 +7.3 -10.3
  Wed, Dec 10 325 @Eastern Illinois W 73-72 53%    
  Sat, Dec 13 127 Miami (OH) L 78-83 32%    
  Wed, Dec 17 238 @Jacksonville St. L 69-73 36%    
  Sun, Dec 21 97 @Wichita St. L 69-82 11%    
  Thu, Jan 1 199 @Queens L 80-86 30%    
  Sat, Jan 3 285 @West Georgia L 76-78 44%    
  Thu, Jan 8 200 North Alabama W 76-75 50%    
  Sat, Jan 10 273 Central Arkansas W 78-74 64%    
  Thu, Jan 15 182 @Austin Peay L 72-79 27%    
  Sat, Jan 17 292 Bellarmine W 81-76 68%    
  Thu, Jan 22 343 @North Florida W 86-83 60%    
  Sat, Jan 24 275 @Jacksonville L 73-75 42%    
  Wed, Jan 28 182 Austin Peay L 75-76 47%    
  Sat, Jan 31 273 @Central Arkansas L 75-77 41%    
  Thu, Feb 5 177 Florida Gulf Coast L 81-82 46%    
  Sat, Feb 7 348 Stetson W 81-72 80%    
  Wed, Feb 11 164 @Lipscomb L 74-82 24%    
  Sat, Feb 14 200 @North Alabama L 73-79 30%    
  Wed, Feb 18 285 West Georgia W 79-75 64%    
  Sat, Feb 21 292 @Bellarmine L 78-79 45%    
  Wed, Feb 25 199 Queens W 83-82 49%    
  Sat, Feb 28 164 Lipscomb L 77-79 44%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.1 4.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 2.3 2.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 6.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 2.9 2.9 1.0 0.1 7.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.4 4.0 1.2 0.1 9.1 4th
5th 0.3 2.9 4.9 1.8 0.1 9.9 5th
6th 0.2 2.3 5.5 2.8 0.3 11.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.8 5.7 3.5 0.3 0.0 11.4 7th
8th 0.2 1.4 4.9 4.2 0.7 0.0 11.3 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 4.0 4.0 0.9 0.0 10.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.3 3.3 1.2 0.1 9.2 10th
11th 0.3 0.9 2.2 2.1 0.7 0.1 6.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.9 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.1 4.3 7.1 9.5 12.1 13.4 13.1 12.1 9.8 6.9 4.6 2.4 1.1 0.3 0.1 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 96.1% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 84.0% 0.9    0.7 0.2 0.0
14-4 65.8% 1.6    0.9 0.6 0.1
13-5 26.8% 1.2    0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 6.3% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.7% 4.7 2.4 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 24.3% 24.3% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.3% 35.3% 35.3% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 1.1% 30.2% 30.2% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.8
14-4 2.4% 22.1% 22.1% 15.4 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.9
13-5 4.6% 16.0% 16.0% 15.5 0.0 0.3 0.4 3.8
12-6 6.9% 13.4% 13.4% 15.8 0.2 0.8 6.0
11-7 9.8% 9.9% 9.9% 15.9 0.1 0.9 8.8
10-8 12.1% 7.0% 7.0% 16.0 0.0 0.8 11.2
9-9 13.1% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.4 12.7
8-10 13.4% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.3 13.1
7-11 12.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 12.0
6-12 9.5% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 9.4
5-13 7.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.0
4-14 4.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.3
3-15 2.1% 2.1
2-16 0.9% 0.9
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.5% 5.5% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 4.3 94.5 0.0%