Eastern Kentucky
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.8#220
Expected Predictive Rating-0.2#170
Pace70.5#138
Improvement-2.0#304

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#159
First Shot-3.3#277
After Offensive Rebound+3.6#18
Layup/Dunks-8.7#362
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#12
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#78
Freethrows-2.9#330
Improvement-2.3#332

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#274
First Shot-1.2#209
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#317
Layups/Dunks-2.6#277
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#219
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#69
Freethrows-1.3#275
Improvement+0.3#162
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.4% 8.4% 6.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.5 14.9
.500 or above 57.9% 69.8% 44.6%
.500 or above in Conference 75.0% 79.3% 70.3%
Conference Champion 6.8% 8.3% 5.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.5% 1.3%
First Four0.5% 0.4% 0.7%
First Round7.1% 8.2% 5.8%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Jacksonville St. (Home) - 52.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 21 - 5
Quad 34 - 54 - 10
Quad 412 - 516 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 132   @ East Tennessee St. W 82-78 24%     1 - 0 +8.7 +16.0 -7.1
  Nov 12, 2024 35   @ Clemson L 62-75 6%     1 - 1 +2.3 +1.8 -0.6
  Nov 19, 2024 360   @ Chicago St. W 86-66 79%     2 - 1 +8.8 +3.8 +3.5
  Nov 25, 2024 288   Ball St. L 61-63 65%     2 - 2 -8.8 -12.3 +3.3
  Nov 26, 2024 168   Southern Illinois W 77-72 42%     3 - 2 +4.4 +3.8 +0.5
  Nov 27, 2024 101   Louisiana Tech L 69-78 23%     3 - 3 -3.9 +5.8 -10.7
  Dec 01, 2024 125   @ Troy L 74-84 22%     3 - 4 -4.7 +5.7 -10.6
  Dec 11, 2024 33   @ Pittsburgh L 56-96 6%     3 - 5 -24.6 -9.6 -14.9
  Dec 14, 2024 327   Eastern Illinois W 81-66 82%     4 - 5 +2.6 +0.1 +1.9
  Dec 21, 2024 167   Jacksonville St. W 74-73 53%    
  Dec 28, 2024 51   @ Louisville L 69-85 6%    
  Jan 02, 2025 339   @ Central Arkansas W 76-70 69%    
  Jan 04, 2025 182   @ North Alabama L 73-78 33%    
  Jan 09, 2025 188   North Florida W 84-82 56%    
  Jan 11, 2025 205   Jacksonville W 74-72 58%    
  Jan 16, 2025 273   @ Austin Peay W 69-68 51%    
  Jan 18, 2025 343   Bellarmine W 82-70 87%    
  Jan 23, 2025 344   Stetson W 83-71 87%    
  Jan 25, 2025 192   Florida Gulf Coast W 72-70 56%    
  Jan 30, 2025 107   @ Lipscomb L 70-80 18%    
  Feb 01, 2025 273   Austin Peay W 71-65 72%    
  Feb 06, 2025 192   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 69-73 35%    
  Feb 08, 2025 344   @ Stetson W 80-74 70%    
  Feb 13, 2025 341   West Georgia W 80-68 85%    
  Feb 15, 2025 270   Queens W 82-76 71%    
  Feb 18, 2025 107   Lipscomb L 73-77 36%    
  Feb 20, 2025 343   @ Bellarmine W 79-73 70%    
  Feb 24, 2025 205   @ Jacksonville L 71-75 37%    
  Feb 26, 2025 188   @ North Florida L 81-85 35%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.2 2.2 1.1 0.3 0.0 6.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.6 3.0 0.8 0.1 10.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.8 5.8 3.3 0.6 0.0 12.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.0 6.4 3.8 0.6 0.0 14.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.8 6.5 4.3 0.6 0.0 14.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.3 5.8 4.2 0.7 0.0 13.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 2.1 4.8 3.8 0.8 0.0 11.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.1 2.6 0.6 0.0 7.8 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 1.8 1.5 0.3 0.0 4.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.7 0.2 2.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.1 4.2 7.1 10.3 13.3 14.9 14.6 12.5 9.4 5.8 2.9 1.2 0.3 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 94.0% 1.1    0.9 0.2
15-3 73.9% 2.2    1.3 0.8 0.1 0.0
14-4 37.6% 2.2    0.8 1.0 0.4 0.1
13-5 9.8% 0.9    0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.8% 6.8 3.5 2.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 44.2% 44.2% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
16-2 1.2% 29.7% 29.7% 13.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8
15-3 2.9% 22.3% 22.3% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 2.3
14-4 5.8% 18.6% 18.6% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 4.7
13-5 9.4% 13.2% 13.2% 14.4 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 8.2
12-6 12.5% 10.1% 10.1% 14.8 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.2 11.3
11-7 14.6% 7.2% 7.2% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.3 13.6
10-8 14.9% 5.6% 5.6% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.3 14.1
9-9 13.3% 3.0% 3.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 12.9
8-10 10.3% 1.7% 1.7% 15.9 0.0 0.2 10.1
7-11 7.1% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 7.0
6-12 4.2% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 4.1
5-13 2.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.1
4-14 0.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 0.8
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.4% 7.4% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.0 2.9 1.4 92.6 0.0%