Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
169 Central Arkansas 0.0%   20 - 12 15 - 3 -0.4      +0.1 158 -0.5 191 69.3 151 -0.7 171 +2.7 1
182 Austin Peay 0.0%   20 - 9 15 - 3 -1.3      -1.1 197 -0.2 175 72.0 86 +0.6 146 +2.4 2
192 Queens 100.0%   16   20 - 13 13 - 5 -1.7      +4.0 85 -5.8 323 72.6 69 -1.1 181 -1.7 3
217 Lipscomb 0.0%   17 - 13 12 - 6 -3.2      -2.3 228 -0.9 204 72.6 70 -2.4 205 -2.7 4
255 Florida Gulf Coast 0.0%   14 - 18 8 - 10 -5.3      -3.0 254 -2.2 245 68.7 171 -6.5 262 -8.1 6
282 Bellarmine 0.0%   11 - 19 7 - 11 -7.2      +4.7 76 -11.8 365 63.2 317 -7.9 293 -8.8 8
295 Jacksonville 0.0%   10 - 20 7 - 11 -7.9      -4.2 284 -3.7 287 61.1 348 -8.9 305 -9.2 10
297 Eastern Kentucky 0.0%   9 - 21 7 - 11 -8.2      -0.1 167 -8.1 353 68.4 181 -9.2 310 -8.7 7
302 West Georgia 0.0%   13 - 17 8 - 10 -8.6      -5.1 298 -3.5 283 71.6 95 -7.3 285 -8.0 5
309 Stetson 0.0%   10 - 21 7 - 11 -9.1      -2.9 249 -6.2 332 67.1 220 -8.8 302 -9.0 9
337 North Florida 0.0%   5 - 25 5 - 13 -12.5      -1.9 216 -10.6 364 75.2 28 -13.8 347 -11.6 11
343 North Alabama 0.0%   7 - 21 4 - 14 -12.9      -6.6 330 -6.3 335 63.6 312 -11.2 330 -13.7 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Austin Peay 1.0 100.0
Central Arkansas 1.0 100.0
Queens 3.0 100.0
Lipscomb 4.0 100.0
Florida Gulf Coast 5.0 100.0
West Georgia 5.0 100.0
Eastern Kentucky 7.0 100.0
Bellarmine 7.0 100.0
Jacksonville 7.0 100.0
Stetson 7.0 100.0
North Florida 11.0 100.0
North Alabama 12.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Austin Peay 15 - 3 20 - 9 100.0
Central Arkansas 15 - 3 20 - 12 100.0
Queens 13 - 5 20 - 13 100.0
Lipscomb 12 - 6 17 - 13 100.0
Florida Gulf Coast 8 - 10 14 - 18 100.0
West Georgia 8 - 10 13 - 17 100.0
Eastern Kentucky 7 - 11 9 - 21 100.0
Bellarmine 7 - 11 11 - 19 100.0
Jacksonville 7 - 11 10 - 20 100.0
Stetson 7 - 11 10 - 21 100.0
North Florida 5 - 13 5 - 25 100.0
North Alabama 4 - 14 7 - 21 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Austin Peay 100.0% 100.0
Central Arkansas 100.0% 100.0
Queens
Lipscomb
Florida Gulf Coast
West Georgia
Eastern Kentucky
Bellarmine
Jacksonville
Stetson
North Florida
North Alabama


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Central Arkansas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Austin Peay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Queens 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   0.0 3.7 42.6 53.7
Lipscomb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Florida Gulf Coast 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Bellarmine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Jacksonville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
West Georgia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stetson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 91.1% 0.9 8.9 91.1
2nd Round 0.9% 0.0 99.1 0.9
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Central Arkansas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Peay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Queens 100.0% 19.2% 91.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lipscomb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida Gulf Coast 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bellarmine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacksonville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
West Georgia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stetson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%