Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
97 Lipscomb 100.0%   14   23 - 9 14 - 4 23 - 9 14 - 4 +5.0      +3.5 85 +1.5 125 66.0 232 +3.3 118 +2.0 2
121 North Alabama 0.0%   22 - 10 14 - 4 22 - 10 14 - 4 +2.3      +2.9 96 -0.6 189 66.6 217 +1.2 144 +2.6 1
187 Florida Gulf Coast 0.0%   17 - 14 13 - 5 17 - 14 13 - 5 -1.4      +0.4 162 -1.8 225 63.7 297 -1.7 185 +0.2 3
198 Eastern Kentucky 0.0%   16 - 14 12 - 6 16 - 14 12 - 6 -1.9      +1.5 132 -3.5 274 68.7 157 -1.8 187 -0.7 4
199 Jacksonville 0.0%   17 - 13 12 - 6 17 - 13 12 - 6 -2.0      -3.8 276 +1.9 118 68.2 179 -0.5 170 -1.2 5
207 Queens 0.0%   17 - 14 11 - 7 17 - 14 11 - 7 -2.5      -0.1 177 -2.5 245 71.0 102 -1.7 186 -2.4 6
276 North Florida 0.0%   13 - 17 8 - 10 13 - 17 8 - 10 -6.4      +1.0 145 -7.4 351 78.4 10 -4.5 245 -6.9 8
277 Austin Peay 0.0%   12 - 19 8 - 10 12 - 19 8 - 10 -6.5      -3.2 256 -3.3 273 65.3 258 -5.5 260 -6.6 7
340 Bellarmine 0.0%   3 - 26 2 - 16 3 - 26 2 - 16 -12.0      -2.2 229 -9.8 361 65.9 236 -18.1 359 -17.9 12
344 Central Arkansas 0.0%   7 - 24 4 - 14 7 - 24 4 - 14 -12.3      -6.3 328 -6.0 336 66.1 231 -12.3 341 -12.5 10
348 West Georgia 0.0%   5 - 25 4 - 14 5 - 25 4 - 14 -12.7      -6.9 338 -5.8 335 69.4 135 -13.3 345 -12.9 11
350 Stetson 0.0%   6 - 24 6 - 12 6 - 24 6 - 12 -13.1      -4.7 299 -8.3 358 68.9 149 -13.3 344 -9.6 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Lipscomb 1.0 100.0
North Alabama 1.0 100.0
Florida Gulf Coast 3.0 100.0
Eastern Kentucky 4.0 100.0
Jacksonville 4.0 100.0
Queens 6.0 100.0
North Florida 7.0 100.0
Austin Peay 7.0 100.0
Bellarmine 12.0 100.0
Central Arkansas 10.0 100.0
West Georgia 10.0 100.0
Stetson 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Lipscomb 14 - 4 100.0
North Alabama 14 - 4 100.0
Florida Gulf Coast 13 - 5 100.0
Eastern Kentucky 12 - 6 100.0
Jacksonville 12 - 6 100.0
Queens 11 - 7 100.0
North Florida 8 - 10 100.0
Austin Peay 8 - 10 100.0
Bellarmine 2 - 16 100.0
Central Arkansas 4 - 14 100.0
West Georgia 4 - 14 100.0
Stetson 6 - 12 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Lipscomb 100.0% 100.0
North Alabama 100.0% 100.0
Florida Gulf Coast
Eastern Kentucky
Jacksonville
Queens
North Florida
Austin Peay
Bellarmine
Central Arkansas
West Georgia
Stetson


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Lipscomb 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   10.5 58.7 30.6 0.3
North Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Florida Gulf Coast 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Jacksonville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Queens 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Austin Peay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Bellarmine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Arkansas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
West Georgia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stetson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Lipscomb 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 11.6% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida Gulf Coast 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacksonville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Queens 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Peay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bellarmine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Arkansas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
West Georgia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stetson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 11.6% 0.1 88.4 11.6
Sweet Sixteen 2.1% 0.0 98.0 2.1
Elite Eight 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0