Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
171 Central Arkansas 26.9%   15   18 - 11 15 - 3 -0.8      0.0 162 -0.9 201 69.2 157 -0.5 163 +2.7 1
178 Austin Peay 24.9%   19 - 8 15 - 3 -1.1      -0.8 183 -0.3 181 72.2 82 +1.2 138 +2.4 2
198 Lipscomb 17.0%   17 - 12 12 - 6 -2.2      -1.6 212 -0.5 191 72.9 63 -1.7 189 -2.8 4
204 Queens 18.9%   17 - 13 13 - 5 -2.4      +4.1 83 -6.4 338 72.3 77 -2.5 207 -1.6 3
268 Florida Gulf Coast 5.0%   12 - 17 8 - 10 -6.0      -2.7 246 -3.3 271 69.1 162 -7.1 279 -8.0 6
285 Bellarmine 1.8%   10 - 18 7 - 11 -7.0      +4.2 82 -11.2 365 63.5 316 -8.2 294 -8.7 8
288 Eastern Kentucky 1.7%   9 - 20 7 - 11 -7.2      -0.1 165 -7.2 349 68.5 183 -8.5 302 -8.7 7
293 Jacksonville 1.4%   10 - 19 7 - 11 -7.8      -4.4 288 -3.4 273 61.0 349 -8.4 300 -9.2 10
308 West Georgia 1.9%   12 - 16 8 - 10 -8.7      -4.4 287 -4.3 300 71.1 110 -7.2 282 -7.9 5
320 Stetson 0.5%   9 - 20 7 - 11 -9.8      -3.4 260 -6.4 339 67.7 204 -9.1 313 -8.9 9
341 North Florida 0.0%   5 - 24 5 - 13 -12.3      -2.2 233 -10.1 364 75.0 31 -13.5 348 -11.6 11
343 North Alabama 0.0%   7 - 20 4 - 14 -12.4      -6.2 326 -6.2 333 63.9 303 -10.8 330 -13.8 12


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Thu, Feb 26 268 Florida Gulf Coast 70 341 North Florida 76   
Thu, Feb 26 293 Jacksonville 89 320 Stetson 85   
Sat, Feb 28 288 Eastern Kentucky 77 198 Lipscomb 80   
Sat, Feb 28 178 Austin Peay 97 285 Bellarmine 111   
Sat, Feb 28 171 Central Arkansas 84 204 Queens 79   
Sat, Feb 28 268 Florida Gulf Coast 63 320 Stetson 78   
Sat, Feb 28 343 North Alabama 63 308 West Georgia 75   
Sat, Feb 28 293 Jacksonville 85 341 North Florida 61   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Wed, Mar 4 285 Bellarmine 74 293 Jacksonville 73 53%   
Wed, Mar 4 288 Eastern Kentucky 80 320 Stetson 77 60%   
Wed, Mar 4 341 North Florida 81 308 West Georgia 85 64%   
Wed, Mar 4 268 Florida Gulf Coast 75 343 North Alabama 69 73%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Central Arkansas 1.0 100.0
Austin Peay 1.0 100.0
Lipscomb 4.0 100.0
Queens 3.0 100.0
Florida Gulf Coast 5.0 100.0
Bellarmine 7.0 100.0
Eastern Kentucky 7.0 100.0
Jacksonville 7.0 100.0
West Georgia 5.0 100.0
Stetson 7.0 100.0
North Florida 11.0 100.0
North Alabama 12.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Central Arkansas 15 - 3 18 - 11 100.0
Austin Peay 15 - 3 19 - 8 100.0
Lipscomb 12 - 6 17 - 12 100.0
Queens 13 - 5 17 - 13 100.0
Florida Gulf Coast 8 - 10 13 - 17 100.0
Bellarmine 7 - 11 11 - 18 100.0
Eastern Kentucky 7 - 11 10 - 20 100.0
Jacksonville 7 - 11 10 - 20 100.0
West Georgia 8 - 10 13 - 16 100.0
Stetson 7 - 11 9 - 21 100.0
North Florida 5 - 13 5 - 25 100.0
North Alabama 4 - 14 7 - 21 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Central Arkansas 100.0% 100.0
Austin Peay 100.0% 100.0
Lipscomb
Queens
Florida Gulf Coast
Bellarmine
Eastern Kentucky
Jacksonville
West Georgia
Stetson
North Florida
North Alabama


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Central Arkansas 26.9% 26.9% 0.0% 15   0.0 1.0 12.5 12.8 0.6 73.1 0.0%
Austin Peay 24.9% 24.9% 0.0% 0.0 2.4 14.5 7.8 0.1 75.1 0.0%
Lipscomb 17.0% 17.0% 0.0% 0.2 4.8 10.7 1.3 83.0 0.0%
Queens 18.9% 18.9% 0.0% 0.1 3.6 12.2 3.1 81.1 0.0%
Florida Gulf Coast 5.0% 5.0% 0.0% 5.0 95.0 0.0%
Bellarmine 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 1.8 98.2 0.0%
Eastern Kentucky 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 1.7 98.3 0.0%
Jacksonville 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 1.4 98.6 0.0%
West Georgia 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 1.9 98.1 0.0%
Stetson 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.5 99.5 0.0%
North Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 94.3% 0.9 5.8 94.3
2nd Round 1.3% 0.0 98.7 1.3
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Central Arkansas 26.9% 0.0% 26.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Peay 24.9% 0.0% 24.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lipscomb 17.0% 0.0% 17.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Queens 18.9% 0.2% 18.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida Gulf Coast 5.0% 4.9% 2.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bellarmine 1.8% 1.8% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Kentucky 1.7% 1.7% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacksonville 1.4% 1.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
West Georgia 1.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stetson 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%